bowling
dec 21:
2h byu -3
2h byu -3
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that lost
live action end of 1Q, ohio +10.5Comment -
mary/BC over 43.5Comment -
so far in this thread
1-1 w/a split on my attempt for a middle
wed, dec 28:
it think these 2 favs will buck the ats trend
panthers -4
utes -5.5Comment -
always seems to happen
pitt runner has open run into ez and slips to land on the 1/2 yd line
next play, their star back on 4th and goal leaps unopposed over the pileup
and only needs to stretch his arms w/the football out (also unopposed)
for an easy TD....but he chooses not to do this, as we see so many others do correctly
lucky wildcats. absolutely no skill on their part for that lucky stop
so, the lucky wildcats takeover at their 1/2 yd line and run a simple trap up the middle
usually good for a couple yds.
they get 68.
then they score
so what SHOULD b pitt up 10-0
the lucky breaks change that to a 7-3 lead for the lucky wildcats.
naturally, im on the panthers
Comment -
and on the ensuing possession, the better team, PITTalways seems to happen
pitt runner has open run into ez and slips to land on the 1/2 yd line
next play, their star back on 4th and goal leaps unopposed over the pileup
and only needs to stretch his arms w/the football out (also unopposed)
for an easy TD....but he chooses not to do this, as we see so many others do correctly
lucky wildcats. absolutely no skill on their part for that lucky stop
so, the lucky wildcats takeover at their 1/2 yd line and run a simple trap up the middle
usually good for a couple yds.
they get 68.
then they score
so what SHOULD b pitt up 10-0
the lucky breaks change that to a 7-3 lead for the lucky wildcats.
naturally, im on the panthers
quickly drives down the field at will (again!)
and again another lucky break for the wildcats as they
pickoff an errant pass on the goal line
and sure enough, w/that break for momentum, they
quickly drive down field
....but *FINALLY* a break goes to Pitt as they too
pickoff a pass at the goallineComment -
pitts ensuing drive stalls. good defense wildcats
the cats then drive downfield and score (skill vs sloppy pitt D)
so, w/ those initial lucky breaks going all the way of the wildcats
that turned what should be a 10-0 or at worst a 10-7 lead for Pitt
into a 14-3 lead for northwestern
unbelievable
and then immediately, the better team
fires a long TD to make it 10-14Comment -
btw,
those breaks in the 1h suppressed a couple scores, or at least one,
so i can see this 2h hitting at least 4 TDs+, probably 5,
and if nwu scores any pts before the half then the 2h will
likely go over 35 ptsComment -
and another break for the wildcats to end the 3Q as
pitt not only misses a 43 yd fieldgoal but
pitts starting QB is OUT from a possible concussion
due to an apparent targeting violation which was not called
oh yeah forgot to add that pitts star RB conner is also OUTComment -
well sh#t here we go again
naturally im on the utes and naturally they suffer the
first bad break of the game and quickly down 7-0 in the first 50 secondsComment -
so i lost on the favs pitt and utah.
of course!
anyway, posted in another thread of mine i bet s.carolina +10.5
for the belk bowl in charlotte, nc (a 2.5 hr drive from v.tech)
i bet the hokies -7
going against the trend on dogs, largely because i believe the
razorbacks (7-5) r underachievers this yr and the hokies (9-4)
and rated significantly higher - seem to bounce back well after a loss.Comment -
alamo bowl
finally 2 very good teams w/at least 9 wins each
i believe the line of 3 pts is dead on and coin-flip either way
these two r near dead even, w/a slight edge to the buffs
to me, i refuse to count that unforgivable "end of game officiating mistake" vs c.mich as a loss on OSU
yah, OSU should not have been so slack against the chippewas but still,
to me, OSU is legitimately 10-2 regular season (not 9-3)
however in addition to their 2 legit losses, 4 of their wins were by one possession.
conversely, colorado was also 10-2 in the regular season,
w/2 legit losses, and only 3 of their wins by one possession.
both teams got a gimme vs a cupcake from fcs
vs highly rated, winning opps, OSU was 2-1 (1 at home)
vs highly rated, winning opps, buffs were 2-3 (1 at home)
there r other considerations of course but i see no edge on either side of the lineComment -
live action bet w/FSU up 10-3 in 1Q,
michigan ML -110Comment -
lsu/Louis 1h un 30Comment -
won w/the hokies
lost w/michigan (barely)
and won my 1h under on lsu/louis
line drop on Bama EVERYWHERE.
