Grove +315 v. Maia

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  • terpkeg
    SBR MVP
    • 10-26-09
    • 2364

    #1
    Grove +315 v. Maia
    Grove down to +290 at 5d, still can get +315 at BM. I think there is a good chance that Maia can get this fight down and if he does, then he should control the fight comfortably. However, I think he has trouble finishing Grove, and If he gets into too many exchanges, similiar to Dan Miller fight, Grove will make him pay imo. I think this should be Maia around -200 at best.

    Even the Almeida fight, where Grove couldnt stop the takedown, was very competitive and I thought you could have made a case for Grove winning some of thos rounds.

    Any other opinions here?
  • Vaughany
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 03-07-10
    • 45563

    #2
    +315 seems like decent value as Grove can defintely cause problems for Maia with his reach....however, a lot of us also thought Miranda would cause problems and was a bad matchup for Maia, and in some ways has a similar style and therefore potentially offered similar threats to what Grove will - i.e. equal if not better stand-up but with reach advantage and a BJJ level that is high enough to avoid being tapped by Maia. Furthermore, perhaps Miranda has a better wrestling pedigree than Grove as well, yet still got controlled by Maia for three rounds (Maia showed impressive strength and wrestling in that fight). All in all, I see this being similar to Maia vs Miranda and Almeida vs Grove, with a decision win for Maia through constant grappling pressure.
    Comment
    • ddream1
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 02-18-10
      • 695

      #3
      on paper i agree, grove has skills and physical atributes most fighters just don't see everyday, however honestly here maia closes the gaps here easily i think i looks at groves biggest asset and maia's biggest fear is in the clinch. i think thats the advantage for grove and thats where this fight will be at the most. i vision groves back to the cage alot just hanging and underhooking etc with maia. maia wins but i think its after a battle along the fence and i nthe clinch, he gets him eventually and works him. but then again grove can be dangerous off his back. i pass on this one but very excited to watch it. i thinks its a terrific match up
      Comment
      • terpkeg
        SBR MVP
        • 10-26-09
        • 2364

        #4
        Originally posted by ddream1
        on paper i agree, grove has skills and physical atributes most fighters just don't see everyday, however honestly here maia closes the gaps here easily i think i looks at groves biggest asset and maia's biggest fear is in the clinch. i think thats the advantage for grove and thats where this fight will be at the most. i vision groves back to the cage alot just hanging and underhooking etc with maia. maia wins but i think its after a battle along the fence and i nthe clinch, he gets him eventually and works him. but then again grove can be dangerous off his back. i pass on this one but very excited to watch it. i thinks its a terrific match up
        I can certaintly see this. But, i don't see Grove being very agressive in clinch. I think he wil have to be too defensive if he gets put on the cage and any offensive output will result in takedown and that would not be good since I give Grove about a 1% chance of catching Maia from his back.

        I think his best chance is to emulate A Silva's approach of striking at range with good footwork and avoiding being pressed on cage. Obviously, Grove is no Silva, but he has great range, is versatile and has power. If Maia can't get fight down early it will be harder for him to gain dominate positions later in fight imo because I do not think Grove will have cardio issues, it is usually his chin that lets him down as fight goes on.

        Grove is large dog for a reason, just too much imo.
        Comment
        • ddream1
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 02-18-10
          • 695

          #5
          i hear u aswell and that approach for grove makes sense but do we really believe despite his reach and such can keep it on the feet? grove will need to be able to show foot work and angles to keep maia from closing in, and if he approach's the stand up like you suggest or vision his power is totally taken away. i think u are right grove will do go that way but maia knows that thats why i think he bulls in grabs a leg pushes him to fence and works from there. and grove knows that if maia has any chance or counter its straight through his stand up thats why i think grove's clinch will be plan B and ultimately his most prepared and dangerous weapon of the night.

          is there a prop grove by submisssion?

          terkeg did u ever have success ridding your site?
          Comment
          • Boddhissatva
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 04-10-09
            • 655

            #6
            Everything Grove is good at, Maia is ten times better. I have Maia winning second round sub.
            Comment
            • JediMind87
              SBR Rookie
              • 10-04-10
              • 45

