Maryland vs UCONN

caseyman011 · 09-09-13, 10:42 PM

I dunno. I think Maryland is improved this year and will whoop the shit out of UConn.

gojetsgomoxies · 09-09-13, 10:42 PM

good question............ although if you take FCS scores seriously then there are probably lines off by 40 points......... FCS upsets strike me somewhat as aberations.

maryland seems like probably a very good team to ride this season. not sure how many decent opponents they've beaten by more than a TD recently.

so end of day, i agree with you... but i wouldn't take FCS scores too seriously. and alot of FCS teams are pretty high in sagarin rankings. no idea on towson (before CN game)

KnockEmDown · 09-10-13, 12:07 AM

Originally posted by bama11braves

If Towson who is from MD is able to beat UCONN by 15, how is Maryland line only -7. Doesnt add up. Anyone have any helpful insight?

Was thinking the same thing when I saw the line and wanted to hammer it but usually when something is too good to be true, bet the opposite has been way to go for me... I can't find anything makes since about this line, except going off of last year's game (which I hate using for analysis because every year has new players, coaches, and matchups). FYI UCONN 24, MARY 20. Anyway, here's what I found:

Weather Report: 66 party cloudy 0% rain.
MARY is 2-0 ATS FIU, ODU
CONN is 0-1 ATS TOWN. (Was shutout in second-half)

Injuries
Maryland Terrapins

Player		Injury	Status/Updated	Notes
Jeremiah Johnson	DB	Ankle	Ques Sat - 9/8/13	Johnson has an ankle injury and did not play September 7th against Old Dominion. He is questionable Saturday against Connecticut.
Brian McMahon	TE	Shoulder	Ques Sat - 9/8/13	McMahon missed the last two games due to a shoulder injury and is questionable to play Saturday against Connecticut.
Nick Klemm	OL	Undisclosed	Ques Sat - 9/8/13	Klemm is dealing with an undisclosed injury and hasn't played in the last two games. He is questionable to play Saturday against Connecticut.
Christian Carpenter	LS	Knee	Ques Sat - 9/8/13	Carpenter missed the last two games due to a knee injury and is questionable to play Saturday game against Connecticut.
Ty Tucker	DL	Knee	Ques Sat - 9/8/13	Tucker is dealing with a knee injury and did not play in the last two games. He is questionable to play Saturday against Connecticut.
Taivon Jacobs	WR	Knee	Ques Sat - 9/8/13	Jacobs is dealing with a knee injury and did not play in the last two games. He is questionable to play Saturday against Connecticut.
Tyler Cierski	RB	Calf	Ques Sat - 9/8/13	Cierski missed the last two games due to a calf injury and is questionable to play Saturday against Connecticut.
Marc Rodriguez	LB	Hamstring	Ques Sat - 9/8/13	Rodriguez missed the last two games with a hamstring injury and is questionable to play Saturday against Connecticut.
Zeke Riser	DL	Leg	Ques Sat - 9/8/13	Riser is dealing with a leg injury and did not play in the last two games. He is questionable to play Saturday against Connecticut.
Perry Hills	QB	Knee	Out indefinitely - 8/30/13	Hills will be sidelined indefinitely due to a knee injury.
JaJuan Dulaney	OL	Knee	out for season - 8/23/13	Dulaney will miss the 2013-2014 season due to a knee injury.
Milan Collins	DB	Ankle	out for season - 8/16/13	Collins suffered a fractured ankle and will miss the 2013-2014 season.

None of these injuries are impact players but does affect the O-line and depth chart. UCONN has no major injuries to report.

Towson's head coach is Rob Ambrose...who was the offensive coordinator for RANDY EDSALL

I really can't see uconn staying within 13 points here. My prediction: MARY 34, UCONN 20. O/U is 48 = 28 - 20 type of game.

SilverTongueFox · 09-10-13, 07:27 AM

Maryland jumped out to me. I guess a couple of angles for the low spread:
1. Neither has played a good team so do we really know much about either team
2. Road game for the Terps
3. Edsall has only been gone from UConn for 2 yrs so he recruited the 3rd, 4th & 5th year players for this Uconn team

Still thinking about rolling dice in the Terps as I think Edsall is one hell of a coach and should get this program in right direction & playing hard.

gojetsgomoxies · 09-10-13, 11:20 AM

i didn't realize it's edsell vs. old team.... adds another dimension.

maryland should be good team to ride..... #1 recruit in country at WR. edsell a good coach who has had a hard time so far at maryland. last year's team was probably least representative in NCAAF due to LB at QB. good spot all-around.

