NIU +14.5 and BG -2.5 (Heritage Lines)
At first I was thinking of laying the points with WMU at home against NIU but the more I looked into it, the games WMU had trouble with came against teams who were great at running the ball. WMU's three losses came against teams who ran for over 200 yards against them, thats something NIU does on the regular basis. WMU has been great against the run though in their past four games holding every team they played under 100 rushing yards. So i think this game comes down to whether NIU can get their run game going or not which they have done all year long. So that's why I feel like +14.5 should be enough points for NIU to cover.
Ball State traveling to BG...I dont see Ball State winning this game at all. Their pass d has been horrible the past two games and I dont see it changing today. BG should be able to throw the ball easily against the Ball State defense. But Ball State should also be able to throw against BG with BG's terrible pass defense. What this comes down to in my opinion is that BG is just the better team and they are at home. They have only lost one home game all year long and I dont see them ending out the season flat. The past three games they also have a +10 TO margin comparing to Ball State's -2. BG at home will force a key turnover or two and should be able to cover the -2.5
Do you guys think this teaser is good? All opinions are welcome.
Also thinking of making a straight play on NIU +7.5, but don't have the balls to make a play on BG-9.5 so thats why I want to tease them down.
At first I was thinking of laying the points with WMU at home against NIU but the more I looked into it, the games WMU had trouble with came against teams who were great at running the ball. WMU's three losses came against teams who ran for over 200 yards against them, thats something NIU does on the regular basis. WMU has been great against the run though in their past four games holding every team they played under 100 rushing yards. So i think this game comes down to whether NIU can get their run game going or not which they have done all year long. So that's why I feel like +14.5 should be enough points for NIU to cover.
Ball State traveling to BG...I dont see Ball State winning this game at all. Their pass d has been horrible the past two games and I dont see it changing today. BG should be able to throw the ball easily against the Ball State defense. But Ball State should also be able to throw against BG with BG's terrible pass defense. What this comes down to in my opinion is that BG is just the better team and they are at home. They have only lost one home game all year long and I dont see them ending out the season flat. The past three games they also have a +10 TO margin comparing to Ball State's -2. BG at home will force a key turnover or two and should be able to cover the -2.5
Do you guys think this teaser is good? All opinions are welcome.
Also thinking of making a straight play on NIU +7.5, but don't have the balls to make a play on BG-9.5 so thats why I want to tease them down.
