You're probably right, the decision prop looks good, but I just wanted the added safety because I think Rampage's heart may quit this time if the going gets bad. If this fight were a few years ago I would agree there was almost no chance of Machida stopping Rampage, but I expect Machida will be as good or better than ever, while Rampage is clearly on the decline in my opinion. Machida is super-motivated and training hard, while I don't think the same can be said of Rampage.
Also, I expect Rampage to chase Machida, much like Thiago Silva did, and we all know that's a recipe for disaster. All of Rampage's talk about "fighting my fight, not fighting his fight at all" makes me think that in a rash effort to end the frustrating cat-and-mouse game, he's going to overcommit with his aggression and get caught. That in itself may not be enough to end the fight, but once he is rocked anything can happen. For instance, if Jackson gets knocked down I have no doubt that Machida is capable of submitting him from top position. But I think that if Machida wins inside the distance it's likely in the third round when Jackson's cardio and heart are gone, which is why I also like the Machida in the third round prop at +1375.
Ideally, Machida will submit Rampage in the third round and make me arich less poor man.
Also, I expect Rampage to chase Machida, much like Thiago Silva did, and we all know that's a recipe for disaster. All of Rampage's talk about "fighting my fight, not fighting his fight at all" makes me think that in a rash effort to end the frustrating cat-and-mouse game, he's going to overcommit with his aggression and get caught. That in itself may not be enough to end the fight, but once he is rocked anything can happen. For instance, if Jackson gets knocked down I have no doubt that Machida is capable of submitting him from top position. But I think that if Machida wins inside the distance it's likely in the third round when Jackson's cardio and heart are gone, which is why I also like the Machida in the third round prop at +1375.
Ideally, Machida will submit Rampage in the third round and make me a
, 2-team parlay at -128: 2u to win 1.56u
If they fought 100 times, Wilcox would win 100 times.
/ Zaromskis -270 / Barboza -550 
/ Edson Barboza -550 / Lyoto Machida -230, 3-team parlay @+151, 2.65u to win 4u
Machida made a big mistake not taking Rampage down more IMO. He had opportunities in both rnds 1 and 2 wer they were clinched against the cage and could of got one of his trip-takedowns to steal a round. Rampage would offer no threat from the bottom and its not like ther would be the risk of him sweeping Machida to get full mount or anything! In the last page you said you wer gonna look to put something on GSot/Lauzon FOTN but I cant see anything related to it on this page so dont know if u did in the end?...That being FOTN, the Davis sub of night and Foster by sub bets saved me in the end!
