UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis (November 03, 2018)

[PaperTrail07]

[JIBBBY]

Had to record this event and watch.. Some good dog upsets.

Hugo and a few others were right about Jacare, I do think Weidman was winning the stand up battle and up on the cards before he got dropped like a bad habit.. All it takes is one punch.. Jacare landed it.. I got that one wrong.. Good job Jacare backers...

DC was easy money and it's not a coincidence that he has a knack for getting sub wins against the guys he likes.. I hope some of you guys picked up on that.. DC by sub..

Was a good event, I enjoyed it and made a few bucks..

[Demonata]

I fell asleep like a boss

[WolfTicketDealer]

Really looking forward to tomorrow. While this card is sorta underwhelming for a MSG card, should still be some fun fights and I see good value in a few different spots. Let's get to it.

2018 UFC SBR YTD: +1.91 units

Lewis vs. Cormier
Fight starts Round 3 (+235) 0.5 u

Weidman vs. Jacare
Jacare (+150) 3 u
Jacare ITD (+251) 1 u
Jacare Round 1 (+475) 0.5 u

Roberson vs. Marshman
Roberson Round 1 (+195) 0.5 u

Arce vs. Moraes
Arce KO/TKO (+845) 0.25 u

Vannatta vs. Frevola
Frevola (+220) 1.5 u

Hedge: Vannatta Round 1 (+225) 1 u

Kelleher vs. Jackson
Kelleher (+125) 1 u
Kelleher ITD (+425) 0.5 u

Wieczorek vs. de Lima
Wieczorek KO/TKO (+900) 0.25 u

Best of luck to everyone. I think Knight, Arce, and Burgos minus the points are parlayable. I would be a tad cautious with Adesanya; if that fight does hit the mat, Brunson has a pretty huge advantage. I still think the Stylebender gets it done, but like some of the other -250 to -300 guys more.

Wound up being a solid night overall, though I think Frevola should have gotten the nod. That Jacare fight was fun, a tad ridiculous that two judges had it 20-18 Weidman going into the third but luckily that didn't matter. So nice to have all these cards, I'm already excited about next week.

2018 UFC SBR YTD: +5.42 units

[JAKEPEAVY21]

what's with these whiny little turds trying to constantly tell us how great they are at betting UFC?

there is something about this sport that draws in some of the neediest, low self esteem attention whores(gabe, joshknows etc etc)

if you do well enough, people will notice...enough of the self promotion.

[JIBBBY]

what's with these whiny little turds trying to constantly tell us how great they are at betting UFC?

there is something about this sport that draws in some of the neediest, low self esteem attention whores(gabe, joshknows etc etc)

if you do well enough, people will notice...enough of the self promotion.

Tell em Jakey!! Lol...

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis Picks:
Marcos Rogerio de Lima Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Montel Jackson Round 1 TKO (Punches) -> Cancelled
Shane Burgos Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Lando Vannata Round 1 TKO (Punches) -> Majority Draw
Lyman Good Round 2 KO (Punches)
Julio Arce Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Sijara Eubanks Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Jason Knight Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Israel Adesanya Round 1 TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
Karl Roberson Round 1 KO (Punches)
David Branch Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Jacare Souza Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Daniel Cormier Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Rogerio de Lima vs. Wieczorek
Rogerio de Lima (+230) +2.3u
Rogerio de Lima Round 1 (+450) -1u

Hedge(s):
Wieczorek Round 2 (+450) -.5u
Wieczorek KO/TKO (+900) -.5u

Result: Marcos Rogerio de Lima Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Fight: +0.3u
Card: +0.3u

Fight #2: Jackson vs. Kelleher
Jackson ITD (+325) +0u
Jackson Submission (+1500) +0u

Result: Jackson+Kelleher Cancelled on Fight Day
Fight: +0u
Card: +0.3u

Fight #3: Burgos vs. Holobaugh
Burgos Round 3 (+875) -.5u
Burgos Submission (+950) +4.75u

