UFC 102 - Bet on Bread

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  • Bread
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-16-08
    • 23726

    #1
    UFC 102 - Bet on Bread
    Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


    After the SBR Bash II left me completely useless for most the week, I am finally back. And what better way to kick off the return of these amazingly insightful articles than with the UFC 102 card?! I won’t sit here and tell you that this will be the largest drawing event ever, because it won’t be. The star power is just so-so. But when you’re an addict like me, you welcome all action. So without further ado, here are my picks, with some Bash tie-ins.

    Randy Couture -175
    Antonio Noguiera +155

    One of the highlights of this past Vegas weekend was learning that Couture (16-9-0) was signing autographs, and posters Blittydeuce, Puckoff and I speed-walking through the casino to not miss out on the opportunity. The first thing that stood out at me was how awesome his cauliflowered ears were up close. The second thing was that I was expecting this larger than life character. Eye to eye, he looked no taller or broader than I. I truly think that there is about a 32% chance that I could take him. And I’m 100% sure that with the help of Blitty and Pucky he would be in big trouble!


    Bet on the fat guy





    Of course I kid, but it still surprised me. I wish I had seen him in person before the Lesnar fight. There was a lot of early line movement in Couture’s favor, proving that many still think that the 46 year old still has it. This support, even after he was knocked retarded by big Brock Lesnar. I’m not so sure.

    Antonio Rodrigo Noguiera (31-5-1) looked like his goose was permanently cooked in his last fight against Frank Mir. He appeared to be double his listed 33 years of age (which I still suspect is a bit low) and staggered around lethargically as Mir rung his bell over and over and over. The poster-to-remain-anonymous who sat next to me at the SBR Poker Tourney probably still wakes up sweating over the amount he laid on “Minotauro.” Poor guy.

    Color me Cupid but I’m in love with Big Nog here. We later found out that he was ill for that Mir fight. He’s bigger and he is younger (maybe). It’s time to send the legend Randy packing to continue his movie career. I had him sign his picture as “The Scorpion King.” It was a subtle hint, and I’ll bet you he hasn’t stopped thinking about me since Saturday.

    Keith Jardine -145
    Thiago Silva +125

    I’m positive that there is some inter-galactic warrior wandering the Earth, searching for Keith Jardine’s (14-6-1) goatee as the missing ingredient to some potion that will save his planet. I realize that made zero sense, but what does make sense is that I foresee Silva (13-1-0) knocking Jardine’s chinny chin chin rug into the second row on Saturday.

    History is behind Jardine, as he has alternated victories and losses in his last six matches. That’s not overly important. The UFC keeps headlining Jardine, even though he hasn’t really shown much since his amazing upset of Chuck Liddell two years ago. Since that evening, he was absolutely murdered my Wanderlei Silva (Wanderlei’s only victory in forever), won via split decision over Brandon Vera and dropped a decision to Quinton Jackson. Jardine was not a young man when he made a name for himself on TUF at the age of 30. I’m actually surprised that he is favored in this matchup, but I’ll take it.

    Thiago Silva just beats people up. So he got put to sleep in ugly fashion in his last fight. So what? I think the MMA world is about to learn that Lyoto Machida is going to be doing that for years to come. When you take that away, you have one of the hardest strikers in the game with an undefeated record. Of his 13 victories, only one went to the judges. I’m not only expecting a win, but an ugly one reminiscent of the Wanderlei-Jardine rape-choke.


    Time for another assault





    Brandon Vera -200
    Krzysztof Soszynski +170

    You know who is a splitting image of Brandon “The Truth” Vera (10-3-0)? SBR poster Junkyard Dog. Check it out.


    Same guy?





    OK maybe if you slam a case of Coronas and close one eye you can see it. Just trust me. I just hope that JYD has a main squeeze as hot as Vera’s wife. I guess I should talk about the actual fight now.

    Once again, heavy early action has put Vera as the current 1-to-2 favorite. He is mired in a bit of a rut, having lost three of five. His two wins during that stretch came against Michael Patt and Reese Andy. He may be fighting for his UFC life here. It might be time for Dana White to contact the UFC mortician.

