UFC 197 March 5th

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  • JoshKnows46
    SBR MVP
    • 07-27-12
    • 3691

    #1
    UFC 197 March 5th
    Mcgregor +105 risking $500
    Mcgregor +100 risking $1000
    Mcgregor -105 risking $2625
  • Pinocchio
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 06-26-11
    • 569

    #2
    Can't say I'm with you on this one. I mean, either fighter could win, but if this fight goes to the ground - and unless McGregor gets the KO in the first minute, it will go there eventually - I see McGregor's chances of winning this fight dropping considerably. I think Dos Anjos shows up on EPO again and wins this, but I'd like to see him at even odds before I put any bets in...
    Comment
    • bjpenn85
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-17-11
      • 5059

      #3
      Since he more or less is always right im not going to bother trying to oppose his decisions anymore. But yes, this feels like madness. I dont see this matchup so loopsided as this wager imply.
      Comment
      • TPowell
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-21-08
        • 18842

        #4
        any thoughts on the potential Cormier/Jones rematch? I thought Cormier gassed in that fight, but he got Jones into the clinch and couldn't do the damage that I expected. I'm thinking Jones should be close to -200 or so
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        • JoshKnows46
          SBR MVP
          • 07-27-12
          • 3691

          #5
          Originally posted by TPowell
          any thoughts on the potential Cormier/Jones rematch? I thought Cormier gassed in that fight, but he got Jones into the clinch and couldn't do the damage that I expected. I'm thinking Jones should be close to -200 or so
          Haven't thought about it yet, Jones Probable wins but i agree the line should be lower, I wonder how the added muscle will affect his cardio, plus with the layoff, I probable wont bet this fight, Jones should have took a tune up fight first IMO.
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          • JoshKnows46
            SBR MVP
            • 07-27-12
            • 3691

            #6
            Lucky little bastard at 1:04

            Comment
            • Shazzadude
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-28-12
              • 443

              #7
              McGregor feels like a very square pick to me, but as we all know, Josh knows so you're loathe to go against him.
              Comment
              • opinionator
                SBR Rookie
                • 04-19-15
                • 30

                #8
                done betting against mcgregor. like him @ 2 to 1. not onna hype train but until he stops doing everything he says he's gonna do hard to pick against him
                Last edited by opinionator; 01-17-16, 11:19 AM.
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                • JoshKnows46
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-27-12
                  • 3691

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Shazzadude
                  McGregor feels like a very square pick to me, but as we all know, Josh knows so you're loathe to go against him.
                  Rda is the square play, I post reasoning why in the link below, and on other threads in this subforum.

                  Comment
                  • JoshKnows46
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-27-12
                    • 3691

                    #10
                    The last time a man had to face the executioner at 155 --->
                    https://pbs.twimg.com/tweet_video/CYuWRrVWMAEOICJ.mp4

                    Break out the red panties, the king is bulking up, for the stuck in the mud division...

                    Last edited by JoshKnows46; 01-19-16, 02:08 AM.
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                    • mirinquads
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-22-13
                      • 3927

                      #11


                      That fight was probably Mcgregors most beautiful performance. Just fought perfectly. Enjoyed watching him much more when he was counterfighting instead of pressuring.
                      Comment
                      • UncleChael
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-30-13
                        • 3979

                        #12
                        R.I.P Josh.
                        Comment
                        • JoshKnows46
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-27-12
                          • 3691

                          #13
                          Mcgregor finishes in round 1 +400 $100
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                          • JoshKnows46
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-27-12
                            • 3691

                            #14
                            Mcgregors really beefing up on his new all steak diet, he's gonna have to cut more weight than dos anjos. Rip rda. Click image for larger version

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                            • JC2008
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-27-08
                              • 2258

                              #15
                              Yeah this man has serious power in his hands and it's only going to be amplified a division up.
                              Comment
                              • JIBBBY
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-10-09
                                • 83693

                                #16
                                McGregor is gonna blow out a knee carrying around all that heavy muscle weight.. If not he'll gas out for sure if he doesn't get the KO early on... RDA is a beast and more well rounded..

                                RIP McMeat...

                                Last edited by JIBBBY; 02-03-16, 05:19 PM.
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                                • JIBBBY
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-10-09
                                  • 83693

                                  #17
                                  I must admit though RDA did get dropped one time in his career against lil heathen Stevens 7 years ago.. Jeremy Stevens hit like a truck back then... McFly better hope to do the same early on.. This is a different and grown up RDA today he will be facing in March...

                                  Comment
                                  • JoshKnows46
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-27-12
                                    • 3691

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                    I must admit though RDA did get dropped one time in his career against lil heathen Stevens 7 years ago.. Jeremy Stevens hit like a truck back then... McFly better hope to do the same early on.. This is a different and grown up RDA today he will be facing in March...