Result: Shane Burgos Round 1 Submission (Armbar)
Fight: +4.25u
Card: +4.55u

Fight #4: Vannata vs. Frevola
Frevola (+220) +0u
Frevola Submission (+1175) -.5u

Hedge:
Vannata Round 1 (+225) -1u

Result: Majority Draw (29-28 Frevola, 28-28 x2)
Fight: -1.5u
Card: +3.05u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #5: Good vs. Saunders
Good Round 2 (+425) -1u

Result: Lyman Good Round 1 KO (Punches)
Fight: -1u
Card: +2.05u

Fight #6: Arce vs. Moraes
Arce KO/TKO (+845) -1u
Arce Round 2 (+700) -.5u
Arce Round 3 (+1275) -.5u

Hedge:
Moraes KO/TKO (+985) -.5u

Added:
Arce Round 3 (+1475) -.5u

Result: Sheymon Moraes Split Decision (30-26, 29-28, 28-29)
Fight: -3u
Card: -0.95u

Fight #7: Eubanks vs. Modafferi
Eubanks ITD (+305) -1u

Added:
Eubanks ITD (+348) -.5u

Result: Sijara Eubanks Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Fight: -1.5u
Card: -2.45u

Fight #8: Knight vs. Rinaldi
Knight Submission (+310) -1u

Result: Jordan Rinaldi Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-26, 30-25)
Fight: -1u
Card: -3.45u

Main Card:

Fight #9: Adesanya vs. Brunson
Adesanya (-150) +5u
Adesanya ITD (-128) +1u

Hedge:
Brunson Round 1 (+900) -1.5u

Result: Israel Adesanya Round 1 TKO (Knees and Punches)
Fight: +4.5u
Card: +1.05u

Fight #10: Roberson vs. Marshman
Marshman Scorecards = No Action (+329) +0u
Marshman ITD (+499) -1u

Hedge:
Roberson Round 1 (+225) -1u

Result: Karl Roberson Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-26 x2)
Fight: -2u
Card: -0.95u

Fight #11: Branch vs. Cannonier
Branch KO/TKO (+410) -1u
Branch Submission (+580) -1u

Result: Jared Cannonier Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Fight: -2u
Card: -2.95u

Fight #12: Souza vs. Weidman
Souza (+160) +3.2u
Souza ITD (+263) +2.63u
Souza KO/TKO (+835) +4.18u

Hedge:
Weidman Decision (+243) -1u

Added:
Souza Scorecards = No Action (+115) +2.3u

Result: Jacare Souza Round 3 TKO (Punches)
Fight: +11.31u
Card: +8.36u

Fight #13: Cormier vs. Lewis
Cormier Submission (+240) +2.4u
Cormier Round 2 (+300) +1.5u
Cormier Round 3 (+600) -.5u
Cormier Unanimous Decision (+1450) -.5u

Hedge:
Lewis KO/TKO (+790) -1u

Result: Daniel Cormier Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: +1.9u
Card: +10.26u

Straight Parlays:
Burgos/Good/Arce (+100) -1u

Results: See Above
Fights: -1u
Card: +9.26u

Prop Parlays:
Arce/Adesanya -3.5 (-102) -2.04u
Good+Saunders WGD/Adesanya+Brunson WGD (+106) +1.06u
Rogerio de Lima+Wieczorek WSR3/Branch -3.5 (+125) -2u
Burgos -3.5/Eubanks -3.5 (+135) +1.35u
Good+Saunders WGD/Souza+Weidman WGD (+136) +1.36u
Burgos+Holobaugh WGD/Good+Saunders WGD (+138) +1.38u
Burgos+Holobaugh WGD/Branch -3.5 (+153) -1u
Burgos ITD/Adesanya ITD (+330) +1.65u
Rogerio de Lima+Wieczorek WSR2/Jackson/Burgos -3.5 (+399) -.25u

Results: See Above
Fights: +1.51u
Card: +10.77u

Live Betting:
Roberson+Marshman Goes Distance (+135) +1.35u
Souza (+250) +2.5u
Cannonier (+325) +1.63u
Marshman (+350) -.75u
Cormier+Lewis Goes Distance (+400) -.5u

Results: See Above
Fights: +4.23u
Card: +15u

Full Card Props:
Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+266) +0u
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+681) +0u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+2095) +0u

Results: Jackson+Kelleher Fight Cancelled on Fight Day
Fights: +0u
Final Card Total = +15.0u

Multi-Event Parlays:
None

Added:
Cormier/Jones (-140) 7u to win 5.01u

[JIBBBY]

^^ Nice work Hugo!!!!

