LTA's MLB Plays

[Love The Action]

Been raining all day in philly, game prob gonna get postponed

Yep...heard that earlier. Thanks for the update. I also like AZ ml, AZ/Col over and NY/FL over. However, I missed the half run line move on the AZ over and AZ went from a dog to a fave. Ny over had a huge drop because of the weather. None if those would be good wagers at their current prices. Good luck.

[Love The Action]

Tailing ya bud , have done no research today.

Blind eye interest's in Texas, Texas under, Stros, S.F. over and Oak over. Any one of those blind eye's jibe with your numbers? I don't intend on playing them with no research.

Like that texas under but both pitchers just faced these teams. Like that sf over, but any over is risky with that offense.

I'm just going to stick with the plays I have and start tomorrows card and researching my football plays for sat and sunday. Good luck on whatever you choose!

[Redscot]

Like that texas under but both pitchers just faced these teams. Like that sf over, but any over is risky with that offense.

I'm just going to stick with the plays I have and start tomorrows card and researching my football plays for sat and sunday. Good luck on whatever you choose!

Cool beans man, GL

[Love The Action]

Damn it...big money coming in on that Seattle/LAA over. It's never good when the line moves against your bet and is unfortunately a long term losing proposition if that happens a lot. Hopefully, we get lucky....

[Love The Action]

Bad decision to back Atlanta and the under in back to back games. It's not like my model liked the totals or Atl in these games that much, but I went with my "gut" on those thinking this series would be much more competitive. It is clear that Philly is the class of the NL...bar none. Just a brutal decision which looks to have cost me 4x in two days alone. No back luck involved in those plays, just bad decisions.

Can't take it into tomorrow though or try to get it back all at once. A brutal stretch continues, but I will turn it around.

[borednaz]

Lta, I just lost 1.4k on the dbags, so feel better & good luck. **** this game Im off to football.

[Love The Action]

MLB 9/6/11

Play #1

Brewers/Cardinals under (7.5)(-115) 1x (Locked)

Unders have not been kind to us lately, but I can't allow my confidence to get shaken in my process. I love this pitching matchup between Greinke and Carpenter. I would consider both pitchers to be in the upper echelon of pitchers in this league and with Carpenter coming off two poor performances, I expect a solid performance on Wednesday. Both pitchers have the ability to get both strikeouts and groundballs and will be prepared with an approach for each hitter. These two offenses are very formidable, but pitching trumps hitting and my model has this one at 6.6. The ump is Reyburn with a solid under lean and strike rate over 63%. The wind is projected to be blowing in tomorrow evening, so that should be to our advantage. I expect action to be mixed on both the over and under, but I think we see the under get juiced beyond the -120 range by closing. I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

[hawley]

Dont really understand all the juice on that over today LTA.

I booked it at u6.5 -120 and could of got it at plus money at the closer

Easy winner either way.

[Love The Action]

Dont really understand all the juice on that over today LTA.

I booked it at u6.5 -120 and could of got it at plus money at the closer

Easy winner either way.

There was strong movement about an hour before game time. To be honest, I have no idea what that was about. The line leaned under all day and then switched late. Usually, that's not a good sign but we won rather easily. I will certainly take it, especially after the Braves debacle. Good luck tomorrow Hawley.

[Love The Action]

MLB Recap 9/7/11

1 - 2 = -1.2x

MLB Season 2011

374 - 347 = +15.785x

[Love The Action]

Lta, I just lost 1.4k on the dbags, so feel better & good luck. **** this game Im off to football.

Sorry bro...hang in there.

[Love The Action]

Braves line starting to drop...do I actually chase the Braves today? So unlike me, but it would sure seem like a waste to not play them today and they win.

[Love The Action]

MLB 9/6/11

Play #1

Brewers/Cardinals under (7.5)(-115) 1x (Locked)

Unders have not been kind to us lately, but I can't allow my confidence to get shaken in my process. I love this pitching matchup between Greinke and Carpenter. I would consider both pitchers to be in the upper echelon of pitchers in this league and with Carpenter coming off two poor performances, I expect a solid performance on Wednesday. Both pitchers have the ability to get both strikeouts and groundballs and will be prepared with an approach for each hitter. These two offenses are very formidable, but pitching trumps hitting and my model has this one at 6.6. The ump is Reyburn with a solid under lean and strike rate over 63%. The wind is projected to be blowing in tomorrow evening, so that should be to our advantage. I expect action to be mixed on both the over and under, but I think we see the under get juiced beyond the -120 range by closing. I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #2

Braves ML (+126) 1x (Locked)

This will be the fourth time Beachy faces the Phillies this year and he has generally improved each time. Last outting, he limited the Braves to 2 runs over six innings. On the other hand, Oswalt has a poor history against the Braves and this Braves lineup on the individual matchups. We are seeing a big drop in price from the open despite 75%+ on the Phillies. I am chasing a win here in this series after losing the first two games on both the ML and total. It has not worked out so far, but I have to give it a shot here. I will lock up one unit now at a solid price and see where the line goes before I add more. This is not a conventional play for me, so take that into account before you decide on this one. Good luck.

