Eccocide's MMA Picks

[SweatySombrero]

Fight Parlay: Marquardt/Davis (-125) 3 units to win 2.4 units

I have missed the boat on both of these plays at the opening lines so I decided to go ahead and parlay them. I think both guys have a definitive advantage in their fights so I'm not too worried aabout the added risk of the parlay. Marquardt is going to roll over Sonnen and Davis will have no problem getting Stann to the ground and GnP'ing him out.


o yeah. all the time

[Eccocide]

lol not sure why you brought up a bet from February but

[Educ8d Degener8]

Ya I agree. Thats why I've started to put more stock into my prop plays rather than trying to determine winners in fights that I expect to go the distance. Hard to put money on a guy if you don't think he can finish his opponent, regardless if you feel he will still dominate the fight - judges are like flipping a coin.

So true. (another option would be to hop on dogs in fights you think will go to the cards)

Check out the Lesnar vs Carwin does not go to decision prop. It's a hefty -900, but I expect it to move upwards of -1300 or above by fight time... Similar to the Lesnar vs Mir 2 prop of the same bet. It's pricey line, but... 5 possible rounds for Lesnar and Carwin to finish a fight. Me thinks there'll be no decision there.

Could pair with another heavy chalk bet like Cyborg (-2000) for a 17% return. Gawd, I sound like a super square suggesting that, but f*ck, I'm more confident in that parlay than putting cash in the stock market

[JohnGalt2341]

haha the new kid theory is very real! I used it with the Bisping Miller fight and also used it in past with Pellegrino, Velasquez and Shogun and it worked!

I can't explain it but for some reason or another I also believe in the New Kid theory. I may have to lay some money on Danzig even though it goes against my better judgment.

[Vaughany]

I can't explain it but for some reason or another I also believe in the New Kid theory. I may have to lay some money on Danzig even though it goes against my better judgment.

I think Wiman puts an end to tht theory tonight tho!

[Eccocide]

I swear the refs look at what I bet and fuk me. First yves stops it early when Danzig is fine. Then the ref stops the condit fight with 7 secs.... Brilliant.

[Eccocide]

Liddell +3.5 points (-175) 3.5 units to win 2 units.

Didn't see this prop till now. Wonder what it opened at.

[Eccocide]

Thank you kampann. Beautiful performance. Needed that.

[illmatick]

nice!!

Kampmann saved me as well, just need to cash these damn straddles now

[Eccocide]

Crocop by submission. How epic!!! Shoulda put more on him!!!

[Eccocide]

Extremely dissappointing night for me. That condit stoppage was a 9 unit swing plus the danzig stoppage was another unlucky stoppage. Wish I didn't see the chuck points prop. Put me in the negative even with the kampmann, Miranda and crocop wins. -3.55 units on the night.

[Vaughany]

Even worse for me Eccocide thanx to Thiago and Barry = -4 units. Counting on Algeria Slovenia being a draw, there being less then 3 goals and serbia and germany not to lose tomorrow!

[lasker]

Great night for me tonight, I won big on Dunham (had him against Escudero too... Dunham is elite and easily one of the most overlooked guys in the UFC) and got Franklin at +128 at the last minute on bookmaker. Franklin went from a favorite to a dog at the last minute, and although it concerned me a bit I couldn't pass that up. I also lost on the Danzig robbery. Yves Lavigne has been responsible for some of the very worst refereeing I've ever seen. The Matt Brown vs Pete Sell fiasco is another example.

[Eccocide]

Nothing that really stands out to me right now for the cards coming up. Lean Lawler for tonight but doubt I will make a play on it. One parlay that starts tonight:

Zaromskis/Gunderson 2 fight parlay (-115) 2.3 units to win 2 units

[Eccocide]

UFC 116:

Grove (+145) 1.75 units to win 2.54 units
Bonnar/Soszynski goes the distance (+120) 2 units to win 2.4 units

[Eccocide]

WEC 49:

Kamal Shalorus (+140) 2 units to win 2.8 units
Josh Grispi (-120) 1.8 units to win 1.5 units
Will Campuzano (+180) 1 unit to win 1.8 units

[stefan084]

Ecco what makes you like Shalorus? it seems like he just swings for the fences constantly with no technique. I think Varner catches him in the stand up. Or are you expecting Shalorus to get it to the ground? I've only seen Shalorus a couple times though

[Vaughany]

SHalours showed better striking technique before his last fight...he's an Olmpic level wrestler as well. Good value at +160 or better

[Eccocide]

Ecco what makes you like Shalorus? it seems like he just swings for the fences constantly with no technique. I think Varner catches him in the stand up. Or are you expecting Shalorus to get it to the ground? I've only seen Shalorus a couple times though

Havent had much time for writeups lately but just something quick. Varner is definitely the more technical striker, but Shalorus has some power in his hands. I think the threat of the takedown will limit Varner's ability to use his kicks which will leave him more predictable and easier for Shalorus to time for the big shot or scoop for the takedown. Varner is a solid wrestler and has a good sprawl but Shalorus is on another level in that department. I think he can dictate where the fight goes, and its better for him to have Varner on his back for most of the fight.

