ive parlayed every bet since superbowl with gsp -470

**Vaughany** · 03-10-13, 08:01 AM

lol

**face** · 03-10-13, 08:23 AM

lol, well it's gambling, it's not a sure thing. i guess these critics don't like parlays. but if you pick your spots you can use high percentage winners to lower juice. spurs losing to blazers at home is very rare, probably in the range of 1 out of 50.

thunder or denver losing to someone like timberwolves at home would be a good example, it just doesn't happen very often.

If i liked GSP a lot i would do an open parlay with 2 or 3 slots and just patiently fill it with these type games.

**Sacrelicious** · 03-10-13, 08:23 AM

Well the Shiek is moving up in my SBR Lulz ratings after that classic post.

**Sacrelicious** · 03-10-13, 08:24 AM

Originally posted by face

lol, well it's gambling, it's not a sure thing. i guess these critics don't like parlays. but if you pick your spots you can use high percentage winners to lower juice. spurs losing to blazers at home is very rare, probably in the range of 1 out of 50.

thunder or denver losing to someone like timberwolves at home would be a good example, it just doesn't happen very often.

If i liked GSP a lot i would do an open parlay with 2 or 3 slots and just patiently fill it with these type games.

Okay, I'm going to preface what I'm about to do by giving a disclaimer that I am arguably one of the most novice and worst bettors on this entire forum,

I want you to keep that in mind....

**Vaughany** · 03-10-13, 08:31 AM

Originally posted by Sacrelicious

Well the Shiek is moving up in my SBR Lulz ratings after that classic post.

ha yes, the Shiek is indeed a decent prospect on SBR

**Sacrelicious** · 03-10-13, 08:34 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

ha yes, the Shiek is indeed a decent prospect on SBR

The sky is the limit for this explosive and athletic Iranian.

**Vaughany** · 03-10-13, 08:48 AM

haha

**Vaughany** · 03-10-13, 08:50 AM

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**Sacrelicious** · 03-10-13, 09:01 AM

**Vaughany** · 03-10-13, 09:32 AM

Fact of the day Sac....Brothers In Arms was the first single to ever be released on a CD!

**The iron sheik** · 03-10-13, 09:32 AM

I'm getting all mushy in here folks, my first nominated post ever and all. I wish I had a speech but this came so fast

**Sacrelicious** · 03-10-13, 09:48 AM

Speech! Speech! Speech!

**tbird509** · 03-10-13, 10:40 AM

gsp/okc 500 pays 196

gsp/clips//mia 250 pays 184

**Beelzebubzy** · 03-10-13, 10:44 AM

You are reducing your bet sizes now?

**tbird509** · 03-10-13, 10:47 AM

Originally posted by face

lol, well it's gambling, it's not a sure thing. i guess these critics don't like parlays. but if you pick your spots you can use high percentage winners to lower juice. spurs losing to blazers at home is very rare, probably in the range of 1 out of 50.

thunder or denver losing to someone like timberwolves at home would be a good example, it just doesn't happen very often.

If i liked GSP a lot i would do an open parlay with 2 or 3 slots and just patiently fill it with these type games.

because moneylines are so high in nba,this way make s it possible to play these games that are -500 and up,otherwise its not an option,i dont play pointspreads...everybody has opinions,but obviously i could care less,their will be a posted pic of the winnings which will be over 12k cash and in the pic,their will be a note calling people by name...the big day is less than a week away

**tbird509** · 03-10-13, 10:48 AM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

You are reducing your bet sizes now?

i reduce when not as confident,indiana plays mia well,and bos is playing very good right now,and they matchup pretty good against okc,thats the reason

**Sacrelicious** · 03-10-13, 11:13 AM

Does anyone else here think "tbird" sounds like the name of a fat bass guitar player for a really lousy band?

Or is it just me?

Perhaps its just me...

MD · 03-10-13, 11:27 AM

Originally posted by tbird509

because moneylines are so high in nba,this way make s it possible to play these games that are -500 and up,otherwise its not an option,i dont play pointspreads...everybody has opinions,but obviously i could care less,their will be a posted pic of the winnings which will be over 12k cash and in the pic,their will be a note calling people by name...the big day is less than a week away

You realize that even if GSP wins, you're still wrong, right?

