Excited about the new season and itchy to get some action on the gridiron. I'm pretty rusty so not sure how I'll do. Fade material for sure. Normally, I'd just post my units but going to try something different. Posting everything straight up. Local Bookies are sucking this year so I am posting everything vs Bookmaker. BoL to everyone on beating the books.
9/4 Thurs
Yeah UTSA has a lot of returning starters. Yeah, Arizona QB is a redshirt freshmen playing in his 1st away game w/ a "Hostile Crowd" in front of a national audience. Few other things many are bringing up. I was originally leaning UTSA but there's just too many glaring stats that I can't ignore in the 1st game vs Houston (a team not known for its defense).
UTSA scored 27 pts. Respectable #. BUT it was against a team that had 6 TOs. The score should've been closer to 47 against Houston.
UTSA has a SR QB. BUT he has never started a game b4 Houston and has played in 5 total games, all off the bench a year ago.
UTSA was ranked #56 in total offense last yr (Arizona #30). BUT they only converted 5/17 attempts on 3rd down vs Houston. Had a 2.84 ave on the ground and a total of 3.55 yds/play on offense. 264 total yds on offense.
Zona scored 58 pts vs a crappy defense. 164.47 passing rating, +1 TO ratio, 7.35 rushing/att, 8.37 offensive yds/play, and converted 52.38% on 3rd down (11/21).
Arguments can of course be made for both sides but these few just seem to be glaring to me. TOs will play a key part of every game but take a look at the stats after you take those away. Zona or nothing is the play. Anything can happen on the only game in town on a Thurs in the 2nd week of NCAAF but I'm throwing my 1st dart at the Wildcats.
On a side note, defense may be key for both sides as UTSA's returning starters on defense may hold Zona to around 30 pts. Possible close game in the 1H w/ Arizona coming out flat on offense. Looking at a possible 31-13 final. Leaning Under 54.5. May lock it in later.
Arizona -105 to win 300
Record: 0-0 $0.00
9/4 Thurs
Yeah UTSA has a lot of returning starters. Yeah, Arizona QB is a redshirt freshmen playing in his 1st away game w/ a "Hostile Crowd" in front of a national audience. Few other things many are bringing up. I was originally leaning UTSA but there's just too many glaring stats that I can't ignore in the 1st game vs Houston (a team not known for its defense).
UTSA scored 27 pts. Respectable #. BUT it was against a team that had 6 TOs. The score should've been closer to 47 against Houston.
UTSA has a SR QB. BUT he has never started a game b4 Houston and has played in 5 total games, all off the bench a year ago.
UTSA was ranked #56 in total offense last yr (Arizona #30). BUT they only converted 5/17 attempts on 3rd down vs Houston. Had a 2.84 ave on the ground and a total of 3.55 yds/play on offense. 264 total yds on offense.
Zona scored 58 pts vs a crappy defense. 164.47 passing rating, +1 TO ratio, 7.35 rushing/att, 8.37 offensive yds/play, and converted 52.38% on 3rd down (11/21).
Arguments can of course be made for both sides but these few just seem to be glaring to me. TOs will play a key part of every game but take a look at the stats after you take those away. Zona or nothing is the play. Anything can happen on the only game in town on a Thurs in the 2nd week of NCAAF but I'm throwing my 1st dart at the Wildcats.
On a side note, defense may be key for both sides as UTSA's returning starters on defense may hold Zona to around 30 pts. Possible close game in the 1H w/ Arizona coming out flat on offense. Looking at a possible 31-13 final. Leaning Under 54.5. May lock it in later.
Arizona -105 to win 300
Record: 0-0 $0.00