NickTheGreek's MMA Plays

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  • Nick The Greek
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-31-09
    • 189

    #1
    NickTheGreek's MMA Plays
    Been doing well with my MMA plays lately so I figured I would go on the record and begin sharing them here.

    UFC 136
    Sonnen via 3-Round Decision (-120), 4.2 Units to Win 3.5
    Gray Maynard (+110), 1.6 Units to Win 1.76


    Good luck to all!
  • Vaughany
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 03-07-10
    • 45563

    #2
    Good luck, good plays. Where did u get Sonnen dec at -120?
    Comment
    • Nick The Greek
      SBR High Roller
      • 12-31-09
      • 189

      #3
      Bodog.
      Comment
      • Nick The Greek
        SBR High Roller
        • 12-31-09
        • 189

        #4
        UFC 136 Results: -5.8 Units

        Not the start to this thread I was hoping for. Damn Chael Sonnen for being so aggressive and damn Gray Maynard for disappearing after the 1st round.
        Comment
        • Nick The Greek
          SBR High Roller
          • 12-31-09
          • 189

          #5
          Since I did poorly on the last UFC I'm just sticking to one bet for the show. It's the only fight on the main card where I feel very confident of the outcome.

          UFC 137

          Roy Nelson (-240), 14.5 units to win 6

          Also, just for the hell of it I included Big Country in a Football parlay as well.

          8 Team Parlay #229666113 (Placed by Web)Football - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
          (115) Central Michigan -7½ (-115) Sat@9:00a
          Competitor116) AkronFootball - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
          (195) Stanford -8 Sat@5:00p
          Competitor196) USCFootball - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
          (137) West Virginia -7 (EVEN) Sat@12:30p
          Competitor138) RutgersFootball - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
          (160) Texas A&M -10 (-105) Sat@9:00a
          Competitor159) MissouriFootball - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
          (120) North Carolina -7 (EVEN) Sat@12:30p
          Competitor119) Wake ForestFootball - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
          (123) Clemson -4 (EVEN) Sat@5:00p
          Competitor124) Georgia TechFootball - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread
          NFL - WEEK 8
          (223) New England Patriots -3 (+110) Sun@1:15p
          Competitor224) Pittsburgh SteelersMixed Martial Arts (Game) Moneyline
          UFC 137 - Mandalay Bay Events Center, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
          Both must fight for action.
          (8019) Roy "Big Country" Nelson -290 Sat@7:00p
          Competitor8018) Mirko "Cro Cop" FilipovicRisk US$ 7.58 to win US$ 1185.79
          Comment
          • Vitooch
            SBR MVP
            • 09-26-11
            • 3470

            #6
            I'm not sure if Roy Nelson is the best fighter on this card to lay the heavy juice on. I think both Cerrone and Nelson have around a 65-75% of winning, so I would have taken Cerrone at better odds. A lot of people are also saying Jorgenson is the safest pick. With that being said, I still think Nelson is a fairly safe bet, but with that amount you're laying down it is a tad risky.
            Comment
            • Vaughany
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 03-07-10
              • 45563

              #7
              Originally posted by Vitooch
              I'm not sure if Roy Nelson is the best fighter on this card to lay the heavy juice on. I think both Cerrone and Nelson have around a 65-75% of winning, so I would have taken Cerrone at better odds. A lot of people are also saying Jorgenson is the safest pick. With that being said, I still think Nelson is a fairly safe bet, but with that amount you're laying down it is a tad risky.
              Except now Nelson's odds are similar to Cerrone's! But at time of his bet yeah there was a difference
              Comment
              • Nick The Greek
                SBR High Roller
                • 12-31-09
                • 189

                #8
                I'm using Bodog. They had Nelson at -290 last night, -240 this morning.
                Comment
                • Kaladarus
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-11-09
                  • 1876

                  #9
                  I have a feeling you'll get your money back on this card. Nelson should get it done here.
                  Comment
                  • Vitooch
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-26-11
                    • 3470

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Vaughany
                    Except now Nelson's odds are similar to Cerrone's! But at time of his bet yeah there was a difference
                    Wow! I haven't checked the lines in a few days, thanks for pointing that out. If Roop wins, I may lay the juice down on both Cerrone and Nelson now.
                    Comment
                    • Beelzebubzy
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 06-06-11
                      • 6995

                      #11
                      grabbed Nelson at -205 bookmaker
                      Comment
                      • Nick The Greek
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 12-31-09
                        • 189

                        #12
                        UFC 137 Results: +6 Units

                        Big Country took care of business tonight.
                        Comment
                        • Nick The Greek
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 12-31-09
                          • 189

                          #13
                          Almost forgot tomorrow's show was happening. Just a couple parlays for me.

