San jose st. - bowling green

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  • lonegambler
    SBR MVP
    • 01-15-09
    • 2151

    #1
    San jose st. - bowling green
    If the weather turns out ok, san jose st. hammers bowling green....
  • Cuse0323
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-09-09
    • 30169

    #2
    I think SJSU blows em out as well.
    Comment
    • KANSAS24
      SBR MVP
      • 01-28-09
      • 2492

      #3
      Comment
      • the_orangekat
        SBR MVP
        • 12-08-07
        • 1267

        #4
        One place has 88% on SJ ST. We all know what happens when the public hammers a heavy fav. Just ask BYU and W. Kentucky. With these unpredictable Bowl games, give me BG and 7 all day. Since it's -105 at my place, maybe buy to +7.5 for either -11 or -120.

        Top 15 offense vs. a Top 15 defense, strength vs. strength, who knows.
        Comment
        • Bigh2001
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-18-11
          • 346

          #5
          Western Kentucky and Fresno State ring a bell?
          Comment
          • pdx107
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 06-20-09
            • 923

            #6
            I took SJSU, and the over, having seen BG this year, they just arent that good
            Comment
            • jinxpro13
              SBR MVP
              • 01-31-12
              • 1434

              #7
              man the way these last couple bowls have been playing out, another MAC team, early isolated game, public hammering the better offensive team who travelled further to DC from the west coast.. its BG all day for me.
              gl to all
              Comment
              • meader99
                SBR MVP
                • 10-30-10
                • 4223

                #8
                Taking BG +7.5/over 44. Fade away boys, fade away.
                Comment
                • BigD
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-23-05
                  • 1096

                  #9
                  I going under 44 BG has a good D, up to 50mph winds I can see a game like SJS played against Navy that was 12-0
                  Comment
                  • HoulihansTX
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 02-12-09
                    • 30566

                    #10
                    Game time forecast
                    Partly cloudy at 40°F (4°C) and 57% humidity. Wind from the West Northwest and strong at 22 mph (35 km/h) gusting to 46 mph (46 km/h). (5% chance of precipitation.)
                    Comment
                    • coitus_maximus
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-05-12
                      • 870

                      #11
                      Could be the case, but IMO, CMU and Western Ky was a toss up play anyways. You stop one player on Wky, you stop Wky. With Fresno, they had no motivation to be there at all. They wished they were in a better bowl and against Jun Jones who coached Hawaii. I think SJSU wants to be there, the only thing I would worry about in this one is if the coaching is worth anything since the DC is taking over.
                      Comment
                      • Phillth
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-09-09
                        • 1785

                        #12
                        I'm in the dc area. It's super windy today. 30mph gusts. Not a good day to throw an accurate pass.
                        Comment
                        • Pickem2win
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-16-11
                          • 978

                          #13
                          I teased San Jose down to -.05 and teased Cincinatti down to -2.5. I dont see this game being a blowout. Pretty good chance the under hits too. Its dropped over 3 points in the last couple days.
                          Comment
                          • Believeland
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-08-10
                            • 923

                            #14
                            Wind will hopefully calm down and be at the backs of the teams in different quarters... I took SJSU-7.5 and regretting it now with the wind. I'm relying on Fales passing ability and Schilz inability to throw a 5 yard out. Looks like wind evens out the matchup tho
                            Comment
                            • thfootball
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-16-11
                              • 1771

                              #15
                              coaching changes sure are making an affect it seems like. SJ???
                              Comment
                              • isotopes
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 12-04-08
                                • 654

                                #16
                                The RLM in pretty much every bowl game has hit. The bowl game spreads and O/U are posted about a month in advance, follow the pros on these crummy bowls they really dig into this stuff.

                                Yesterday close to 80% on the over line moved three points lower the RLM screamed bet the under and it hit.

                                Today the RLM is on the under and BG. Nice tease opportunity, but I am following the RLM its been golden so far this bowl season, might change with the bigger games, but the crummy games it is hard to ignore.
                                Comment
                                • iceman8847
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 12-16-08
                                  • 526

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Pickem2win
                                  I teased San Jose down to -.05 and teased Cincinatti down to -2.5. I dont see this game being a blowout. Pretty good chance the under hits too. Its dropped over 3 points in the last couple days.
                                  Why would you tease these teams just put them in Moneyline Parlay Pays .75 130 / 100 This takes the points out of it. Just a thought
                                  Comment
                                  • PaperTrail07
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-29-08
                                    • 20423

                                    #18
                                    SDSU -7 for me
                                    Comment
                                    • hoopdreams
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 12-19-12
                                      • 231

                                      #19
                                      I got bowling Green at +8.
                                      Comment
                                      • Hardspun
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-26-12
                                        • 182

                                        #20
                                        Local has 8- I still like San Jose St.
                                        Comment
                                        • Rose'
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-16-10
                                          • 1246