    While it might break your keyboard to type out Krzystztof Soszynski, it wouldn’t have broken your bank if you have been backing him. He is 3-0 in the UFC, including a nice dog payout in his last fight against Andre Gusmao. He was a late substitute for Houston Alexander in that one, just as he is a late replacement for the injured Matt Hamill here. Perhaps this can be “The Polish Experiment’s” gig – late sub guy extraordinaire. I like for him to withstand Vera’s kicking game, take it to the ground, and look for a submission for yet another upset.

    Gabriel Gonzaga -360
    Chris Tuchscherer +300

    Tuchscherer (17-1-0) has been mowing them down and finally has earned a shot on the big show. This big boy has been Brock Lesnar’s training partner, and judging by some pictures, it looks like he might have devoured him as well. He was born in a town called Rugby, ND. It’s kind of hard to bet against that, but I’m going to.

    You didn’t really think I was taking four upsets, did you? Gonzaga was knocked out by Shane Carwin and knocked down to the undercard in the process. This is merely a fight to get him back where he belongs. “Napao” packs a wallop as well (not Carwin caliber, but still nasty) and also possesses great submission skills. I’m going with Gonzaga for the easy win over the former plumber.

    Speaking of fighters’ previous occupations, how many are ex-bouncers? All of them? Half? It seems like when I look at their UFC profiles, so many used to be bouncers. How many UFC fighters have kicked me out of a club before? When you really sit down and do the math of how many clubs I’ve been kicked out of, compared to the number of professional MMA fighters and the percentage that used to be nightclub security, I’m pretty sure that the odds of a well-known fighter bouncing me at some time are at about -2000. God I hate authority.

    The Hoff -600
    Bread +450

    Before you go running to your favorite outfit looking for this amazing matchup, everyone just calm down! The Hoff is my partner in crime on the SBR MMA forums here. We share a love for the sport and a ridiculously moronic (at times clever) sense of humor. Hoff made it out to the bash this weekend where we met for the first time. I had a blast with both he, and his girl, Marquette. There is no fight taking place.

    The reason these odds exist is because we posed for a quick picture where we both donned a fighting stance. Because we write about fighting, get it?? Nevermind. So The Hoff gets all serious on me with his muscles and all, while I act the fool as usual and strike some 1800’s dock worker boxing stance. I thought that was that end of it.

    Once the picture made it’s way back to the forum here, it was widely regarded that Hoff would kick my ass, and would be set as about a -600 favorite. I may not be in as good shape as Hoff, but I’m better looking and I play dirty. What that means is that I’m taking yet another upset here. Expect Bread to go WWE style by having Blitty distract the ref with some porn while Bread brings his favorite Ethiopian taxi driver into the Octagon to do some tag team damage on the 80’s icon.

    It’s a fun place in my head sometimes.


    Bet on the fat guy


    Last edited by Willie Bee; 08-28-09, 07:45 AM. Reason: add front page link
  • Eccocide
    SBR MVP
    • 01-12-09
    • 2126

    #2
    I gotta say, you may not have met Randy Couture. That looks more like his long lost African brother Handeeki Coutick tock ti ti. Did you guys lock him in a tanning booth before the picture!?

    Tssk Tssk, don't bet against the Techo Viking when he is angry!! But Nog
    Comment
    • illmatick
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-05-09
      • 5451

      #3
      "I had him sign his picture as “The Scorpion King.” It was a subtle hint, and I’ll bet you he hasn’t stopped thinking about me since Saturday."

      , be leery of Krzysztof, I see him catching an ass whoopin here
      Last edited by illmatick; 08-28-09, 12:19 AM.
      Comment
      • The HOFF
        SBR MVP
        • 07-02-08
        • 4847

        #4
        Originally posted by Bread
        ...while I act the fool as usual and strike some 1800’s dock worker boxing stance.
        Don't pretend that isn't how you really fight.

        Your picks are as warped as your mind. I think it's one of those "either your night or mine."
        Comment
        • Bread
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-16-08
          • 23726

          #5
          Originally posted by The HOFF
          Don't pretend that isn't how you really fight.

          Your picks are as warped as your mind. I think it's one of those "either your night or mine."

