Bjpenn85s 100 unit in 2016 if not im done with SBR-O thread

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  • bjpenn85
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-17-11
    • 5059

    #36
    UFC FN 91 - Macdonald vs Lineker

    7 units on Lineker @ 1.6 to win - 4.2 units
    2,5 units on M.Lopez @ 1.7 to win - 1.7 units
    Comment
    • Ty$
      SBR MVP
      • 03-20-16
      • 1241

      #37
      Originally posted by bjpenn85
      UFC FN 91 - Macdonald vs Lineker

      7 units on Lineker @ 1.6 to win - 4.2 units
      2,5 units on M.Lopez @ 1.7 to win - 1.7 units
      These are both plays I'm goin against. I feel maybe usada could affect Lineker and Macs speed and reach should be a big problem. I want to like Lopez but I personally know 1 of the last 2 guys he fought and the dude is super green. So it's hard to judge how Lopez will do w a seasoned vet. Especially since Lopez has wrestling. But Yaya really doesn't care he will pull guard. Def tough calls but gotta go + $ with how the dogs been barking.
      Comment
      • Hugo de Naranja
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-14-16
        • 14140

        #38
        Best of luck BJ. Lineker will smash McDonald
        Comment
        • bjpenn85
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-17-11
          • 5059

          #39
          Originally posted by Ty$
          These are both plays I'm goin against. I feel maybe usada could affect Lineker and Macs speed and reach should be a big problem. I want to like Lopez but I personally know 1 of the last 2 guys he fought and the dude is super green. So it's hard to judge how Lopez will do w a seasoned vet. Especially since Lopez has wrestling. But Yaya really doesn't care he will pull guard. Def tough calls but gotta go + $ with how the dogs been barking.
          I will have to agree to some extent here. Rewatching tape now. I actually think im going against my own principles here. Now that Yaya is +140, im maybe bying back what i have one this one.

          Regarding lineker, he has a huge reach disadvantage in every fight, but he doesnt seem to care that much. Font is on par with macdonals striking and he couldnt stick and move.
          Comment
          • bjpenn85
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-17-11
            • 5059

            #40
            Final bets : UFC FN 91 - Macdonald vs Lineker

            7 units on Lineker @ 1.60 to win - 4.2 units

            Its to risky at this point to bet on lopez. His fights are too short and there is no data to evaluate if he can beat the quality of opposition of Yaya. He is athletic, smart guy and all that, but i think its correct, you cant bet on a fighter that have fought 1 minutes every fight with people having 5-2 record. I saw something in Lopez, but yeah once again i have to cancel another bet. Sometimes you just want someone to win, but i cant back that mf here. He appears to be a scrambler, and in exchanges with yaya, you know what yaya do. He has a bunch of tricks. At the same time, yaya is crap at this point as well, so you fading him is tempting, but i need to see a little bit more from someone to go against him here

            I think Lineker will be the likely round winner in this affair, if macdonald can KO or submit him, sure, ille guess he can. But i think the most likely scenario is that Lineker drops bombs on Macdonald the whole fight. Lineker has a pretty good chin, and he has actually a really fast jab as well. He tagged Rob Font multiple times during that, seemingly just out of nowhere. I think the person that beats lineker takes him down, and controls him. Im not sure Macdonald is the guy to take Lineker out. So many have tried, and very few has managed to even make it close. No split decisions, only unanimous dec or straight KOs.
            Last edited by bjpenn85; 07-13-16, 01:43 PM.
            Comment
            • Hugo de Naranja
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-14-16
              • 14140

              #41
              Originally posted by bjpenn85
              I will have to agree to some extent here. Rewatching tape now. I actually think im going against my own principles here. Now that Yaya is +140, im maybe bying back what i have one this one.

              Regarding lineker, he has a huge reach disadvantage in every fight, but he doesnt seem to care that much. Font is on par with macdonals striking and he couldnt stick and move.
              I'm on Yahya already. Since I've followed you you've been correct on every buyback. Let's hope that trend continues.
              Comment
              • Hugo de Naranja
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-14-16
                • 14140

                #42
                Originally posted by bjpenn85
                Final bets : UFC FN 91 - Macdonald vs Lineker

                7 units on Lineker @ 1.60 to win - 4.2 units

                Its to risky at this point to bet on lopez. His fights are too short and there is no data to evaluate if he can beat the quality of opposition of Yaya. He is athletic, smart guy and all that, but i think its correct, you cant bet on a fighter that have fought 1 minutes every fight with people having 5-2 record. I saw something in Lopez, but yeah once again i have to cancel another bet. Sometimes you just want someone to win, but i cant back that mf here. He appears to be a scrambler, and in exchanges with yaya, you know what yaya do. He has a bunch of tricks. At the same time, yaya is crap at this point as well, so you fading him is tempting, but i need to see a little bit more from someone to go against him here

