Strikeforce: Marquardt vs. Saffiedine

[Sacrelicious]

Dont mean to look like I'm tailing you MD, but those are the logical plays.

[NunyaBidness]

You guys really think Cormier wins > 95% of the time? Seems silly to me.

[Vaughany]

yeah, hell he broke his hand in last fight, whats to say it doesnt happen again and has to quit at end of round 2! tht would be tragic!

[MD]

You guys really think Cormier wins > 95% of the time? Seems silly to me.

No, they're -EV parlays; Barnett is a losing play, also. There's an argument to be made that all of them are -EV, barring Marquardt, I think.

[Beelzebubzy]

yeah, hell he broke his hand in last fight, whats to say it doesnt happen again and has to quit at end of round 2! tht would be tragic!

Exactly

[Grabaka]

Mike Kyle

$100.00

350

P

Anthony Smith

$100.00

260

P

Tarec Saffiedine

$100.00

250

P

[Crassus]

You guys really think Cormier wins > 95% of the time? Seems silly to me.

Sometimes those instances occur.

Edit:

Is this card worthy of a 2U all-favorites on the main-card win parlay? It's happened at least twice in Strikeforce recently.

[NunyaBidness]

Sometimes those instances occur.

Of course they do. But probably not in MMA. And if they do occur in MMA, probably not in Heavyweight MMA. And if they do occur in Heavyweight MMA, probably not when that guy has a history of kidney damage and broken hands.

[Crassus]

Of course they do. But probably not in MMA. And if they do occur in MMA, probably not in Heavyweight MMA. And if they do occur in Heavyweight MMA, probably not when that guy has a history of kidney damage and broken hands.

Probably fair...is there a cormier by sub prop anywhere?

[MMAbetMASTA]

Mike Kyle

$100.00

350

P

Anthony Smith

$100.00

260

P

Tarec Saffiedine

$100.00

250

P

playing smith and saff as well, there's some value there me thinks..

Prices are way too steep for most these SF favs imo

[JamesKim]

How on earth does Saff beat Marquardt?

[Fenster]

Mike Kyle

$100.00

350

P

Anthony Smith

$100.00

260

P

Tarec Saffiedine

$100.00

250

P

You'd be better off donating that to The Michael J. Fox Foundation for Parkinson's Disease Research.

[The Fobfather]

How on earth does Saff beat Marquardt?

Keep it standing, out strike him on the feet, and avoid the KO.

Not saying it happens. But I am on Saff at +300

[NunyaBidness]

You'd be better off donating that to The Michael J. Fox Foundation for Parkinson's Disease Research.

That's probably true. It is a good cause.

[Grabaka]

You'd be better off donating that to The Michael J. Fox Foundation for Parkinson's Disease Research.

Oh its you again? I do not donate to bogus foundations nor i listen to people that cant stablish a discussion. BTW cool breakdown.

[Grabaka]

That's probably true. It is a good cause.

Never

[JamesKim]

Keep it standing, out strike him on the feet, and avoid the KO.

Not saying it happens. But I am on Saff at +300

Ok.... How does he keep it standing, how does he oustrick Marquardt when he is the inferior striker, and how does he avoid the KO if Marquardt decides he's gonna keep it standing?

[Vaughany]

Ok.... How does he keep it standing, how does he oustrick Marquardt when he is the inferior striker, and how does he avoid the KO if Marquardt decides he's gonna keep it standing?

How do you know he's an inferior striker?

[Vaughany]

Mike Kyle

$100.00

350

P

Anthony Smith

$100.00

260

P

Tarec Saffiedine

$100.00

250

P

Gl buddy, like your style cuz

[Sacrelicious]

Mike Kyle

$100.00

350

P

Anthony Smith

$100.00

260

P

Tarec Saffiedine

$100.00

250

P

Very, very ballsy plays. I'm saving my ballsy plays for the next UFC PPV and going for favorites on this show, best of luck.

[Bagalut]

I´m on Anthony Smith @ +279 aswell.

Thinking about adding a play on Trevor Smith @ +385 aswell cause I give him a chance to submit Kennedy...but im too scared of him beeing exploited in the standup...so i will probably stay away from this.

[Grabaka]

Gl buddy, like your style cuz

Thank you cuz. I learned a lot from you. One of my senseis with sbjj, ezflyer and bankable.

Very, very ballsy plays. I'm saving my ballsy plays for the next UFC PPV and going for favorites on this show, best of luck.

Yep im gonna need that luck but im really hoping we get live betting on this event. I see them all doing good for a while and then probably lose. Thanks amigo Gl too.

[fattytrellis]

No, they're -EV parlays; Barnett is a losing play, also. There's an argument to be made that all of them are -EV, barring Marquardt, I think.

So why are you betting them?

[MD]

So why are you betting them?

Did you read my original post?

[Vaughany]

edit

[fattytrellis]

Did you read my original post?

I just didn't think that there were people who didn't like money.

[NunyaBidness]

I just didn't think that there were people who didn't like money.

Really? Have you walked into a casino, ever?

[Oblivian]

I just didn't think that there were people who didn't like money.

You've never met anyone who is white trash?

[MD]

I just didn't think that there were people who didn't like money.

I like having action more than I like petty amounts of money, it's fair to say.

Also, guiz, contemplating putting some money down on Marquardt to fade DeFacto (whom I'm assuming is fading James Kim; read about this and other effective betting strategies in my new e-book "Advanced MMA Fading").

[Sacrelicious]

I like having action more than I like petty amounts of money, it's fair to say.

Also, guiz, contemplating putting some money down on Marquardt to fade DeFacto (whom I'm assuming is fading James Kim; read about this and other effective betting strategies in my new e-book "Advanced MMA Fading").

Can I pre order it on Amazon?

[MD]

Can I pre order it on Amazon?

You could, up to a couple of weeks ago, but then people started fading it and Amazon refused to stock it any more; which leads me to believe that copies of the book had previously leaked and I was now getting Jewed by my own system, like when people used Limewire to pirate Limewire Pro.

[Fenster]

Oh its you again? I do not donate to bogus foundations nor i listen to people that cant stablish a discussion. BTW cool breakdown.

Bogus foundations? lol

[Fenster]

How do you know he's an inferior striker?

Probably the same way I know: watching their fights. Was this a serious question?

[Vaughany]

[illmatick]

where's pretty boy Rico?