Also, it's amazing to me how many people on this forum don't understand how parlays work.

**NunyaBidness** · 03-10-13, 12:15 PM

It's amazing someone can have hundreds or even tens of thousands of posts, and been posting for years on what is supposed to be a gambling forum, and not know penetrate-all about gambling.

I mean, this is some day 1 shit.

**NunyaBidness** · 03-10-13, 12:17 PM

Originally posted by tbird509

because moneylines are so high in nba,this way make s it possible to play these games that are -500 and up,otherwise its not an option,i dont play pointspreads...everybody has opinions,but obviously i could care less,their will be a posted pic of the winnings which will be over 12k cash and in the pic,their will be a note calling people by name...the big day is less than a week away

I don't care how much I have on GSP. I'll be praying he loses.

I'll happily burn my money up to take yours with it.

**Vaughany** · 03-10-13, 12:19 PM

hahhaa

I'll make just over 500 squid if GSP wins, but I'm thinking same as you now...even if he loses it's a win-win situation now!

**NunyaBidness** · 03-10-13, 12:22 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

hahhaa

I'll make just over 500 squid if GSP wins, but I'm thinking same as you now...even if he loses it's a win-win situation now!

It's a life-hedge, like betting on the Republicans.

**Vaughany** · 03-10-13, 12:23 PM

haha

**tbird509** · 03-10-13, 12:56 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

I don't care how much I have on GSP. I'll be praying he loses.

I'll happily burn my money up to take yours with it.

your one of the biggest haters on here,so your name will be on the note in the pic,count on it

**gabe** · 03-10-13, 01:00 PM

nun, your name is gonnna be on a note, dude. you should apologize to keep that from happening.

**tbird509** · 03-10-13, 01:19 PM

gabe you live in vegas?

MD · 03-10-13, 01:27 PM

Originally posted by tbird509

your one of the biggest haters on here,so your name will be on the note in the pic,count on it

How does a parlay work? Explain it to me.

**Vaughany** · 03-10-13, 01:30 PM

Originally posted by tbird509

your one of the biggest haters on here,so your name will be on the note in the pic,count on it

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**Grabaka** · 03-10-13, 01:31 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

It's a life-hedge, like betting on the Republicans.

**NunyaBidness** · 03-10-13, 01:40 PM

Originally posted by gabe

nun, your name is gonnna be on a note, dude. you should apologize to keep that from happening.

Shit! Is it going on my permanent record?

**NunyaBidness** · 03-10-13, 01:44 PM

Originally posted by MD

How does a parlay work? Explain it to me.

I'll take this.

A little fairy comes down and sprinkles lox dust on the NBA team you like, then you can combine that bet with whoever you want to make the odds as high as you want.

**NunyaBidness** · 03-10-13, 01:47 PM

Originally posted by tbird509

your one of the biggest haters on here,so your name will be on the note in the pic,count on it

I'm not a 'hater', I generally try to pass out helpful gambling advice without giving away the farm.

When I see someone like you pass out nonsense as if it were a good idea, I jump. Somebody browsing the forum for the first time may have no idea that you are a moron, and I have some sense of what I'm talking about. Our voices are equal here. Your advice will cause people to throw away money.

**Beelzebubzy** · 03-10-13, 01:48 PM

I have a 50 buck parlay to win 55 if gsp wins
therefore if gsp wins I got him at +110 if he loses it doesn't matter cause I will disappear from the boards and no one will remember me for trying to create a betting system tha wins

**gabe** · 03-10-13, 01:49 PM

Originally posted by tbird509

gabe you live in vegas?

LA, but take the bus to Vegas often

**NunyaBidness** · 03-10-13, 01:51 PM

Furthermore, tbird, if your strategy was true, why wouldn't you optimize it? If combining GSP with most large NBA favorites was a +EV play, then parlaying more of them should only have a multiplicative effect. So, you should be leaving 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. . . 20 team open parlays and continuing to fill them with your +EV teams as they continue to be available. You could be getting GSP at +10000 or better.

Question for you: If large favorite NBA teams cash at a higher rate than their odds suggest, why don't larger players take notice? Why doesn't a Billy Walters know this and pound millions into the line until it reaches parity? How come you know this, but other people don't? How far back did you analyze the data to determine this, and what data point specifically do you think everyone else is misunderstanding?