                I think Lineker will be the likely round winner in this affair, if macdonald can KO or submit him, sure, ille guess he can. But i think the most likely scenario is that Lineker drops bombs on Macdonald the whole fight. Lineker has a pretty good chin, and he has actually a really fast jab as well. He tagged Rob Font multiple times during that, seemingly just out of nowhere. I think the person that beats lineker takes him down, and controls him. Im not sure Macdonald is the guy to take Lineker out. So many have tried, and very few has managed to even make it close. No split decisions, only unanimous dec or straight KOs.
                Lineker -5.5 also looks good at (-110)
                Comment
                • bjpenn85
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-17-11
                  • 5059

                  #43
                  Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                  I'm on Yahya already. Since I've followed you you've been correct on every buyback. Let's hope that trend continues.
                  Listen, this guy wins over the likes of kanehara, bedford etc. Hes not thaaaat bad. I think this line is getting out of hand. Cardio is a big issue, but now the line is +150. Im taking a small stab on this regardless of how good this lopez dude is. My main play is on lineker, so i can afford to loose a a little on what now appears to be the correct play.
                  Comment
                  • bjpenn85
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-17-11
                    • 5059

                    #44
                    Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                    Lineker -5.5 also looks good at (-110)
                    Macdonald doesnt throw punches, guess how his striking frequency going to end after lineker hits him a couple of times...pretty low. Font didnt dare to hit lineker for three rounds after getting hit in round 1. Macdonald will loose every round of this matchup, and he needs to find a home for a finish. Ill give macdonald max 5-10% chance of winning a dec. I mean how can you, when you throw one punch for every round?
                    Comment
                    • Hugo de Naranja
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-14-16
                      • 14140

                      #45
                      The streak continues with Yahya! I think that's 4/4
                      Comment
                      • bjpenn85
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-17-11
                        • 5059

                        #46
                        Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                        The streak continues with Yahya! I think that's 4/4
                        We were right. Excellent change of bets! +150 for the better ground specialist, thank you public!!
                        Comment
                        • ufcfan2016
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 06-30-16
                          • 734

                          #47
                          Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                          The streak continues with Yahya! I think that's 4/4
                          good stuff bud i was on rani +150 3u.

                          now cody +225 3u lol.
                          Comment
                          • bjpenn85
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-17-11
                            • 5059

                            #48
                            Originally posted by ufcfan2016
                            good stuff bud i was on rani +150 3u.

                            now cody +225 3u lol.
                            Its hard to understand how someone would make that bet. Just look what i bet next time.
                            Comment
                            • ufcfan2016
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 06-30-16
                              • 734

                              #49
                              lol stanciu is a penetrating can
                              Comment
                              • ufcfan2016
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 06-30-16
                                • 734

                                #50
                                Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                Its hard to understand how someone would make that bet. Just look what i bet next time.
                                lol @ u laying 7u on lineker we will see what happens
                                Comment
                                • bjpenn85
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-17-11
                                  • 5059

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by ufcfan2016
                                  lol @ u laying 7u on lineker we will see what happens
                                  Its risky, im going to admit that but after putting a couple of units on Yaya, my loss will significantly reduce in size though.
                                  Comment
                                  • ufcfan2016
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 06-30-16
                                    • 734

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                    Its risky, im going to admit that but after putting a couple of units on Yaya, my loss will significantly reduce in size though.
                                    i had 3u on rani +150 also,

                                    cody was a value bet, didnt look bad but clearly lost.
                                    Comment
                                    • Mxs1332
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 03-08-16
                                      • 661

                                      #53
                                      Big boy fight coming up.
                                      Comment
                                      • bjpenn85
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-17-11
                                        • 5059

                                        #54
                                        Final bets : UFC FN 91 - Macdonald vs Lineker

                                        7 units on Lineker @ 1.60 to win - 4.2 unit

                                        Event result: + 4.2 units

                                        Ty$ where you at? CAN YOU SEEE ME NOW!!! I have clearly understood something a lot of people on this forum havent. What is the one thing im looking for on a card? Why am i winning almost on every card?

                                        Results since 7th. may 2016:
                                        +31.48 units AKA 3148 dollars
                                        Comment
                                        • Hugo de Naranja
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 04-14-16
                                          • 14140

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                          Best of luck BJ. Lineker will smash McDonald
                                          We did it!
                                          Comment
                                          • bjpenn85
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-17-11
                                            • 5059

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                            We did it!
                                            We fakking did di Naranja!!! Oh boy that was an exciting fight. Linekers short arms are a massive advantage inside. He can time his flurry perfect. And the best part is, he can take a couple of shots without getting rocked. Its a beautiful strategy that works everytime. People need to stop fighting his fight, but they continue to do so haha. Every fighter lacks the emotional ability to hold back "do not engange in this.....must resist BRAWL BRAWL BRAWL".

                                            And boy did the public come in on the wrong side first on lopes from 2.15 all the way down to 1.57, and macdonal from 2.50 down to 1.87. Fade the public people!
                                            Last edited by bjpenn85; 07-14-16, 01:24 AM.
                                            Comment
                                            • Ty$
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-20-16
                                              • 1241

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                              We fakking did di Naranja!!! Oh boy that was an exciting fight. Linekers short arms are a massive advantage inside. He can time his flurry perfect. And the best part is, he can take a couple of shots without getting rocked. Its a beautiful strategy that works everytime. People need to stop fighting his fight, but they continue to do so haha. Every fighter lacks the emotional ability to hold back "do not engange in this.....must resist BRAWL BRAWL BRAWL".

