Intangibles: The Aztecs seemingly enter the game with all the momentum in the world. They've won seven in a row, are looking for their first 10-win season in 35 years, won a conference championship for the first time since 1998 and are playing at home. BYU has known pretty much all season that it was heading for the Poinsettia Bowl. It struck a deal in the offseason of appearing in that game this year as long as it wasn't contending for a BCS berth. And that dream all but died in September with a loss to in-state rival Utah. The Aztecs also consider BYU their rival, and the feelings most likely are not mutual
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GWOZOZO
SBR Wise Guy
12-17-11
562
#3
San Diego is a strong running game, but BYU matches strenght with strenght with their stout, proven, top running Defense and overall defense, so I can't bet San Diego St. On the other hand, BYU's qb situation is up in the air. Nelson turns the ball over like a hot potato and the other qb isn't really better. Their young back Williams turned out to be a pleasant surprise and she should get plenty of touches. That being said, San Diego State's defense is no cake walk. It will be a defensive battle with some turnovers sprikled on top. Maybe not as an epic defensive battle as Utah St. @ BYU. It's a very low total for a reason. I purchased .5 and went under 49.
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Night-Tripper
SBR MVP
12-14-09
3205
#4
Originally posted by JakeLc
Intangibles: The Aztecs seemingly enter the game with all the momentum in the world. They've won seven in a row, are looking for their first 10-win season in 35 years, won a conference championship for the first time since 1998 and are playing at home. BYU has known pretty much all season that it was heading for the Poinsettia Bowl. It struck a deal in the offseason of appearing in that game this year as long as it wasn't contending for a BCS berth. And that dream all but died in September with a loss to in-state rival Utah. The Aztecs also consider BYU their rival, and the feelings most likely are not mutual
I thought the intangibles for this particular game were interesting
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Serbone
SBR MVP
09-21-09
1300
#8
BYU is built to stop the run, you need to pass to beat them. SDST is not it... # 108 in passing, the SDST QB is #2, #1 got injured mid season. SDST runs the ball, their key # 2 RB Kazee is out, so the whole burden is on one guy. He might wear down.
BYU has stoudt D and balanced O (BYU can throw MUCH better than SDST), was unlucky with some close SU losses (ND), played at stronger schedule (#55 to #91 Sagarin) than SDST. SDST D is good, too, beat Boise without an offensive TD.
The thing is, for SDST it is almost a home game, getting 3.5 pts, the game is in SD, and a warm weather team in warm weather vs. a colder weather team usually have an advantage. And I like the MWC. BYU is independent, for now, so who knows how to look at that...
At this point, I lean to BYU. But TBD.
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ShogunRua
SBR MVP
12-23-09
4668
#9
under
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eeezzzz
SBR Wise Guy
08-24-12
703
#10
[QUOTE=Serbone;17178640]
BYU is built to stop the run, you need to pass to beat them. SDST is not it... # 108 in passing, the SDST QB is #2, #1 got injured mid season. SDST runs the ball, their key # 2 RB Kazee is out, so the whole burden is on one guy. He might wear down.
THIS
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suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#11
Originally posted by eeezzzz
BYU is built to stop the run, you need to pass to beat them. SDST is not it... # 108 in passing, the SDST QB is #2, #1 got injured mid season. SDST runs the ball, their key # 2 RB Kazee is out, so the whole burden is on one guy. He might wear down.
THIS
Except the SDSU running attack isn't just one guy. Muema is the name people know, but their strong running attack is also dependent on their very experienced offensive line and strong play from their fullback, Chad Young. They're successful because of great lead blocking, consistently opening up seams for the RBs. Losing Kazee hurts them, but Chase Price brings a lot of talent to the field as the #2 for this game, and Kazee will be on the sidelines coaching Price all game.
The fact that they lost Ronnie Hillman last year (1784 rushing yards) and then went on to set a school record in rushing this season should imply that they have a fairly robust group contributing to their ground attack. It was never just about one guy.
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Jago2008
SBR MVP
05-18-11
3047
#12
Anyone that thinks SDSU is going to roll over to BYU, based solely on BYU's reputation has a.) never watched SDST play this year and b.)will suprised tomorrow when they see a score below 47.5 but even more strongly under 24 in the first half.
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Bbfromgpt
SBR Hall of Famer
09-24-12
6115
#13
SDSU wins a low scoring game.