caseyman011 · 09-10-13, 11:46 AM

UConn sucks... Half of their fans will probably be rooting for Edsall and Maryland haha

irish1 · 09-10-13, 02:59 PM

How can you not like Maryland over uconn with the spread under ten points? On the other hand remember Kansas St. against N. Dakota losing outright. There is a 90% chance I'm going heavy on Maryland and let the chips fall where they may, hopefully in my lap.

cant call it · 09-10-13, 03:37 PM

in this case, all signs point to MD to cover
take uconn ML

Eddy Munny · 09-10-13, 08:56 PM

Shhhhh........don't let the cat out just yet. This is possibly the easiest play on the board this week. It might be the last time we get such great value with Maryland after they blow UConn out. 7 points is a joke of a line.

Eric22174 · 09-10-13, 09:12 PM

Originally posted by Eddy Munny

Shhhhh........don't let the cat out just yet. This is possibly the easiest play on the board this week. It might be the last time we get such great value with Maryland after they blow UConn out. 7 points is a joke of a line.

Especially with the former coach of Uconn Randy Edsall wanting to stick it to the program. I'm sure he will hear a crowd full of booooo's in his return. The -7 in my opinion is a motivational factor for Uconn is being considered. The Seniors want to beat Edsall and Edsall wants to beat his ex-program. I could be wrong.

Eddy Munny · 09-10-13, 09:28 PM

Originally posted by Eric22174

Especially with the former coach of Uconn Randy Edsall wanting to stick it to the program. I'm sure he will hear a crowd full of booooo's in his return. The -7 in my opinion is a motivational factor for Uconn is being considered. The Seniors want to beat Edsall and Edsall wants to beat his ex-program. I could be wrong.

Did they leave on bad terms? I don't know of any hostility that exists between the coach and his ex-team, I just think it's a mismatch on the field. I watched some of the Maryland/FIU game. Granted FIU sucks, but I was impressed with Maryland's skill talent and the play of quarterback CJ Brown. Their spread offense really hums with the players they currently have. Steffon Diggs could suit up for any school in the country, he's that good. They appear to have some playmakers on defense too, but again, it was FIU. UConn is no world beater themselves however, and I don't think they'll be able to keep up.

Eric22174 · 09-10-13, 09:41 PM

I'm from Maryland. I follow Maryland and I have friends that go to Towson. Randy Edsall did leave on bad terms. http://espn.go.com/college-football/...cticut-huskies

Maryland will cover but this spread will jump fast. But it's opened so low for those reasons listed in this thread i believe.

Eddy Munny · 09-10-13, 10:08 PM

Originally posted by Eric22174

Maryland will cover but this spread will jump fast. But it's opened so low for those reasons listed in this thread i believe.

Actually I thought the same thing so I booked it Sunday night at -7 -120. It's currently -6.5 -110. That kind of line movement makes me think Vegas believes they have the public right where they want them. I'm not gonna back off my Maryland bet though.

BlitzTheBooks · 09-10-13, 10:33 PM

CJ Brown = the real deal. Put that kid on a team like Oregon or Bama and you're looking at a Heisman candidate. Terps scare me on the road but I trust Edsall here.

BlitzTheBooks · 09-11-13, 07:17 PM

Seeing -6.5 in some places now

Yet public is heavy on MARY

BiffTFinancial · 09-11-13, 07:23 PM

Originally posted by BlitzTheBooks

Seeing -6.5 in some places now

Yet public is heavy on MARY

Line smells worse than the Inner Harbor in late August. Too bad as Terps look good here.

Eric22174 · 09-11-13, 08:18 PM

Just did some research. Favorites in this position are 260-213-4 = 55% since 2008 when the line moves -0.5 down.

john2153 · 09-11-13, 09:58 PM

I live in CT and am a huge Uconn fan. The Huskies were thoroughly whipped by Towson in every facet of the game on opening night. Everyone here (including the players) knows Pasqualoni is done at the end of the year unless they somehow win 8 games which isn't happening. But he has had a trend in his first 2 years here to win a game no one expects them to win (2011-vs Rutgers, 2012- at Louisville). And if there is 1 game all year where the upperclassmen are going to play hard, its in this game against their former coach who left the team right after the Fiesta Bowl without telling it to their face. Also having a bye after the Towson disaster should help too, they will not play as bad as they did in that game.

I'm not saying to make a play on Uconn- they still have significant weaknesses on the o-line and are adjusting to a new starting lineup on D after losing 4 guys to the NFL. However, I would not call Maryland an absolute lock or a play of the week. I'd take Maryland but nothing more than a 1 or 2 unit play.

