UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis (November 03, 2018)

[Sanity Check]

Sijara Eubanks is queen of the buffet line.

[firekillex]

They should cut her ugly ass. She is now twitter fighting with everyone including Ben Askren.


Sijara SarJ Eubanks @SarJnCharge

Here go @Benaskren sweating me again... my man you keep my name in your mouth, bruh focus on YOU. Geesh you troll hard. Atleast I can give @jessicaevileye a solid ass whooping, you’ll just wrestle me to death

really sucks shes getting a can and is probably going to win then proceed to talk more trash with the 4-2 record while missing weight lol... i actually hope she gets Valentina sometime soon so shes gets shut fck the fck up

[Thrilla]

Cormier/Lewis o1.5 rounds?

If it ends under 1.5 it's most likely Lewis knocking out DC. You could do a hedge with over 1.5 and Lewis by K.O (if possible R1).

[Thrilla]

You guys got a problem with Puerto Rican looking lesbians?

assholes

[unlearn]

If it ends under 1.5 it's most likely Lewis knocking out DC. You could do a hedge with over 1.5 and Lewis by K.O (if possible R1).

Um no. Fat beast getting choked out early

[JAKEPEAVY21]

she looks like Michael Strahan

[UncleChael]

If it ends under 1.5 it's most likely Lewis knocking out DC. You could do a hedge with over 1.5 and Lewis by K.O (if possible R1).

I think you will be surprised! How can you say that when he literally put out the Heavyweight champ in the 1st lol....

[Thrilla]

I think you will be surprised! How can you say that when he literally put out the Heavyweight champ in the 1st lol....

Unc. Don't fukk with me

Miocic and Lewis have the same toughness and chins?

I wonder why DC keeps saying that he has to tire Lewis out.

[JIBBBY]

Best fight on the card might be Weidman/Jacare.. Both fight similar.. Give the edge standing to Chris, ground edge Jacare..

I certainly see a finish in this fight one way or the other..

Main Card



Chris
Weidman
"The All-American"
vs
Ronaldo
Souza
"Jacare"

UNITED STATES
Country
BRAZIL

14-3-0
Record
25-6-0, 1NC

43%
KO/TKO
28%

29%
SUB
56%

29%
DEC
16%

74 in
Height
73 in

185 lbs
Weight
185 lbs

78 in
Reach
72 in

42 in
Leg Reach
41 in

Significant Strikes

2.95
Landed per minute
2.42

44.56%
Accuracy
45.32%

2.99
Absorbed P/M
2.29

52.54%
Defense
63.48%

[Demonata]

Good luck everyone on your bets. Skipping this card.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Tell me more about Weidman's striking advantage? I think Jacare is pretty clearly better on the feet.

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis Picks:
Marcos Rogerio de Lima Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Montel Jackson Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Shane Burgos Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Lando Vannata Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Lyman Good Round 2 KO (Punches)
Julio Arce Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Sijara Eubanks Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Jason Knight Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Israel Adesanya Round 1 TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
Karl Roberson Round 1 KO (Punches)
David Branch Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Jacare Souza Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Daniel Cormier Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Rogerio de Lima vs. Wieczorek
Rogerio de Lima (+230) 1u
Rogerio de Lima Round 1 (+450) 1u

Hedge(s):
Wieczorek Round 2 (+450) .5u
Wieczorek KO/TKO (+900) .5u

Fight #2: Jackson vs. Kelleher
Jackson ITD (+325) .5u
Jackson Submission (+1500) .5u

Fight #3: Burgos vs. Holobaugh
Burgos Round 3 (+875) .5u
Burgos Submission (+950) .5u

Fight #4: Vannata vs. Frevola
Frevola (+220) 1u
Frevola Submission (+1175) .5u

Hedge:
Vannata Round 1 (+225) 1u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #5: Good vs. Saunders
Good Round 2 (+425) 1u

Fight #6: Arce vs. Moraes
Arce KO/TKO (+845) 1u
Arce Round 2 (+700) .5u
Arce Round 3 (+1275) .5u

Hedge:
Moraes KO/TKO (+985) .5u

Fight #7: Eubanks vs. Modafferi
Eubanks ITD (+305) 1u

Fight #8: Knight vs. Rinaldi
Knight Submission (+310) 1u

Main Card:

Fight #9: Adesanya vs. Brunson
Adesanya (-150) 7.5u to win 5u
Adesanya ITD (-128) 1.28u to win 1u

Hedge:
Brunson Round 1 (+900) 1.5u

Fight #10: Roberson vs. Marshman
Marshman Scorecards = No Action (+329) 1u
Marshman ITD (+499) 1u

Hedge:
Roberson Round 1 (+225) 1u

Fight #11: Branch vs. Cannonier
Branch KO/TKO (+410) 1u
Branch Submission (+580) 1u