                                              And boy did the public come in on the wrong side first on lopes from 2.15 all the way down to 1.57, and macdonal from 2.50 down to 1.87. Fade the public people!
                                              Lineker has super long arms for a guy that is 5'3"... 67.5" reach ... And hits like a mac truck ... Props guys
                                              Comment
                                              • Ty$
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-20-16
                                                • 1241

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                                Final bets : UFC FN 91 - Macdonald vs Lineker

                                                7 units on Lineker @ 1.60 to win - 4.2 unit

                                                Event result: + 4.2 units

                                                Ty$ where you at? CAN YOU SEEE ME NOW!!! I have clearly understood something a lot of people on this forum havent. What is the one thing im looking for on a card? Why am i winning almost on every card?

                                                Results since 7th. may 2016:
                                                +31.48 units AKA 3148 dollars
                                                👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻 please don't act like Josh and I'll keep giving you due cred... Didn't you bet Hunt??? Cmon
                                                Comment
                                                • bjpenn85
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-17-11
                                                  • 5059

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by Ty$
                                                   please don't act like Josh and I'll keep giving you due cred... Didn't you bet Hunt??? Cmon
                                                  I was on Hunt initially, then changed my bet to Lesnar.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bjpenn85
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-17-11
                                                    • 5059

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by Ty$
                                                    Lineker has super long arms for a guy that is 5'3"... 67.5" reach ... And hits like a mac truck ... Props guys
                                                    Yeah, i was mistaken, he has huge reach. Ill guess this is another advantage for lineker though. If your short you pack more muscle or more weight, and if you then have long arms as well youll get best of both worlds.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bjpenn85
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-17-11
                                                      • 5059

                                                      #61
                                                      Adding play,UFC FN 93:

                                                      5 units on Jack Hermansson @ 2.0 to win - 5 units
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Hugo de Naranja
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 04-14-16
                                                        • 14140

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                                        Adding play,UFC FN 93:

                                                        5 units on Jack Hermansson @ 2.0 to win - 5 units
                                                        What do you like about Hermansson? It looks like he has an impressive record but I haven't watched any tape on him yet.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • bjpenn85
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-17-11
                                                          • 5059

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                          What do you like about Hermansson? It looks like he has an impressive record but I haven't watched any tape on him yet.
                                                          Hes good everywhere, not by a lot in this matchup though, but i think the odds should be -130 on hermansson. Askham is very good though, so it might be close. Hermansson is better at wrestling, bjj and movement, not so cris hands as askham if you were to stack every discipline against each other. Hopefully the combination of the slight edge everywhere cashes.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bjpenn85
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-17-11
                                                            • 5059

                                                            #64
                                                            Adding:

                                                            UFC ON FOX: Holm vs Shevschenko

                                                            10 units on Barboza @ 1.45 to win - 4.5 units
                                                            3 units on Barboza/Melendez over 2.5 rounds @ 1.5 to win - 1.5 units
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Hugo de Naranja
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 04-14-16
                                                              • 14140

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                                              Adding:

                                                              UFC ON FOX: Holm vs Shevschenko

                                                              10 units on Barboza @ 1.45 to win - 4.5 units
                                                              3 units on Barboza/Melendez over 2.5 rounds @ 1.5 to win - 1.5 units
                                                              I like the over here a lot. I think I'll play Barboza Decision or -3.5 when they come out but I don't quite trust him enough at -210.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bjpenn85
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-17-11
                                                                • 5059

                                                                #66
                                                                Its expensive as shit + melendez at least was very good at some point. Lately melendez has looked so bad its hard to see how he suddenly is going to perform. I think he needs to KO barboza, because nobody takes him down, or outstrick him so it should be very straight forward. Often times it gets complicated though....
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bjpenn85
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-17-11
                                                                  • 5059

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Adding:

                                                                  1.25 unit on A.Yakovlev @ 3.15 to win - 2.68 units

                                                                  This line gets out of hand. Usman is not the overall better MMA artist, and its certain how much better mma grappler he is compared to a savy vetaran like Yokovlev. Line shouldnt be +215, bottom line.
                                                                  Last edited by bjpenn85; 07-21-16, 06:11 AM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 04-14-16
                                                                    • 14140

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                                                    Adding:

                                                                    1.25 unit on A.Yakovlev @ 3.15 to win - 2.68 units

                                                                    This line gets out of hand. Usman is not the overall better MMA artist, and its unsure how much better a grappler he is in MMA against a quite savy vetaran like Yokovlev. Line shouldnt be +215, bottom line.
                                                                    Good value here. I'm on this as well
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bjpenn85
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 02-17-11
                                                                      • 5059

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                                      Good value here. I'm on this as well
                                                                      good
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • bjpenn85
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 02-17-11
                                                                        • 5059

                                                                        #70
                                                                        adding:

                                                                        2 units on Valentino Schevchenko @ 3.25 to win - 4.5 units
                                                                        Comment
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