Makdessi -145

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  • MD
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-31-12
    • 9728

    #1
    Makdessi -145
    Patrick is being ridiculously overvalued here and I'm not sure why. I'd be inclined to believe that it's the perception that Makdessi is susceptible to being grinded out by good wrestlers, but Patrick is not a good wrestler. He does the exact same thing every fight, and I can almost guarantee you that he'll circle for a few moments as if he's going to strike, and then he'll wildly rush towards Makdessi, throw a punch, and try to wrap his arms around Makdessi's legs for a takedown. He's incredibly predictable. He's also never fought outside of Brazil before, for what that's worth here, and has shown to fade deep into fights, which is something Makdessi should be able to take advantage of, if Patrick even makes it that far. One of the only things I'm truly worried about is the fact that Patrick is a southpaw, and Zahabi has shown over and over again that he doesn't understand that matchup. If that weren't a concern, I'd bet much bigger here.

    Makdessi -135 6u.
  • MD
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-31-12
    • 9728

    #2
    Oops, went to -135 as I was writing this thread. Edited.
    Comment
    • Jim_Gunn
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-20-13
      • 542

      #3
      I personally put a small wager on Patrick at decent + odds. He looked fired up at the weigh-ins. I'll live bet Makdessi if Patrick can't hold him down in round one.
      Comment
      • Beelzebubzy
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 06-06-11
        • 6995

        #4
        Damn. I had hit the -155 earlier in the week. I gotta hit it again.

        Do you like Mak Decisions prop
        Comment
        • mmaed
          SBR MVP
          • 11-25-11
          • 1327

          #5
          Patrick is supposed to be pretty decent on the ground isnt he? I had a little trouble finding information on his jiu jitsu. I get the impression he won a few titles but im not sure on what level.
          Comment
          • TheCalculator
            SBR MVP
            • 10-10-11
            • 1683

            #6
            For whatever it's worth I don't really like this play.
            Comment
            • Catchn_Picks
              SBR MVP
              • 09-02-11
              • 2984

              #7
              Bet it based on some comments before but now upping the action MD. Thank you for posting and bol to all.

              The line drop on Makdessi really just gives us a much better bet. I think the public is focused on believing that large reach advantages are the be all and end all. Well, when you are Spider or Bones that may be true...not Patrick.
              Comment
              • mirinquads
                SBR MVP
                • 04-22-13
                • 3927

                #8
                Makdessis striking is in another realm
                than this chumps as well. Another penetrating dimension. He might just get the ko.
                Comment
                • Noleafclover
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-06-13
                  • 1349

                  #9
                  Already on it. Makdessi gonna send this bum back to the beach.
                  Comment
                  • MD
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-31-12
                    • 9728

                    #10
                    Lol.

                    Well, free EV. All I can do.
                    Comment
                    • MD
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-31-12
                      • 9728

                      #11


                      To anyone who tailed, I hope you at least feel it was a good bet. I'm pretty happy with it, clearly right side I think.
                      Comment
                      • stuffed_butts84
                        Restricted User
                        • 02-01-14
                        • 1

                        #12
                        Originally posted by MD
                        Patrick is being ridiculously overvalued here and I'm not sure why. I'd be inclined to believe that it's the perception that Makdessi is susceptible to being grinded out by good wrestlers, but Patrick is not a good wrestler. He does the exact same thing every fight, and I can almost guarantee you that he'll circle for a few moments as if he's going to strike, and then he'll wildly rush towards Makdessi, throw a punch, and try to wrap his arms around Makdessi's legs for a takedown. He's incredibly predictable. He's also never fought outside of Brazil before, for what that's worth here, and has shown to fade deep into fights, which is something Makdessi should be able to take advantage of, if Patrick even makes it that far. One of the only things I'm truly worried about is the fact that Patrick is a southpaw, and Zahabi has shown over and over again that he doesn't understand that matchup. If that weren't a concern, I'd bet much bigger here.

                        Makdessi -135 6u.


                        oh i'm sorry, did you lose this bet? you know who this is....this is the king...and I am laughing inside the thread of MD, the worst poster here.

                        I piss in his face and *** in his eye...I am the greatest...I just faded this kid for 2k and I'm in Vegas right now....Pouyasophy has return with his 9th alias, lick my balls haters...look at the bright side you hamburger...at least I won 2.2k by fading you...now you can buttfukk your little phag friend Ron Paul while I bang 3 hookers tonight...on you
                        Comment
                        • dww123
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 07-06-11
                          • 441

                          #13
                          Originally posted by stuffed_butts84


                          oh i'm sorry, did you lose this bet? you know who this is....this is the king...and I am laughing inside the thread of MD, the worst poster here.