Fight #12: Souza vs. Weidman
Souza (+160) 2u
Souza ITD (+263) 1u
Souza KO/TKO (+835) .5u

Hedge:
Weidman Decision (+243) 1u

Fight #13: Cormier vs. Lewis
Cormier Submission (+240) 1u
Cormier Round 2 (+300) .5u
Cormier Round 3 (+600) .5u
Cormier Unanimous Decision (+1450) .5u

Hedge:
Lewis KO/TKO (+790) 1u

Straight Parlays:
Burgos/Good/Arce (+100) 1u

Prop Parlays:
Arce/Adesanya -3.5 (-102) 2.04u to win 2u
Good+Saunders WGD/Adesanya+Brunson WGD (+106) 1u
Rogerio de Lima+Wieczorek WSR3/Branch -3.5 (+125) 2u
Burgos -3.5/Eubanks -3.5 (+135) 1u
Good+Saunders WGD/Souza+Weidman WGD (+136) 1u
Good+Saunders WGD/Burgos+Holobaugh WGD (+138) 1u
Burgos+Holobaugh WGD/Branch -3.5 (+153) 1u
Burgos ITD/Adesanya ITD (+330) .5u
Rogerio de Lima+Wieczorek WSR2/Jackson/Burgos -3.5 (+399) .25u

Full Card Props:
Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+266) 1u
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+681) .5u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+2095) .2u

Multi-Event Parlays:
None

[JIBBBY]

Tell me more about Weidman's striking advantage? I think Jacare is pretty clearly better on the feet.

Ya think.. Jacare is a little wild.. Weidman has good jab and stiff straight right.. So how do think will win and how? I'm taking Weidman by KO.. May still hedge Jacare by sub but doubt it..

This fight is at MSG so ya gotta think CW is gonna bring it and give his very best...

[Hugo de Naranja]

Ya think.. Jacare is a little wild.. Weidman has good jab and stiff straight right.. So how do think will win and how? I'm taking Weidman by KO.. May still hedge Jacare by sub but doubt it..

This fight is at MSG so ya gotta think CW is gonna bring it and give his very best...

Here's a clip from the last time Weidman was "bringing it" at MSG

https://goo.gl/images/i7zr66

[Hugo de Naranja]

Jacare has more power and more diversity of what he can throw on the feet. Solid Head Kick, Overhand Right, and Left Hook.

[JIBBBY]

Here's a clip from the last time Weidman was "bringing it" at MSG

https://goo.gl/images/i7zr66

Good point and that was a hell of a knee from Romero.. Jacare not as explosive with his flying knees.. I think Weidman pulls off a Gastelum type win on Jacare.. Jacare lost to Gastelum in his last fight..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Ronaldo-Souza-8394

Remember CW kicked Gas's ass.. Jacare is getting up in age also now.. Weidman 4 years younger then Jacare.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Remember that Weidman got saved by the bell at the end of R1. He beat Gastelum mostly with wrestling. It's possible that he could win from top position but Jacare is far more dangerous from his back than Gastelum. Do you want to do a BetPoint bet on this one?

[Shagdogy]

Following the Jibbs/Hugo talk of this Jacare vs. Weidman fight and I gotta chime in... don't forget about chins. Weidman gets rocked or dropped a LOT. Jacare so far in his time in the UFC has shown a pretty excellent chin. Even when rocked he recovers quickly. I agree he's aging and showing some signs of slowing but not enough for this line not to be at least even. If Weidman wins, I think he dares to take Jacare down and either play around inside his guard, or takes him down, lets him get up, repeat. If they stay standing I think Weidman could pay the price for trusting his chin.

[JIBBBY]

Remember that Weidman got saved by the bell at the end of R1. He beat Gastelum mostly with wrestling. It's possible that he could win from top position but Jacare is far more dangerous from his back than Gastelum. Do you want to do a BetPoint bet on this one?

No my betpoints are already down on other fighters on this card.. Sure Jacare has a chance, I don't think this fight is a gimmie.. I just favor Chris Weidman in this fight slightly...

I'm still not an SBR PRO yet because of the glitch they have on my account so 2 points a day to you Hugo would drive me crazy.. .. I'll bet you in the future when I am an SBR PRO again..

[Hugo de Naranja]

No my betpoints are already down on other fighters on this card.. Sure Jacare has a chance, I don't think this fight is a gimmie.. I just favor Chris Weidman in this fight slightly...

I'm still not an SBR PRO yet because of the glitch they have on my account so 2 points a day to you Hugo would drive me crazy.. .. I'll bet you in the future when I am an SBR PRO again..

