will post the weekend stuff later. i am tailing my friend once again on these 3 weeknight games. he managed 75% last week...which is better than the 50% i have been at on the weeknight games and it got the weekend off to a nice start. you know what they say...ride it til the mf'n wheels fall off.
usf-2.5 and under 51.5
utep +16.5 and under 65.5
utah state +7.5 and over 50
btw...these are just the numbers off of this site at the point when i post them. i use a different book...and i use a guy here whenever possible. my numbers i actually bet are often different. i will never come in and claim a "win" though saying i bet something else because i really don't care what anyone here says or thinks. my actual goal is to make money and that is all...but i am posting here all year just to see if i can hit 75%, and if not then what my % will actually be. just for fun. ok...gl all this week.
not so far bro...those are just the weeknight games. just started tonight on the weekend...though the ones that stand out at first glance are fiu and washington. haven't looked at ga tech really...but i think i have read\heard somewhere that they do much worse overall when a team has more than a week to get ready for them. also thinking ncst may be a little better with extra time to regroup and work with the new players in practice. i don't know though man...haven't looked at any of them close yet.
btw...u kinda got hosed on boise last week i think...lol. i watched some of it just because we had talked about it and i wanted to see if kinne played. looked like boise was gonna cover easily. i cut it off before the half and was actually shocked to see the final score. sometimes it seems there is more working against us than just chance.
boston college over 49.5: looks like one of those that goes over the total in the 3rd quarter to me. don't really understand why this isn't higher...but whatever. duke, ucf, and n'western all put up well over 400 yards on this bc d...and umass put up over 300. take out one bad game against ucf and the bc o is averaging almost 400 ypg and scoring over 20 per game. wake on the other hand is averaging well over 400 ypg on o and scoring on everyone...while giving up a bunch of points on d. looks simple to me. anyone seeing anything i am not?
tennessee over 52.5: another one that looks easy. tenn is scoring 37 per game against tougher d's than buffalo...and their d is getting ripped up for over 24 per game. every tenn game so far this year has went over this total. buff has had 2 games go over 50 and one at 42. not sure what happened against uconn...but other than that game they are moving the ball and scoring fairly well it seems. 16 points and over 400 yards on the road at pitt looks pretty good...along with 2 games where they scored 28+ against weaker d's. i think the pitt d is worlds better than the tenn d...so 16 should be a fair number to expect from buff. that means i just need tenn to hit their average of 37...which btw came against much tougher d's than buff. give me 2 tds from buff and this game goes over easily.
penn state -16.5: don't know why this is moving the other way...but whatever. penn state finally covers a spread saturday. indiana sucks...and they really suck on d. i think penn st had a tougher challenge last week against e mich than they do this week. yeah indiana has scored a little...but against nobody. i think the penn state d is very stout from what i have watched...3 games so far...and i just don't see them giving up much of anything. should be an ugly 31-3 type of cover.
w michigan +2.5: you know what the linesmakers are telling you by making uconn only a 2.5 point favorite against w mich at home?...someone please take uconn just because it is uconn, because they are prob going to lose this game. w mich hung with the wolverines at mich and almost beat illinois on the road last week. they should win this game outright...and in all honesty should be favored.
ok you guys get the point...i do actually research my plays a little and don't just throw crap out there. that said...i am done with the little write-ups for this week...lol. had most of these down last night and was just going over them.
mich state +3: i honestly think they go in there and win rather easily.
texas -9: line moving in favor of iowa state...but i'm not gonna sweat it. over by halftime in my opinion.
washington +8
colorado state -3
fiu -3.5
ok that is it for me. not betting anymore...but i think this could be the upset saturday we always see about this time of year. wiscy and bama and stanford and baylor and so carolina and va tech and lsu...gonna see some upsets in a few of these i think. also thinking a+m rolls arkansas...but trying to stay off the bigtime games this week as they have been killing me. gl all.
Last edited by sandman0713; 09-29-11 at 11:14 AM.
Reason: mess up
I like the Michigan St. and Penn St. picks. I like Tennessee minus the points better than the over in that game though. I think Buffalo will be lucky to score a TD.
well that sucked...lol. posted a few 50% days so far...but that was the first losing day. actually thought for a while it was gonna be 0-4. well j...i think it is safe to say the magic is gone...lol. will be picking my own weeknight games again next week. oh well...ready to make it up this weekend. ended up with...
utah state +7.5 and over 50
boston college over 49.5
tennessee over 52.5
penn state -16.5
w michigan +2.5
mich state +3
texas -9
washington +8
colorado state -3
fiu -3.5
ok gl all this weekend. i gotta stay outta here for a few days. all the loudmouth dumbasses in here screaming about locks and easy money and being the greatest of all time are really starting to bother me. anytime there is a game going on you can almost always find someone calling it a lock one way...then you scroll down and find someone else calling it the play of the century the other way. the winner comes back and gloats and rolls around in his 15 minutes of internet stardom, while the loser changes his name and tries again the next week. i think most of them are just prolly out of money in their sportsbooks and looking for a way to get that rush...but i get tired of searching through all that shit just to find info from a few people i have come to respect in the short time i have been here. anyways...good luck you guys. it is about time for a really good weekend for me...overdue actually.
oh sorry blue...didn't even see your post there. yeah i am really liking the penn state play more and more. i almost went with the tennessee spread too...but i have watched them a couple of times and their d just scares me laying that many. hopefully buff can put up a couple of tds to make it an easy over...and about 55 from tennessee for your cover man...lol. gl this weekend.
shew...sweated out the over, but did help get back on track before the weekend. the lines are so close on these weeknight games that it is just a little luck sometimes as to if you are on the winning side or not. anyways...puts me at 23-17 going into today. already bet...
boston college over 49.5
tennessee over 52.5
penn state -16.5
w michigan +2.5
mich state +3
texas -9
washington +8
colorado state -3
fiu -3.5
those are the ones i really like...though i could have had a lot better spreads if i had waited to bet. didn't see some of them moving the way they did. i am gonna add 3 more plays just for tv reasons and make it a dozen plays today. i am betting these and will count them on my record...but didn't put a lot of thought into them.
navy -3.5
michigan over 54
kansas +6
texas a+m -2.5
sorry...a bakers dozen i meant...lol. not often i actually get to sit home and watch the games all day...so i want some tv action...lol. got more than half my plays kicking at 11ish...so if it is looking like a good morning then i may add some afternoon plays too for fun. gl all today and enjoy the games.
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