          It's mine.
          Comment
          • PuckOff
            SBR MVP
            • 02-14-07
            • 2395

            #6
            Originally posted by Bread
            http://www.sbrforum.com/Betting+Arti...-102-card.aspx

            One of the highlights of this past Vegas weekend was learning that Couture (16-9-0) was signing autographs, and posters Blittydeuce, Puckoff and I speed-walking through the casino to not miss out on the opportunity. The first thing that stood out at me was how awesome his cauliflowered ears were up close. The second thing was that I was expecting this larger than life character. Eye to eye, he looked no taller or broader than I. I truly think that there is about a 32% chance that I could take him. And I’m 100% sure that with the help of Blitty and Pucky he would be in big trouble!
            Bread,
            Being from Canada, I have been trained as a hockey fighter since I was 3 years and 7 months old. I have no doubt that I'd take Couture down on ice. Off the ice I think just you and I would handle him with relative ease. Throw Blitty into the mix and we'd destroy him for sure.

            BTW.....Blitty was a pretty cool Cat as well. I'd like to get on the ice with him to see what he is really made of. He told me he played several times a week (in several leagues) which is pretty cool in my books. Like I said Blitty was a cool Cat and I enjoyed meeting him.
            Comment
            • JoshW
              SBR MVP
              • 08-10-05
              • 3431

              #7
              Thanks for the anonymous mention.

              I am actually betting against Nog this time. We will see how that goes. :|
              Playing Lebon and Marquardt. Hoping for all three, but will take 2 of 3.

              GL
              Comment
              • Bread
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-16-08
                • 23726

                #8
                Josh just keep it under the price of a car this time, Player!
                Comment
                • Willie Bee
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-14-06
                  • 15726

                  #9
                  Also put this in Hoff's thread, didn't want Bread to think I was favoring Hoff more than him

                  1. Randy Couture -165 vs. Antonio Nogueira +145: Tailing Hoff on this one, that's all.

                  2. Keith Jardine -150 vs. Thiago Silva +130: His name rhymes with sardine, and I love sardines with spicy mustard on Saltines.

                  3. Nate Marquardt -160 vs. Demian Maia +140: Marquardt is real close to Marquette, 'nuff said.

                  4. Chris Leben -160 vs. Jake Rosholt +140: I knew a guy in high school named Ross Holt.

                  5. Brandon Vera -185 vs. Krzysztof Soszynski +160: Gotta' go with the guy that has 80% of the letters in the alphabet.

                  6. Gabriel Gonzaga -365 vs. Chris Tuchscherer +305: Zags cost me money in a March Madness game last year, rolling the dice on the dog in this one.

                  7. Mike Russow -265 vs. Justin McCully +225: Heads and I lay the chalk, tails and it's the underdog. Heads it is, Russow gets my nod.

                  8. Todd Duffee -145 vs. Tim Hague +125: Todd & Tim? Is this the rump ranger match of the night. Give me Tim-MAYYYYYYY!

                  9. Ed Herman -135 vs. Aaron Simpson +115: Ed Hermann is one of the greatest voice-actors ever, always like to watch the documentaries he narrates, one of my favorites being Isaac's Storm which is also a wonderful book. He also was spot-on as FDR in the 1970s TV movie about President and Mrs. Roosevelt. And that's all I have to say about Ed Hermann.

                  10. Mark Muñoz -200 vs. Nick Catone +170: Close the evening off with the 2:1 chalk, plus he's bound to have some Latino blood in him and that's a cool thing to have going for you.
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388189

                    #10
                    Classic Bread
                    Antonio Noguiera +155
                    Comment
                    • Junkyard Dog
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-12-07
                      • 4552

                      #11
                      great stuff bread
                      Comment
                      • fiveteamer
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-14-08
                        • 10805

                        #12
                        god I hate UFC
                        Comment
                        • Bread
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-16-08
                          • 23726

                          #13
                          Fiver I hate horses but I don't follow you around telling you that all the time.

                          You're just still angry because you lost money on Jason MacDonald. Go figure. Jason MacDonald. Of all people.
                          Comment
                          • The HOFF
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-02-08
                            • 4847

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Bread
                            It's mine.
                            I guess we will see who has similar picks to Robyn, because they will most likely have the better night.

