Lsu -4.5

SamDiamond · 08-26-13, 06:53 AM

Why?

You can get it at 4 at this very moment, and you could have gotten at 3.5 when it opened.

Does your bookie send you gifts when football season is over? That may be telling you something.

Hope you cash it though-- but at 15K--- a little line shopping may have helped.

M.W. · 08-26-13, 08:07 AM

I just don't get it. TCU has the better QB and the better D. Why are people lining up to take LSU?

TheFlash · 08-26-13, 08:34 AM

Originally posted by M.W.

I just don't get it. TCU has the better QB and the better D. Why are people lining up to take LSU?

Because of those 3 letters LSU...

SamDiamond · 08-26-13, 08:47 AM

Originally posted by TheFlash

Because of those 3 letters LSU...

And if you faded those three letters last year, you went 8-5.

Not very profitable last year to be an LSU bettor.

tiger_bait · 08-26-13, 08:49 AM

Originally posted by M.W.

I just don't get it. TCU has the better QB and the better D. Why are people lining up to take LSU?

obviously we already had this debate in the lsu -4 thread but this statement is far from fact imo

TheFlash · 08-26-13, 08:54 AM

Originally posted by SamDiamond

And if you faded those three letters last year, you went 8-5.

Not very profitable last year to be an LSU bettor.

Only had 1 bet on LSU last year.... 1st half bet and guess what.... That 1 handed reception in the end zone got it over the line . That was a good day

bama11braves · 08-26-13, 10:47 AM

I just don't get it. TCU has the better QB and the better D. Why are people lining up to take LSU?

The thing that people forget mostly when LSU, BAMA, GEORGIA, FLORIDA, etc the teams in the SEC with the monster OL and DL play against these non conference openers or bowl games is that the other teams arent used to the size and quickness of the lineman. LSU OL is going to be similar to what bama's OL was last year. LSU is going to run all over TCU and i truly believe Mettenberger is going to be much improved. He is going to have a lot of time to throw behind that OL and will be more comfortable. On defense people just dont understand that LSU is like Alabama no matter what kind of offense or team they are gonna have they are always going to play good defense and tackle. LSU has recruited really well and should have no problem on defense against TCU. This game is gonna be like 31-13.

agendaman · 08-26-13, 10:48 AM

with 15k. available why didnt you pay the juice and bet lsu ml

SamDiamond · 08-26-13, 11:21 AM

Originally posted by agendaman

with 15k. available why didnt you pay the juice and bet lsu ml

Because he really didn't bet 15K.

wildcorndog · 08-26-13, 01:59 PM

Who ever controls the line of scrimmage wins the game in American football. Look at the LSU d line and o line. If you cant understand this then you have absolutely no buisness betting on sports.

Hotlanta Steam · 08-26-13, 02:07 PM

Originally posted by wildcorndog

Who ever controls the line of scrimmage wins the game in American football. Look at the LSU d line and o line. If you cant understand this then you have absolutely no buisness betting on sports.

TCU has been outsized for years... Patterson comes up with schemes to defeat size disadvantages. I am not saying LSU is a bad play but this game is not going to be the cakewalk you think it is.

SamDiamond · 08-26-13, 02:10 PM

Originally posted by wildcorndog

Who ever controls the line of scrimmage wins the game in American football. Look at the LSU d line and o line. If you cant understand this then you have absolutely no buisness betting on sports.

Then explain LSU's perfomance against Towson last year.

For Cripes sake it was 17-9 at halftime. The Tigers were laying 46.5, and missed covering by 30.

If you think gambling is as easy as picking the team with the best OL and DL lines, then I have some swamp land to sell you. Cheap.

wildcorndog · 08-26-13, 02:18 PM

Townson was a trap game for LSU. These are 4 and 5 star High school athletes (the best in the country). The class of players for the two teams are not even close. TCU may have an edge at the head coach position, but not nearly enough to make up the talent difference in a national televised game. Les miles teams have always played awesome in big time season openers.

wildcorndog · 08-26-13, 02:20 PM

The only thing I ask is that if LSU wins by 25... Everyone in this post admit that I am God.

wildcorndog · 08-26-13, 02:23 PM

Patterson comes up with schemes to defeat size disadvantages

When has he ever done this against Alabama or LSU?

If you are referring to anyone outside to alabama LSU it doesn't apply here.

wildcorndog · 08-26-13, 02:24 PM

Every time I get on this board I get this feeling that I am talking to my wife about sports.

Bbfromgpt · 08-26-13, 02:55 PM

Hahaha someone said better D to TCU. Man this is going to be so much like the 2010 season for LSU. They will end up in the top 5 before its all said and done.

cant call it · 08-26-13, 03:00 PM

Originally posted by SamDiamond

Then explain LSU's perfomance against Towson last year.

For Cripes sake it was 17-9 at halftime. The Tigers were laying 46.5, and missed covering by 30.

