Oregon High Perception+USC Low Perception= Burial

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  • Degenerate Life
    SBR High Roller
    • 10-15-10
    • 227

    #1
    Oregon High Perception+USC Low Perception= Burial
    Ok I know Oregon is a cover machine, but lets look at the prior two seasons the have only three games in the regular season they haven't won dd or lost LSU, Cal and USC. They did blow out USC in 2009, Barkley first year I beleive. He and whoever else were RS or FR are now upperclasmen and know what it takes to beat Oregon. USC lost to Arizona last week in an up and down game for them. Trailed early, dd lead, blew lead lost the game. This is what SC does they have done it all year, don't cover games they are suppose to. If anybody thinks this is gonna be a blowout the might want to recap this game. USC cant win the title but they will be a factor in who will be playing in the title game. USC+7, ML(got in early on spread)
  • testertips
    SBR MVP
    • 11-06-09
    • 1468

    #2
    agree... why would vegas throw a 7 here? i think usc or no play... wait and you'll get a better #
    Comment
    • Mike Huntertz
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-19-09
      • 11207

      #3
      Over again,maybe?
      Comment
      • testertips
        SBR MVP
        • 11-06-09
        • 1468

        #4
        i'm expecting the total to be 66.5... leaning over if it is.
        Comment
        • Degenerate Life
          SBR High Roller
          • 10-15-10
          • 227

          #5
          Originally posted by testertips
          agree... why would vegas throw a 7 here? i think usc or no play... wait and you'll get a better #
          Got excited and took 7 seen it 7.5 this morning and took ML, was at 8 last time I looked. Vegas knows Oregon backers will bet any number with this team.
          Comment
          • bane
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-14-12
            • 630

            #6
            Originally posted by testertips
            agree... why would vegas throw a 7 here? i think usc or no play... wait and you'll get a better #
            A little concerned of a FL/GA repeat. Where public pounds Oregon and the line doesn't move higher b/c Vegas just ...knows.

            Was initially excited about this game but it'll likely be a small play for me and last minute (Sat morning).
            Comment
            • CBASS
              SBR MVP
              • 01-22-10
              • 2613

              #7
              Comment
              • Trackrec
                SBR Rookie
                • 09-06-12
                • 46

                #8
                like with ASU +8/10? everybody on this board was ranting about RLM and stats of all sorts. I was at the game last year in Oregon. We shot ourselves in the foot BIG TIME. Ducks spotted usc 21 points and nearly tied the game with a botched FG. I don't think that's going to happen two times in a row. This Defense is vastly superior compared to last year. Chip is going to leave his starters in the whole time to send ANOTHER message to the BCS computers. with everything on the line for my Ducks.. they cover. Kiko Alonso will be back in. Dion Is out with a shoulder injury but Lokombo will take his place and he's got terrific D against the pass. My Ducks will pull away in the 4th. GL
                Comment
                • beanbag
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-21-10
                  • 2364

                  #9
                  I'm Pulling for oregon -7 got Oregon last week at -47.5 and still covered.. Chip Kelly is pissed about the BCS!!!!
                  Comment
                  • Degenerate Life
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 10-15-10
                    • 227

                    #10
                    Glad you brought that game up this is a prime example of what I'm talking about. Comparing ASU to USC is like night and day. Sun Devils don't have no where near the talent USC has, and the one thing they had that was strong DL got depleted early in that game. I'll admit my early lean was ASU until it got under 10 then it was a no bet for me. Not many teams go through an entire season unchallenged, this part shows to how great the Ducks are. This is the type of game USC is built for, no one giving them a chance, mostly due to their own play and a chance to ruin the hopes of a fellow powerhouse in the conference. Also that ASU game was loaner Vegas wants their money back.
                    Comment
                    • beanbag
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-21-10
                      • 2364

                      #11
                      final call Oregon -7 Chip Kelly Will run this score up!!!!!
                      Comment
                      • Degenerate Life
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 10-15-10
                        • 227

                        #12
                        Originally posted by beanbag
                        I'm Pulling for oregon -7 got Oregon last week at -47.5 and still covered.. Chip Kelly is pissed about the BCS!!!!
                        He will have his hands full trying to just trying to win the game let alone going for style points.
                        Comment
                        • Trackrec
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 09-06-12
                          • 46

                          #13
                          I wasn't bringing up ASU as an example of a good team. I was talking about the gross line given to them and how everybody ate it up. Wildcats are considered the 'ducks little brother'. That was usc's test at how they could do against the spread option this year. If kiffin was hiding his playbook, he exposed it by struggling for the win. The media made it seem like trojans scrimmaged against themselves and lost. wihtout any help from the Wildcats. I've been paying attention to my ducks for many years... and being at last years game was arguably THE worse game my Ducks played under CK. Youtube the 2011 game and see. USC was running out of gas on the last drive and there was poor clock management not to mention our 1st kicker was injured and Maldonado shanked his record FG. If USC outplayed us how could they give up 21 points and only hope for a missed FG?... it aint happening again. Super Mario is better than Thomas and the D is finally up to CFB elite standard. GL