                            Can we at least agree on one fight so I'm not rooting against you the whole night? How about Marcus A-U-R-E-L-I-O! Yeah!
                            Comment
                            • Bread
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-16-08
                              • 23726

                              #15
                              I haven't decided on that one yet. May play it, may not. Last second decision.

                              I'm a bit nervous that we are so far off on this one. I might even be happy to break even.
                              Comment
                              • fiveteamer
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 04-14-08
                                • 10805

                                #16
                                I don't start threads about horse racing all the time, now do I???
                                Comment
                                • Bread
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-16-08
                                  • 23726

                                  #17
                                  Keep it up and you will be banned before this day is over.
                                  Comment
                                  • Bread
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-16-08
                                    • 23726

                                    #18
                                    Thus far -

                                    Nogueira +160 3 units
                                    Silva +140 5 units
                                    Maia +165 10 units
                                    Leben -135 5 units
                                    Munoz -215 2.5 units
                                    Aurelio -150 2.5 units

                                    PARLAY
                                    Nog/Maia Risk 2.5 units to win 12.8 units


                                    More to come.
                                    Comment
                                    • Bread
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-16-08
                                      • 23726

                                      #19
                                      Adding

                                      Krys +190 2.5 units
                                      Simpson +110 2.5 units
                                      Comment
                                      • smarmy
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-03-08
                                        • 1863

                                        #20
                                        5 units on Leben???? Are you hoping for a win via foot stomp?
                                        Comment
                                        • Robyn
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-05-08
                                          • 9681

                                          #21
                                          Bread, post my bets in here, too. K, thanks.
                                          Comment
                                          • Bread
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-16-08
                                            • 23726

                                            #22
                                            Robyn's money bets -

                                            Couture 1 unit
                                            Silva 2 units
                                            Maia 2 units
                                            Leben 2 units
                                            Krys 5 units
                                            Russow 1 unit
                                            Duffee 3 units
                                            Simpson 2 units
                                            Catone 1 unit
                                            Aurelio 5 units
                                            Comment
                                            • Robyn
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-05-08
                                              • 9681

                                              #23
                                              Thank you.
                                              Comment
                                              • RogueJuror
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 07-08-08
                                                • 10010

                                                #24
                                                junky got featured in a bread article

                                                Comment
                                                • RogueJuror
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 07-08-08
                                                  • 10010

                                                  #25
                                                  robyn im tailing your picks

                                                  Comment
                                                  • MexicanStallion
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 09-08-08
                                                    • 20429

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Bread
                                                    Robyn's money bets -

                                                    Couture 1 unit
                                                    Silva 2 units
                                                    Maia 2 units
                                                    Leben 2 units
                                                    Krys 5 units
                                                    Russow 1 unit
                                                    Duffee 3 units
                                                    Simpson 2 units
                                                    Catone 1 unit
                                                    Aurelio 5 units
                                                    I have all of these except for the 2 marked above
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Bread
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-16-08
                                                      • 23726

                                                      #27
                                                      Holy shit Mex and Rubyn are on the same wavelength.

                                                      RJ you never know who will pop up in my stuff.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Robyn
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-05-08
                                                        • 9681

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by MexicanStallion
                                                        I have all of these except for the 2 marked above
                                                        Then you definitely had a semi decent night.

                                                        I am taking a break from any kind of sports betting. I think my record was 5-6 or some gay shit.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Eccocide
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-12-09
                                                          • 2126

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Robyn
                                                          Then you definitely had a semi decent night.

                                                          I am taking a break from any kind of sports betting. I think my record was 5-6 or some gay shit.
                                                          Don't pack in it Robyn!! 5-6 isnt all that bad, coulda been worse...There's some nice juicy dogs on UFC 103 - you'll turn it around then .
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Robyn
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-05-08
                                                            • 9681

                                                            #30
                                                            I guess I will wait and see. I will say for a fact that I am never betting on any other MMA fights other than the UFC. The empire I have been building has crumbled horribly.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Bread
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-16-08
                                                              • 23726

                                                              #31
                                                              3-1 on write up. Now I just need to go find Hoff to make it 4-1
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Eccocide
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-12-09
                                                                • 2126

                                                                #32
                                                                Nice call on Silva Bread....Techno Viking should stick to dancing, not fighting
                                                                Comment
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