My Business

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • dlunc3
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-31-09
    • 9129

    #666
    Originally posted by blacknwhite
    Hedging and hoping for a middle cavs -2.5 ...

    So hawks by 2-11 is good for me
    good idea imo
    Comment
    • blacknwhite
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-31-12
      • 271

      #667
      I now understand why my friends always says don't be a cav..
      Comment
      • dlunc3
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-31-09
        • 9129

        #668
        iowa 2h over 84 1.5x
        Comment
        • dlunc3
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-31-09
          • 9129

          #669
          miami -8.5 .75x
          lal -11 .25x
          houst +6 .5x
          Comment
          • dlunc3
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-31-09
            • 9129

            #670
            Miami under 191 4x, Okc -9.5 .5x
            Comment
            • blacknwhite
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-31-12
              • 271

              #671
              Wow wtf okc game line is only at -9
              Comment
              • dlunc3
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-31-09
                • 9129

                #672
                Originally posted by blacknwhite
                Wow wtf okc game line is only at -9
                The best play in that game in my mind is okc 1q ml...none of my 3 books have opened it and doesn't look like they will. I am ready to lay the juice in this spot and load up for a 4x play. I see okc coming out fired up tonight. If your book has this line available, I recommend making a play on it
                Comment
                • dlunc3
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-31-09
                  • 9129

                  #673
                  Originally posted by dlunc3
                  The best play in that game in my mind is okc 1q ml...none of my 3 books have opened it and doesn't look like they will. I am ready to lay the juice in this spot and load up for a 4x play. I see okc coming out fired up tonight. If your book has this line available, I recommend making a play on it
                  my book never opened it up (saw it open at other books at -245... shoulda made a quick deposit)


                  disappointing... hopefully it doesnt hit so i dont feel as bad



                  edit: up 12 with 3 minutes to go
                  Last edited by dlunc3; 03-18-12, 09:05 PM.
                  Comment
                  • dlunc3
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-31-09
                    • 9129

                    #674
                    Just put in a 1.5x bet on memphis to win the nba finals at 40-1...

                    I really like the value here a lot. If they can stay healthy going into the playoffs, I can really see them being a tough team. I see them at least winning a round and pushing any team in the west to 6 games in the second round. If worse comes to worst, I can hedge every elimination game to get back my 1.5x. If they can somehow sneak into the western conference finals (which I really dont think is too far fetched with that talented starting lineup), there will be some great hedging opportunities. Im not sure I see any downside to this play at 40-1?
                    Comment
                    • blacknwhite
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 01-31-12
                      • 271

                      #675
                      Originally posted by dlunc3
                      my book never opened it up (saw it open at other books at -245... shoulda made a quick deposit)



                      disappointing... hopefully it doesnt hit so i dont feel as bad
                      Dont like playing ML don't know why.. Took okc -5 1st half
                      Comment
                      • dlunc3
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 10-31-09
                        • 9129

                        #676
                        Originally posted by blacknwhite
                        Dont like playing ML don't know why.. Took okc -5 1st half
                        yea all that juice isnt fun... but i think there are times like tonight where i think okc has a much better chance then 2.5-1 to win the first quarter, to where I think it makes it a valuable play. Oh well... next yr im gonna have another book in my arsenal ready to go to take advantage of opportunities like this.

                        GL on your -5 play... should cash easy
                        Comment
                        • blacknwhite
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 01-31-12
                          • 271

                          #677
                          Took rockets -1.5 (+14 for game) .. I think gentry should hopefully rest starters a bit prematurely for rockets to make a run.. Although ******* phx bench has been playing well lately, not surprised if rockets are flat though on a b2band just play dead
                          Comment
                          • celtics3388
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-31-10
                            • 1916

                            #678
                            I like the Memphis bet dlunc. I got them to win the West at 19-1 a few days ago before z-bo came back. They might not gel with a finally healthy roster and only one ball to share but they have the potential to go off if they learn to play together. Def worth a shot at 40-1 imo
                            Comment
                            • dlunc3
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-31-09
                              • 9129

                              #679
                              3/19

                              Comment
                              • blacknwhite
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 01-31-12
                                • 271

                                #680
                                Don't like playing unders on games with low points - and the potential to go into OT; personally I think bulls magic will go over but didn't put any money on it BOL
                                Comment
                                • fitguy67
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 03-13-11
                                  • 5082

                                  #681
                                  dlunc, i like your big cards (lotsa plays at small units each makes for lower variance)...a perfect "grind 'em out" mode for when MLB hits its stride a few weeks down the road (lotta people say NHL is as good a vehicle as MLB...but the stats-base just isn't as reliable...and the shootouts make it more of a coinflip)
                                  Comment
                                  • dlunc3
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 10-31-09
                                    • 9129

                                    #682
                                    played philly 2h under 90 1.5x and boston 2h under 89 1.5x
                                    Comment
                                    • dlunc3
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 10-31-09
                                      • 9129

                                      #683
                                      Originally posted by fitguy67
                                      dlunc, i like your big cards (lotsa plays at small units each makes for lower variance)...a perfect "grind 'em out" mode for when MLB hits its stride a few weeks down the road (lotta people say NHL is as good a vehicle as MLB...but the stats-base just isn't as reliable...and the shootouts make it more of a coinflip)
                                      Looking forward to mlb

                                      Makes for some busy days with nba still going strong and mlb kicking in... but im all for it. Like you said.. lots of plays at small amount makes for lower variance. A lot of people look down upon playing a decent number of games... but if you feel confident that you can consistently hit 54%+, I personally feel that the more plays the better. At .75% per unit.. I like to keep the risk low and just continue to grind.