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Rob7168
SBR MVP
10-01-10
2313
#14
Is it me,,or is EVERY TOUT on SD St. mmmm,,getting me worried. I like SD st. but when i see this much action on one side makes me worry,,,any thoughts????? thx and good luck Rob
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Believeland
SBR Wise Guy
11-08-10
923
#15
I saw sdsu play one time this year against Boise and they couldn't move the ball for anything.. BYUS defense should really slow them down and give up minimal points. If I also remember correctly about that game was Harper of Boise ate up that sdsu defense rushing getting huge chunks at a time.
if I knew BYUS offense would score more than 10 points I would take them large but we will see, the unders low might could be a great play.
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innovation
SBR Hall of Famer
01-27-12
6218
#16
keys for me
and I awlays look defense first
BYU defense 2ncd in rush yards allowed per game at 81.5
BYU is #1 in not allowing opponents 3rd down success they avergae a insane 27% coversion rate and only 3.6 3rd down coversions per game.
Im gunna actually side with Vegas and eat the questionable road chalk on two teams I see as a pick em type game.
Bronco Mendenhall is defensively minded and while BYU has faired poor ATS in the telivised games this year. I just think it to easy to take the home team who happens to be catching point.
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hoopdreams
SBR High Roller
12-19-12
231
#17
I'm leaning towards a 1H under... BYU has a question mark about it's offense.
San Diego St. is on a hot streak, but I like BYU's defense here. So i'm a bit torn.
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PaperTrail07
SBR Posting Legend
08-29-08
20423
#18
going with a tough BYU team here....older stronger....closer to "god"
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PaperTrail07
SBR Posting Legend
08-29-08
20423
#19
hoop ...I like that action right there...
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hoopdreams
SBR High Roller
12-19-12
231
#20
1H BYU -2.. Up by a field goal for a good Defensive team. I'll take that at half!
BOL!
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vyomguy
SBR Hall of Famer
12-08-09
5794
#21
BYU owns SDSU...9-1 in last 10 matchups.
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Bdolan33
SBR MVP
05-02-12
1255
#22
Originally posted by vyomguy
BYU owns SDSU...9-1 in last 10 matchups.
Different roster each year, that trend means nothing
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Bbfromgpt
SBR Hall of Famer
09-24-12
6115
#23
This game has the feel of a sdsu win or BYU by 1-3
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suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#24
Originally posted by vyomguy
BYU owns SDSU...9-1 in last 10 matchups.
Prior to 2010, the Aztecs hadn't had a winning record since 1998. No doubt BYU has had the stronger program for the last 15 years, but that's immaterial to the current matchup.
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Ketch
SBR High Roller
01-16-11
145
#25
guess you are saying they cover LOL
Originally posted by Bbfromgpt
This game has the feel of a sdsu win or BYU by 1-3
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xetsr
SBR Sharp
10-29-12
483
#26
Over / Under started out at 50 and is now 45. Why?
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ItsMeMrMattE
SBR Hall of Famer
08-30-10
5294
#27
ya im wondering the same thing. was leaning the under but thats alot of movement.
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swordsandtequila
SBR Hall of Famer
02-23-12
9759
#28
Originally posted by xetsr
Over / Under started out at 50 and is now 45. Why?
Because the under's getting pounded?
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pulledclear
SBR Hall of Famer
02-19-12
6684
#29
BYU wins by 20.Bank it!
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Frank-King
SBR Wise Guy
05-25-12
536
#30
Originally posted by Believeland
I saw sdsu play one time this year against Boise and they couldn't move the ball for anything.. BYUS defense should really slow them down and give up minimal points. If I also remember correctly about that game was Harper of Boise ate up that sdsu defense rushing getting huge chunks at a time.
if I knew BYUS offense would score more than 10 points I would take them large but we will see, the unders low might could be a great play.
Harper 20 carries, averaged 4.1 Yds for a total of 81 yds and 2 tds, with a long rush of 24 yds.
SDSU's running back Adam Muema 25 carries, averaged 5.1 yds for a total of 127, 1 td, a long rush of 43.
Box score for the San Diego State Aztecs vs. Boise State Broncos NCAAF game from November 3, 2012 on ESPN. Includes all passing, rushing and receiving stats.
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Frank-King
SBR Wise Guy
05-25-12
536
#31
Originally posted by pulledclear
BYU wins by 20.Bank it!
Any reason why?
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pulledclear
SBR Hall of Famer
02-19-12
6684
#32
I will be STUNNED if SDST scores more then one OFFENSIVE TD.
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Frank-King
SBR Wise Guy
05-25-12
536
#33
Originally posted by pulledclear
I will be STUNNED if SDST scores more then one OFFENSIVE TD.
Oh okay.
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DennisT
SBR MVP
03-11-09
2025
#34
20! Shocked Stunned Flabbergasted! They cover the 3 1/2 but 20.