UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz

**TheCalculator** · 11-05-11, 03:59 PM

Papy looking good so far. Good hands.

**TheCalculator** · 11-05-11, 04:01 PM

There goes the Papy hype train. lol

**TheCalculator** · 11-05-11, 04:03 PM

Can't wait to see Pickett vs. Barao. Let's go PICKETT!

**Mr.Kitty** · 11-05-11, 04:03 PM

It was fairly expected to be honest, very tough match for him (ranked 118 at middleweight and Thiago is a top name). Dident have money on him but cheered for him as i´m Swedish.

Got some cash on Barao tho.

**Mr.Kitty** · 11-05-11, 04:11 PM

Damn Pickett is cool

**TheCalculator** · 11-05-11, 04:21 PM

Wow -- that was intense. Took a hit on that one. Let's go Munoz.

**TheCalculator** · 11-05-11, 04:43 PM

WOW -- what a round. Leben is gassing. But he's still really dangerous.

**TheCalculator** · 11-05-11, 04:46 PM

lol @ walking dead Leben

**THE_LOCKSMITH** · 11-05-11, 04:51 PM

didn't expect Leben to say he couldn't continue

**cheeese** · 11-05-11, 04:57 PM

After he took more punishment than just about anyone can

**TheCalculator** · 11-05-11, 05:02 PM

Profitable card.

Biggest wins: Mills, Maguire, Munoz, De Fries.

Biggest loss: Pickett.

**AribaAriba** · 11-05-11, 05:04 PM

that walking dead comment was

**Beelzebubzy** · 11-05-11, 06:38 PM

who is everyone thinking for 139?
Im liking Kingsbury at +150 or better

**bjpenn85** · 11-05-11, 06:44 PM

i have stopped talking about fights before the odds gets released due to line maker paranoia

**TheCalculator** · 11-05-11, 07:02 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

i have stopped talking about fights before the odds gets released due to line maker paranoia

Same here. Last week I was chatting with a well-respected mma handicapper (he's on these boards) who confirmed that Nick the odds maker comes and checks out the boards to get the pulse to adjust his lines.

**caveira** · 11-05-11, 07:11 PM

Great event after all!

**bjpenn85** · 11-05-11, 07:26 PM

im not surprised at all. There is a lot of good cappers around here that could set the odds as accurate as he do, if not better. We should keep our mouth shut and not give him any advantages. His job is to set the line, and ours is to break it, lets keep it that way.

**cheeese** · 11-05-11, 10:50 PM

We should be using disinformation to get favorable lines.

**The HOFF** · 11-06-11, 12:34 AM

Originally posted by cheeese

We should be using disinformation to get favorable lines.

Aaron Rosa is probably the next big thing. Just like Brandon Vera, he is going to dominant the heavyweight and light-heavyweight divisions. I imagine him in the -400 to -500 range for his fight on Fox.

**Vitooch** · 11-06-11, 02:16 AM

Originally posted by The HOFF

Aaron Rosa is probably the next big thing. Just like Brandon Vera, he is going to dominant the heavyweight and light-heavyweight divisions. I imagine him in the -400 to -500 range for his fight on Fox.

-400 ? More like -1500...I'll prob take Rosa by knockout at the -800 - -900 range if it's available

**varkolek** · 11-06-11, 03:34 AM

Won $908 and lost $550. The 550 loss includes the $155 I had on Glen Johnson over Bute. Net profit is $358.

The last 2 cards I lost big on distance props. I had $165 on Picket-Barao going the distance.

**scofflaw** · 11-06-11, 09:15 AM

Small profit on my 138 bets. I spread my money around like this: 55% Alves, 25% Munoz, 10% Young, 10% parlays + micro on Pickett. (approx rounded percentages of total wagered amount). Netted ~25% profit.

I consider this a lucky night. I've been trying to manage my bankroll better and I feel like I made poor decisions again. I've only been betting for about two years and through the spring and summer I was so successful (lucky) that my bankroll grew to more money than I'd make in several months at work. Made a few nice withdraws and left a big pile to play with. Well now that pile was mostly destroyed because of poor money management. If Munoz or Alves had lost, it would have been a negative night.

With any luck I'll continue the climb at UFC on Fox. GL everyone

**Vrakas** · 11-06-11, 09:26 AM

something was wrong with leben he started the second round with some odd looking footwork as if he was about to pass out.

**Vaughany** · 11-06-11, 12:59 PM

Originally posted by Mr.Kitty

Damn Pickett is cool

ha yeah, his entrance was comedy!

**TheCalculator** · 11-06-11, 01:55 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

ha yeah, his entrance was comedy!

Unfortunately -- his performance wasn't. I just cringed when I saw the pre-fight video and he said he's willing to trade shots with Barao. That's easily the worst game plan any fighter can have.

**Vaughany** · 11-06-11, 02:16 PM

Originally posted by rocky mattioli

bullshit....

**proposition joe** · 11-06-11, 04:19 PM

Originally posted by TheCalculator

Same here. Last week I was chatting with a well-respected mma handicapper (he's on these boards) who confirmed that Nick the odds maker comes and checks out the boards to get the pulse to adjust his lines.

I'm on board with this as well. The UFC 137 Prelim lines made me reconsider....

**gabe** · 11-10-11, 11:22 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

I'm huge on Pickett. And he's huge in me. (homo)

So this is why he still hates on me... completely jealous that I nailed a pick he blew. So immature.