UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 (August 20, 2016)

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  • Hugo de Naranja
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-14-16
    • 14140

    #386
    Originally posted by xagonzx
    I'm with you on all of these, except i have glover > AJ. Let's kill this event! GL!
    I'd definitely be happier with a glover win. Best of luck.
    Comment
    • xagonzx
      SBR Sharp
      • 04-26-16
      • 283

      #387
      Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
      I'd definitely be happier with a glover win. Best of luck.
      Yeah, i saw your bets after i posted that. I like how you structured most of your bets. GL! War Diaz!
      Comment
      • Ty$
        SBR MVP
        • 03-20-16
        • 1241

        #388
        Story down to +115...
        Comment
        • bjpenn85
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-17-11
          • 5059

          #389
          Originally posted by Ty$
          Story down to +115...
          People buy into the notion that story will grind cerrone. People are making the exact same mistake as last time. Funny!
          Comment
          • JIBBBY
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-10-09
            • 83693

            #390


            Alberto
            Uda
            vs
            Marvin
            Vettori

            BRAZIL
            Country
            ITALY

            9-1-0
            Record
            10-2-0

            44%
            KO/TKO
            20%

            44%
            SUB
            70%

            11%
            DEC
            10%

            75 in
            Height
            72 in

            185 lbs
            Weight
            185 lbs

            77 in
            Reach
            74 in

            45 in
            Leg Reach
            41 in



            Rolling the dice with UDA straight but this fight is not a gimmie either way IMO so I decided to hedge it.. Just trying to win $100 or wash it out.. Uda could win by Sub or KO most likely.. 4 subs, 4 ko's and only one decision.. Vettori on the other hand probably has the better wrestling and ground, and most of his wins come by way of Submission so that's where I thought to hedge it.... http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Alber...-Pereira-77297


            Fight #1 -


            $100.00 $145.00 Pending 8/20/16 6:30pm UFC Fighting 2102 Alberto Uda +145* vs Marvin Vettori
            $45.00 $146.30 Pending 8/20/16 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2127 Vettori wins by submission +325* vs Any other result
            Comment
            • Ty$
              SBR MVP
              • 03-20-16
              • 1241

              #391
              Originally posted by bjpenn85
              People buy into the notion that story will grind cerrone. People are making the exact same mistake as last time. Funny!
              Find out tonight. I have cowboy in a few parlays but have story by dec prop. So whatever. I think Story wins personally.
              Comment
              • JIBBBY
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-10-09
                • 83693

                #392


                Colby
                Covington
                "Chaos"
                vs
                Max
                Griffin
                "Pain"

                USA
                Country
                USA

                9-1-0
                Record
                12-2-0

                22%
                KO/TKO
                50%

                44%
                SUB
                17%

                33%
                DEC
                33%

                71 in
                Height
                72 in

                170 lbs
                Weight
                170 lbs

                72 in
                Reach
                76 in

                41 in
                Leg Reach
                41 in



                Covington is the better wrestler, probably takes the fight to the ground and either gets the sub or decision win.. If he can't grind and take Griffin down he could get KO'd.. Lean is Covington but the straight odds are too high, so I liked the U2.5 at +155 as a pretty good bet for this fight.. Could go the distance though but I'm betting against it at the +155, both can finish this fight.. Playing this small and trying to walk away with a benny..

                Fight #2 -

                $70.60 $109.40 Pending 8/20/16 7:00pm UFC Fighting 2001 Max Griffin/Colby Covington Under 2½ +155*
                Last edited by JIBBBY; 08-20-16, 12:17 PM.
                Comment
                • bjpenn85
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-17-11
                  • 5059

                  #393
                  Originally posted by Ty$
                  Find out tonight. I have cowboy in a few parlays but have story by dec prop. So whatever. I think Story wins personally.
                  Most predictions out there and people in general believes story will win by being the larger fighter. I dont think its that simple. I think cerrone will go to work on storys face.
                  Comment
                  • JIBBBY
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-10-09
                    • 83693

                    #394


                    Neil
                    Magny
                    vs
                    Lorenz
                    Larkin
                    "The Monsoon"

                    USA
                    Country
                    USA

                    18-5-0
                    Record
                    17-5-0, 1NC

                    33%
                    KO/TKO
                    59%

                    17%
                    SUB
                    0%

                    50%
                    DEC
                    41%

                    75 in
                    Height
                    71 in

                    170 lbs
                    Weight
                    170 lbs

                    80 in
                    Reach
                    72 in

                    45 in
                    Leg Reach
                    41 in






                    Fight 3 -
                    Magny by decision +146 hedge Larkin ITD +350...