                                          #21
                                          So all dogs gonna cover this bowl season?
                                          Comment
                                          • RG3ING
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-14-12
                                            • 1622

                                            #22
                                            Fading BG here!! also small play on the under! Got SJ this morning at -6.5 my book has it up a full point to -7.5. Glad i locked in early looks like this is the side to be on windy or not! small play on the under to! There might be RLM in the over/under but there is no RLM in the spread!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • sportsguy04
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-21-08
                                              • 11885

                                              #23
                                              Bowling greens defensive numbers are skewed! They played the worst Mac schedule.
                                              Comment
                                              • RG3ING
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-14-12
                                                • 1622

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by isotopes
                                                The RLM in pretty much every bowl game has hit. The bowl game spreads and O/U are posted about a month in advance, follow the pros on these crummy bowls they really dig into this stuff.

                                                Yesterday close to 80% on the over line moved three points lower the RLM screamed bet the under and it hit.

                                                Today the RLM is on the under and BG. Nice tease opportunity, but I am following the RLM its been golden so far this bowl season, might change with the bigger games, but the crummy games it is hard to ignore.
                                                Like your RLM angle I have big success using that as 1 of my factors finding an edge but i am not seeing any RLM spread wise for this game actually i got SJ at -6.5 at -110 this morning before work started(5:30 am) 8 hours later my book has them at -7.5 at -115 indicating it should be going to -8 soon!
                                                Comment
                                                • RG3ING
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-14-12
                                                  • 1622

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by sportsguy04
                                                  Bowling greens defensive numbers are skewed! They played the worst Mac schedule.
                                                  Whats ur lean on bearcats game
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sportsguy04
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-21-08
                                                    • 11885

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by RG3ING
                                                    Whats ur lean on bearcats game
                                                    Tough call. Haven't seen duke play this year but based on what I've seen and read, their defense is atrocious. Bearcats could put up a 40-50 spot on them. Ill probably play bearcats anything under - 9.5 just as a action small play.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • RG3ING
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-14-12
                                                      • 1622

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by sportsguy04
                                                      Tough call. Haven't seen duke play this year but based on what I've seen and read, their defense is atrocious. Bearcats could put up a 40-50 spot on them. Ill probably play bearcats anything under - 9.5 just as a action small play.
                                                      I hear you Duke Defense is suspect at best prolly side with you for small wager! I realy like Baylor tonight it could be the trap of all traps!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • sportsguy04
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-21-08
                                                        • 11885

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by RG3ING
                                                        I hear you Duke Defense is suspect at best prolly side with you for small wager! I realy like Baylor tonight it could be the trap of all traps!!
                                                        Plus duke has been shittt passed 5 games.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • PaperTrail07
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 08-29-08
                                                          • 20423

                                                          #29
                                                          Duke's offense will suprise people but the play is still Cincy.....would love to see the #'s bet on this
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jinxpro13
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-31-12
                                                            • 1434

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by RG3ING
                                                            Like your RLM angle I have big success using that as 1 of my factors finding an edge but i am not seeing any RLM spread wise for this game actually i got SJ at -6.5 at -110 this morning before work started(5:30 am) 8 hours later my book has them at -7.5 at -115 indicating it should be going to -8 soon!
                                                            if it dipped under 7 at any point for you, that was massive RLM and your book was begging for san jose money.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Cuse0323
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 12-09-09
                                                              • 30169

                                                              #31
                                                              A coach leaving screws up the game again, never again will I back a team with an interim coach.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RG3ING
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-14-12
                                                                • 1622

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by jinxpro13
                                                                if it dipped under 7 at any point for you, that was massive RLM and your book was begging for san jose money.
                                                                The Line never dipped it opened at 6.5 closed at 7.5 i run an RLM thread an documented picks i know what the hell RLM is bro!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • PaperTrail07
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 08-29-08
                                                                  • 20423

                                                                  #33
                                                                  go sharks!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jinxpro13
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-31-12
                                                                    • 1434

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by RG3ING
                                                                    The Line never dipped it opened at 6.5 closed at 7.5 i run an RLM thread an documented picks i know what the hell RLM is bro!
                                                                    thought the line opened at -7.5.. http://www.thespread.com/ncaa-colleg...t#.UNzE-4njnXE

                                                                    & it was at 7 everywhere yesterday before i went to bed.


                                                                    if you looked at the betting trends, there was slight rlm with this game on the side and huge rlm on the total.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • isotopes
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 12-04-08
                                                                      • 654

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Vegasinsider had this as SJSU opening at -8.5 with about 70% of bets on SJSU and it went to -7. If it opened at -7.5 and went to -7 I wouldn't really consider that enough movement to see an RLM trend. However, RLM has been killing it in the bowls and lately in the NFL.
                                                                      Comment
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