                          Originally posted by Degenerate Life
                          Glad you brought that game up this is a prime example of what I'm talking about. Comparing ASU to USC is like night and day. Sun Devils don't have no where near the talent USC has, and the one thing they had that was strong DL got depleted early in that game. I'll admit my early lean was ASU until it got under 10 then it was a no bet for me. Not many teams go through an entire season unchallenged, this part shows to how great the Ducks are. This is the type of game USC is built for, no one giving them a chance, mostly due to their own play and a chance to ruin the hopes of a fellow powerhouse in the conference. Also that ASU game was loaner Vegas wants their money back.
                          Comment
                          • CBASS
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-22-10
                            • 2613

                            #14
                            USC wins...
                            Comment
                            • Degenerate Life
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 10-15-10
                              • 227

                              #15
                              Trackrec, Their might have been people on hear backing the ASU, but on most of the odds trackers I checked it was mostly 65/35 Ducks. This plays into my point of perception, Ducks can beat RLM, they can cover 47 point spreads, ect. Arizona outplayed USC. So far we haven't seen a complete game from USC I think this is that game. Big stage at home no better place no excuses. If the last game were close why wouldn't this one be close? Also this might not be the last time they play them this year.
                              Comment
                              • Big Bear
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 11-01-11
                                • 43253

                                #16
                                if this was a Pete Carol coached team i'd be all over USC.

                                however Lane Kiffin has no control whatsoever over this team. He does not know how to motivate.
                                Comment
                                • possum11
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 10-20-11
                                  • 172

                                  #17
                                  Right on there. USC is not as deep either. USC will get down and turn the ball over trying to catch up.
                                  Comment
                                  • Degenerate Life
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 10-15-10
                                    • 227

                                    #18
                                    I'll admit Oregon has an advantage at HC but I think Kiffin will have his team prepared for this game. Natives are getting restless at SC and a win here should calm some of that chatter down. I will also give Oregon the advantage at depth because they get to put in their 2nd and 3rd string players in blowouts. But I do have the Colorado Curse on my side. Every team except one(Sacremento St.)that has played them has went on to lose next Game.


                                    Comment
                                    • Coach Jake
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 09-24-11
                                      • 457

                                      #19
                                      Colorado curse can't be that old, they are the worst BCS team for a reason, but Oregon could've put 100 on em if they wanted. Good coach vs bad coach, my favorite betting trend. Watch Matt Barkley throw all short routes to try and save his stats. Arizona is a b+ at best, and USC and Barkley had a million chances at the end to put that game away. How can this man not even hit a wide open Woods on a fly? And when I say wide open, I mean the corner straight fell over.... You boys betting USC need to do so carefully.
                                      Comment
                                      • SamDiamond
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 10-19-12
                                        • 6107

                                        #20
                                        Two words for you: LANE KIFFIN.

                                        That is the reason USC is going to get rolled up.

                                        Kiffin is the luckiest sperm in coaching. He managed to parlay being the offensive coordinator with Leinart and Reggie Bush---and let's be honest, 99% of SBR posters could win games as an OC with that 2005 USC team, anyway, Kiffin parlayed that "assignment" into 3 head coaching jobs. 2 of which he was a failure at.

                                        What does he do when handed the keys to the USC kingdom? He hires his crusty old man to be his DC. And that is where USC is off the tracks. They are undisciplined, they are the most penalized team in 1-A football, and they made mistakes.

                                        Oregon rolls this weekend.
                                        Comment
                                        • Degenerate Life
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 10-15-10
                                          • 227

                                          #21
                                          Kiffin's team never trailed last year and was up 38-14 then the Ducks made a late rally to make it look close, this years SC team is better imo. As far as the dinking and dunking, Woods had 345 yard rec. last week thats a whoooole lotta dinking and dunking.
                                          Comment
                                          • Popcorn Trick
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 10-20-12
                                            • 810

                                            #22
                                            Being that this game is only a week removed from last week's devastating loss is a real concern for me. I get the usual spoiler role etc., but that is not something they are in the mood to embrace right now being that just a few days ago, they thought this was the game that would put them back in the national championship race. Better theory for when they play ND.

                                            USC has a low perception compared to what they started the year with, but wasn't that perception astronomically too high
                                            Comment
                                            • GoBlue77
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 03-20-11
                                              • 9166

                                              #23
                                              forget spread, anyone that thinks USC wins this game is a straight up moron, but this is SBR sooo....

