UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis (November 03, 2018)

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

Pay-Per-View 10:00 pm ET
Daniel Cormier vs Derrick Lewis (for heavyweight title)
Ronaldo Souza vs Chris weidman
David Branch vs Jared Cannonier
Jack Marshman vs Karl Roberson
Israel Adesanya vs Derek Brunson

FS1, 8:00 pm ET
Jason Knight vs Jordan Rinaldi
Sijara Eubanks vs Roxanne Modafferi
Julio Arce vs Sheymon Moraes
Lyman Good vs Ben Saunders

UFC Fight Pass 6:30 pm ET
Matt Frevola vs Lando Vannata
Shane Burgos vs Kurt Holobaugh
Montel Jackson vs Brian Kelleher
Marcos Rogerio vs Adam Wieczorek

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

[Teem]

STEAM ROLLAAAAA! Haha, I remember being in STL and this dude had about 50 people screaming that every 5 minutes leading up to his fight. Then he goes out there and gets stream rolled himself. Hopefully Groovy puts on a clinic.

[Teem]

Entertaining fighters on this card. Should be a fun one.

[Thrilla]

Cool poster

[PaperTrail07]

SHIP IT

#1) UFC Fighting
Selection : I. Adesanya 11/3/2018 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line -330 for Game

#2) UFC Fighting
Selection : L. Vannata 11/3/2018 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line -315 for Game

#3) UFC Fighting
Selection : S. Burgos 11/3/2018 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line -320 for Game

[PaperTrail07]

ALL (3) ITD Amazing Card IMO Excited

[PaperTrail07]

Burgos should be -700 LOL.....

[WolfTicketDealer]

May be in the minority on this, but I think that Vannata line is way too wide. Vannata has a fun style and I enjoy watching his fights but he's definitely reliant on first round finishes and slows down if he doesn't get that finish.

[Hugo de Naranja]

SHIP IT

#1) UFC Fighting
Selection : I. Adesanya 11/3/2018 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line -330 for Game

#2) UFC Fighting
Selection : L. Vannata 11/3/2018 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line -315 for Game

#3) UFC Fighting
Selection : S. Burgos 11/3/2018 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line -320 for Game

Did you know that Adesanya ML opened up (-135)?

[firekillex]

Did you know that Adesanya ML opened up (-135)?

thats insane.. sad i missed that one

wonder what DC sub prop will be at

[Thrilla]

Event Background

A UFC Heavyweight Championship bout between champion Daniel Cormier (also the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion) and Derrick Lewis is expected to headline the event.^[3]

A bout for the vacant UFC Women's Flyweight Championship between former UFC Women's Bantamweight Championship challenger Valentina Shevchenko and Sijara Eubanks was expected to serve as the event headliner.^[4] Shevchenko was initially expected to face former UFC Women's Strawweight Champion Joanna Jędrzejczyk at UFC 231 for the title, but due to UFC 230 being in need of a main event, she was booked against Eubanks sooner.^[5] Eubanks was expected to face Jessica Eye at UFC 232, before being moved to this bout.^[6] After the UFC announced Cormier/Lewis on October 9, they confirmed this bout was canceled and that Shevchenko would return to her original bout at UFC 231.^[3] Eubanks will remain on the event and will face former title challenger Roxanne Modafferi.^[7]

A middleweight bout between former interim UFC Middleweight Championship challenger (as well as 2000 Olympic silver medalist and world champion in freestyle wrestling) Yoel Romero and Paulo Costa was scheduled for the event. However, Romero indicated in mid-August that while he has been cleared to fight, his doctors have recommended that he wait another four to five months (early 2019) to allow facial injuries incurred during his most recent fight to fully heal.^[8]

A lightweight bout between Dustin Poirier and former UFC Lightweight Championship challenger and The Ultimate Fighter 5 lightweight winner Nate Diaz was expected to take place at the event. However on October 10, it was reported that Poirier pulled out due to injury and the bout was cancelled.^[9]

A bantamweight bout between Brian Kelleher and Domingo Pilarte was expected to take place at the event. However on October 10, it was reported that Pilarte pulled out due to injury and was replaced by Montel Jackson.^[10]

Sultan Aliev was expected to face Lyman Good at the event, but he pulled out due to injury. He was replaced by Ben Saunders.^[11]

A middleweight bout between former UFC Middleweight Champions Luke Rockhold (also former Strikeforce Middleweight Champion) and Chris Weidman was expected to take place at the event.^[12] The two previously met at UFC 194 where Rockhold defeated then champion Weidman with a fourth round knockout.^[13] However, Rockhold pulled out on October 19 due to multiple injuries.^[14] He was replaced by another former Strikeforce champion Ronaldo Souza, who was initially scheduled to face former WSOF Middleweight and Light Heavyweight Champion David Branch in the event. Branch will now face Jared Cannonier.^[15]

Ruslan Magomedov was expected to face Marcos Rogério de Lima at the event. However on October 24, it was reported that he pulled out of the event due to vısa issues and was replaced by Adam Wieczorek.^[16]

[firekillex]

+240 DC by SUB is a solid prop bet

[PaperTrail07]

Hugo I was watching the lines like penetrating HAWK and never saw that line....if it did....it was super early $250 max so I am not sweating it LOL.....

Did you know that Adesanya ML opened up (-135)?

[PaperTrail07]

Have you watched the Steam ROLLA LOL.....he is COMPLETELY outclassed here....

May be in the minority on this, but I think that Vannata line is way too wide. Vannata has a fun style and I enjoy watching his fights but he's definitely reliant on first round finishes and slows down if he doesn't get that finish.

