I was gonna bet this game Friday night ... but after getting into the guts of these teams, I can't help but think that Hawaii may have thrown the UNLV game. I'm not a conspiracy theorist by nature, but it just doesn't make sense that Hawaii could possibly lose that game. But they did. And they did it by losing four fumbles, which is how you throw a game without raising suspicion.
Follow me here...UNLV is #113 in offense and #118 in defense. Pretty much they are the worst team at the FBS level. Hawaii is #25 in total offense. They should have wiped the field with the Rebels. But they lost in brutal fashion in Las Vegas.
And if Hawaii didn't throw the game, then they lost to the worst team in FBS by 20 points.
Now, I understand there was some other stuff going on...Hawaii stayed on the West Coast that week from the Washington game and lived out of their bags for a week. So maybe they were just horribly flat for that game. Or...maybe some of the Hawaii players were contacted about a fix either while they were in Washington or before they ever left Hawaii. I don't know, but it is very suspicious.
The bottom line is that the UNLV game is the crucial piece to how I handicap this San Jose State matchup. If I consider the UNLV loss to be legitimate, then Hawaii shouldn't be favored by more than 2 points vs SJSU. If it was not a legitimate loss and was either a thrown game or just a flat week, then Hawaii should be favored by 7.
Bottom line, I'm staying away, especially with Hawaii coming in off the bye. We don't know what we'll see tomorrow.