Rothwell scorecards = no action +100.
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Comment -
I learned a lesson with the Frank Mir/Mark Hunt fight...Frank Mir was sloppy and fat looking against Mark Hunt and he got steam rolled.... I didn't consider the weigh ins and my bets were already in.. I don't want to make that same mistake again with this HW heavy card.
If I miss out on the favorable odds then so be it, I'd rather pick the bet and fighter to win correctly over everything else.... Going back to my roots when I use to place after weigh ins.. You can size up the fighters and check to see how drained or fat they look.. That counts for something in maybe 1 or 2 fights on an entire card..Comment -
Blaydes and lewis bigComment -
With ya Blaydes, gotta go with the better wrestler in this one.... http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Francis-Ngannou-152341
<small>UFC Fight Night 86 - Heavyweight 3 rounds - Zagreb Arena - Zagreb, Croatia - UFC Fight Pass</small> Sun 4/10 1201 Curtis Blaydes <input id="editx" name="M1_2" size="4"> -145 <input id="editx" name="L1_2" size="4"> o1½ -145 3:30PM 1202 Francis Zavier Ngannou <input id="editx" name="M2_2" size="4"> +125 <input id="editx" name="L2_2" size="4"> u1½ +125
FS1 Main Card
Francis
Ngannou
"The Predator"
vs
Curtis
Blaydes
"Razor"
CAMEROON
Country
USA
6-1-0
Record
5-0-0
50%
KO/TKO
100%
50%
SUB
0%
0%
DEC
0%
76 in
Height
76 in
250 lbs
Weight
265 l
Write up - MMA MANIA Decent read IMO...
Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Heavyweights Francis Ngannou and Curtis Blaydes will hunt for the knockout this Sunday (April 10, 2016) at UFC Fight Night 86 inside Arena Zagreb in Zagreb, Croatia.
As a Heavyweight under the age of 30, Ngannou is something of a rarity. However, his opponent is a few years younger, making this a fairly uncommon clash of young Heavyweights. Regardless, the massive Frenchman is looking to score his third straight knockout win.
"Razor" Blaydes has only been fighting for a few years, but he's already beaten some decent competition and quickly made his way to UFC. Now, the talented wrestler will attempt to announce himself as a major fighter to watch.
Let's take a look at the keys to victory for both men:
Francis Ngannou
Record: 6-1
Key Wins: Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira (UFC on FOX 17)
Key Losses: None
Keys to Victory: Ngannou is an incredibly athletic Heavyweight. He's still a bit raw, but Ngannou has the instincts and skill of a physical specimen who's quickly absorbing the sport.
In this bout, Ngannou's path to victory is reasonably clear, if not easy. Simply put, the Frenchman has to keep this fight standing and use his striking edge to put his opponent down hard. To avoid the takedown, Ngannou needs to focus on speed and movement. If he plants his feet or allows himself to be walked into the fence, Ngannou is in poor position to defend the bumrush double leg of his foe.
If Ngannou can stay standing, opportunities to land powerful shots will open up. His opponent is a strong athlete as well, but he's far less fluid on his feet and is definitely hittable.
That's a recipe for disaster opposite Ngannou.
On a related note, Ngannou showed pretty decent defense from his back in his last bout. If he is taken down, the French fighter should look to stall his opponent and force a referee stand up.
VS.
Curtis Blaydes
Record: 5-0
Key Wins: Lorenzo Hood (XFO 51)
Key Losses: None
Keys to Victory: A national junior college wrestling champion, Blaydes is also a fantastic athlete and huge Heavyweight. The wrestler excels at slamming his opponents to the mat with a powerful shot or clinch throw, where he does big damage with ground strikes.
The prospect has finished each of his five opponents.
Once more, Blaydes strategy should be clear here. This is a fairly simple striker vs grappler match up between young prospects, so as the grappler in that equation, Blaydes needs to stick to his guns and overwhelm his opponent on the mat.
Frankly, there's no reason for Blaydes to screw around on the feet with his opponent. He should waste little time in pressing forward and initiating grappling exchanges, as it would only allow Ngannou to find his range otherwise.
Since Blaydes can match his opponent's athleticism, securing the takedown shouldn't be too much of an issue. Once on top, Blaydes has proven to be a dominant finisher. He should be able to do some significant damage with his top position, which will only make any future takedowns come easier as Blaydes wears his opponent out.
Bottom Line: It's really strange to see a real match up of prospects in the Heavyweight division. Both men are actually young -- both in terms of age and career -- and have plenty of room to grow and build from their athletic bases.
Since both fighters are at the same stage of their professional career, the fallout will be similar either way. Since the division is so shallow, the winner will likely receive a pretty significant step up in competition. Whether or not it will be too soon remains to be seen, but it will surely be a big opportunity for the victor, who's likely to do quite well in UFC overall.
On the other hand, it's not like the loser is in danger of being released or really loses any ground. Again, Heavyweight prospects are valuable. Instead, the defeated fighter will end up opposite an opponent on the lowest rung of the ladder and given more time to improve.Comment -
Gee which prop to choose?
Looking over prop options now and saw this.. 5D getting silly with the odds between the KO and ITD props..
Gotta always check out the value between the 2 props as I've found better odds on ITD over KO or SUB in the past several times.. I guess when the prop lines move the others don't always adjust accordingly...