[PaperTrail07]

even $ or less LOL....

thats insane.. sad i missed that one

wonder what DC sub prop will be at

[Thrilla]

MMA Pros Pick

[Hugo de Naranja]

Hugo I was watching the lines like penetrating HAWK and never saw that line....if it did....it was super early $250 max so I am not sweating it LOL.....

It stayed around for about 3 seconds, then (-150), (-165), (-225) etc

[Hugo de Naranja]

+240 DC by SUB is a solid prop bet

Got 1u down on that

[WolfTicketDealer]

Have you watched the Steam ROLLA LOL.....he is COMPLETELY outclassed here....

We'll see about that. I think Vannatta's striking is overrated. It's flashy and makes for fun fights, but it also is in my opinion very energy inefficient which results in him gassing if he doesn't get an early finish. He appeared to change this in his last fight against Klose (less unnecessary movement), but usually when you make such a change in style, it takes a few fights to materialize properly. Not only did Lando lose every round, he also gassed in the 3rd.

This isn't even mentioning his poor defense. Dude gets tagged by pretty much everyone he fights.

[firekillex]

anybody have thoughts on Weidman vs Souza?

[Thrilla]

It stayed around for about 3 seconds, then (-150), (-165), (-225) etc

Most likely shitty limits anyway

[WolfTicketDealer]

anybody have thoughts on Weidman vs Souza?

Really like Jacare here. Hasn't been outgrappled since the Rockhold fight which was over 7 years ago. And I honestly think Jacare is better on the feet than Weidman at this point. I would line Jacare at (-200) and think Weidman bettors are relying on past glory.

[Thrilla]

UFC 230 Embedded: Vlog Series

On Episode 1 of UFC 230 Embedded, two-division champion Daniel Cormier readies himself for a uniquely fearless opponent; heavyweight title challenger Derrick Lewis trains for another knockout win. Former middleweight champion Chris Weidman zeroes in on BJJ under his longtime coach, UFC Hall of Famer Matt Serra. Middleweight foe Jacare Souza anticipates a champion versus champion caliber matchup. Lewis feels the spotlight at a local Rockets game, and Cormier decorates pumpkins with his family.

On Episode 2 of UFC 230 Embedded, two-division champion Daniel Cormier does a workout in his swimming pool as his opponent, heavyweight title challenger Derrick Lewis, improves his cardio outdoors. Former middleweight champion Chris Weidman continues his camp in Long Island and discusses fight week hair care; opponent Jacare Souza packs for the trip from Florida to The Big Apple. Cormier arrives in New York City and does media, as Lewis deals with the ripple effect of his last post-fight interview.

[HurlSweatPants]

Kelleher as a dog against Jordan looks legit. No shame in getting KOd by Hands of Stone after dominating Barao.

[PaperTrail07]

Go ahead and post your Steam Rolla Tickets....

[PaperTrail07]

I don't think your giving Klose enough credit personally...

We'll see about that. I think Vannatta's striking is overrated. It's flashy and makes for fun fights, but it also is in my opinion very energy inefficient which results in him gassing if he doesn't get an early finish. He appeared to change this in his last fight against Klose (less unnecessary movement), but usually when you make such a change in style, it takes a few fights to materialize properly. Not only did Lando lose every round, he also gassed in the 3rd.

This isn't even mentioning his poor defense. Dude gets tagged by pretty much everyone he fights.

[Hugo de Naranja]

I don't think your giving Klose enough credit personally...

Not sure why people are so confident in Vannata. He has a grand total of 1 UFC Win in 5 UFC Fights despite being a favorite four times (Makdessi, Teymur, Green, and Klose). Frevola isn’t some worldbeater but there are certainly better (-300) spots than Lando here.

[PaperTrail07]

I am by no means BIG on Vanatta....I just think he is being spoon fed a win bc they like his style......so you think there is value in the steam Rolla at +240?! He should be over +300 IMO.....

Not sure why people are so confident in Vannata. He has a grand total of 1 UFC Win in 5 UFC Fights despite being a favorite four times (Makdessi, Teymur, Green, and Klose). Frevola isn’t some worldbeater but there are certainly better (-300) spots than Lando here.

[PaperTrail07]

Guy has (3) losses in the UFC....Klose, Teymur and El Cucuy......and was only stopped by El Cucuy....Ill take my chances

[Hugo de Naranja]

I am by no means BIG on Vanatta....I just think he is being spoon fed a win bc they like his style......so you think there is value in the steam Rolla at +240?! He should be over +300 IMO.....

They were also trying to “feed him a win” with Green and Klose and that didn’t work. I do think there is value on Frevola at the current price. If Vannata doesn’t KO him early, I think the fight will be very close in the later rounds.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Guy has (3) losses in the UFC....Klose, Teymur and El Cucuy......and was only stopped by El Cucuy....Ill take my chances

Guy has (1) win the UFC...Makdessi...and has never won a UFC fight that started R2.

[PaperTrail07]

Shit I Dunno.....feeding him a win with Klose? Man people have ZERO respect for Klose I guess....LOL.....I respect his skills more than most apparently I don't think they fed him shit...good matchups and he stepped in for the TF fight....feeding is what we will see when Frevola walks in...missed TD attempts and lightyears behind on the feet......

They were also trying to “feed him a win” with Green and Klose and that didn’t work. I do think there is value on Frevola at the current price. If Vannata doesn’t KO him early, I think the fight will be very close in the later rounds.

[PaperTrail07]

Also, Lando's back is to the wall....he knows he needs a W or possibly face being CUT...

[Hugo de Naranja]

Also, Lando's back is to the wall....he knows he needs a W or possibly face being CUT...

This is not compelling logic. You could say the same of a lot of fighters on losing streaks who went on to lose their subsequent fights. No one is ever trying to lose until they get to the point of almost being cut before deciding they want to win.