                                              Huge revenge game for Oregon in this spot. lmao @ people taking USC
                                              Comment
                                              • Degenerate Life
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 10-15-10
                                                • 227

                                                #24
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                                                ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
                                                Go Blue
                                                Comment
                                                • Degenerate Life
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 10-15-10
                                                  • 227

                                                  #25
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                                                  ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
                                                  Mindset of most People on this Forum.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Omaga
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 07-10-12
                                                    • 460

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by CBASS
                                                    USC wins...
                                                    Yeah....just like Auburn on the ML last week
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Degenerate Life
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 10-15-10
                                                      • 227

                                                      #27
                                                      I'm done talking about this game seems like people are trying to convince themselves the Ducks are the lock play of the week. Oregon gives people a lot of eyecandy offense and everybody goes gaga over it.

                                                      See: Oklahoma St. vs Arizona and West Virginia vs Texas Tech
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Urbanwildlife
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 09-06-11
                                                        • 5958

                                                        #28
                                                        but they also provide a very good defense to go along with it, and some outstanding special teams!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Degenerate Life
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 10-15-10
                                                          • 227

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Urbanwildlife
                                                          but they also provide a very good defense to go along with it, and some outstanding special teams!
                                                          What a suprise soon as I say I'm done the biggest Oregon honk of them all comes on my thread don't you got your own thread man
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SamDiamond
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 10-19-12
                                                            • 6107

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Degenerate Life
                                                            What a suprise soon as I say I'm done the biggest Oregon honk of them all comes on my thread don't you got your own thread man
                                                            I have a question. What makes you think USC can stop Oregon? And I'm not an "Oregon Honk" at all, I've actually bet against them twice.

                                                            USC struggled stopping f'in Syracuse, and Arizona just gashed USC.

                                                            USC will score--- I'm guessing anywhere between 24-27 points. Problem is, Oregon is going to hang 45+ on them.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Urbanwildlife
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-06-11
                                                              • 5958

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Degenerate Life
                                                              What a suprise soon as I say I'm done the biggest Oregon honk of them all comes on my thread don't you got your own thread man
                                                              I am sorry for invading your turf, as I thought this was a public forum, and I will make sure I no longer do so. As far as being an Oregon honk, (which is a wierd ass description) I regretfully have to tell you that you are wrong. I respect the program that Head Coach Chip Kelly has put together at Oregon, and I find them to be an exciting and good football team. Do I have other teams I also enjoy, most definitely, as I love every team that covers my play.

                                                              To answer your question, no I do not have my own thread, as again, I am only a visitor to SBR, and participate on threads as I see fit, as it was my understanding that is what the forum is suppose to be all about, sharing information about football, on any threads we desire.
                                                              Good luck to you!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Degenerate Life
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 10-15-10
                                                                • 227

                                                                #32
                                                                First off thank you Sam for coming in here and asking me about the game, second I have no affiliation with either school also. Yes you're correct SC struggles in games they shouldn't, you can make good money fading them this year, but this game I think Oregon get's all their attention this week. I don't like using the "look ahead factor" for what happened last week against Az. but I think it was a factor. Saying that even in that game and all year except versus Stanford they have had double digit leads. They spotted Utah 2TD and would have covered had it not been for some fluky plays at the end. My point being this team gets too cocky, but that's not going to happen vs a team higher ranked 7.5/8 point fav on their field. Kiffin's first year SC looked terrible vs Oregon 53-32, last year at Oregon 38-35. They were up 38-14 then in in usual SC fashion let their foot of the gas and Oregon crept back in and made it close. SC returns most of their starters from last year so does Oregon. But at one key position QB they do not. This will be Mariota first true test I got a feeling he might not be able to muster up enough magic to win this game.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • GoBlue77
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 03-20-11
                                                                  • 9166

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Degenerate Life
                                                                  [ATTACH]49676[/ATTACH]

                                                                  ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
                                                                  Go Blue
                                                                  i'll be here after the game. you wannabe sharps crack me up. i bet you are on the celtics tonight too
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Degenerate Life
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 10-15-10
                                                                    • 227

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by GoBlue77
                                                                    i'll be here after the game. you wannabe sharps crack me up. i bet you are on the celtics tonight too
                                                                    WOOOOOOOO I'm scared, squares who back RS Freshman on the road vs Sr. QB on his way to the NFL crack me up even more
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Trackrec
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 09-06-12
                                                                      • 46

                                                                      #35
                                                                      This will be Oregon's 3rd first real test. don't let these people get under your skin Degen, make your play and hope it comes out on top. GL. however, I do chuckle that you have a duck tossing up coinage.
                                                                      Comment
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