                                    Goodnight sweet prince, at some point in this fight, he's gonna taste the darkness again. El cucuy or kabib will be much much tougher opps for mcgregor. Rda is a great fighter, but he matches up terrible against mcgregor, kabib and Ferguson, he's 4th best in the division.
                                    Last edited by JoshKnows46; 02-03-16, 05:51 PM.
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                                    • TPowell
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 02-21-08
                                      • 18842

                                      #19
                                      yep Conor gonna Conor in this one. RDA seems like a tough matchup on paper, but when you look deeper, RDA loves to wing punches. If he tries that in this fight, Conor will get him out of there very early IMO
                                      Comment
                                      • TPowell
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-21-08
                                        • 18842

                                        #20
                                        Thinking of taking Conor ITD at -105. I missed the good opener. Staring at -135 and -145 in my 2 places now
                                        Comment
                                        • KingHawkins
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-18-13
                                          • 1311

                                          #21
                                          Let's get it Josh. This was my initial limit bet at the opener. I should have hit it again at +105 after they adjusted it for me. I'm feeling confident about this one. Thanks for Rumble by the way, that saved my event.

                                          Straight Wager 01/09/16 20:51 EST
                                          Bet $ 681.81 to win $ 749.99 Result: Pending
                                          UFC 197 - Lightweight Matchup - Las Vegas NV
                                          Conor McGregor vs Rafael dos Anjos 03/06/16 00:15 EST
                                          Conor McGregor +110
                                          Comment
                                          • JoshKnows46
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-27-12
                                            • 3691

                                            #22
                                            Link. Conor McGregor talks dos Anjos, Cerrone, 170lbs, relationship with UFC brass and more
                                            Last edited by JoshKnows46; 02-17-16, 09:49 PM.
                                            Comment
                                            • UncleChael
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-30-13
                                              • 3979

                                              #23
                                              Robin Black -
                                              <iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/T7zm2WKdOJc" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen=""></iframe>
                                              <iframe width="420" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/ifoy6_nARUc" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
                                              Last edited by UncleChael; 02-22-16, 04:06 PM.
                                              Comment
                                              • JoshKnows46
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-27-12
                                                • 3691

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by UncleChael
                                                Robin Black -
                                                <iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/T7zm2WKdOJc" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen=""></iframe>
                                                <iframe width="420" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/ifoy6_nARUc" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
                                                Cool, thanks man, gonna give it a watch tonight.
                                                Comment
                                                • JoshKnows46
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-27-12
                                                  • 3691

                                                  #25
                                                  Parlay:
                                                  Cerrone -270 won
                                                  Mcgregor inside the distance -116 pending
                                                  Risking $500
                                                  Comment
                                                  • capone1899
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-16-11
                                                    • 1054

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                    McGregor is gonna blow out a knee carrying around all that heavy muscle weight.. If not he'll gas out for sure if he doesn't get the KO early on... RDA is a beast and more well rounded..

                                                    RIP McMeat...



                                                    Lol, Jibby likes RDA.... you know that shit is a sure loss now.

                                                    All in on Conor
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JIBBBY
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-10-09
                                                      • 83693

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by capone1899
                                                      Lol, Jibby likes RDA.... you know that shit is a sure loss now.

                                                      All in on Conor
                                                      We'll see about that ya little troll bastard.. Keep it up son as see what happens...

                                                      RDA could lose, but so can McGregor.. I'm not super confident either way but I am leaning RDA and that's why I'll prop hedge away and win which ever way it goes..

                                                      I can see Mcgregor with the first 1st round KO win if RDA is caught standing and nervous early on.. I also can see RDA putting him on his back and locking in a submission win over 5 rounds or pounding him out....

                                                      Sit back and watch the prop and hedge magic unfold on the event thread leading up... Already have these 2 props pegged down.. Either one hits I win.. It's like magic I tell thee with very little risk!!

                                                      1015 McGregor wins in round 1 <input id="editx" name="M1_66" size="4"> +275
                                                      1009 Dos Anjos wins inside distance <input id="editx" name="M1_63" size="4"> +293
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Vaughany
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 03-07-10
                                                        • 45563

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                        McGregor is gonna blow out a knee carrying around all that heavy muscle weight.. If not he'll gas out for sure if he doesn't get the KO early on... RDA is a beast and more well rounded..

                                                        RIP McMeat...

                                                        lol Conor will not gas Jibbbehh....what has he shown to make u think tht will happen?!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JIBBBY
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-10-09
                                                          • 83693

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                          lol Conor will not gas Jibbbehh....what has he shown to make u think tht will happen?!
                                                          We'll McIrish has never fought at this weight carrying around all that muscle before, and he's never gone 5 rounds before either. His last 5 fights haven't gone past the second round.. He's only gone into the 3rd round once in his MMA career.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Conor-McGregor-29688

                                                          RDA has gone 5 rounds recently against Pettis with no problem.. This is RDA's natural fighting weight and I believe he will have a cardio advantage especially if there is some grappling going on....
                                                          Last edited by JIBBBY; 02-22-16, 05:56 PM.
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                                                          • Vaughany
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 03-07-10
                                                            • 45563

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by jibbby
                                                            we'll see about that ya little troll bastard.. Keep it up son as see what happens...

                                                            rda could lose, but so can mcgregor.. i'm not super confident either way but i am leaning rda and that's why i'll prop hedge away and win which ever way it goes..

