Fitch -170

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  • Sacrelicious
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-29-12
    • 5984

    #1
    Fitch -170
    I think this line may have the most value of the currently released lines for the next several UFC cards.

    Am contemplating a 3 unit bet.

    Anyone here in agreement?
  • PunisherIND
    SBR MVP
    • 02-24-11
    • 4983

    #2
    Originally posted by Sacrelicious
    I think this line may have the most value of the currently released lines for the next several UFC cards.

    Am contemplating a 3 unit bet.

    Anyone here in agreement?
    i played it at -150. the line has had a lot of movement so you might wait for a better number.
    Comment
    • Vaughany
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 03-07-10
      • 45563

      #3
      yeah could flip-flop quite a bit
      Comment
      • Beelzebubzy
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 06-06-11
        • 6995

        #4
        Or wait for decision prop
        deposit 2 points below
        Comment
        • Sacrelicious
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-29-12
          • 5984

          #5
          Originally posted by PunisherIND
          i played it at -150. the line has had a lot of movement so you might wait for a better number.
          I'm watching it over the next week or so, I'm unsure it will get that high again though, but I may be able to get it for slightly better.
          Comment
          • PunisherIND
            SBR MVP
            • 02-24-11
            • 4983

            #6
            Originally posted by Sacrelicious
            I'm watching it over the next week or so, I'm unsure it will get that high again though, but I may be able to get it for slightly better.

            yea, even if you dont get -150, i think it should hit -160 at some point.
            Comment
            • Beelzebubzy
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 06-06-11
              • 6995

              #7
              How many people have taken Fitchs back?
              Comment
              • MD
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-31-12
                • 9728

                #8
                Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                How many people have taken Fitchs back?
                A lot. His ability to escape submissions is arguably the best we've ever seen in MMA, though; easily on Ben Henderson's level.
                Comment
                • Beelzebubzy
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 06-06-11
                  • 6995

                  #9
                  Originally posted by MD
                  A lot. His ability to escape submissions is arguably the best we've ever seen in MMA, though; easily on Ben Henderson's level.
                  Or you can argue the other side as why is he in this bad position all te time
                  Comment
                  • Vaughany
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 03-07-10
                    • 45563

                    #10
                    yeah BJ and Erick off top of my head
                    Comment
                    • MD
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-31-12
                      • 9728

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                      Or you can argue the other side as why is he in this bad position all te time
                      That's why I said "his ability to escape submissions" rather than "submission defence". Arguing Ben Henderson has good submission defence is like arguing that Maldonado has good striking defence.
                      Comment
                      • Beelzebubzy
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 06-06-11
                        • 6995

                        #12
                        Originally posted by MD
                        That's why I said "his ability to escape submissions" rather than "submission defence". Arguing Ben Henderson has good submission defence is like arguing that Maldonado has good striking defence.
                        Tomato toMAto
                        Comment
                        • KushMoney
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 07-11-11
                          • 658

                          #13
                          Yeah for sure Fitch is back to his Blanketing ways... gonna be working on his Sub Defense without a doubt.


                          Should take this 30-27
                          Comment
                          • Sacrelicious
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-29-12
                            • 5984

                            #14
                            I love this fitch play so much its ridiculous.
                            Comment
                            • MD
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-31-12
                              • 9728

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Sacrelicious
                              I love this fitch play so much its ridiculous.
                              Why? Maia can take him down, 100%. I'll be on Fitch by split/majority, and by decision, though.
                              Comment
                              • Sacrelicious
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 11-29-12
                                • 5984

                                #16
                                Originally posted by MD
                                Why? Maia can take him down, 100%. I'll be on Fitch by split/majority, and by decision, though.
                                Well we can all admit it, Fitch isnt the greatest striker, but he does have his speed of Maia. Maia can take him down sure, then Fitch's submission D comes into effect. Maia has a sick BJJ game but Fitch will grind out a boring win using his ground and pound, hes a point player, Maia is not on his level. Quite frankly, I think its a crime Fitch isnt still a top five WW.

                                Fitch fights to win, and he seems to finally have a spark under his ass. Look at his fight with Silva, Silva took his back what, 4 times I do believe? Not saying Maia has an advantage here, but Fitch will grind him.

                                Wish I had better analysis to offer, but I'm drunk, not in the mood to type. It sounds like we are both on Fitch, he takes this.
                                Comment
                                • GunShard
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-05-10
                                  • 10031

                                  #17
                                  I also see Fitch winning this fight.
                                  Comment
                                  • Vaughany
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 03-07-10
                                    • 45563

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by GunShard
                                    I also see Fitch winning this fight.
                                    Comment
                                    • Grabaka
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-19-11
                                      • 3216

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Vaughany
                                      LMAO
                                      Comment
                                      • Crassus
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-08-12
                                        • 1538

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                        Tomato tomaldonado
                                        Fixed.
                                        Comment
                                        • Rubber Guard
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 06-22-11
                                          • 1550

                                          #21
                                          Fitch is very good at escaping subs. But he may not want to try that with Maia hanging on him. Going to the ground with Maia is risky as hell. He could very well wall and stall him for much of the fight. Fitch is perhaps a better striker, but I could see this being a very terrible striking match that is hard to judge.

                                          I expect Fitch to win because he is slightly better everywhere other than pure BJJ. But I see no real advantage. He isn't going to be able to lay on Maia for 3 rounds.
                                          Comment
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