LTA's MLB Plays

**HarbaughTilting** · 05-17-12, 01:20 PM

What happened to that Rockies/dbacks Total?

**BeardedTaco** · 05-17-12, 01:41 PM

the white sox and angels total is the one you should be worried about

**JT OZ** · 05-17-12, 02:02 PM

Originally posted by BeardedTaco

the white sox and angels total is the one you should be worried about

Looking like a bad burn on that one.

**JT OZ** · 05-17-12, 02:02 PM

Coulda got the U7.5 at +money at this point but that's just how my week has gone.

**bleedtoledo** · 05-17-12, 02:05 PM

Yeah, just checked the forum, then opened up my book and see that sox/angels at 8. Anyone know what's going on?

As always, thanks for putting in work, LTA.

**JT OZ** · 05-17-12, 02:06 PM

Wow up to 8 I have no idea what to make of it other than people not trusting the youngster for the White Sox.

**aznbluff** · 05-17-12, 02:10 PM

Angels bats are heating up, if the best hitter in the game returns to form then the Angels will have a top 5ish offense. That's a far cry from the form they've been showing where I would rank their offense somewhere in the bottom third of the league. The key factor of course is Pujols OPSing at .500 compared to ~1.000 batting in the most critical hole in the lineup.

**Love The Action** · 05-17-12, 02:36 PM

Originally posted by aznbluff

Angels bats are heating up, if the best hitter in the game returns to form then the Angels will have a top 5ish offense. That's a far cry from the form they've been showing where I would rank their offense somewhere in the bottom third of the league. The key factor of course is Pujols OPSing at .500 compared to ~1.000 batting in the most critical hole in the lineup.

There is no doubt Albert will return to top form, the question is when. I did not think it would be today. Perhaps there is some inside info about Sale that indicates a possible short outting today because of the injury. As of today, the numbers show that angels are not a great offensive team and that's what I have to go on. Perhaps I erred in trusting Sale in this game. It's certainly not a good long term play. I think I may need to start limiting my plays for awhile because variance is really kicking my tail right now. GL

**bleedtoledo** · 05-17-12, 02:39 PM

I threw a half uni on the under & parlayed it with Heat ML.

I wonder if there's any stat regarding these noon games. Traditionally lower/higher scoring? No relevance whatsoever?

**Redscot** · 05-17-12, 05:45 PM

Bullpens seem to be at an all time low in dependability. Something that may get exacerbated as this week goes on of full scheduling with the interleague games, they will be extra taxed, and that ain't good for unders...bares watching.

**No coincidences** · 05-17-12, 05:47 PM

Originally posted by Redscot

Bullpens seem to be at an all time low in dependability. Something that may get exacerbated as this week goes on of full scheduling with the interleague games, they will be extra taxed, and that ain't good for unders...bares watching.

As someone who was on the Royals both yesterday and today, the Reds today, the Rockies today and the Tribe TT under today, I couldn't agree more.

**J.M. Disciple** · 05-17-12, 05:48 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Thanks for the update. I had no idea....

don't be a b1tch just cause you are having a losing stretch. My post didn't mean to hurt your feelings. I congratulate you on winning days as well.

**Love The Action** · 05-17-12, 05:49 PM

Originally posted by Redscot

Bullpens seem to be at an all time low in dependability. Something that may get exacerbated as this week goes on of full scheduling with the interleague games, they will be extra taxed, and that ain't good for unders...bares watching.

For sure. However, last year's inter-league play was dominated by unders as the unfamiliarity between pitcher and hitter controlled.

**Redscot** · 05-17-12, 05:50 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

For sure. However, last year's inter-league play was dominated by unders as the unfamiliarity between pitcher and hitter controlled.

That's a good point.

**Love The Action** · 05-17-12, 05:51 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

don't be a b1tch just cause you are having a losing stretch. My post didn't mean to hurt your feelings. I congratulate you on winning days as well.

I don't know what the point of your other post was and am equally bewildered by this one. But whatever....GL

**Redscot** · 05-17-12, 05:51 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

As someone who was on the Royals both yesterday and today, the Reds today, the Rockies today and the Tribe TT under today, I couldn't agree more.

It's out of control right now, there has to be a return to the mean at some point, unless there is a financial angle or something.

**secueritae** · 05-17-12, 05:52 PM

Thanks for the Chws/LAA under 7.5 pick LTA

Took it with Baltimore and NYM and now up $130 for the weekend

**bmur714** · 05-17-12, 05:52 PM

Nice call on the cws ml!

**Redscot** · 05-17-12, 05:54 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

don't be a b1tch just cause you are having a losing stretch. My post didn't mean to hurt your feelings. I congratulate you on winning days as well.

I must admit I am equally as

, not like LTA doesn't update his thread religiously.

**Les_Nuts** · 05-17-12, 05:56 PM

Sale returned to form today, if he can stay healthy he will be a stud in a couple of years

**Catchn_Picks** · 05-17-12, 05:59 PM

Wow...a very rare event. Those who got down late won the under and those who bet last night and this morning pushed.

