A parlay of UFC 133 and 134: Gustafsson, Evans, Belfort, Silva and Griffin.
Should I place a small bet on this? Or should I reduce these to 2 team parlays?
bjpenn85
SBR Hall of Famer
02-17-11
5059
#2
drop griffin. He will probably not win. If you insist picking griffin which is a stupid idea, do not include him in the parlay. Make a new parlay with him to win a decision @+300 combined with something else.
But gustafsson, evans, belfort look good in my eyes.
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capone1899
SBR MVP
06-16-11
1054
#3
Can it work,yes ...........will it ,probably not.
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GunShard
SBR Posting Legend
03-05-10
10032
#4
Originally posted by bjpenn85
drop griffin. He will probably not win. If you insist picking griffin which is a stupid idea, do not include him in the parlay. Make a new parlay with him to win a decision @+300 combined with something else.
But gustafsson, evans, belfort look good in my eyes.
Ok, I'm going to either replace Griffin with another fighter or just keep it as a 4 team parlay.
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Kaladarus
SBR MVP
11-11-09
1876
#5
If you like Griffin you should put him in also. If you can get him by decision thats even better. His line indicates that he is the highest risk so if you were more confident in the others maybe do your 4 team parlay for 80% of the bet and then do the 5 team with Griffin for the rest. No parlay is really that safe. You could also make a couple different combos with those 5 fights and just reduce your bets.
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jspectyper
SBR MVP
02-25-09
1842
#6
Agree with bj, drop griffin. Shogun lost the first but I think he's got a good chance to win the rematch.
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darko3131
SBR Sharp
03-16-08
469
#7
I'm not really sold on Gustafsson as a great bet at the odds. Matt is what he is, a gatekeeper level guy, I'm not sure if Gustafsson is really that much better
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bjpenn85
SBR Hall of Famer
02-17-11
5059
#8
Matt hamill must grind out a decision to win over gustaffsson, that worked very well against rampage, why cant he just replicate that formula?
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jin2daj
SBR Wise Guy
11-01-09
816
#9
i feel like youre going against some pretty live dogs. to be honest, i just dont see the value in your parlay :/
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bettorjon
Restricted User
10-08-10
613
#10
anything is possible so yes it can work. now its up to you to decide if youll give it a go
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FightFightFight
SBR Wise Guy
03-21-11
594
#11
Try switching Gustafsson for Menjivar, Belfort for Hardy, and Griffin for Rory Mac. Then decide to play them straight instead.
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bjpenn85
SBR Hall of Famer
02-17-11
5059
#12
No no no. menjivar is good, but it is less risk involved in the gustafsson fight than the menjivar fight. That is because gustafsson can give hamill trouble standing and on the ground, as well as the reach advantage and, basically everything. for the people that have not understood how good gustafsson are, go watch some tape of him or just shut up. tired of defending this super awesome swede.
Hardy sucks, again, wrong. Rory mac, agreed.
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sirchadwick1
SBR MVP
06-02-10
1375
#13
Forget the big parlays... just go for 2 (3 max) guys that you are MOST confident in.
I love Belfort + Silva
Or Belfort+Silva+Gustafsson
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Wrecked
SBR Wise Guy
05-31-11
887
#14
Originally posted by GunShard
A parlay of UFC 133 and 134: Gustafsson, Evans, Belfort, Silva and Griffin.
Should I place a small bet on this? Or should I reduce these to 2 team parlays?
Replace Griffin with Hardy, and change Belfort with Sexyama
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bjpenn85
SBR Hall of Famer
02-17-11
5059
#15
You should go for the safest. Gustaffsson, yes, because he got advantage in 2 areas. silva, yes, 2 areas. Griffin, no no, not at all idiot, he is worse than shogun both standing and on the ground, its absolutely idiotic. evans should also win. Period.
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bjpenn85
SBR Hall of Famer
02-17-11
5059
#16
even the safest pick sometimes goes to hell. therefor you need to be as gridy and cynical with every bet you make, especially parlays.
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GunShard
SBR Posting Legend
03-05-10
10032
#17
Originally posted by Wrecked
Replace Griffin with Hardy, and change Belfort with Sexyama
I don't like Hardy at all.
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Chairib
SBR Wise Guy
03-08-10
917
#18
Originally posted by GunShard
I don't like Hardy at all. Belfort could be a bad spot to bet on, I should just ignore that fight.
Why do you feel Belfort would be a bad spot to be on?
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jin2daj
SBR Wise Guy
11-01-09
816
#19
Originally posted by FightFightFight
Try switching Gustafsson for Menjivar, Belfort for Hardy, and Griffin for Rory Mac. Then decide to play them straight instead.
hahaha this is hilarious.
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Wrecked
SBR Wise Guy
05-31-11
887
#20
Originally posted by GunShard
I don't like Hardy at all. Belfort could be a bad spot to bet on, I should just ignore that fight.
Against Lytle? Please.... I love him here.
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FlashinLeather
SBR Wise Guy
01-04-11
573
#21
can it yes....will it nopeeeeee
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NunyaBidness
SBR Hall of Famer
07-26-09
9345
#22
Originally posted by Wrecked
Against Lytle? Please.... I love him here.
