Dwils mma thread

**plekz** · 08-03-13, 05:07 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

About 7580% of the time, IMO. If Zombie can't implement his gameplan, he's in for a rough night.

Hopefully zombie twists his body in half though. . .

Aldo destroys KZ on the ground if it get's there, Aldo still trains GI all the time, and the people he was tooling when he competed in BJJ are the kind of people who are multiple mundials abu-dhabi pro's now. KZ might be good with going for subs, but he has nothing for Aldo down there.

**Dwil125** · 08-03-13, 05:40 PM

I need aldo by ko in any round but one. It's a pretty small play, I got it at -160 before it jumped to -240. If aldo wins by decision I'm still alright.

**Dwil125** · 08-03-13, 05:42 PM

I'm thinking zombie takes a bunch of damage but survives the second round, then ends up getting finished in the third round.

**Dwil125** · 08-03-13, 08:06 PM

Added .2 on fight won't start rd 3 with yahya not covering. Also added machida -274 Into this parlay. Also put machida with aldo tko/ko

**Dwil125** · 08-09-13, 07:46 PM

.23u on spong, moraes, papazian
.30u on spong, moraes, ov 2.5 mckee/gonza
small on spong under 1.5, Hackaba +231, moraes -530. open spots for u. hall in two parlays. 163: -1.25u (vinny & Machida) -1.7u ytd.

**Ron_Paul_2012** · 08-09-13, 08:23 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

.23u on spong, moraes, papazian
.30u on spong, moraes, ov 2.5 mckee/gonza
small on spong under 1.5, Hackaba +231, moraes -530. open spots for u. hall in two parlays. 163: -1.25u (vinny & Machida) -1.7u ytd.

Are those separate or parlays?

MD · 08-09-13, 08:24 PM

Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012

Are those separate or parlays?

Parlays.

**Ron_Paul_2012** · 08-09-13, 08:34 PM

Originally posted by MD

Parlays.

Ha! Caught red handed! How many other ghost accounts do you have Marcus? Or is it Dwil125?

MD · 08-09-13, 08:41 PM

Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012

Ha! Caught red handed! How many other ghost accounts do you have Marcus? Or is it Dwil125?

With your track record, I'd believe you're this dumb.

**Ron_Paul_2012** · 08-09-13, 08:43 PM

Originally posted by MD

With your track record, I'd believe you're this dumb.

I knew the "Marcus" would get ya.

**Dwil125** · 08-09-13, 10:31 PM

Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012

Ha! Caught red handed! How many other ghost accounts do you have Marcus? Or is it Dwil125?

**Ron_Paul_2012** · 08-09-13, 10:34 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Just a little joke. Nothing serious. I know that MD has had ghosts in the past.

**Dwil125** · 08-09-13, 10:37 PM

Oh lol. I've been watching a bunch of tape on hempleman, looks like his offensive wrestling and takedown set ups aren't very good. How good is moraes at defensive wrestling/Tdd?

**Ron_Paul_2012** · 08-09-13, 10:53 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Oh lol. I've been watching a bunch of tape on hempleman, looks like his offensive wrestling and takedown set ups aren't very good. How good is moraes at defensive wrestling/Tdd?

I have around 20 units in parlays with Moraes in them all. This fight will stay on the feet. Moraes has too much for Hempleman at this stage of his career. After this loss Hempleman will have another fight in WSOF & will be more favorably matched and win.

MD · 08-09-13, 10:58 PM

Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012

Just a little joke. Nothing serious. I know that MD has had ghosts in the past.

No ghosts for me, Poupou.

Originally posted by Dwil125

Oh lol. I've been watching a bunch of tape on hempleman, looks like his offensive wrestling and takedown set ups aren't very good. How good is moraes at defensive wrestling/Tdd?

Moraes has good balance and he reacts pretty quickly. I doubt Hempleman can get him down for any meaningful period of time.

**Dwil125** · 08-11-13, 12:51 AM

wow wtf McKee just stopped fighting in the third round? (.30u on spong, moraes, ov 2.5 mckee/gonza)

**Ron_Paul_2012** · 08-11-13, 01:04 AM

Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012

I have around 20 units in parlays with Moraes in them all. This fight will stay on the feet. Moraes has too much for Hempleman at this stage of his career. After this loss Hempleman will have another fight in WSOF & will be more favorably matched and win.

I just noticed that you gave me a point for my post. Thanks Dwil125! It feels good to be appreciated. After all, I bring the goods every week!

**mirinquads** · 08-12-13, 05:08 AM

Dwil clear your private messages

**mmaed** · 08-12-13, 10:12 AM

Dwil what is your take on conor mcgregor vs max holloway?

**Dwil125** · 08-12-13, 12:00 PM

Originally posted by mirinquads

Dwil clear your private messages

Done.

**Dwil125** · 08-13-13, 11:02 PM

Originally posted by mmaed

Dwil what is your take on conor mcgregor vs max holloway?

I think Holloway can make it to a decision, so I like the ov 2.5 and McGregor decision at the +500 opener.