Normally it has been the other way.

Couldn't CWS have been happy with a 5-1 win?

CWS a winner tho.

Congrats LTA and all.

Big night tonight.

**SlickRick1382** · 05-17-12, 06:01 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

don't be a b1tch just cause you are having a losing stretch. My post didn't mean to hurt your feelings. I congratulate you on winning days as well.

Stay Classy

[end sarcasm]

Btw, how is your pimp Atari doing?

**Love The Action** · 05-17-12, 06:07 PM

Originally posted by SlickRick1382

Stay Classy

[end sarcasm]

Btw, how is your pimp Atari doing?

Huh? I used to like Frogger, but I am more of a nintendo/tecmo bowl guy.

**Vasco** · 05-17-12, 06:12 PM

Damn, that was a tough break pushing on the Chi Sox game, but the way we are running it's better than a loss. LTA, we are due to break out any day with that huge 5-0 card you mentioned. You have any leans on the later games? Maybe LA/SD under. You see any value in Philly -1 RL?

**Catchn_Picks** · 05-17-12, 06:13 PM

http://www.toddstake.com/2012/05/17/...ace-like-home/

A superior sports handicapping book for nerds is "Scorecasting: The hidden influences behind how sports are played and games are won" by Moskowitz and Wertheim.

In that book the authors make the case effectively that baseball has the least home field advantage of all major sports...around 53% or so (by memory). However, this is not to say that some pitchers are not highly affected by home versus away fields.

This link is to a great piece about a dozen or so pitchers that are very affected by home and away fields and have been for many years in most cases. Great article. He calls this the "Wandy Rodriguez Complex". Most of you can figure out the tone of the article from there.

I hope you enjoy and profit.

**SlickRick1382** · 05-17-12, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Huh? I used to like Frogger, but I am more of a nintendo/tecmo bowl guy.

He was on On3's thread before always pimping some wannabe tout named Atari who has been atrocious of late so thought it would be fun to remind him of that =)

**chief42** · 05-17-12, 06:34 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Huh? I used to like Frogger, but I am more of a nintendo/tecmo bowl guy.

Here is something you may like to remind you of the good old tecmo bowl days....http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nPIH_snWBEs

**Love The Action** · 05-17-12, 06:39 PM

Originally posted by chief42

Here is something you may like to remind you of the good old tecmo bowl days....http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nPIH_snWBEs

Love that background music...."ready, down, hut, hut, hut, hut, hike..."

Best game ever along with its successor Super Tecmo. I used to dominate with the Dolphins and Marino in Super Tecmo....

**Redscot** · 05-17-12, 06:42 PM

Originally posted by chief42

Here is something you may like to remind you of the good old tecmo bowl days....http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nPIH_snWBEs

Oh how I shed blockers in those days! SNK baseball was a hidden gem too.

**chief42** · 05-17-12, 06:50 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Love that background music...."ready, down, hut, hut, hut, hut, hike..."

Best game ever along with its successor Super Tecmo. I used to dominate with the Dolphins and Marino in Super Tecmo....

Yeah by far the best game every made by Nintendo. I couldn't get enough of it! My favorite team was the Niners, Montana to Rice on the 12 yard in, all day....

I was cracking up when I found that video, was perfect for that disgusting Marshawn Lynch run against the Saints 2 years ago.

**SlickRick1382** · 05-17-12, 06:56 PM

Just an interesting read I found...

There’s no place like home

http://www.toddstake.com/2012/05/17/theres-no-place-like-home/

**SlickRick1382** · 05-17-12, 07:41 PM

Can't seem to catch a break. Zimmerman allowing the lowly Pirates to put up 4 runs against him already is beyond me ...

**Catchn_Picks** · 05-17-12, 08:04 PM

Originally posted by SlickRick1382

Can't seem to catch a break. Zimmerman allowing the lowly Pirates to put up 4 runs against him already is beyond me ...

In particular Rick, the "under" run has been brutal of late.

**Love The Action** · 05-17-12, 08:39 PM

MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/17/2012 Recap

1 - 3 - 1 = -1.51x

MLB 2012 Regular Season

88 - 86 - 12 = -0.63x

This is the first time I have been in the red in MLB at any point since I decided to do this full time two seasons ago. Strangely, I am at peace with this cold streak. Not even frustrated. Instead, I am excited to get to tomorrow's game to start the turn around. I will stay aggressive and stick to my process. Last year, I hit a hot streak during inter-league. I expect the same this season. Good luck.

**BiffTFinancial** · 05-17-12, 08:40 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Love that background music...."ready, down, hut, hut, hut, hut, hike..."

Best game ever along with its successor Super Tecmo. I used to dominate with the Dolphins and Marino in Super Tecmo....

love it. i always used QB Eagles (Randall Cunningham wouldn't license his name to them i guess).