Why? Lytle is better everywhere IMO.
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GunShard
SBR Posting Legend
03-05-10
10032
#23
Originally posted by Chairib
Why do you feel Belfort would be a bad spot to be on?
Never mind my previous comment. Belfort looks good against Akiyama after watching the highlight video on these two fighters.
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Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#24
Originally posted by NunyaBidness
Why? Lytle is better everywhere IMO.
You think Lytle will be able to take Hardy down or even bother to attempt it? Lytle was considering retiring after the Ebersole fight, his knees are fu**ed. Having dodgy meniscus can seriously effect your ability to box with proper technique and especially shooting for takedowns. I think Hardy has a reasonable chance of stealing a decision
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Wrecked
SBR Wise Guy
05-31-11
887
#25
Originally posted by Vaughany
You think Lytle will be able to take Hardy down or even bother to attempt it? Lytle was considering retiring after the Ebersole fight, his knees are fu**ed. Having dodgy meniscus can seriously effect your ability to box with proper technique and especially shooting for takedowns. I think Hardy has a reasonable chance of stealing a decision
I don't think he'll steal anything, I think he's going to put Lytle's old ass in his place. The odds are so low because Hardy looks like shit right now, but he's good against stand-up guys, Conditt is just on a rampage right now. Hardy is going to get this win.
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RaiderNation MMA
SBR Wise Guy
11-05-10
598
#26
tito!!
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NunyaBidness
SBR Hall of Famer
07-26-09
9345
#27
Originally posted by GunShard
Never mind my previous comment. Belfort looks good against Akiyama after watching the highlight video on these two fighters.
Watching highlight videos is a recipe for handicapping disaster.
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NunyaBidness
SBR Hall of Famer
07-26-09
9345
#28
Originally posted by Vaughany
You think Lytle will be able to take Hardy down or even bother to attempt it? Lytle was considering retiring after the Ebersole fight, his knees are fu**ed. Having dodgy meniscus can seriously effect your ability to box with proper technique and especially shooting for takedowns. I think Hardy has a reasonable chance of stealing a decision
Yeah, of course Hardy has a chance. Lytle is no world-beater, and may possibly be shot. But Hardy has been one of the most consistently over-rated UFC fighters, coming off 3 tough losses. Lytle should be a legit favorite here. Lytle's fight IQ has been consistently low, but if he WANTS to win the fight he has more ways to win.
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GunShard
SBR Posting Legend
03-05-10
10032
#29
Originally posted by NunyaBidness
Watching highlight videos is a recipe for handicapping disaster.
It depends.
As long as the video is not from more than 5 years ago.
As long as I watch both fighters highlight videos, not just one fighter's video.
Paying attention to a fighter's speed, strikes, take down attempts, submission and cardio.
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v1y
SBR MVP
05-02-11
1138
#30
Originally posted by GunShard
It depends.
As long as the video is not from more than 5 years ago.
As long as I watch both fighters highlight videos, not just one fighter's video.
Paying attention to a fighter's speed, strikes, take down attempts, submission and cardio.
No it doesn't depend. One of the biggest things you need to take into account when capping a fight is a fighter's big weaknesses, which you can't get from watching a highlight.
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Chairib
SBR Wise Guy
03-08-10
917
#31
Originally posted by GunShard
It depends.
As long as the video is not from more than 5 years ago.
As long as I watch both fighters highlight videos, not just one fighter's video.
Paying attention to a fighter's speed, strikes, take down attempts, submission and cardio.
You're only going get an adequate gauge on things like that by watching the fight in it's entirety. This highlight business is for first time slammers.
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FightFightFight
SBR Wise Guy
03-21-11
594
#32
Originally posted by NunyaBidness
Yeah, of course Hardy has a chance. Lytle is no world-beater, and may possibly be shot. But Hardy has been one of the most consistently over-rated UFC fighters, coming off 3 tough losses. Lytle should be a legit favorite here. Lytle's fight IQ has been consistently low, but if he WANTS to win the fight he has more ways to win.
Lytles only way to win is boxing. No way he outwrestles Hardy. Hardy will be stronger in the clinch, giving him one way to win, and faster with his strikes giving him two imo. Wouldnt be surprised to see a stoppage.
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Chairib
SBR Wise Guy
03-08-10
917
#33
Originally posted by FightFightFight
Lytles only way to win is boxing. No way he outwrestles Hardy. Hardy will be stronger in the clinch, giving him one way to win, and faster with his strikes giving him two imo. Wouldnt be surprised to see a stoppage.
Lytle's the stronger wrester and grappler, you hardly ever see it because he likes to strike. But we're not going to see any grappling in this fight because these two guys are going to throwdown.
If Hardy hasn't learned to keep his right hand up, he might get KO'd with a left hook...again.
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GunShard
SBR Posting Legend
03-05-10
10032
#34
Nice, Gustafsson, Evans and Belfort won their fights.
It's up to Silva and Griffin now to win some of my parlays.
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jin2daj
SBR Wise Guy
11-01-09
816
#35
Originally posted by GunShard
Nice, Gustafsson, Evans and Belfort won their fights.
It's up to Silva and Griffin now to win some of my parlays.