Pivotpoint · 09-12-13, 03:11 PM

Pasqualoni was booed by Husky fans at the end of Towson game when he walked off the field.

Huskies had decent D last year , but 4 of those guys went to the NFL.

Terp QB- Brown is solid and has weapons with WR's Deon Long and Stefon Diggs.

Husky QB Chandler Whitmer was sacked 5 times against Towson. Towson!

I live in Ct and keep an eye on the Huskys. Edsel was winningest coach in UCONN history. Maybe he didn't leave on the best of terms, but I tell you one thing, fans are not happy with Pasqualoni.

Huskys suck this year. Terps had a ton of injuries last year, but a lot of young guys saw a lot of playing time. The injury report above will have lttle impact and Terps the healthiest they've been in a long time.

Terps by 3 td's. This one won't be close.

goduke · 09-12-13, 03:47 PM

Originally posted by john2153

I live in CT and am a huge Uconn fan. The Huskies were thoroughly whipped by Towson in every facet of the game on opening night. Everyone here (including the players) knows Pasqualoni is done at the end of the year unless they somehow win 8 games which isn't happening. But he has had a trend in his first 2 years here to win a game no one expects them to win (2011-vs Rutgers, 2012- at Louisville). And if there is 1 game all year where the upperclassmen are going to play hard, its in this game against their former coach who left the team right after the Fiesta Bowl without telling it to their face. Also having a bye after the Towson disaster should help too, they will not play as bad as they did in that game.

I'm not saying to make a play on Uconn- they still have significant weaknesses on the o-line and are adjusting to a new starting lineup on D after losing 4 guys to the NFL. However, I would not call Maryland an absolute lock or a play of the week. I'd take Maryland but nothing more than a 1 or 2 unit play.

This except that I disagree because I think UConn will take it and I think their moneyline is the right play

Da Manster! · 09-12-13, 03:52 PM

you guys are a trip!...how soon do you forget....this was the same Towson team that gave SEC powerhouse LSU fits last year in Baton Rouge!...and by all rights should have won the game if not for the muffed punt which gave LSU a gimmie TD...Final score was 38 - 22 but everybody who saw that game knows that it was really a lot closer than the score indicated!....

Da Manster! · 09-12-13, 04:13 PM

forgot to mention also that Towson is ranked #4 in the FCS (formally Division-1AA) poll....and don't forget that #1 North Dakota ST beat big 12 powerhouse Kansas ST as well a couple of weeks ago...bottom line, some of the top teams in FCS can not only compete with the BCS conferences, but beat them as well!...All I'm trying to say is be very careful using that as a handicapping tool, which a lot of you are doing in this thread...there is a reason why Vegas has this line only at Maryland (-7)...I''m laying off this game but the play would be to take UCONN and the points!...

Pivotpoint · 09-12-13, 04:17 PM

Forget what? 3 turnovers , two that resulted in scores. 10 penalties. Lsu was sloppy and didn't take Towson seriously. Towson isn't bad, but let's not forget they're a FCS team. <iframe width="560" height="315" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/2ymbQvUUBQA" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

No1DraftPick · 09-12-13, 05:50 PM

I'm from CT, and may be at the game. Rule #1 NEVER BET ON UCONN FOOTBALL UNLESS ITS THE UNDER. They can't move the ball for nothing for years now. Coach is awful.

Under for me if i do touch it.

No coincidences · 09-12-13, 05:52 PM

UConn wins.

Genius1512 · 09-12-13, 05:59 PM

A lot of motivation for uconn. A dear family friend is the chair of the board @ uconn. There calling for the coaches head immediately. They hate Edsall around here as well. I can see Maryland and coach E really shoving it up the huskies ass, weird angle but he left after a fallout with previous AD he has a statement to make to fans and alum with regards to what they lost!

bama11braves · 09-12-13, 10:44 PM

didnt old dominion win the FCS title last year? Terps beat them by 50. maryland is gonna smack them. stupid if you take uconn here, just giving away money. Terps or no play here. Uconn will have ZERO home field advantage. the points in this game will be meaningless. 35-10 maryland.

grease lightnin · 09-13-13, 06:33 PM

Now the line is at -6. Damn.

FilletMaster · 09-13-13, 07:10 PM

Terps by 20+

Pivotpoint · 09-13-13, 07:32 PM

^
This.

Terps still juiced at - 6 1/2 where I play. Grease, your local might be desperate for Husky $'S. gl