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dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#666Comment -
blacknwhiteSBR Sharp
- 01-31-12
- 271
#667I now understand why my friends always says don't be a cav..Comment -
dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#668iowa 2h over 84 1.5xComment -
dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#669miami -8.5 .75x
lal -11 .25x
houst +6 .5xComment -
dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#670Miami under 191 4x, Okc -9.5 .5xComment -
blacknwhiteSBR Sharp
- 01-31-12
- 271
#671Wow wtf okc game line is only at -9Comment -
dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#672The best play in that game in my mind is okc 1q ml...none of my 3 books have opened it and doesn't look like they will. I am ready to lay the juice in this spot and load up for a 4x play. I see okc coming out fired up tonight. If your book has this line available, I recommend making a play on itComment -
dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#673The best play in that game in my mind is okc 1q ml...none of my 3 books have opened it and doesn't look like they will. I am ready to lay the juice in this spot and load up for a 4x play. I see okc coming out fired up tonight. If your book has this line available, I recommend making a play on it(saw it open at other books at -245... shoulda made a quick deposit)
disappointing... hopefully it doesnt hit so i dont feel as bad
edit: up 12 with 3 minutes to goLast edited by dlunc3; 03-18-12, 09:05 PM.Comment -
dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#674Just put in a 1.5x bet on memphis to win the nba finals at 40-1...
I really like the value here a lot. If they can stay healthy going into the playoffs, I can really see them being a tough team. I see them at least winning a round and pushing any team in the west to 6 games in the second round. If worse comes to worst, I can hedge every elimination game to get back my 1.5x. If they can somehow sneak into the western conference finals (which I really dont think is too far fetched with that talented starting lineup), there will be some great hedging opportunities. Im not sure I see any downside to this play at 40-1?Comment -
dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#676yea all that juice isnt fun... but i think there are times like tonight where i think okc has a much better chance then 2.5-1 to win the first quarter, to where I think it makes it a valuable play. Oh well... next yr im gonna have another book in my arsenal ready to go to take advantage of opportunities like this.
GL on your -5 play... should cash easyComment -
blacknwhiteSBR Sharp
- 01-31-12
- 271
#677Took rockets -1.5 (+14 for game) .. I think gentry should hopefully rest starters a bit prematurely for rockets to make a run.. Although ******* phx bench has been playing well lately, not surprised if rockets are flat though on a b2band just play deadComment -
celtics3388SBR MVP
- 12-31-10
- 1916
#678I like the Memphis bet dlunc. I got them to win the West at 19-1 a few days ago before z-bo came back. They might not gel with a finally healthy roster and only one ball to share but they have the potential to go off if they learn to play together. Def worth a shot at 40-1 imoComment -
blacknwhiteSBR Sharp
- 01-31-12
- 271
#680Don't like playing unders on games with low points - and the potential to go into OT; personally I think bulls magic will go over but didn't put any money on it BOLComment -
fitguy67SBR Hall of Famer
- 03-13-11
- 5082
#681dlunc, i like your big cards (lotsa plays at small units each makes for lower variance)...a perfect "grind 'em out" mode for when MLB hits its stride a few weeks down the road (lotta people say NHL is as good a vehicle as MLB...but the stats-base just isn't as reliable...and the shootouts make it more of a coinflip)Comment -
dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#682played philly 2h under 90 1.5x and boston 2h under 89 1.5xComment -
dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#683dlunc, i like your big cards (lotsa plays at small units each makes for lower variance)...a perfect "grind 'em out" mode for when MLB hits its stride a few weeks down the road (lotta people say NHL is as good a vehicle as MLB...but the stats-base just isn't as reliable...and the shootouts make it more of a coinflip)
Makes for some busy days with nba still going strong and mlb kicking in... but im all for it. Like you said.. lots of plays at small amount makes for lower variance. A lot of people look down upon playing a decent number of games... but if you feel confident that you can consistently hit 54%+, I personally feel that the more plays the better. At .75% per unit.. I like to keep the risk low and just continue to grind.
i have been researching nhl and debating getting my feet wet the last yr or two.. dont think I quite have it down enough to start risking any real money yet. Im sure there are some great nhl bettors out there though.. One day id like to reach the point where i am confident enough to make some plays every now and then.
BOL the rest of the way this season as we push towards baseballLast edited by dlunc3; 03-19-12, 08:01 PM.Comment -
fitguy67SBR Hall of Famer
- 03-13-11
- 5082
#684a good thing about mlb is it's such a long ridiculously game-rich season compared to everything else, it doesn't matter (in fact it's better) to miss the first SEVERAL weeks...allowing models to develop reliable baselines...
so we can wait for the basketball (and hockey) playoffs to wind down before really gearing into mlb...and once mlb hits, the menu is so full every day that there's no need to concern ourselves with anything else till the mlb-playoffs start winding down
mlb is "lotsa-small-whack plays adding up to big profits"...rewards us tortoises and punishes the haresComment -
dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#685Such a sick loss on that boston 2h under.... 8 points in the last 22 seconds finishing off a 54 pt 4th following a 37 pt 3rd. So disgustingComment -
dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#687Been treading water here the past couple weeks... was inching my way to to 50 unit mark, but keep hovering up and down around 35/40.. hoping for a big week to get over that milestone. So far so good tonight other then the last minute of that boston game
how have you been making out?Comment -
TraintilupukeSBR Rookie
- 02-15-12
- 45
#688U r the man tonightComment -
dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#689dallas +5 (-120) .5x
hoping to see some chemistry issues tonight for denver
Loving minny... almost put more on that one...
hopefully can finish the night strongComment -
TraintilupukeSBR Rookie
- 02-15-12
- 45
#690Keep it up brothaComment -
dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#692gs 2h under 99.5 1.5xComment -
dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#693Den -3.5 4q 2xComment -
fitguy67SBR Hall of Famer
- 03-13-11
- 5082
#694minny showing some "gelling as a team" character you mentioned yesterday...repeatedly during crucial periods of the second half on the road against GSW...let's hope they lock it in for us and make your future still more valuableComment -
dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#6953/18 - 3/19
11-10
+ .875 units
+ $175
Since starting thread:
382-310-13 55.3%
+ 38.57 units
+ $7,713.51Comment -
dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#696Oregon +4.5 2xComment -
upscopeSBR MVP
- 04-26-11
- 2837
#697I'm a big fan of alot of plays as well. I know the book says it's bad but small edge + high volume = $$
My mindset is it's all one big session anyhow. What's the difference between playing 3 games a night for 30 days = 90 plays or 90 plays over a week?? In the end it's still 90 plays & the juice is the same. Only difference is people say you can pick the strongest plays of the day & therefore have the strongest plays working for you over that 90 plays but honestly the strongest plays of the day aren't always obvious. They are usually just an opinion & are by no means a given. My personal history tells me that my strongest plays don't hit @ a much better % anyhow. As long as you keep it within reason & not just randomly fire a solid capper can get away w/ more plays than usual IMO.Comment -
TraintilupukeSBR Rookie
- 02-15-12
- 45
#698Went real cold for about a week and a half just been laying low making small bets...looking to get back on the horse though. After last night I finally got sum cash to play with....how about OKC -3 tonight too good to pass upComment -
dlunc3SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-31-09
- 9129
#699Ultra square play of the day: okc -3... I'm on it for 2x. Also on the over 204 2x.Comment -
TraintilupukeSBR Rookie
- 02-15-12
- 45
#700Already up a pt to -4 it's noon....can't imagine what it's going to jump to by game time....-15 haComment
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