                    $200.00 $292.00 Pending 8/20/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1911 Magny wins by 3 round decision +146* vs Not Magny by 3 round decision
                    Hedge

                    $100.00 $350.00 Pending 8/20/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1905 Larkin wins inside distance +350* vs Not Larkin inside distance

                    Those are my first 3 picks...
                    Last edited by JIBBBY; 08-20-16, 12:50 PM.
                    Comment
                    • Hugo de Naranja
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-14-16
                      • 14140

                      #395
                      Originally posted by bjpenn85
                      People buy into the notion that story will grind cerrone. People are making the exact same mistake as last time. Funny!
                      I noticed that too. For a fighter who is supposed to be "so popular with the betting public" people have been fading Cerrone in every fight since he lost to Dos Anjos the second time.
                      Comment
                      • Ty$
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-20-16
                        • 1241

                        #396
                        Originally posted by bjpenn85
                        Most predictions out there and people in general believes story will win by being the larger fighter. I dont think its that simple. I think cerrone will go to work on storys face.
                        I never said because he's bigger but that helps. He's a much better wrestler and durable as a Diaz. Story has the mental edge I feel. Horror Story grinds this out.
                        Comment
                        • Ty$
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-20-16
                          • 1241

                          #397
                          Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                          I noticed that too. For a fighter who is supposed to be "so popular with the betting public" people have been fading Cerrone in every fight since he lost to Dos Anjos the second time.
                          You're right I went hard on cowboy that fight now I'm fading him til it hits.
                          Comment
                          • Demonata
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 07-12-11
                            • 25829

                            #398
                            Easy main card winniers, tim means, lim,cerrone, rumble, mcgregor
                            Comment
                            • firekillex
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-18-13
                              • 6420

                              #399
                              i was on cote last fight to a lot of people were mainly for the value , thinking cote had a decent shot
                              he got completely outclassed and cerronne showed a ton that fight, when he just goes into fights quick and doesnt give a shit about it he really shines.. its when hes the main event and a ton of spotlight is on him he starts to fade... he is actually bigger then story from the looks of it, better stand up and ground game so you gotta go with cerrone here imo. Story is a super tough in your face grinder who dirty boxes you and has some good power so cowboy better block that body from big shots and i could see him cruising to a decision or maybe a late sub.. im going straight cowboy then small on the decision for me though but i could see the sub having some value cowboy loves jumping on subs if he hurts somebody and he usually always locks it in so
                              Comment
                              • JIBBBY
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-10-09
                                • 83693

                                #400
                                ^^Cowboy by decision fellas and Straight for me.. I think he picks Horror Story apart standing.. Might even stop him..
                                Comment
                                • TPowell
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-21-08
                                  • 18842

                                  #401
                                  I've tossed a unit apiece on Uda and Lobov. I think Uda is the better version of the Italian guy. They'll both try to clinch and brawl from there and yes Uda gassed and showed a shaky chin in the last fight, but he also badly hurt Jake Collier. Have to give guys a pass in their UFC debut if they gas IMO. The Italian is really reckless on the ground (going for heel hooks and crazy stuff) and tends to give up position too easily. Uda has the better ground game here and in the clinch I think he's better as well. Hard to lay much on this since one guy has 1 UFC fight and the other is debuting but I think Uda has value at +150
                                  Comment
                                  • JIBBBY
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-10-09
                                    • 83693

                                    #402
                                    I remember when JoshKnows said this forum section is dead without him, views increased double per event thread when he came on board.... They were maybe reaching 10,000 views after the events were finished...

                                    News flash - This event thread already has 10,000 views and that's before it even started!!!!..

                                    I guess Josh didn't know after all ... SBR UFC section lives on!!!

                                    Let's win some cheddar fellas!!!!

                                    Last edited by JIBBBY; 08-20-16, 02:50 PM.
                                    Comment
                                    • Thrilla
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-10-15
                                      • 13809

                                      #403
                                      Jibbbylicious so so delicious
                                      Comment
                                      • Thrilla
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 03-10-15
                                        • 13809

                                        #404
                                        Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                        I remember when JoshKnows said this forum section is dead without him, views increased double per event thread when he came on board.... They were maybe reaching 10,000 views after the events were finished...

                                        News flash - This event thread already has 10,000 views and that's before it even started!!!!..

                                        I guess Josh didn't know after all ... SBR UFC section lives on!!!

                                        Let's win some cheddar fellas!!!!
                                        Obviously the views increased since the video master (me) started posting more actively.
                                        Comment
                                        • ufcmma36
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-22-10
                                          • 1065

                                          #405
                                          I like the over 1.5 in the Garbrandt fight.. Thinkin Mizugaki can hang in there for a bit, only been ko/tko'd twice. One being Dom Cruz in 2014 an the the other back in 06.
                                          Comment
                                          • TPowell
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 02-21-08
                                            • 18842

                                            #406
                                            Originally posted by ufcmma36
                                            I like the over 1.5 in the Garbrandt fight.. Thinkin Mizugaki can hang in there for a bit, only been ko/tko'd twice. One being Dom Cruz in 2014 an the the other back in 06.

