Rutgers -6.5

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  • ACCBball
    SBR Sharp
    • 02-26-08
    • 264

    #36
    NC state 92nd against the pass

    NC state is 92nd in the country against the pass...the ACC's best pass offense is ranked 51st in the country. Rutgers pass offense has been on fire the past 4 games, I dont see how NC state will keep up today. Close game until th 4th..rutgers wins by 14.
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    • Cougar Bait
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-04-07
      • 18282

      #37
      Originally posted by ACCBball
      NC state is 92nd in the country against the pass...the ACC's best pass offense is ranked 51st in the country. Rutgers pass offense has been on fire the past 4 games, I dont see how NC state will keep up today. Close game until th 4th..rutgers wins by 14.
      This part of the game worries me a bit, I must admit. If NC St. doesn't cover this is how it will happen. But I think NC State has played well enough of late (look at all the games they won just to get to this point) and has enough offense to be competitive.
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      • stuartfl
        SBR High Roller
        • 03-12-07
        • 108

        #38
        Interesting information/stats I came across ( I did not write this) Good luck today.

        A lot of analysts have taken notice of Rutgers’ late season domination and 6 game win streak entering this game, but few have mentioned how well NC State is playing right now and the Wolfpack are clearly underrated. NC State lost a couple of road games against good teams early in the season (at South Carolina and then at Clemson) and things went from bad to worse when defensive stars DL Alan-Michael Cash and LB Nate Irving were injured. Cash missed weeks 4 through 6 and Irving was injured early in week 4 against East Carolina and didn’t return to health until week 11 (he tried to play in week 8 but was ineffective and barely played). NC State’s defense went from pretty good to horrible in 3 games without both Cash and Irving, allowing 6.6 yards per play to East Carolina, South Florida, and Boston College, who are actually below average offensively as a group. The defense started to get better in week 8 when Cash came back and it has been good in the last 4 games with Irving back in the lineup. The Wolfpack have allowed just 5.1 yppl and an average of just 18 points in those 4 games to teams that would average 5.4 yppl against an average defensive team. In 7 games with both Cash and Irving the Wolfpack are 0.2 yppl better than average defensively, which is much better than their defense appears to be by looking at season stats (0.3 yppl worse than average). NC State is also better offensively now than they are for the season, as freshman quarterback Russell Wilson has lifted the attack with his arm and his feet since taking over as the fulltime starter in week 6 against Boston College. Since then the Wolfpack have averaged 5.8 yppl against teams that would allow 5.2 yppl to an average team – numbers that are better than their season rating of +0.2 yppl on offense. So, it’s no coincidence that NC State closed out the season with 4 consecutive wins, including victories over bowl teams Wake Forest, North Carolina, and Miami-Florida. The Wolfpack are simply much better now than their season stats suggest and nobody seems to have noticed based on the line on this game.
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        • stuartfl
          SBR High Roller
          • 03-12-07
          • 108

          #39
          Additional Information......

          Rutgers’ quarterback Mike Teel has always been a high risk- high reward quarterback, but his big pass plays are countered somewhat by his 48 career interceptions (4.3%). Teel has done a better job avoiding picks this season, but his 3.3% interception rate is still higher than average and NC State picked off 15 passes in 7 games in which Irving was healthy (he had 4 picks himself). NC State quarterback Wilson, meanwhile, has gone 8 full games without throwing an interception and he has thrown just 1 pick on 252 pass attempts. When Wilson doesn’t see an open receiver he simply takes off running rather than risk a bad throw.
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          • Lines
            SBR Rookie
            • 12-28-08
            • 20

            #40
            Anyone who is taking NC State, give me a call I will take your wager.

            TKS
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            • Dfjay9
              SBR MVP
              • 12-04-08
              • 1576

              #41
              Originally posted by ACCBball
              NC state is 92nd in the country against the pass...the ACC's best pass offense is ranked 51st in the country. Rutgers pass offense has been on fire the past 4 games, I dont see how NC state will keep up today. Close game until th 4th..rutgers wins by 14.
              Congrats on getting your research from ESPN.

              ESPN's research blows generally
              Comment
              • strictlywinners
                Restricted User
                • 07-17-07
                • 3377

                #42
                Terrible play by me, they left 4 points on the board, chiano runs about 10 dumb as trick plays and they still didn't cover even with NcState's Qb out for entire 2nd half. worst play ever.
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                • infamousdx
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-01-08
                  • 362

                  #43
                  bought it to -6 so i pushed but they should have won by a lot more.
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