What's up fellas? I've been AWOL for a while, hit a wicked losing streak and stopped wagering for while but I still have been lurking here just for the sheer entertainment. Anyways, I'm gonna give it another go. Probably good fate material so keep an eye on this thread as I'll be posting my plays for record keeping and discussion.
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UFC 156 bets. 200 on Edgar (+215), to win 200 on Fitch (-175), to win 100 on Woodley (-130), to win 100 on Tibau (-110), 25 on Lil Nog (+425), 25 on Vallie-Flagg (+220), to win 50 on Camus (-145) . Parlays : 1) 100 on Volkmann -400, Camus -145, Tibau -125 2) 100 on Overeem -400, Fitch -210 3) Rivera -300, Overeem -400, Tibau -125 4)Volkmann -400, Rivera -300. All parlays risk 100. Good luck everyone.Comment -
What up Joe, glad to see you back meng. Dope avatar, my favorite band of all time
Dig the plays, I'm on most your picks as well. You're the first person I've seen on here taking some tibau, let's cash
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Thanks man!!! I'm glad to hear your on the same plays, that makes me much more confident. As far as the Tibau fight, I see it like this. On the feet, Dunham has a big technical advantage. He could outpoint Tibau but I don't see the fight playing out in that fashion. If his striking wins this fight for him, I believe that he needs to blitz Tibau. I don't know if his hands can do the damage necessary to do that. He could come out and completely outclass Tibau with kicks, knees, quick punches, etc. But I think that Dunham throwing a lot of kicks and knees would only open up the takedowns for Tibau. As far as grappling, I see Tibau as the better takedown and top control guy with Dunham more dangerous from a submission standpoint. I think that Dunham could easily catch Tibau in a scramble and gain a very advantageous position and dominate from there, however, Tibau is not a BJJ novice and that is less likely to happen than Tibau grinding a decision, in my opinion.
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Lost my ass last event but I'm still going. For UFC on Fuel TV 7. 100 on Riddle (+175), 100 on Poirier (+105), to win 100 on Castillo (-110), to win 100 on Watson (-135), to win 100 on Grispi (-130), 50 on Forte (+270), 25 on Diabate (+200). Parlay 1) 200 on Lee (-195), Nelson (-250)Comment -
Did well last event. Hopefully a sign of things to come. Will post my UFC 157 plays in a bit. Also for tomorrow's Cage Contenders XVI =, I have 100 on Ali Arish (EV).Comment -
UFC 157 bets. To win 200 on Machida (-205). To win 200 on Chiesa (-195). 100 on Neer (+255). 100 on Stout (+135). To win 100 on Yuri Villefort. To win 100 on Brock Jardine (-155). 50 on Lavar Johnson (+130). 25 on Manley (+130).Comment -
Villefort (-110)*Comment -
With you on Machida, Chiesa and Villefort, lets cash it.Comment -
Chiesa looked like an even bigger bum than usual at weigh-insComment -
Added 200 on parlay of Koscheck (-370) and Bermudez (-410).Comment -
Added to win 200 on Koscheck (-340)Comment -
Will no longer add plays, no matter the line movement, during events. I tend to lose these bets and also get tempted to lay juice on favorites when I was skeptical at original prices. I know this may cause me to miss out on value, but my personal trends are leading me to make this adjustment. My plays for tonight, UFC on Fuel 8, are to win 300 on Stun Gun (-285), to win 300 on Struve (-160), to win 100 on Sanchez (-240), to risk 200 on Okami (+175), to risk 200 on Fukuda (+105), 50 on Wanderlei (+220), 25 on Marcello (-110), 25 on Guimareas (+250), 25 on Caraway (+195). Good luck all.Comment -
Also, will be playing less parlays and only including pieces into parlays if they are also good enough value for me to have an active straight bet on.Comment