                                            Tough, Garbrandt tends to get clipped more than people realize and Miz's chin definitely can't hold up to a decently clean Garbrandt punch. I like the under but I worry that Miz will try to play keep away and end up getting finished later rather than sooner and won't try to test Cody's chin early like he should
                                            Comment
                                            • ufcmma36
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-22-10
                                              • 1065

                                              #407
                                              You are correct he definitely can get rocked! But he is still pretty well balanced an decent in most areas. I agree he may try an circle quite a bit, maybe gunshy.
                                              Comment
                                              • MikeyPicks1
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 07-15-16
                                                • 578

                                                #408
                                                I grabbed Lobov last night at -118 thinking it was a gift. Now I'm seeing him at better odds, is there something I'm missing here. Help me out fellas, what's your take on this one. If it's already been discussed in an earlier post I apologize, just a bit busy over here and haven't had time to read through. TIA
                                                Comment
                                                • BIGDAY
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 02-17-10
                                                  • 48245

                                                  #409
                                                  It's fight niiiiiiight!!!!


                                                  Comment
                                                  • THE_LOCKSMITH
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 08-25-08
                                                    • 7237

                                                    #410
                                                    Wowwwwwwwwwwwww BigDay fading cowboy, for shame.....

                                                    Last edited by THE_LOCKSMITH; 08-20-16, 03:46 PM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BIGDAY
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 02-17-10
                                                      • 48245

                                                      #411
                                                      Originally posted by THE_LOCKSMITH
                                                      Wowwwwwwwwwwwww BigDay fading cowboy, for shame.....


                                                      Rare occurrence... I know..

                                                      But Story should be able to secure some takedowns and win a decision here. Took the value.

                                                      Remember... WRASTLERS RULE..
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Thrilla
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-10-15
                                                        • 13809

                                                        #412
                                                        - Bruce Buffer will tell you "it's time" to take your next drink every minute on the minute in this power hour video.


                                                        Folks stay hydrated and be focused for those sharp & creative livebets.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Ty$
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-20-16
                                                          • 1241

                                                          #413
                                                          Originally posted by BIGDAY
                                                          Rare occurrence... I know..

                                                          But Story should be able to secure some takedowns and win a decision here. Took the value.

                                                          Remember... WRASTLERS RULE..
                                                          I agree here
                                                          Comment
                                                          • spurginobili
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-09-09
                                                            • 3065

                                                            #414
                                                            Originally posted by MikeyPicks1
                                                            I grabbed Lobov last night at -118 thinking it was a gift. Now I'm seeing him at better odds, is there something I'm missing here. Help me out fellas, what's your take on this one. If it's already been discussed in an earlier post I apologize, just a bit busy over here and haven't had time to read through. TIA
                                                            He impressed during TUF 22 with knockout power, but looked impotent in the finale and his 2nd fight in the UFC, losing both.

                                                            I think he wins this as his career in the UFC might be on the line. Maybe Avila is a killer, I don't know, but this is his 1st fight in the UFC.

                                                            The line reflects Lobov's anemic performance in his 1st two fights and not the promise he showed in TUF.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Thor4140
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 02-09-08
                                                              • 22296

                                                              #415
                                                              Time to head over to the arena. Good luck to u guys an your choppy illegal feeds
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JC2008
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-27-08
                                                                • 2258

                                                                #416
                                                                Let's win some $!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Thrilla
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-10-15
                                                                  • 13809

                                                                  #417
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JIBBBY
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-10-09
                                                                    • 83693

                                                                    #418
                                                                    Originally posted by BIGDAY
                                                                    Rare occurrence... I know..

                                                                    But Story should be able to secure some takedowns and win a decision here. Took the value.

                                                                    Remember... WRASTLERS RULE..
                                                                    Tough call BigDay, Cowboy hasn't been controlled by a wrestler in a very long time.. Story isn't that great of MMA wrestler either as he likes to stand and bang in fights more then shoot for doubles and then lay and pray...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BIGDAY
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 02-17-10
                                                                      • 48245

                                                                      #419
                                                                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                      Tough call BigDay, Cowboy hasn't been controlled by a wrestler in a very long time.. Story isn't that great of MMA wrestler either as he likes to stand and bang in fights more then shoot for doubles and then lay and pray...
                                                                      Well I'm hoping he realizes where his strengths are.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • spurginobili
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 05-09-09
                                                                        • 3065

                                                                        #420
                                                                        Originally posted by JIBBBY

                                                                        Rolling the dice with UDA straight but this fight is not a gimmie either way IMO so I decided to hedge it.. Just trying to win $100 or wash it out.. Uda could win by Sub or KO most likely.. 4 subs, 4 ko's and only one decision.. Vettori on the other hand probably has the better wrestling and ground, and most of his wins come by way of Submission so that's where I thought to hedge it.... http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Alber...-Pereira-77297


                                                                        Fight #1 -


                                                                        $100.00 $145.00 Pending 8/20/16 6:30pm UFC Fighting 2102 Alberto Uda +145* vs Marvin Vettori
                                                                        $45.00 $146.30 Pending 8/20/16 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2127 Vettori wins by submission +325* vs Any other result
                                                                        On Uda too Jibby
                                                                        Comment
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