Today we have situation I have followed for a couple years with good success and I decided I would share it. It involves the match up btwn Cuse v Rutgers. Although the line movement is confusing but here we go...
This is rather simple where we want to play under on road team with a total of 42.5 to 49 involving a team with a average rushing offense (140-190 RY/gm- Cuse 143 RY/gm) vs an excellent rushing defense (allowing 100 or less RY/gm-Rutgers 61 RY/gm). The basis is sound here for an under play. This situation has hit at 68.5% since 2003, but has been trending nicely 18-2 under the L3 and is currently 3-0 under this season. We can increase the win% by adding another small parameter to the "excellent defensive team" which is simply following two games where they allowed 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. By doing this we see the win% hit at 83.9% under since 2003, 5-0 under the L3 and 1-0 this season.
Rutgers rushing def..last 2 games..
- Rutgers vs Ark(19-73 RY)
- Rutgers vs UConn (28-53 RY)
This is rather simple where we want to play under on road team with a total of 42.5 to 49 involving a team with a average rushing offense (140-190 RY/gm- Cuse 143 RY/gm) vs an excellent rushing defense (allowing 100 or less RY/gm-Rutgers 61 RY/gm). The basis is sound here for an under play. This situation has hit at 68.5% since 2003, but has been trending nicely 18-2 under the L3 and is currently 3-0 under this season. We can increase the win% by adding another small parameter to the "excellent defensive team" which is simply following two games where they allowed 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. By doing this we see the win% hit at 83.9% under since 2003, 5-0 under the L3 and 1-0 this season.
Rutgers rushing def..last 2 games..
- Rutgers vs Ark(19-73 RY)
- Rutgers vs UConn (28-53 RY)
| 23062372 | 2012-10-13 09:41:47.0 | INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 220 win 200 | 134 Rutgers/Syracuse under 48½ (-110) risk 220 win 200 (NCAA FB) |