              #7
              Originally posted by Boddhissatva
              Everything Grove is good at, Maia is ten times better. I have Maia winning second round sub.
              So u would say Maia's striking is 10 times better than Grove's?
              Comment
              • THE_LOCKSMITH
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-25-08
                • 7237

                #8
                I took a shot with Miranda over Maia, so i'm not looking to bet against Maia again so soon. But can't blame someone for taking a shot at +315, if grove fights smart and uses his length he can squeeze out 2 of 3 rounds to win a decision
                Comment
                • bogbat
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-21-10
                  • 1843

                  #9
                  Maia's striking seems to get better every fight. I think he'll win this one.
                  Comment
                  • snake11eyes
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 07-28-10
                    • 618

                    #10
                    Originally posted by THE_LOCKSMITH
                    I took a shot with Miranda over Maia, so i'm not looking to bet against Maia again so soon. But can't blame someone for taking a shot at +315, if grove fights smart and uses his length he can squeeze out 2 of 3 rounds to win a decision
                    Miranda had a lot of support around here and I took a shot on him as well even though I liked Maia. This seems like the same situation, but like you said you can't fault someone for taking a chance at +315.
                    Comment
                    • Kaladarus
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-11-09
                      • 1876

                      #11
                      Originally posted by JediMind87
                      So u would say Maia's striking is 10 times better than Grove's?
                      Not many people consider Grove a good striker so your answer is no. I do think Maia has the edge on the feet though.
                      Comment
                      • sirchadwick1
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-02-10
                        • 1375

                        #12
                        Maia definitely has the edge here... he's looked scary good lately. Too much juice to bet on him, but I won't be touching Grove at those odds.
                        Comment
                        • Boddhissatva
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 04-10-09
                          • 655

                          #13
                          Originally posted by JediMind87
                          So u would say Maia's striking is 10 times better than Grove's?

                          Maybe 10 times was an overstatement.

                          But Maia's striking is better and Grove just doesn't have the chin to stand and bang. And we all see what happens time and time again when he gets caught.

                          Maia is a master on the ground and Grove's lengthy limbs will provide ample opportunity for another one of Maia's trade mark subs.

                          The most impressive win and performance by Grove was against Belcher and that was 4 or 5 years ago.
                          Comment
                          • Straight Cash
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-20-09
                            • 2202

                            #14
                            Grove's only chance is to utilize his reach and keep Maia outside...
                            Comment
                            • Boddhissatva
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 04-10-09
                              • 655

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Straight Cash
                              Grove's only chance is to utilize his reach and keep Maia outside...
                              Which will only buy him a couple minutes...

                              and it will only be a matter of time before Maia catches him with a straight or secures the take down.
                              Comment
                              • terpkeg
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-26-09
                                • 2364

                                #16
                                Originally posted by ddream1

                                terkeg did u ever have success ridding your site?
                                not sure what you mean. maybe you have mistaken me for someone else.
                                Comment
                                • Salvan
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 11-01-10
                                  • 93

                                  #17
                                  Maia's takedowns aren't great, but they will be enough for grove.
                                  Comment
                                  • omalley21
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-08-10
                                    • 908

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Salvan
                                    Maia's takedowns aren't great, but they will be enough for grove.
                                    Good enough to suplex Chael sonnen to the mat and make it look easy. Maia won't lose to grove.
                                    Comment
                                    • GoldenYAK
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 08-30-10
                                      • 707

                                      #19
                                      It wasn't a suplex.
                                      Comment
                                      • Vaughany
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 03-07-10
                                        • 45563

                                        #20
                                        Was like a sweep trip if I remember rightly!
                                        Comment
                                        • ddream1
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 02-18-10
                                          • 695

                                          #21
                                          indeed then sir i apologize, i thought i read some where u had an mma site and had up for sale. my mistake.

                                          Originally posted by terpkeg
                                          not sure what you mean. maybe you have mistaken me for someone else.
                                          Comment
                                          • syn^
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 03-08-10
                                            • 360

                                            #22
                                            Maia has this in the bag. No way a tito ortiz trained fighter will ever beat someone the likes of demian.
                                            Comment
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