Dwils mma thread

4 Team Parlay

12/23/12
1:00pm NFL Football 104 Green Bay Packers -6½ -405* vs Tennessee Titans

12/23/12
1:00pm NFL Football 111 New England Patriots
-6½ -545* vs Jacksonville Jaguars

12/29/12
9:30pm UFC Fighting 1502
Melvin Guillard -104* vs Jamie Varner

12/29/12
11:59pm Props Fighting 1004
Fight won't go 5 round distance -750* vs Velasquez/Dos Santos goes 5 rnd
distance

**Vaughany** · 12-14-12, 01:04 PM

bestfightoddds says +475 were best odds available...Gabers might be right tho

Crazy shiiit at that school in Conneticut....just watchin Skynews now..

**gabe** · 12-14-12, 01:06 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

bestfightoddds says +475 were best odds available...Gabers might be right tho

Crazy shiiit at that school in Conneticut....just watchin Skynews now..

You and I have previously come to the conclusion that bestfightodds doesn't have the correct opening and closing odds up for a lot of previous fights.

**gabe** · 12-14-12, 01:08 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

bestfightoddds says +475 were best odds available...Gabers might be right tho

Crazy shiiit at that school in Conneticut....just watchin Skynews now..

I haven't heard anything...

edit-- wow, just read up on it

**Vaughany** · 12-14-12, 01:11 PM

gotta be a fuucked up pussy to go around shooting kindergarten kids

**gabe** · 12-14-12, 01:12 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

gotta be a fuucked up pussy to go around shooting kindergarten kids

I notice DeFacto hasn't posted all morning...

**Vaughany** · 12-14-12, 01:13 PM

Young man in his twenties from New Jersey apparently....a father of one of the kids.

**Vaughany** · 12-14-12, 01:14 PM

Originally posted by gabe

I notice DeFacto hasn't posted all morning...

**gabe** · 12-14-12, 01:14 PM

and yeah, i think I got zombie at +475... like i said, around +500

hominick was greater than -700

**Vaughany** · 12-14-12, 01:14 PM

Isnt Newtown, Conneticut supposed to be one of the safest places in America?

**gabe** · 12-14-12, 01:15 PM

worst part is that he's dead so we can't fantasize about putting him in a room with overeem and no lube.

**gabe** · 12-14-12, 01:16 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Isnt Newtown, Conneticut supposed to be one of the safest places in America?

A cool psychopathic plan would be to have a murder spree in the top 5 safest towns in America LOL

and I've never heard of Newton, Connecticut lol so it's surprising that you have

The people shot were rushed to Danbury hospital... Danbury, Connecticut was Jonathan Brandis' hometown. lol

**Vaughany** · 12-14-12, 01:17 PM

God some of the questions from some of the dumb-ass reporters is cringeworthy....

"Tell me about the school?"

"It's an elementary school."

"But tell about the schooool?"

WTF does that mean!

**gabe** · 12-14-12, 01:18 PM

Reporters are idiots. Not the Cronkite era no more, yo.

**Vaughany** · 12-14-12, 02:51 PM

This is the shooter....... http://www.heavy.com/news/2012/12/sa...n-lanza-photo/

**Dwil125** · 12-14-12, 05:28 PM

Adding 2 Units on Lombard, I have Palhares itd in a parlay.

**Dwil125** · 12-14-12, 05:33 PM

The over under I was looking at for bellator is up to high at -250, If your betting bellator I'd recommend not laying the juice on felice at 4-1 odds if you were thinking about playing that fight for some reason.

**Vaughany** · 12-14-12, 05:35 PM

yeah, only play those odds in women's MMA if it's Rousey or Cyborg fighting somebody

**Dwil125** · 12-14-12, 07:43 PM

Wow Seth almost had round two, He shouldnt have put himself on bottom at the end. Idk though I may be biased

**Dwil125** · 12-14-12, 07:55 PM

Fight goes the distance at +105 would have been the play if you were backing Seth like me, nice catch to whoever got that.

**Vaughany** · 12-14-12, 07:56 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Fight goes the distance at +105 would have been the play if you were backing Seth like me, nice catch to whoever got that.

yeee buddy...I should of hammered it all way to -175 though

**terpkeg** · 12-14-12, 07:59 PM

Originally posted by gabe

You and I have previously come to the conclusion that bestfightodds doesn't have the correct opening and closing odds up for a lot of previous fights.

they never recognize the true bookmaker openers on lines that move in first 5 min.

**Dwil125** · 12-14-12, 11:04 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Adding 2 Units on Lombard, I have Palhares itd in a parlay.

Lol I shouldnt have hedged, Lombard is a monster he should be 2-0 in the Ufc with this win. Still ended up being a good night, I'm glad I didnt play the main event.

