I think Griffin Dunham and Wiman Danzig goin to decision is a definite. Dont think im going to be able to do prop bets on them tho as they arent main card fights which sucks! Will probly put a unit on Wiman winning and Griffin. Also gonna have small plays on Macdonal, Franklin and Rothwell. Thn big money on Wilks and Thiago.
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Ya I think Griffin/Dunham will most likely go the distance, although I expect to see some steep juice on it.
I actually lean Danzig in that fight. He is a much more technical striker, has better cardio and likes to use kicks/punches to the body which Wiman is susceptable to. Both guys have great ground games and use sweeps and butterfly guards to improve their positioning so I expect the ground game to be somewhat of a wash. I don't think either one will be able to sub the other. The X-factor for Wiman is his wrestling and how effective his takedowns will be. He usually employs them in the first round of fights and has great explosiveness early on, but his success rate into the 2nd and 3rd rounds is very low. He seems to abandon it once he gets stuffed a couple times as it saps his energy. Should be a very entertaining fight. I doubt I'll have a play on it seeing as though i have a play on the over, but I may go small on Danzig by decision if the odds are worth it. I will most likely be on Griffin as well depending on the price, but will be against you on Thiago. I'd love to get Kampmann at a dog price.Comment -
TUF 11 Finale:
Keith Jardine (+135) 2.5 units to win 3.375 unitsComment -
Kampmann's got to turn it into a grappling match if he's going to win this fight. He's going to have problems if he gives Thiago opportunities to strike. He may be technically sound as a striker on the offensive end but he lacks power and his defense isn't that good at all.Comment -
cant wait.Comment -
i think Danzig is getting more desperate to win and therefore will put in a valiant effort in this fight... i also still believe in my new kid theory( he has a new daughter).Comment -
well danzig is going to need some advantage
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Ye I think the pattern may be broken on Saturday! I see Wiman decision win!Comment -
Blah, I'm late to the party. Why in the hell did they release lines in the middle of the day when i'm at work! Im gunna ask 5Dimes to hook me up with their lines maker who set Kampmann @ +325 to be my personal bookie lol.
UFC 115:
Martin Kampmann (+160) 1.5 units to win 2.4 units
Nothing else for now. They didn't release most of what i was waiting for anyway. Looking for Miranda, Funch, Condit/Mcdonald goes the distance and Griffin by decision (if odds are crap i'll parlay him winning with something else)...Comment -
Bellator 23:
Patricio Freire (-150) 1.875 units to win 1.25 unitsComment -
Really wanted to avoid this fight but I'm priced in at these odds.
UFC 115:
Mirko CroCop (+143) 1.05 units to win 1.5 unitsComment -
UFC 115:
Mario Miranda (-115) 2.3 units to win 2 units
Ricardo Funch (+215) 1 unit to win 2.15 unitsComment -
Adding:
UFC 115:
Miranda (-155) 3.1 units to win 2 unitsComment -
Messed up on Funch. Should have waited, line is diving down.Comment -
Very surprised by the condit/macdonald goes the distance line! made me go
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UFC 115:
Dunham/Griffin goes the distance (-110) 2.2 units to win 2 units
Condit/Macdonald goes the distance (+350) 2 units to win 7 unitsComment -
May upgrade a few plays or add a parlay but this should be the bulk if it.
UFC 115 Recap:
Wiman/Danzig goes the distance (-165) 3.3 units to win 2 units
Chuck Liddell (+138) 1.25 units to win 1.725 units
Martin Kampmann (+160) 1.5 units to win 2.4 units
Mirko CroCop (+143) 1.05 units to win 1.5 units
Mario Miranda (-115) 2.3 units to win 2 units & (-155) 3.1 units to win 2 units
Ricardo Funch (+215) 1 unit to win 2.15 units
Dunham/Griffin goes the distance (-110) 2.2 units to win 2 units
Condit/Macdonald goes the distance (+350) 2 units to win 7 unitsComment -
lol I hit those goes the distance props and they have already moved from +350 to +260 and -110 to -130. Helps make up for my crappy lines on Funch and Kampmann.Comment -
I think thats the linesmakers mentality but frame of work is definitely needed. Macdonald may have finished all of his opponents but they arent of the quality of Condit. As well, Condit is ridiculously durable. He hasn't been finished in 3 years and his last 2 fights have been split decisions. He took some crazy shots from Ellenberger and somehow recovered to win the fight. Macdonald could possibly sub him as Condit is extremely offensive and sometimes puts himself in bad positions on the ground. On the flip side, I dont see Condit subbing Macdonald with Macdonalds sub defense. You never know though!Comment -
Solid points, I would have loved to get it at +350 but it's already been pounded.Comment -
+350 = massive win!Comment -
I like the Liddell and Kampmann bets.Comment -
Where/when did you get Miranda at -115?!?! That's Christmas!Comment -
Yup, awesome. I get screwed by the judges again...love it when the mma sites i follow see it the same as me and then the judges go a totally different direction...
Last time i checked u need to actually do something in a fight to win it.Comment -
Bloodyelbow:
"That may be the absolute worst decision I have ever seen in my life. That is so ungodly bad I have no words."Comment -
Don't see what the judges were looking at. Curran maybe won the third, maybe. That's it.Comment -
Hedge Parlay:
Franklin by Decision/Loiseau/Thiago (+1597) 0.45 units to win 7.2 unitsComment -
I tivo'd the Bellator fight since it was tape delayed in LA for a Angels game replay so haven't watched it yet... but from all accounts, it sounds like we got a bad beat there...
At least my Celtics -4 came through to offset some of the loss, but not all unfortunately since I had more on Imada. Argh.
Gotta finish fights these days. Seems more apparent than ever...Comment -
gl this weekend sirComment -
How does anyone with any knowledge of MMA score that fight for Curran? Are these judges blind? That was 30-27 Imada or 29-28 at worst. MMA is getting as corrupt as boxing.Comment -
I don't thinks its corruption, more about incompetence and inconsistency. These judges have no idea what they are supposed to be watching for. Curran won a round last night by landing 1 punch lol...pathetic.
Thanks, you too!
Ya I agree. Thats why I've started to put more stock into my prop plays rather than trying to determine winners in fights that I expect to go the distance. Hard to put money on a guy if you don't think he can finish his opponent, regardless if you feel he will still dominate the fight - judges are like flipping a coin.I tivo'd the Bellator fight since it was tape delayed in LA for a Angels game replay so haven't watched it yet... but from all accounts, it sounds like we got a bad beat there... At least my Celtics -4 came through to offset some of the loss, but not all unfortunately since I had more on Imada. Argh.
Gotta finish fights these days. Seems more apparent than ever...Comment