Sounds good bud. Best of luck tonight

[Hugo de Naranja]

Following the Jibbs/Hugo talk of this Jacare vs. Weidman fight and I gotta chime in... don't forget about chins. Weidman gets rocked or dropped a LOT. Jacare so far in his time in the UFC has shown a pretty excellent chin. Even when rocked he recovers quickly. I agree he's aging and showing some signs of slowing but not enough for this line not to be at least even. If Weidman wins, I think he dares to take Jacare down and either play around inside his guard, or takes him down, lets him get up, repeat. If they stay standing I think Weidman could pay the price for trusting his chin.

Exactly. Shaggy knows what's up.

[Shagdogy]

Played this card with a number of parlays. Not much to love for straight value:

De Lima +190, 1u
Jacare +160, 1u

Vannata wins in rd 1 +175, 0.57u

Adesanya+Jackson parlay +136, 1.13u (Jackson cancelled)
Good+Burgos+Vannata parlay +105, 1u
Branch+Burgos/Holobaugh u2.5 parlay +128, 1u
Arce/Adesanya/Cormier parlay +129, 1u (Will look to hedge with Lewis if I win the first 2 legs).

Good luck everyone.

[JIBBBY]

Good luck fellas let's win some money today!!!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Added:
Arce Round 3 (+1475) .5u

[Shagdogy]

Played this card with a number of parlays. Not much to love for straight value:

De Lima +190, 1u
Jacare +160, 1u

Vannata wins in rd 1 +175, 0.57u

Adesanya+Jackson parlay +136, 1.13u (Jackson cancelled)
Good+Burgos+Vannata parlay +105, 1u
Branch+Burgos/Holobaugh u2.5 parlay +128, 1u
Arce/Adesanya/Cormier parlay +129, 1u (Will look to hedge with Lewis if I win the first 2 legs).

Good luck everyone.

Added:
Marshman/Roberson u1.5 +115, 1u.

Roberson is a proven round 1 finisher, but he's also never fought outside of round 1. If Marshman is tough early and Roberson doesn't find immediate success, there's a chance Roberson fades very quickly and we see Marshman's heavy hands go to work in return. I don't love playing unders at 1.5 but this was worth a shot.

[Shagdogy]

Played this card with a number of parlays. Not much to love for straight value:

De Lima +190, 1u
Jacare +160, 1u

Vannata wins in rd 1 +175, 0.57u

Adesanya+Jackson parlay +136, 1.13u (Jackson cancelled)
Good+Burgos+Vannata parlay +105, 1u
Branch+Burgos/Holobaugh u2.5 parlay +128, 1u
Arce/Adesanya/Cormier parlay +129, 1u (Will look to hedge with Lewis if I win the first 2 legs).

Good luck everyone.

Added:
Marshman/Roberson u1.5 +115, 1u.

Roberson is a proven round 1 finisher, but he's also never fought outside of round 1. If Marshman is tough early and Roberson doesn't find immediate success, there's a chance Roberson fades very quickly and we see Marshman's heavy hands go to work in return. I don't love playing unders at 1.5 but this was worth a shot.

Added again:
Lewis/Cormier o1.5 -105, 1.05u

Playing overs in Derrick Lewis fights has been profitable. Cormier has him outclassed but he still doesn't want to rush into a big right hand. If he takes Lewis down, Lewis has proven to be tough to finish quickly there, if at all. Over seems decent at pretty much even.

[Thor4140]

Derrick Lewis is dead meat going into this fight.. Odds should be higher then what they are.. Derrick Lewis is not better then DC standing or on the ground.. Either way he's gonna get smoked...

DC odds are plummeting. Jibby with all your connections do you think you could asked the books why this is. Do they know about an injury that we don't? Did DC hand fall apart and we wont know till after the fight. See what you can do Jibby.

[Thor4140]

Exactly. Shaggy knows what's up.

i feel the same way and to top it off i think im finding some quit in Weidmans game. I thought he looked for an out against Gregard. When things get a little tough for him he starts to cave. Might be just me but im on Jacare also.

[pavyracer]

Is Lewis on steroids? His head is twice as big as Cormier's.

[Sanity Check]

Did Jacare slow down significantly in his fight with Kelvin Gastelum? (I can't remember lol)

Errybody talking about "Jacare's striking" don't want to look @ negatives of "Jacare's cardio".

[pavyracer]

Jackson vs Kelleher fight off.

Kelleher withdraws due to illness.

[LBfightlife]

Your only pick for the night is Weidman Jibbz? Or am I missing something...

[Sanity Check]

Of course, everyone knew Shane Burgos base martial art was BJJ -- its always been said his BJJ is as good if not better than his kickboxing.

[Hugo de Naranja]

That Burgos sub was awesome.