                          I piss in his face and *** in his eye...I am the greatest...I just faded this kid for 2k and I'm in Vegas right now....Pouyasophy has return with his 9th alias, lick my balls haters...look at the bright side you hamburger...at least I won 2.2k by fading you...now you can buttfukk your little phag friend Ron Paul while I bang 3 hookers tonight...on you
                          You're in Vegas and you're posting on SBR?
                          Comment
                          • Educ8d Degener8
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-12-10
                            • 3177

                            #14
                            Originally posted by dww123
                            You're in Vegas and you're posting on SBR?
                            And the phaggot is on his 9th alias...
                            Comment
                            • Noleafclover
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-06-13
                              • 1349

                              #15
                              Was on Makdessi before I saw this thread. Wondering why there's not more bitching though, this seems one of the worst mma judgements I've seen, based on the final two rounds which I saw (2-0 Makdessi). Especially the 30-27.
                              Comment
                              • MD
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-31-12
                                • 9728

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Noleafclover
                                Was on Makdessi before I saw this thread. Wondering why there's not more bitching though, this seems one of the worst mma judgements I've seen, based on the final two rounds which I saw (2-0 Makdessi). Especially the 30-27.
                                Yeah, it was pretty awful. The decision annoyed me, but hey, at least it wasn't Bendo/Thomson.
                                Comment
                                • Dwil125
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-08-12
                                  • 2048

                                  #17
                                  I tailed at -120. Right side
                                  Comment
                                  • Noleafclover
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-06-13
                                    • 1349

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by MD
                                    Yeah, it was pretty awful. The decision annoyed me, but hey, at least it wasn't Bendo/Thomson.
                                    Bendo Thomson was 3-2 1 way. I had it for bendo...
                                    Comment
                                    • pureprodigy
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 12-21-12
                                      • 77

                                      #19
                                      My boy md talked me out of 800$ lmao jus playing gotta trust myself


                                      225867478-1 2/1/14 2:57pm $10.00 $767.37 $0.00 Loss 10 Team Parlay
                                      Win 2/1/14 3:00pm Boxing Fighting 201 Lee Selby -550* vs Rendall Munroe
                                      Win 2/1/14 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1002 Renan Barao -300* vs Urijah Faber
                                      Win 2/1/14 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1102 Jose Aldo -700* vs Ricardo Lamas
                                      Win 2/1/14 11:00pm UFC Fighting 1202 Alistair Overeem -365* vs Frank Mir
                                      Win 2/1/14 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1301 Ali Bagautinov -155* vs John Lineker
                                      Win 2/1/14 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1401 Abel Trujillo +105* vs Jamie Varner
                                      Loss 2/1/14 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1502 John Makdessi -130* vs Alan Patrick
                                      Win 2/1/14 9:00pm UFC Fighting 1601 Chris Cariaso -165* vs Danny Martinez
                                      Win 2/1/14 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1701 Nick Catone +125* vs Tom Watson
                                      Win 2/1/14 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1902 Clint Hester -175* vs Andy Enz
                                      Comment
                                      • Vaughany
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 03-07-10
                                        • 45563

                                        #20
                                        Not the worse decision ever (although the scores were perhaps a travesty....30-27?) as Rogan said "i feel sick"!! This is why i find it hard to pull the trigger on mma anymore. Almost put a few hundred on makdessi, would of been uber-pissed
                                        Comment
                                        • Noleafclover
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 06-06-13
                                          • 1349

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Vaughany
                                          Not the worse decision ever (although the scores were perhaps a travesty....30-27?) as Rogan said "i feel sick"!! This is why i find it hard to pull the trigger on mma anymore. Almost put a few hundred on makdessi, would of been uber-pissed
                                          Yea, that 30-27 was unconscionable, inconceivable, and the worst judging on planet earth.

                                          Think I coulda stomached losing a split dec of 29-28s. I had it 30-27 Makdessi when I rewatched (think I value sig. strikes more than most judges). The 30-27 though almost makes it a "Thor, check in" moment.
                                          Comment
                                          • rosietop
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 09-08-13
                                            • 200

                                            #22
                                            there you go fellas, my theory is proving to be right, a few random fights (which likely will go to dec) happen to have questionable calls.

                                            This time it was Mak and Watson.

                                            A good capper will be good at predicting fights, a great capper will be good at predicting potentially bad calls. Adapt or die.
                                            Comment
                                            • Vaughany
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 03-07-10
                                              • 45563

                                              #23
                                              Lol
                                              Comment
                                              • Tommy Blingshyne
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 12-11-12
                                                • 821

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by rosietop
                                                there you go fellas, my theory is proving to be right, a few random fights (which likely will go to dec) happen to have questionable calls.

                                                This time it was Mak and Watson.

                                                A good capper will be good at predicting fights, a great capper will be good at predicting potentially bad calls. Adapt or die.
                                                all you can do is get your $ in good...much like in poker, the rest is up to the poker gods or in the case of MMA, the jackass judges
                                                Comment
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