Clemson v. Wake Forest UNDER 60

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  • Jago2008
    SBR MVP
    • 05-18-11
    • 3047

    #1
    Clemson v. Wake Forest UNDER 60
    This is a good spot for a public fade in my opinion. Showing close to 56-58% on the over here.

    This Clemson offense averages close to 500 ypg, everyone knows Boyd can make some big plays down field, but I feel this game will ultimately decided through a ground attack, with a few shots downfield.

    Adding to my point, while this is a home game for Wake Forest i.e. home crowd... perhaps a little extra adrenaline flowing, this is not a team that scores points efficiently, in fact they are stuggling: averaging a modest 316.1 yards per game‚ struggling with consistency both on the ground (120.6 ypg) and through the air (195.6 ypg).
    Wake forest also lacks consistency in their QB aswell who's not completing passes at an efficient rate to value pass attempts. Perhaps this is a game where Wake Forest will test that given they're playing on national television, but this isn't a team that scares you on paper.
    The problem is compounded for Wake Forest by a defense that has had its own issues. The Demon Deacons are yielding just over 400 yards of total offense per game‚ including a generous 183.7 yards rushing. Look for Clemson to Capitalize on this.

    My outlook for this game is Clemson controlling the clock, they could get ahead early by touchdown or perhaps more, and force Wake Forest to be one-dimensional.

    At a total that has approached 60 in most books, I suggest taking the under.

    Good luck.
  • Urbanwildlife
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-06-11
    • 5958

    #2
    You did a very good job analyzing this game, but Clemson is not a ball control team. They come out at you hard and keep on going, which is why they are averaging 41 points a game.
    Comment
    • Jago2008
      SBR MVP
      • 05-18-11
      • 3047

      #3
      Originally posted by Urbanwildlife
      You did a very good job analyzing this game, but Clemson is not a ball control team. They come out at you hard and keep on going, which is why they are averaging 41 points a game.
      Thank you, I think what separates this game is the fact that Clemson's defense is starting to come into form mid season. Trust me I'm not an ACC guy through and through, but I pay attention to almost all college divisions routinely. And I understand your assertion, I can definitely see the see the Tigers scoring 30+ I just question WF's ability to score.

      GL buddy, I remember reading you had something on this game from some previous threads.
      Comment
      • GWOZOZO
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-17-11
        • 562

        #4
        Originally posted by Urbanwildlife
        You did a very good job analyzing this game, but Clemson is not a ball control team. They come out at you hard and keep on going, which is why they are averaging 41 points a game.
        Comment
        • matt05man
          SBR Hustler
          • 07-08-11
          • 85

          #5
          Originally posted by Jago2008
          Thank you, I think what separates this game is the fact that Clemson's defense is starting to come into form mid season. Trust me I'm not an ACC guy through and through, but I pay attention to almost all college divisions routinely. And I understand your assertion, I can definitely see the see the Tigers scoring 30+ I just question WF's ability to score.

          GL buddy, I remember reading you had something on this game from some previous threads.
          I agree. Venebles defense is starting to come around (or atleast show signs) combined with the fact that WF can struggle at times to score. I think Clemson will lean more on Ellington tonight in a tough Thursday night atmosphere.

          I think the U60 might be a solid play here.
          Comment
          • Jago2008
            SBR MVP
            • 05-18-11
            • 3047

            #6
            Originally posted by matt05man
            I agree. Venebles defense is starting to come around (or atleast show signs) combined with the fact that WF can struggle at times to score. I think Clemson will lean more on Ellington tonight in a tough Thursday night atmosphere.

            I think the U60 might be a solid play here.
            GL to you.
            Comment
            • Jago2008
              SBR MVP
              • 05-18-11
              • 3047

              #7
              That was wayyyy too close for comfort, with Clemson putting up a 28 spot in the 2nd quarter, but we still cover. GJ.
              Comment
              • Jago2008
                SBR MVP
                • 05-18-11
                • 3047

                #8
                Comment
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