However, I've been ice cold as of late, especially outside the UFC so take what I say with a grain of salt lol..at least the world cup has treated me well so far.

[stefan084]

maybe i'll see if his line goes up before the fight and play him

[Eccocide]

TUF 11 Finale:

Keith Jardine (+135) 2.5 units to win 3.375 units

Adding:

TUF 11 Finale:

Keith Jardine by decision (+328) 1 unit to win 3.28 units
McCray/McGee goes the distance (-120) 1.8 units to win 1.5 units

[Vaughany]

Adding:

TUF 11 Finale:

Keith Jardine by decision (+328) 1 unit to win 3.28 units
McCray/McGee goes the distance (-120) 1.8 units to win 1.5 units

Awesome bets Ecco...will be doing the same as soon as PaddyPower pull the finger out and make them available!
Also want Simpson by decision....what are the odds for tht on your site??

[Eccocide]

Tnx Vaughany! Need a good night lol.

Simpson by Decision is at +204 right now. I think thats a solid bet as well, although I tend to stay away from Leben fights cuz I never know what to expect from the guy.

[Vaughany]

Tnx Vaughany! Need a good night lol.

Simpson by Decision is at +204 right now. I think thats a solid bet as well, although I tend to stay away from Leben fights cuz I never know what to expect from the guy.

Yee as long as Atrain doesn't stand with him for too long he should be fine I hope! After seeing Rosholt dominate Leben, I'd be shocked if Simpson didn't beat him comfortably!

[ufcmma36]

However, Leben knows he is on a huge slump and may get his walking papers after this fight! I'd say there is definitely a small play. Leben is tough and if he trains hard for this fight he very well could win!

[Eccocide]

WEC/Sengoku Parlay:

Fabiano/Sandro/Barao 3 fight parlay (+128) 2 units to win 2.56 units

and a small action play for tonight:

TUF 11 Finale:

Noke/McCray 2 fight parlay (+331) 1 unit to win 3.31 units


TUF 11 Finale Recap:
Keith Jardine (+135) 2.5 units to win 3.375 units
Keith Jardine by decision (+328) 1 unit to win 3.28 units
McCray/McGee goes the distance (-120) 1.8 units to win 1.5 units
Noke/McCray 2 fight parlay (+331) 1 unit to win 3.31 units

A lot of love for Hamill, McGee and Bryant going around so if my luck continues as is, a lot of ppl on the board will be happy haha.

[JuicedUp]

Fight Parlay: Marquardt/Davis (-125) 3 units to win 2.4 units I have missed the boat on both of these plays at the opening lines so I decided to go ahead and parlay them. I think both guys have a definitive advantage in their fights so I'm not too worried aabout the added risk of the parlay. Marquardt is going to roll over Sonnen and Davis will have no problem getting Stann to the ground and GnP'ing him out. o yeah. all the time

WTF??? What is this nonsense?

[Eccocide]

WTF??? What is this nonsense?

Lol he is spammer king extraordinaire!!

[illmatick]

really like Mccray here as well, gonna wait and see how i do on the undercard before i pull the trigger

gl

[The HOFF]

WEC 49:

Kamal Shalorus (+140) 2 units to win 2.8 units
Josh Grispi (-120) 1.8 units to win 1.5 units
Will Campuzano (+180) 1 unit to win 1.8 units

I was really late on the Grispi line. I'm on Grispi and Campuzano. Should be some great fights.

[Eccocide]

really like Mccray here as well, gonna wait and see how i do on the undercard before i pull the trigger

gl

Yeah depending on the Jardine/Noke fights I may put something more on McCray. Line is very inflated i think.

I was really late on the Grispi line. I'm on Grispi and Campuzano. Should be some great fights.

Yeah I'm looking for to tomorrow's fights more than tonight!

[Eccocide]

TUF 11 Finale:

Noke/McCray 2 fight parlay (+331) 1 unit to win 3.31 units

Noke cashes the first part of this parlay. Depending on the Jardine outcome I may hedge this parlay with McGee by decision.

[Eccocide]

Going to bite on this since its at +170 now. My late adds usually fail, so i dont expect much

Siver (+170) 0.75 units to win 1.275 units

[WIZARDOFBEANTOWN]

loll ya baby siver beat him?
??????????????????????????????????

[Eccocide]

Surprised one judge had it 30-27, but I did think he won 29-28. I'll take it!!