Navy Win Total: Over 7.5

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  • trendon
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-06-10
    • 534

    #1
    Navy Win Total: Over 7.5
    Sure, the defense will likely be just as terrible as it was last year but they have one of the best QB's in the nation (as far as moving the ball down the field in whatever way possible). Furthermore, Navy generally doesn't lose games it "shouldn't" lose; at least that's my anecdotal look at the school.

    Any thoughts?

    Colgate (Win)
    BYE
    East Carolina (Win)
    at Connecticut (Win)
    Air Force (Win)
    at Notre Dame (Loss)
    BYE
    Tulane (Win)
    South Florida (Win)
    at Memphis (Loss)
    SMU (Win)
    at Tulsa (Win)
    at Houston (Win)
    BYE
    Army (in Philly) (Win)
  • dfish
    SBR MVP
    • 12-17-10
    • 2730

    #2
    Do FCS wins count, if not 8 out 11vs. BCS teams is a brutal prop.
    Comment
    • trendon
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 12-06-10
      • 534

      #3
      Originally posted by dfish
      Do FCS wins count, if not 8 out 11vs. BCS teams is a brutal prop.
      Yes.

      Edit: And, also, when talking about the American, "BCS" is a slight stretch, although I get what you mean.
      Comment
      • dfish
        SBR MVP
        • 12-17-10
        • 2730

        #4
        Originally posted by trendon
        Yes.

        Edit: And, also, when talking about the American, "BCS" is a slight stretch, although I get what you mean.
        Yeah, gotcha. So 7 out of 11 w SMU & South Fla @ home looks decent. GL
        Comment
        • Isaiah
          SBR MVP
          • 11-06-12
          • 1013

          #5
          Originally posted by trendon
          Sure, the defense will likely be just as terrible as it was last year but they have one of the best QB's in the nation (as far as moving the ball down the field in whatever way possible). Furthermore, Navy generally doesn't lose games it "shouldn't" lose; at least that's my anecdotal look at the school.

          Any thoughts?

          Colgate (Win)
          BYE
          East Carolina (Win)
          at Connecticut (Win)
          Air Force (Win)
          at Notre Dame (Loss)
          BYE
          Tulane (Win)
          South Florida (Win)
          at Memphis (Loss)
          SMU (Win)
          at Tulsa (Win)
          at Houston (Win)
          BYE
          Army (in Philly) (Win)
          You are counting on them having two sets of 4 game winning streaks which is absurd for a team of their talent level. They will lose one of the first set (don't know which game but it doesn't matter). And they will lose one of the second set (probably Houston). Very possible that they will lose two games in one of the above sets. Looks like a 7 or 8 win season to me which makes it too close to call. So a pass for me as there are much better values on the board.
          Comment
          • the_orangekat
            SBR MVP
            • 12-08-07
            • 1267

            #6
            Colgate (Win)
            BYE
            East Carolina (Lose)
            at Connecticut (Win)
            Air Force (Loss)
            at Notre Dame (Loss)
            BYE
            Tulane (Win)
            South Florida (Win)
            at Memphis (Loss)
            SMU (Win)
            at Tulsa (Win)
            at Houston (Lose)
            BYE
            Army (in Philly) (Win)

            I got them winning 7.
            Comment
            • footballkelly31
              SBR Rookie
              • 07-20-15
              • 47

              #7
              Trendon, look at Louisville at 7.5. Losses to auburn, Clemson, Fsu. They have a weaker conference schedule with toughest games being at nc state and at Pittsburgh. maybe to close to make the play but 8-4 seems right.
              Comment
              • blades8088
                SBR Rookie
                • 04-05-14
                • 38

                #8
                Good bet
                Comment
                • Isaiah
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-06-12
                  • 1013

                  #9
                  Originally posted by trendon
                  Sure, the defense will likely be just as terrible as it was last year but they have one of the best QB's in the nation (as far as moving the ball down the field in whatever way possible). Furthermore, Navy generally doesn't lose games it "shouldn't" lose; at least that's my anecdotal look at the school.

                  Any thoughts?
                  Nice call trendon.

                  Congratulations.
                  Comment
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