[Hugo de Naranja]

^^ Nice work Hugo!!!!

Thanks man!

[Sanity Check]

what's with these whiny little turds trying to constantly tell us how great they are at betting UFC?

there is something about this sport that draws in some of the neediest, low self esteem attention whores(gabe, joshknows etc etc)

if you do well enough, people will notice...enough of the self promotion.

That's a great example.

When he was active here JoshKnows was the best MMA/UFC capper. (I know that feel)

For whatever reason, people didn't like him. (I know that feel, too)

People tend to have thin skin and be on their period.

Go see your gynecologist bro. You have a case of the boo hoo hoos.

[PaperTrail07]

better than people betting Lewis by KO....DC by sub was a +$ call in MMA.....YES it is nice work and a NICE call and maybe you should tail LOL..

The people who called DC are good. We should tail them.

[firekillex]

+240 DC by SUB is a solid prop bet

sanity check probably think lewis threw the fight on purpose because he had a secret deal with popeyes that if he losses hell get free chicken forever since DC is actually from Louisiana they secretly wanted him to win, its all a conspiracy

[Sanity Check]

sanity check probably think lewis threw the fight on purpose because he had a secret deal with popeyes that if he losses hell get free chicken forever since DC is actually from Louisiana they secretly wanted him to win, its all a conspiracy

You thought allowing hordes of illegal immigrants into your country was a good idea.

There isn't room for you to criticize anyone after supporting something that weak minded.

[Demonata]

I should have copied hugos bets!

[Thrilla]

better than people betting Lewis by KO....DC by sub was a +$ call in MMA.....YES it is nice work and a NICE call and maybe you should tail LOL..

"Nice" my ass.

Why did you quote post this sarcastic post of mine 2 days later? Quit trying to impress people with this. lol

It took you a month to answer that "free money" (IDK which fighter it was) call of yours that lost. Couple months back. Asked it like 3 or 4 times. You kept ignoring.

Pathetic. I bang my head when I don't beat the closing odds and you said you didn't care. You are not on my level son.

Have fun with your -850 selection parlays.

[Thrilla]

With UFC 230 in the books, MMA Fighting’s Luke Thomas and Chuck Mindenhall break down the top storylines coming out of Saturday night.

[Thrilla]

[PaperTrail07]

you overfocus on 1 loss and it didn't deserve a response....it was perdro vs St Preux....LOL....highly over focused on a single fight.....and no I don't care if I beat the closing odds on a fight tossed in a few weak parlays.....If I took the prob early...why the penetrate would I care about a closing line? You think ANYONE is really investing $ on a -850....no they aren't....I'm just saying don't hate on people for calling the fight right LOL....bc we know you burn em when it loses LOL..

"Nice" my ass.

Why did you quote post this sarcastic post of mine 2 days later? Quit trying to impress people with this. lol

It took you a month to answer that "free money" (IDK which fighter it was) call of yours that lost. Couple months back. Asked it like 3 or 4 times. You kept ignoring.

Pathetic. I bang my head when I don't beat the closing odds and you said you didn't care. You are not on my level son.

Have fun with your -850 selection parlays.

[Thrilla]

you overfocus on 1 loss and it didn't deserve a response....it was perdro vs St Preux....LOL....highly over focused on a single fight.....and no I don't care if I beat the closing odds on a fight tossed in a few weak parlays.....If I took the prob early...why the penetrate would I care about a closing line? You think ANYONE is really investing $ on a -850....no they aren't....I'm just saying don't hate on people for calling the fight right LOL....bc we know you burn em when it loses LOL..

[LBfightlife]

Nice work Hugo

[Hugo de Naranja]

Nice work Hugo

Thanks man

[Hugo de Naranja]

Could someone please start a thread for UFC Denver?

[strictlypaypal]

Yes please. I totally would if i knew how to post the odds chart

[Thrilla]

Take a slow motion trip back through some of the most exciting moments from UFC 230.