[fly fisher]

hoping this is a dog day as every side I am taking today including this one is on a dog.

[pacocn]

Lta bol to u today, i am tailing u on
the braves. also like Giants
Pads Under

[Redscot]

GL today LTA . I am tempted on the Rays under, still have it -105. Curious that San Fran is getting cheaper? I think they roll tonight. I can still grab the Detroit game at 7, but there offense has been exploding, can I trust Masterson? Also have Col over at 10 still. Any thoughts? EDit: also have CWS at 8 still, may jump that one.

Liking the Mil under play a lot. Totally understand your thinking on the Braves, gonna join you, but I am nervous. Let's kill'em today my man and get this caboose moving in the right direction.

[Love The Action]

MLB 9/6/11

Play #1

Brewers/Cardinals under (7.5)(-115) 1x (Locked)

Unders have not been kind to us lately, but I can't allow my confidence to get shaken in my process. I love this pitching matchup between Greinke and Carpenter. I would consider both pitchers to be in the upper echelon of pitchers in this league and with Carpenter coming off two poor performances, I expect a solid performance on Wednesday. Both pitchers have the ability to get both strikeouts and groundballs and will be prepared with an approach for each hitter. These two offenses are very formidable, but pitching trumps hitting and my model has this one at 6.6. The ump is Reyburn with a solid under lean and strike rate over 63%. The wind is projected to be blowing in tomorrow evening, so that should be to our advantage. I expect action to be mixed on both the over and under, but I think we see the under get juiced beyond the -120 range by closing. I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #2

Braves ML (+126) 1x (Locked)

This will be the fourth time Beachy faces the Phillies this year and he has generally improved each time. Last outting, he limited the Braves to 2 runs over six innings. On the other hand, Oswalt has a poor history against the Braves and this Braves lineup on the individual matchups. We are seeing a big drop in price from the open despite 75%+ on the Phillies. I am chasing a win here in this series after losing the first two games on both the ML and total. It has not worked out so far, but I have to give it a shot here. I will lock up one unit now at a solid price and see where the line goes before I add more. This is not a conventional play for me, so take that into account before you decide on this one. Good luck.

Added 2x to Play #1 for total of 3x Brewers/Cards under (7.5)(-115) (Locked)

I can't allow the bad beats influence me on future plays. I love the under here and the public is heavy on the over. Book are still juicing the under in a game that will be playoff like intensity. This is what september mlb is all about and I need to be aggressive. I may add another unit as well. Good luck.

[Love The Action]

GL today LTA . I am tempted on the Rays under, still have it -105. Curious that San Fran is getting cheaper? I think they roll tonight. I can still grab the Detroit game at 7, but there offense has been exploding, can I trust Masterson? Also have Col over at 10 still. Any thoughts? EDit: also have CWS at 8 still, may jump that one.

Liking the Mil under play a lot. Totally understand your thinking on the Braves, gonna join you, but I am nervous. Let's kill'em today my man and get this caboose moving in the right direction.

I love the giants today, but still looking into that one. I lean rays under as well, but still work to be done. Despite the white sox losing a pivotal game to my seasonal profits on saturday, I lean to them as well. I think the brewers under may turn into my biggest wager in awhile, but we'll see. I need to be aggressive and not let negative thoughts about bad beats keep me from capitalizing on a play I really like. This will be an important day in my season and could be the day which vaults me back into the roi range to which I am accustomed. Good luck to you red...hope you cash them all!

[BennyFang]

Posted this in another thread:

Good luck LTA....I played the Braves pretty large game one and quickly realized that the Phillies are trying to wrap up any semblance of a divisional race once and for all right now. Again, I think the line is about right. Beachy has great stuff but no real out pitch so he throws many pitches and the Phillies are good at working counts IMO. Front of Braves bullpen (the ones that pitch when they're behind) is pretty beat right now.

I would say that if the Braves can get to Oswalt right off the top, say first trip through the order, it will be promising for them tonight. May be tough otherwise. But I've been off the last couple of days so maybe my thoughts have no merit. Good luck though, Braves are my team so I have motivation for both of us.