**kripsak** · 12-14-12, 11:17 PM

Originally posted by kripsak

Lombard is a good solid bet, so far I've just placed:

SU: Pearson; Flectcher; Donovan
Parlay: Lombard, Mendes, Wilkinson (I know Mendes doesn't add much value in a parlay, but every little bit helps)

Take this with a grain of salt, I saw after the weigh-ins Bendo asked Cruz how's Pearson's training, and he said it was really sharp. It might be Cruz just hyping up his teammate.

Not too bad tonight 3 out 4; hit my parlay, lost on fletcher, got Pearson & Donovan.

**Dwil125** · 12-15-12, 03:08 AM

Very Nice. Some early leans I have for tomorrow are Ricci as we have already talked about the over 2.5 should come in also Khabilov, Guillard, and call me crazy but I think Mitrione is a live dog. Im like 1-3 betting on melvin guillard, this is the last time im betting him if he loses.

Adding: 3 team parlay 0.25u Melvin Guillard/Khabilov/ Dolphins ml.

**Dwil125** · 12-15-12, 03:08 AM

(I'm down to the last few people in an nfl survivor pool im safe and the dolphins should be the consensus pick this week)

**kripsak** · 12-15-12, 11:46 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Very Nice. Some early leans I have for tomorrow are Ricci as we have already talked about the over 2.5 should come in also Khabilov, Guillard, and call me crazy but I think Mitrione is a live dog. Im like 1-3 betting on melvin guillard, this is the last time im betting him if he loses.

Adding: 3 team parlay 0.25u Melvin Guillard/Khabilov/ Dolphins ml.

Khabilov is a beast, I was also on Guillard too. Varner has a history of breaking his hands during fights, definitely good play in my books. Hit a nice parlay tonight again

**Dwil125** · 12-16-12, 01:55 AM

Wow nice job on the parlay congrats. Im now officially 1-3-1 betting on melvin guillard, maybe next time. Time for the nfl tomorrow, then starting to look into ufc 155 next week.

**kripsak** · 12-16-12, 03:24 PM

Thanks man, studied my ass off on these play's, paid off pretty good. I'm pretty exhausted on betting for the next few day's, maybe I'll just listened to interviews for the next few days, look at the scores, and skim through a few websites

.

I'll definitely be back in bet mode the week of 155 getting my notes/spreadsheets ready.

**Dwil125** · 12-16-12, 08:15 PM

Ytd -1.65 units. I'm almost at my 1 year mark, I have 3 more events to be up for the year.

MD · 12-16-12, 08:37 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Ytd -1.65 units. I'm almost at my 1 year mark, I have 3 more events to be up for the year.

Don't worry about it buddy. Sports betting is a marathon, not a sprint. Whether you're a winning gambler has nothing to do with the amount of money you're making. Mindset is 80% of this game, and arbitrary goals are very counter-intuitive when it comes to mindset.

**Dwil125** · 12-19-12, 12:08 AM

Originally posted by MD

Don't worry about it buddy. Sports betting is a marathon, not a sprint. Whether you're a winning gambler has nothing to do with the amount of money you're making. Mindset is 80% of this game, and arbitrary goals are very counter-intuitive when it comes to mindset.

Thanks man, it was more of a long term goal when I started betting seriously last January at Ufc on Fox in Il. I wont let the time frame effect my plays but I definitely want to be at evens or up at my ytd mark this January.

**Dwil125** · 12-19-12, 12:10 AM

I met Hiroshi Nakamura today and was able to train with him! He is friends with Yoshiyuki Yoshida who also trains at my gym, and appparently Junie Browning is also training here for a month he seems pretty normal so far.

**Vaughany** · 12-19-12, 03:18 AM

haha good luck with Browning! Maybe he's matured a bit since the wild TUF days and that whole Thailand thing!

**Dwil125** · 12-20-12, 03:04 PM

Adding parlay Jim Miller, Jds/Cain ends Itd. moderate

Cain V itd finishes a parlay for me 0.1u tw 1u.

147079667-1	11/18/12 5:35pm	$11.00	$100.57	Pending	3 Team Parlay
				Win	11/19/12 8:40pm NFL Football 436 San Francisco 49ers -6½ -110* vs Chicago Bears
				Win	11/18/12 8:25pm Props Football 3202 PIT scores first +110* vs BAL scores first
				Pending	12/29/12 11:30pm Props Fighting 1005 Velasquez wins inside distance +153* vs Not Velasquez inside distance

**Dwil125** · 12-27-12, 12:34 PM

Added a play on duffee, Im posting a summary of all my plays tomorrow.