                                      i have been researching nhl and debating getting my feet wet the last yr or two.. dont think I quite have it down enough to start risking any real money yet. Im sure there are some great nhl bettors out there though.. One day id like to reach the point where i am confident enough to make some plays every now and then.

                                      BOL the rest of the way this season as we push towards baseball
                                      Last edited by dlunc3; 03-19-12, 08:01 PM.
                                      Comment
                                      • fitguy67
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 03-13-11
                                        • 5082

                                        #684
                                        a good thing about mlb is it's such a long ridiculously game-rich season compared to everything else, it doesn't matter (in fact it's better) to miss the first SEVERAL weeks...allowing models to develop reliable baselines...

                                        so we can wait for the basketball (and hockey) playoffs to wind down before really gearing into mlb...and once mlb hits, the menu is so full every day that there's no need to concern ourselves with anything else till the mlb-playoffs start winding down

                                        mlb is "lotsa-small-whack plays adding up to big profits"...rewards us tortoises and punishes the hares
                                        Comment
                                        • dlunc3
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 10-31-09
                                          • 9129

                                          #685
                                          Such a sick loss on that boston 2h under.... 8 points in the last 22 seconds finishing off a 54 pt 4th following a 37 pt 3rd. So disgusting
                                          Comment
                                          • broadway6
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-14-09
                                            • 13337

                                            #686
                                            Originally posted by dlunc3
                                            3/19



                                            someone's hot
                                            Comment
                                            • dlunc3
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 10-31-09
                                              • 9129

                                              #687
                                              Originally posted by broadway6
                                              someone's hot
                                              Been treading water here the past couple weeks... was inching my way to to 50 unit mark, but keep hovering up and down around 35/40.. hoping for a big week to get over that milestone. So far so good tonight other then the last minute of that boston game

                                              how have you been making out?
                                              Comment
                                              • Traintilupuke
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 02-15-12
                                                • 45

                                                #688
                                                U r the man tonight
                                                Comment
                                                • dlunc3
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 10-31-09
                                                  • 9129

                                                  #689
                                                  dallas +5 (-120) .5x

                                                  hoping to see some chemistry issues tonight for denver


                                                  Loving minny... almost put more on that one...

                                                  hopefully can finish the night strong
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Traintilupuke
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 02-15-12
                                                    • 45

                                                    #690
                                                    Keep it up brotha
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dlunc3
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 10-31-09
                                                      • 9129

                                                      #691
                                                      Originally posted by Traintilupuke
                                                      Keep it up brotha
                                                      thanks man


                                                      how you been making out? havent seen you around in a while..
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dlunc3
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 10-31-09
                                                        • 9129

                                                        #692
                                                        gs 2h under 99.5 1.5x
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dlunc3
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 10-31-09
                                                          • 9129

                                                          #693
                                                          Den -3.5 4q 2x
                                                          Comment
                                                          • fitguy67
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-13-11
                                                            • 5082

                                                            #694
                                                            minny showing some "gelling as a team" character you mentioned yesterday...repeatedly during crucial periods of the second half on the road against GSW...let's hope they lock it in for us and make your future still more valuable
                                                            Comment
                                                            • dlunc3
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 10-31-09
                                                              • 9129

                                                              #695
                                                              3/18 - 3/19
                                                              11-10
                                                              + .875 units
                                                              + $175

                                                              Since starting thread:

                                                              382-310-13 55.3%
                                                              + 38.57 units
                                                              + $7,713.51
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dlunc3
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 10-31-09
                                                                • 9129

                                                                #696
                                                                Oregon +4.5 2x
                                                                Comment
                                                                • upscope
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-26-11
                                                                  • 2837

                                                                  #697
                                                                  I'm a big fan of alot of plays as well. I know the book says it's bad but small edge + high volume = $$
                                                                  My mindset is it's all one big session anyhow. What's the difference between playing 3 games a night for 30 days = 90 plays or 90 plays over a week?? In the end it's still 90 plays & the juice is the same. Only difference is people say you can pick the strongest plays of the day & therefore have the strongest plays working for you over that 90 plays but honestly the strongest plays of the day aren't always obvious. They are usually just an opinion & are by no means a given. My personal history tells me that my strongest plays don't hit @ a much better % anyhow. As long as you keep it within reason & not just randomly fire a solid capper can get away w/ more plays than usual IMO.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Traintilupuke
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 02-15-12
                                                                    • 45

                                                                    #698
                                                                    Originally posted by dlunc3
                                                                    thanks man


                                                                    how you been making out? havent seen you around in a while..
                                                                    Went real cold for about a week and a half just been laying low making small bets...looking to get back on the horse though. After last night I finally got sum cash to play with....how about OKC -3 tonight too good to pass up
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • dlunc3
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 10-31-09
                                                                      • 9129

                                                                      #699
                                                                      Ultra square play of the day: okc -3... I'm on it for 2x. Also on the over 204 2x.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Traintilupuke
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 02-15-12
                                                                        • 45

                                                                        #700
                                                                        Already up a pt to -4 it's noon....can't imagine what it's going to jump to by game time....-15 ha
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...