                                                            I can see mcgregor with the first 1st round ko win if rda is caught standing and nervous early on.. I also can see rda putting him on his back and locking in a submission win over 5 rounds or pounding him out....

                                                            Sit back and watch the prop and hedge magic unfold on the event thread leading up... Already have these 2 props pegged down.. Either one hits i win.. It's like magic i tell thee with very little risk!!

                                                            1015 mcgregor wins in round 1 <input id="editx" name="m1_66" size="4"> +275
                                                            1009 dos anjos wins inside distance <input id="editx" name="m1_63" size="4"> +293
                                                            lmaoooooo
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Vaughany
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 03-07-10
                                                              • 45563

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                              We'll McIrish has never fought at this weight carrying around all that muscle before, and he's never gone 5 rounds before either. His last 5 fights haven't gone past the second round.. He's only gone into the 3rd round once in his MMA career.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Conor-McGregor-29688

                                                              RDA has gone 5 rounds recently against Pettis with no problem.. This is RDA's natural fighting weight and I believe he will have a cardio advantage especially if there is some grappling going on....
                                                              He's fought at LW Jibbehh, this is nothing new to him! He had a career before the UFC! and yeah he hasnt fought 5 rounds before cos he knocks every bum out in the first!

                                                              RDA may well have a cardio advantage, that doesnt mean Conor is going to gas out
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JIBBBY
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-10-09
                                                                • 83693

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                                He's fought at LW Jibbehh, this is nothing new to him! He had a career before the UFC! and yeah he hasnt fought 5 rounds before cos he knocks every bum out in the first!

                                                                RDA may well have a cardio advantage, that doesnt mean Conor is going to gas out
                                                                Well I know when I put on muscle mass I can't run as far as I can when I'm leaner..

                                                                Will Conor gas out I guess I don't know for sure but all indications point that he might since putting on all this muscle weight on very quickly and especially if alot of grappling is going on in this fight...

                                                                Call it a hunch IDK.. You don't bulk up to run a marathon, so this is why I like the RDA ITD prop if the fight drags on...

                                                                I like RDA if the fight drags on past the first round actually.. If the odds were a little better I'd play this prop..

                                                                1004 Fight won’t go 5 round distance <input id="radiox" value="M2_60" name="radiox" type="radio">-350


                                                                Will live bet this fight most likely as it goes...
                                                                Last edited by JIBBBY; 02-22-16, 06:49 PM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • capone1899
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 06-16-11
                                                                  • 1054

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                  We'll see about that ya little troll bastard.. Keep it up son as see what happens...

                                                                  RDA could lose, but so can McGregor.. I'm not super confident either way but I am leaning RDA and that's why I'll prop hedge away and win which ever way it goes..

                                                                  I can see Mcgregor with the first 1st round KO win if RDA is caught standing and nervous early on.. I also can see RDA putting him on his back and locking in a submission win over 5 rounds or pounding him out....

                                                                  Sit back and watch the prop and hedge magic unfold on the event thread leading up... Already have these 2 props pegged down.. Either one hits I win.. It's like magic I tell thee with very little risk!!

                                                                  1015 McGregor wins in round 1 <input id="editx" name="M1_66" size="4"> +275
                                                                  1009 Dos Anjos wins inside distance <input id="editx" name="M1_63" size="4"> +293

                                                                  So basically you can see other guy winning by TKO, Submission, or decision? Great analysis there dip shit
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TPowell
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-21-08
                                                                    • 18842

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                    Well I know when I put on muscle mass I can't run as far as I can when I'm leaner..

                                                                    Will Conor gas out I guess I don't know for sure but all indications point that he might since putting on all this muscle weight on very quickly and especially if alot of grappling is going on in this fight...

                                                                    Call it a hunch IDK.. You don't bulk up to run a marathon, so this is why I like the RDA ITD prop if the fight drags on...

                                                                    I like RDA if the fight drags on past the first round actually.. If the odds were a little better I'd play this prop..

                                                                    1004 Fight won’t go 5 round distance <input id="radiox" value="M2_60" name="radiox" type="radio">-350


                                                                    Will live bet this fight most likely as it goes...

                                                                    Jibby, no offense but you aren't Conor McGregor athletically. He's putting on muscle mass while training hard I'm sure.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JIBBBY
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-10-09
                                                                      • 83693

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by TPowell
                                                                      Jibby, no offense but you aren't Conor McGregor athletically. He's putting on muscle mass while training hard I'm sure.
                                                                      No offense taken, just throwing out opinions Tpow and nothing more as everyone does on this forum.. All good...

                                                                      I'm not Conor McGregor you got that right but metaphorically speaking let's just say sprinters bulk up for the 100 yard dash, marathon runners trim down for the long cardio advantage..

                                                                      How many times have we seen muscular fighters gas out in fights when grappling after a few rounds.. Romero is a good example of that.. McGregor bulked up fast and I'm not so sure his body and cardio levels have had time to adjust properly....

                                                                      McGregors best chance is early on, and I believe his chances diminish if the fight gets into deep waters and into the championship rounds. That's why I took the McGregor 1st round finish prop as a hedge play.
                                                                      Last edited by JIBBBY; 02-22-16, 08:48 PM.
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