Why?
anyway i got Bama-12.5 (pinnacle, heritage, greek)
i also took a ML bet at a lowered price which i think is worth the risk nowComment -
BAMA -263 ML after wash score, commercial break, live betComment -
intermission after clemson fieldgoal, live action bet OSU +105Comment -
*IF* clemson plays exactly like this in the championship
they beat Bama in a revenge rematch
i figure the line will favor Bama by 1.5 or 2 pts
any more than that and im on tigers
thats *IF* tigers play exactly the same way.
they arent guaranteed to produce a best effort though
they lost a game to pitt AT HOME!
and they scored 5 wins over lesser opps by only
a single possession and 3 of those AT HOME
Bama didnt lose a game and only had one game
decided by 5 pts (road game)
except for their 10-0 win on the road at LSU,
all of their wins were won by at least 17 pts,
the next closest being this 24-7 spanking of washingtonComment -
chris just stated the OPENING line could be close to a TD!
good
all over tigers, if thats the case.
Revenge match!Comment -
gators -1
badgers -280 ml pinnacle
sooners -2Comment -
2h gators +105
florida is outplaying iowa imo
on only 31 plays theyve racked up 227 yds vs a GOOD defence
despite giving away 2 interceptions!!
iowa only has 114 yds on 34 playsComment -
unbelievable!
crystal clear INDISPUTABLE video evidence that he was bobbling the catch (NO possession) at the time his ONLY foot hit inside the endzone! CRYSTAL! so that right foot down DOESNT count! by the time he secured control only his left foot hit down but it was HALF out of touch!!
HORRIFIC BAD CALL!
Very lucky break for the lions
wéo that lucky break they dont hang wéthe trojans toniteComment -
unbelievable!
crystal clear INDISPUTABLE video evidence that he was bobbling the catch (NO possession) at the time his ONLY foot hit inside the endzone! CRYSTAL! so that right foot down DOESNT count! by the time he secured control only his left foot hit down but it was HALF out of touch!!
HORRIFIC BAD CALL!
Very lucky break for the lions
without that lucky break they dont hang with the trojans tonite
2h USC -180
lions only played one team ON THE ROAD of similar caliber to this improved version of USC
and that was a 10-49 LOSS at michiganComment -
commercial break at the end of 1Q,
sooners +3.5Comment -
11-9 posted bowl bets so far
Championship title:
imo, at this point of the season, these two teams r dead even
but a couple notable edges i think to clemson:
1/ clemson has a more experienced QB than last yr
in the championship final last yr,
when Watson was a sophmore facing Bama's SENIOR QB,
Bama was installed a -6 pt fav.
in his first yr as a starter for clemson,
Watson put up a whopping 405 passing yds on the vaunted Bama defense
plus 31 first downs and 550 net yds offense !
clemson led 14-7 early in the 2Q when a turnover at the tigers 42
led to a game tying td for bamaclemson led 24-21 to begin the 4thQ !
Although clemson played at least at well (if not actually better)
than Bama, the tide won 45-40 (but failing to cover -6)
but this yr, the starting QB experience is reversed in clemson's favor!
Bama's QB is a rookie, while Watson is in his 3rd yr, plus having
played in this title game last yr. experience is a valuable edge.
2/ this is obviously a HUGE revenge match for clemson,
who covered the 6 pt spread and only lost by 5 last yr!
today. they r 6.5 pt dogs
in Bama's most recent game, vs #4 ranked 12-1 Washington
Bama won by 17 pts
in clemson's most recent game, vs #3 ranked 11-1 Ohio St.
clemson handed the buckeyes an unprecedented 31-0 beatdown,
which is arguably a better performance against a better team.
bama's season has been rock solid, with little variance in performance.
tigers have lost once and won but underperformed in a few games
its easy to wonder WHICH clemson team shows up tonite.
but given the added motivation of a revenge match i think the
GOOD tiger team shows up tonite.
as always fortuitous turnovers or injuries could adversely affect any team
but barring that the line should be a lot closer imo
1Q tigers +.5+100 [and ml +155]
1h tigers +3.5 [and ml +170]
tigers +6.5 [and ml +210]Comment -
oh, forgot to mention
we have a local gambler in this city who is LEGENDARY
the dude cant seem to pick a winner even w/luck on his side!
hes amazingly consistent
fading him is a goldmine so we treat him w/respect so he wont quit
pat him on the back, console him after every loss, and encourage
him to "keep trying cuz its gotta turn around soon"
privately we call him "ernie the loser"
...and hes all over Bama on the spread and under the game totalComment -
and "ernie the loser" strikes once more!oh, forgot to mention
we have a local gambler in this city who is LEGENDARY
the dude cant seem to pick a winner even w/luck on his side!
hes amazingly consistent
fading him is a goldmine so we treat him w/respect so he wont quit
pat him on the back, console him after every loss, and encourage
him to "keep trying cuz its gotta turn around soon"
privately we call him "ernie the loser"
...and hes all over Bama on the spread and under the game total
like i said, hes amazingly consistent!
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