If you think gambling is as easy as picking the team with the best OL and DL lines, then I have some swamp land to sell you. Cheap.

Explain LSU's performance? They had 2nd & 3rd string in by the end of 2nd quarter.
I made a thread about this earlier
LSU wins by DD. Mark it down.

SamDiamond · 08-26-13, 03:01 PM

Originally posted by wildcorndog

Townson was a trap game for LSU. These are 4 and 5 star High school athletes (the best in the country). The class of players for the two teams are not even close. TCU may have an edge at the head coach position, but not nearly enough to make up the talent difference in a national televised game. Les miles teams have always played awesome in big time season openers.

Let's put that theory to the test, and look at the last 5 years.

2012--Doesn't apply, they opened with North Texas but it was an ATS LOSS
2011--3 point dog against Oregon, won straight up. ATS WIN
2010--9 point favorite against 18th ranked N. Carolina. ATS LOSS
2009--17 point favorite against Washinton. ATS LOSS
2008--Appalachian State--- doesn't apply, small timey.

Still convinced Les Miles teams "played awesome in big time season openers"? I have one cover against Oregon, and 2 turds against North Carolina and Washington in the last 5 years.

SamDiamond · 08-26-13, 03:02 PM

Originally posted by cant call it

Explain LSU's performance? They had 2nd & 3rd string in by the end of 2nd quarter.
I made a thread about this earlier
LSU wins by DD. Mark it down.

OKAY. I'll mark it down.

BigdaddyQH · 08-26-13, 03:12 PM

Originally posted by wildcorndog

I just put 15k on LSU -4.5

Refinance your trailers if you have to guys. This is the closest thing to a lock as I have seen in 10 years.

15K. Which book did you do this at? Pleae do not give us an offshore book or a local. They will not take that kind of action.

wildcorndog · 08-26-13, 03:12 PM

Washington wasn't a big game. Only reason TCU is a big game is because it is in cowboys stadium on national tv. LSU had the spread covered in the first half against NC. A secondary with Patrick Peterson, Morris Claiborne and tyrann Matthieu gave up a few big pass plays and LSU barely won. I guess thats why I said this TCU game is the closest thing you could get to a lock. There is no such thing; however, this is the closest I've ever seen.

wildcorndog · 08-26-13, 03:15 PM

I placed my bet when it was at 3.5, but I had to give 4.5 to get this action. I have a proposal to go LSU -7 for another 5k. I am seriously contemplating this. I don't speak of my books.

SamDiamond · 08-26-13, 03:19 PM

Originally posted by wildcorndog

Washington wasn't a big game. Only reason TCU is a big game is because it is in cowboys stadium on national tv. LSU had the spread covered in the first half against NC. A secondary with Patrick Peterson, Morris Claiborne and tyrann Matthieu gave up a few big pass plays and LSU barely won. I guess thats why I said this TCU game is the closest thing you could get to a lock. There is no such thing; however, this is the closest I've ever seen.

You know what that paragraph tells me---- It sure sounds like the voice of an LSU homer.

And--- stop the shit with the woulda/coulda/shoulda--- The fact is this. In the last 4 years--- LSU has covered exactly 1 opener.

You bullshit "a secondary with blah blah blah gave up a few big pass plays..."----- The didn't cover. End of story.

wildcorndog · 08-26-13, 03:19 PM

I'm not in the same league as you guys. I just slum here to occasionally throw you guys diamonds. It's kinda my way of giving back, but some people you just can't help.

wildcorndog · 08-26-13, 03:23 PM

What's next? Bama is gonna lose their opener? LSU homer? I'm a money homer. I hate LSU but you gotta give credit where it's due... That's an impressive list of corners to have on the field at the same time. Maybe the best in the history of college football. It's called gambling son.

SamDiamond · 08-26-13, 03:24 PM

Originally posted by wildcorndog

I'm not in the same league as you guys. I just slum here to occasionally throw you guys diamonds. It's kinda my way of giving back, but some people you just can't help.

You mean, like this? Yeah, that lost. You sure jumped leagues--- from 200 dollar bets to 15K.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-football-betting/1422561-my-200-dollar-mnc-bet.html#post12579861

Oh, and this lost too.... by 30 points...

Originally posted by wildcorndog

Georgia will win this one.... Ur a joke. It's not that funny though

SamDiamond · 08-26-13, 03:26 PM

Originally posted by wildcorndog

What's next? Bama is gonna lose their opener? LSU homer? I'm a money homer. I hate LSU but you gotta give credit where it's due... That's an impressive list of corners to have on the field at the same time. Maybe the best in the history of college football. It's called gambling son.

Really? Your posting history suggests otherwise.

Are you really going to try and sing that tune?

Yeah.. you're not an LSU homer...

http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-football-betting/1409195-well-what-about-les-now.html