1109 Lewis wins inside distance <input id="radiox" value="M1_33" name="radiox" type="radio">-102 1133 Lewis wins by TKO/KO <input id="radiox" value="M1_45" name="radiox" type="radio">-105 Comment -
Well lewis isn't subbing gonzaga, the diffrence is only worth 3 points, basically they are saying it's less the 1 percent and they are correct. Lewis fights are always this way, his only area of strength is hammer fists, he sucks at everything else.play it straight incase it goes the distance and play the lewis 3rd round finish.Gee which prop to choose?
Looking over prop options now and saw this.. 5D getting silly with the odds between the KO and ITD props..
Gotta always check out the value between the 2 props as I've found better odds on ITD over KO or SUB in the past several times.. I guess when the prop lines move the others don't always adjust accordingly...
1109 Lewis wins inside distance <input id="radiox" value="M1_33" name="radiox" type="radio">-102 1133 Lewis wins by TKO/KO <input id="radiox" value="M1_45" name="radiox" type="radio">-105 Comment -
Oh I see they have em backwards, just bet inside the distance at 102, and put the out 3 dollars on the sub prop at +2000, if he gets the sub that's a extra 60 bucks, turns your in the distance prop into +160 instead of -102, or -105, not likely to happen but it's better then laying the extra 3 dollars on the ko prop, might as well make them pay for being stupid.Gee which prop to choose?
Looking over prop options now and saw this.. 5D getting silly with the odds between the KO and ITD props..
Gotta always check out the value between the 2 props as I've found better odds on ITD over KO or SUB in the past several times.. I guess when the prop lines move the others don't always adjust accordingly...
1109 Lewis wins inside distance <input id="radiox" value="M1_33" name="radiox" type="radio">-102 1133 Lewis wins by TKO/KO <input id="radiox" value="M1_45" name="radiox" type="radio">-105 Comment -
Yep, they have it backwards, we know Lewis isn't gonna win by sub. Gonzaga could verbally tap out to strikes on the ground but that's not likely either... Often times the ITD prop has better value then the KO or SUB props by themselves..
I can only assume in this instance that the public has been pounding the Lewis KO prop making the odds drop.. The Lewis ITD wasn't played as much and that line didn't drop as fast....
I played the ITD for a benny and 1st round finish myself for a 50 spot... Not betting heavy on this fight but did hit these..
$100.40 $98.40 Pending 4/10/16 4:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1109 Lewis wins inside distance -102* <small>vs</small> Not Lewis inside distance $50.00 $90.00 Pending 4/10/16 1:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1121 Lewis wins in round 1 +180* <small>vs</small> Any other result Comment -
You have seen nothing, yet! Muwahahahhaha - BIG BEN!Comment -
Added two more units on ngannou and another unit split between Pejic and the under 2.5....lines moving to my benefit.
Ngannou +125 $300 to win $375
Ngannou wins by ko tko +265 $250 to win $662.50
Pejic +105 $150 to win $157.50
Pejic under 2.5 +140 $150 o win $210Comment -
I like Whiteford in this matchupComment -
Haha. Reem still salty over his lost to Rothwell. He says hes rooting for JDS. Rothwell is a man on a mission and he will not be stopped!
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/Nm6XCOYD_Zk" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen=""></iframe>Comment -
Added
Parlay
Stacui by sub
Pejic by ko
Blancowicz by dec
Chiesa by dec
Stipe by split dec
$10 to win $36,252.32Comment -
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JDS looking alright, but much smaller in the shoulder girdle and traps. Dude is off the sauce and not back on it. Rothwell quite a bit bigger framewise.Comment -
Rothwell and fight wont start round 4Comment -
Post weigh in adds:
Johnson points handicap +3.5 -140 $300 (1 unit)
Rothwell +105 $600 more (11 unit bet now)
Pejic +115 $300 more (2 unit bet now)Comment -
Locked and loaded for this card!!!.. First 3 fights on the card for Jibs..
Fight #1
Fight #2$100.00 $150.00 Pending 4/10/16 10:30am MMA Props Fighting 2204 Fight won’t go 3 round distance +150* <small>vs</small> Chirico / Velickovic goes 3 rnd distance
Fight #3 (may still hedge whiteford by decision for the hedge for $50)$100.00 $118.00 Pending 4/10/16 11:00am MMA Props Fighting 2109 Cannonier wins inside distance +118* <small>vs</small> Not Cannonier inside distance
$150.00 $150.00 Pending 4/10/16 11:30am UFC Fighting 2001 Robert Whiteford/Lucas Martins Under 2½ +100* Comment -
Take away some power and speed plus the beatins by Cain and his last one by Overeen, say's to me the makings of a shot fighter. Coming bac so soon after those beatins is a recipe for a disaster. Got to take Rothwell here but im not really that impressed by him. A 300th rank boxer would stretch him in seconds. I thought Barnett was beatin him on his feet. JUst a lot of size Big Ben gets to use over his opponents. Heavyweights are starting to be a trash division. No way JUnior should be a favorite here. Makes me believe if it goes five which it shouldn't, Big Ben might get shafted here.Comment -
You could actually play the main event
Rothwell inside the distance +135
or
Dos Santos inside the distance +120
Im only betting on RothwellComment -
If JDS makes this a boxing match and it goes to decision playing both ITD's plays against each other blows up.. If the odds were better on each I'd consider it though...Big Ben can take a beating and keep on ticking.. Chances are this fight does not go the distance though..Comment -
bout time bestfightodds thru up boxing lines. Still needs some work cause its a mess. Didn't know Vargas was still fighting.Comment