                          UFC 138
                          Parlay Mills(-260) + Young(+200) + De Fries(-150) + Etim(-700) + Pickett(+105) + Diabate(-400) + Alves(-350), 0.19 units to win 4.76
                          Parlay Young(+200) + De Fries(-150) + Alves(-350) + Munoz(-270), 0.36 Units to win 2.78
                          Comment
                          • Nick The Greek
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 12-31-09
                            • 189

                            #14
                            UFC 138 Results: -0.55 Units
                            2011 Results: -0.35 Units

                            UFC on FOX
                            Cain Velasquez Inside the Distance(-120), 2.352 units to win 1.96
                            Parlay Velasquez(-190) + Bendo(-260) + Lamas(-140) + Escovedo(-300) + Pierce(-350), 0.392 units to win 2.043
                            Parlay
                            Lamas(-140) + Escovedo(-300) + Pierce(-350), 1.176 units to win 2.28
                            Comment
                            • Nick The Greek
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 12-31-09
                              • 189

                              #15
                              UFC on FOX Results: -3.92 Units
                              2011 Results: -4.27 Units

                              Been stone cold the last two weeks. Also, lost a lot of my bankroll on NFL last Sunday. Really need a good night tomorrow, may add more plays later.

                              UFC 139
                              Parlay Kingsbury(-150) + Le(-145) + Faber(-275) 1.981 units to win 5.627
                              Parlay Castilllo(-325) + Torres(-370) + Kingsbury(-150) 3.182 units to win 5.627
                              Rick Story via 3-Round Decision(+180) 3.127 units to win 5.627
                              Comment
                              • TheCalculator
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-10-11
                                • 1683

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Nick The Greek
                                UFC on FOX Results: -3.92 Units
                                2011 Results: -4.27 Units

                                Been stone cold the last two weeks. Also, lost a lot of my bankroll on NFL last Sunday. Really need a good night tomorrow, may add more plays later.

                                UFC 139
                                Parlay Kingsbury(-150) + Le(-145) + Faber(-275) 1.981 units to win 5.627
                                Parlay Castilllo(-325) + Torres(-370) + Kingsbury(-150) 3.182 units to win 5.627
                                Rick Story via 3-Round Decision(+180) 3.127 units to win 5.627
                                Like all of these. Hope you nail em all!
                                Comment
                                • Vitooch
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-26-11
                                  • 3470

                                  #17
                                  Kingsbury in two parlays is very risky IMO...but BOL to you
                                  Comment
                                  • TheCalculator
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-10-11
                                    • 1683

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Vitooch
                                    Kingsbury in two parlays is very risky IMO...but BOL to you
                                    That's true -- having the same guy in 2 parlays (when you only have 3 plays) is high risk.
                                    Comment
                                    • Nick The Greek
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 12-31-09
                                      • 189

                                      #19
                                      Not a good night for me. After these three plays fell through, I went and put my remaining bankroll on Hendo-Shogun to not complete 4 rds. I'm totally cleaned out now. No more bets for me for a while.
                                      Comment
                                      • v1y
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-02-11
                                        • 1138

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Nick The Greek
                                        Not a good night for me. After these three plays fell through, I went and put my remaining bankroll on Hendo-Shogun to not complete 4 rds. I'm totally cleaned out now. No more bets for me for a while.
                                        holy **** what was the line on that? -300?
                                        Comment
                                        • TheCalculator
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-10-11
                                          • 1683

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Nick The Greek
                                          Not a good night for me. After these three plays fell through, I went and put my remaining bankroll on Hendo-Shogun to not complete 4 rds. I'm totally cleaned out now. No more bets for me for a while.
                                          I was beyond shocked that it did go the distance. 5dimes had not distance at -350 at the end. I'm sure if they found 100 times -- it might go the distance 10-15 times. Tough break...
                                          Comment
                                          • Nick The Greek
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 12-31-09
                                            • 189

                                            #22
                                            Yeah, who would've thought that fight would go the distance. Especially with both guys gassing early on, and several near-tko's. Oh well, I'll be back.
                                            Comment
                                            • BIGDAY
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 02-17-10
                                              • 48245

                                              #23
                                              GL Nick. The waves of wagers can suck.
                                              Comment
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