**Dwil125** · 08-13-13, 11:03 PM

I would look into a fight of the night prop for these two also.

**mmaed** · 08-14-13, 12:40 AM

My concern would be mcgregor getting the knockout. He looks for it in every fight. Hes also in boston where i think he will desire to impress. Sounds silly but i think he will come guns ablazin.

**mirinquads** · 08-14-13, 06:27 AM

+500 is good odds on the dec, but I do see Mcgregor getting the KO as well. Holloway for the first time in the UFC doesn't enjoy a reach advantage and gets counter punched and front kicked all night, til he gets frustrated and chases, gets clipped with one of Mcgregors nicely angled bolo punches or counterhook, gets finished on the ground. I believe he could take him down as well, maybe work him over on the ground for a GnP finish.

**mmaed** · 08-14-13, 08:53 AM

I hope Mcgregor doesn't take him down. I wouldn't be surprised to see Holloway has been working on his guard a lot. Those long legs...you know how they go.

**mmaed** · 08-14-13, 08:57 AM

Originally posted by mirinquads

+500 is good odds on the dec, but I do see Mcgregor getting the KO as well. Holloway for the first time in the UFC doesn't enjoy a reach advantage and gets counter punched and front kicked all night, til he gets frustrated and chases, gets clipped with one of Mcgregors nicely angled bolo punches or counterhook, gets finished on the ground. I believe he could take him down as well, maybe work him over on the ground for a GnP finish.

How do you see Gamburyan/Miller and MTB/Siler. I think MTB should be able to take down Siler and grind him out but I worry about his long layoff and Siler subs off his back and his muay thai is decent. I don't know what to think about miller and Gamburyan. I don't like to bet against Miller just because he is such a good finisher but I feel like Manny might win this one.

**mirinquads** · 08-14-13, 09:39 AM

Gamburyan is a very talented grappler, who's strong as an ox, short limbs no neck build. I have a really hard time seeing him getting subbed here, and i think he grinds Cole out. I have seen some interviews with Cole where he seems very timid and not confident, knows it will be a hard matchup etc. This is unlike Cole usually he likes to pump him self up and boost his own confidence. Thing is Gamburyan has been injured a lot, and so its hard to know where hes at. Do believe he takes the win though. Massive value on Gamburyan when the line was released.

Staying away from Brown/Siler, Favorable matchup for Brown I would say, but he seems to have one foot out the door and he had several major surgeries, one in his neck which will likely limit his mobility.

**Dwil125** · 08-17-13, 11:00 AM

Originally posted by mmaed

How do you see Gamburyan/Miller and MTB/Siler. I think MTB should be able to take down Siler and grind him out but I worry about his long layoff and Siler subs off his back and his muay thai is decent. I don't know what to think about miller and Gamburyan. I don't like to bet against Miller just because he is such a good finisher but I feel like Manny might win this one.

I haven't really looked into those man, I don't have many plays for tonight.

**Dwil125** · 08-17-13, 11:05 AM

-1.9u Ytd. Fox Sports 1: .38u on mo -719, aldo/jung starts round 3 (-115), not sonnen Itd -500 to win .6u .43u on hall, not pineda Itd -400, Mendes
.5u on sonnen/rua starts r2, mendes by decision
.5u on mike chandler, king mo, hall, mendes

**Dwil125** · 08-18-13, 12:38 AM

Originally posted by Dwil125

-1.9u Ytd. Fox Sports 1: .38u on mo -719, aldo/jung starts round 3 (-115), not sonnen Itd -500 to win .6u .43u on hall, not pineda Itd -400, Mendes
.5u on sonnen/rua starts r2, mendes by decision
.5u on mike chandler, king mo, hall, mendes

**Dwil125** · 08-28-13, 11:24 PM

Totally forgot to post my plays, won just over a quarter unit. I'm Glad my guy Takeya took care of business, I was hoping he would get fotn.

**NunyaBidness** · 08-28-13, 11:34 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Totally forgot to post my plays, won just over a quarter unit. I'm Glad my guy Takeya took care of business, I was hoping he would get fotn.

Was getting a little scary not hearing from you after your last post!

Glad to hear you had a profitable night.

**Dwil125** · 08-31-13, 01:14 AM

Haha I was just joking, I could have lost a lot more going like 0-4 or 0-5. All those plays from shogun vs sonnen killed most of my money that wasn't pending on other bets, so I have to either redeposit or wait around for a little bit. I have a bunch of units on the nfl regular season win over unders tying up my money.

**Dwil125** · 08-31-13, 01:17 AM

Win	Bellator Fighting 3006 Vitaly Minakov -638* vs Ron Sparks
	6/18/13 7:03pm	Win	6/19/13 9:30pm Bellator Fighting 3001 Muhammed Lawal -687* vs Seth Petruzelli
	6/23/13 1:11am	Pending	8/31/13 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1101 Josh Barnett -221* vs Frank Mir

I have about .7u on Barnett, then a couple of small parlays with Henderson and Mendes Included. -3.76u Ytd

**Vaughany** · 08-31-13, 01:24 AM

You got a fight scheduled yet Dwil?