I'm coming back for more this week. My picks last week were 7-1 on this site and 11-4 since I started posting my picks. Looking forward to another big week.
11:00 N.C. State +10.5 @ North Carolina
If you want a good write up on this game check out Pags take in his thread. I will add that I did have this game circled before I knew Pags was on it.
11:30 Vanderbilt -3 vs Tennessee
This game s pretty simple to me. Find out the team that has quit on the season and coach and bet against them every week. Tenn lost to Wyoming at home last week. This team is toast and can't wait to get the Mike Leech era started. Tenn has scored 22 points in their last three games combined. They are toast. Vandy by at least 10.
2:30 Northwestern +3 vs Illinois
Illinois is not playing good football. They are so over-valued because everyone thinks about their win over Ohio St last year. The problem is that the zone read without R.Mendenhall just is not as effective. Everyone knows Juice has a live arm but has ZERO touch. He has already thrown 15 picks this year. He'll chunk up 2 or 3 more against an under-rated Northwestern D. Keep this in mind as well. Illinois is 8-3 getting 3 points at home to a 5-6 Illinois squad.
2:30 Ole Miss +3.5 @ LSU
I must warn you, I've been terrible at picking SEC games this year. I seriously spent no time looking into this one. I am straight up tailing Pags.
2:30 Michigan St. +15.5 @ Penn St.
As bad as I have been in the SEC, I've made a killing on the BIG Ten and Big XII. This game jumped off the board for me. I know Penn St has the ability to light it up but in the past month they have only averaged 24 pts a game. Michigan St has one of the best RBs in the country in J.Ringer. He is a workhorse and Dantonio isn't afraid to ride him. Look for about 30 carries and a ball control game. I think Penn St wins but I'll take the 15.5 pts.
6:00 Arizona -2.5 vs Oregon St.
I know this is sad, but it's the best Arizona team in the Mike Stoops era. They are electric at home while blowing out Idaho, Toledo, Washington, and Cal. Their lone loss at home was a 10-17 heartbreak against USC. Oregon St. on the other hand is very average. They are 2-3 on the road with their wins coming against Washington and UCLA. I'm laying the points here and taking the Wildcats.
7:00 Oklahoma vs Texas Tech
I'm sure everyone probably thinks I a homer pick but I promise it isn't. I rarely bet on the Sooners because winning and not covering is the worst feeling a fan can have. With that said, everything stacks up for a dominating win in Norman saturday night.
1) Stoops is 60-2 in his 10 years at Owen Field.
2) Home teams tend to dominate in big-time night games.
3) OU is catching Tech in their 4th consecutive game against a ranked opponent. It's hard for college kids to gear up emotionally every week for a month straight. See Texas 1st half performance against Tech after a similar gauntlet.
4) Anyone that has watched the Sooners last 4 games instead of looking at final scores will see that their D is not bad as the final score has indicates. A&M scored 28 pts, yet one TD was a kickoff return and the other was late in the 4th after all the starters were pulled. They also forced 4 turnovers. Nebraska scored 28 pts, but after jumping up 35-0 in the 1st quarter they played soft zones not giving up anything big and forcing 4 turnovers. Neb also scored their last TD with under 1min in regulation. K-State scored 35 pts. There was piss poor play on the defense throughout the first quarter and a half, but the D made adjustments and held K-State to 7 points in the final 38 minutes of the game and forced 5 turnovers. Kansas scored 35 points and that is unacceptable. The Sooners played much better in the second half holding the Jayhawks to one TD early in the 3rd and a mop up TD with less than a minute left in the game against backups. The D forced 2 turnovers in this game.
5) Texas Tech has never scored more than 35 pts against Oklahoma in the Mike Leech tenure.
I like OU big!
11:00 N.C. State +10.5 @ North Carolina
If you want a good write up on this game check out Pags take in his thread. I will add that I did have this game circled before I knew Pags was on it.
11:30 Vanderbilt -3 vs Tennessee
This game s pretty simple to me. Find out the team that has quit on the season and coach and bet against them every week. Tenn lost to Wyoming at home last week. This team is toast and can't wait to get the Mike Leech era started. Tenn has scored 22 points in their last three games combined. They are toast. Vandy by at least 10.
2:30 Northwestern +3 vs Illinois
Illinois is not playing good football. They are so over-valued because everyone thinks about their win over Ohio St last year. The problem is that the zone read without R.Mendenhall just is not as effective. Everyone knows Juice has a live arm but has ZERO touch. He has already thrown 15 picks this year. He'll chunk up 2 or 3 more against an under-rated Northwestern D. Keep this in mind as well. Illinois is 8-3 getting 3 points at home to a 5-6 Illinois squad.
2:30 Ole Miss +3.5 @ LSU
I must warn you, I've been terrible at picking SEC games this year. I seriously spent no time looking into this one. I am straight up tailing Pags.
2:30 Michigan St. +15.5 @ Penn St.
As bad as I have been in the SEC, I've made a killing on the BIG Ten and Big XII. This game jumped off the board for me. I know Penn St has the ability to light it up but in the past month they have only averaged 24 pts a game. Michigan St has one of the best RBs in the country in J.Ringer. He is a workhorse and Dantonio isn't afraid to ride him. Look for about 30 carries and a ball control game. I think Penn St wins but I'll take the 15.5 pts.
6:00 Arizona -2.5 vs Oregon St.
I know this is sad, but it's the best Arizona team in the Mike Stoops era. They are electric at home while blowing out Idaho, Toledo, Washington, and Cal. Their lone loss at home was a 10-17 heartbreak against USC. Oregon St. on the other hand is very average. They are 2-3 on the road with their wins coming against Washington and UCLA. I'm laying the points here and taking the Wildcats.
7:00 Oklahoma vs Texas Tech
I'm sure everyone probably thinks I a homer pick but I promise it isn't. I rarely bet on the Sooners because winning and not covering is the worst feeling a fan can have. With that said, everything stacks up for a dominating win in Norman saturday night.
1) Stoops is 60-2 in his 10 years at Owen Field.
2) Home teams tend to dominate in big-time night games.
3) OU is catching Tech in their 4th consecutive game against a ranked opponent. It's hard for college kids to gear up emotionally every week for a month straight. See Texas 1st half performance against Tech after a similar gauntlet.
4) Anyone that has watched the Sooners last 4 games instead of looking at final scores will see that their D is not bad as the final score has indicates. A&M scored 28 pts, yet one TD was a kickoff return and the other was late in the 4th after all the starters were pulled. They also forced 4 turnovers. Nebraska scored 28 pts, but after jumping up 35-0 in the 1st quarter they played soft zones not giving up anything big and forcing 4 turnovers. Neb also scored their last TD with under 1min in regulation. K-State scored 35 pts. There was piss poor play on the defense throughout the first quarter and a half, but the D made adjustments and held K-State to 7 points in the final 38 minutes of the game and forced 5 turnovers. Kansas scored 35 points and that is unacceptable. The Sooners played much better in the second half holding the Jayhawks to one TD early in the 3rd and a mop up TD with less than a minute left in the game against backups. The D forced 2 turnovers in this game.
5) Texas Tech has never scored more than 35 pts against Oklahoma in the Mike Leech tenure.
I like OU big!