[Redscot]

I love the giants today, but still looking into that one. I lean rays under as well, but still work to be done. Despite the white sox losing a pivotal game to my seasonal profits on saturday, I lean to them as well. I think the brewers under may turn into my biggest wager in awhile, but we'll see. I need to be aggressive and not let negative thoughts about bad beats keep me from capitalizing on a play I really like. This will be an important day in my season and could be the day which vaults me back into the roi range to which I am accustomed. Good luck to you red...hope you cash them all!

Positive Vibes brother, do your thing!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cvVyg77j0YY

[Love The Action]

Made the brewers under a 3x play above instead of 2x. This will be a big day for me, one way or the other. GL.

[Love The Action]

Looks like the tigers under is the play on the early games as both lineups look weak today. I don't think you should play it at 6.5, though; only if you got it early at 7. The rain will be a concern. I am passing on the day games. Good luck to everyone on their early plays. Gearing up for a big night tonight....

[No coincidences]

MIL/StL down to 7 now LTA. Good sign. I just don't trust Carp enough to play it; I think his time has passed.

[Redscot]

Had the Texas under 7 1/2. Thanks Kyle .

[Love The Action]

Had the Texas under 7 1/2. Thanks Kyle .

Ouch....sorry bud. Let's get em tonight!

[Redscot]

why am I seeing Teheran for the braves on sbr lines? OK it's back to Beechy. No, I haven't started drinking yet.

Damn, really like San Fran today but local has em at -142, too much.

[Love The Action]

why am I seeing Teheran for the braves on sbr lines? OK it's back to Beechy. No, I haven't started drinking yet.

Damn, really like San Fran today but local has em at -142, too much.

No play on giants for me. Other than the brewers under and braves ml, the only other play I might make is the white sox. Will post final card shortly...good luck!

[Luv2Play2]

bol LTA

[Love The Action]

MLB 9/6/11

Play #1

Brewers/Cardinals under (7.5)(-115) 3x (Locked)

Unders have not been kind to us lately, but I can't allow my confidence to get shaken in my process. I love this pitching matchup between Greinke and Carpenter. I would consider both pitchers to be in the upper echelon of pitchers in this league and with Carpenter coming off two poor performances, I expect a solid performance on Wednesday. Both pitchers have the ability to get both strikeouts and groundballs and will be prepared with an approach for each hitter. These two offenses are very formidable, but pitching trumps hitting and my model has this one at 6.6. The ump is Reyburn with a solid under lean and strike rate over 63%. The wind is projected to be blowing in tomorrow evening, so that should be to our advantage. I expect action to be mixed on both the over and under, but I think we see the under get juiced beyond the -120 range by closing. I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #2

Braves ML (+126) 1x (Locked)

This will be the fourth time Beachy faces the Phillies this year and he has generally improved each time. Last outting, he limited the Braves to 2 runs over six innings. On the other hand, Oswalt has a poor history against the Braves and this Braves lineup on the individual matchups. We are seeing a big drop in price from the open despite 75%+ on the Phillies. I am chasing a win here in this series after losing the first two games on both the ML and total. It has not worked out so far, but I have to give it a shot here. I will lock up one unit now at a solid price and see where the line goes before I add more. This is not a conventional play for me, so take that into account before you decide on this one. Good luck.

Added 1x to Play #1 for total of 4x Brewers/Cards under (3x under(7.5)(-115) and 1x under (7)(+105)(Locked)

Good luck!

[No coincidences]

Good luck LTA. Hope you get this.

Sick of overs hitting everywhere.

[blackeyeshamus]

good luck, LTA.
followed you on the bravos for one unit.
have an awesome night!

[Redscot]

Added 1x to Play #1 for total of 4x Brewers/Cards under (3x under(7.5)(-115) and 1x under (7)(+105)(Locked)

Good luck!

Riding with ya big here LTA, let's keep the positive vibes flowing

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ndAdi5xFrY

[fly fisher]

that danm atlanta team swept us by losing every game, more reason for me not to be an atlanta fan.

[Redscot]

Added 1x to Play #1 for total of 4x Brewers/Cards under (3x under(7.5)(-115) and 1x under (7)(+105)(Locked)

Good luck!

Ballsy call here my man, turned out to be a breeze , made some nice cash on it, danka .

Tough luck on the Braves, Phils are just too complete right now, finding ways to win.

[fly fisher]

yep congrats LTA, wasn't able to get on that under but glad you guys did. congrats to all