GOLDENGREEK's 2011 MLB SEASON LONG THREAD

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • westcoastOO
    Restricted User
    • 07-05-11
    • 21

    #10116
    Love it! Late plays please!
    Comment
    • fitguy67
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-13-11
      • 5082

      #10117
      how to "edit" a post...to remove a few typos (especially remove the word "size" in third line of second para
      Comment
      • R23k
        Restricted User
        • 11-08-09
        • 775

        #10118
        Just got back in town and skimmed through the tread. One question; why the hell would a tool waste his time searching for pictures of GG on the internet???

        FYI: GG isnt a victoria swimsuit model but what ever floats your boat pal
        Comment
        • Lord and Master
          Restricted User
          • 05-31-11
          • 531

          #10119
          Originally posted by fitguy67
          forex mkts are super efficient, but skilled disciplined practitioners can and do exist...ditto sports-investing only moreso...
          Less so, in sports betting there is large vig on every single bet you make. In forex the vig is the commission you are paying which pales in comparison to the 1.5-5% theoretical give on every mlb ml bet depending on which site you use

          GG is the real deal among varied-stake/or flat-stake bettors...
          how can you say this without knowing a z-score or standard deviation, come on you are clearly smarter than that. His record for the year could easily be within the 2nd standard deviation

          I'm going to ask again because I think this is key: so you think that it's possible for someone to be BETTER at predicting games purely based on looking at some info and picking a side versus pinnacle's computers and a highly efficient market? someone that is betting almost every game to boot

          The vast majority of traders who beat the forex market are using exhaustive, highly complex computer models; not just some clown at his computer looking at some macro economic data and sovereign cds spreads and making bets(which I would equate to what greek is doing)
          Comment
          • Avenger
            SBR MVP
            • 03-15-11
            • 2119

            #10120
            Fitguy: I appreciate that you typed out your understanding of mkts and books... but seriously? Do you really apply these strategies to betting? If you do, I'm just curious, no disrespect, what is your winning percentage?

            Your whole market theory revolves around the assumption that the odds are based on team's ability/stats/useless trivia, etc...

            But every bettor knows.... well, better. And this is why we all laugh at Mushy, who went 0-4 yesterday.
            Comment
            • Avenger
              SBR MVP
              • 03-15-11
              • 2119

              #10121
              Baseball has proved to be incredibly lucrative... but everyone loses their bankroll because it's a completely different beast from NBA or NFL. It's not based on spreads, it's based on percentage of games overall. Next year I'm going to try hockey because I think the capping hockey is similar to MLB.
              Comment
              • phillybirds28
                Restricted User
                • 07-05-11
                • 43

                #10122
                Originally posted by westcoastOO
                Love it! Late plays please!


                Comment
                • boondoggle
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-29-10
                  • 3014

                  #10123
                  Originally posted by Lord and Master

                  The vast majority of traders who beat the forex market are using exhaustive, highly complex computer models; not just some clown at his computer looking at some macro economic data and sovereign cds spreads and making bets(which I would equate to what greek is doing)

                  Can you please take your comments to the thinktank. This is a thread about GG and his capping. It is not a thread to discuss MLB models.
                  Comment
                  • Lanncer
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 02-21-10
                    • 134

                    #10124
                    I'm actually enjoying the discussion.
                    Comment
                    • Lord and Master
                      Restricted User
                      • 05-31-11
                      • 531

                      #10125
                      Originally posted by Avenger
                      And this is why we all laugh at Lord and Master, who went 0-4 yesterday.
                      lol where did 0-4 come from?
                      Comment
                      • Lord and Master
                        Restricted User
                        • 05-31-11
                        • 531

                        #10126
                        Originally posted by Avenger
                        Baseball has proved to be incredibly lucrative... but everyone loses their bankroll because it's a completely different beast from NBA or NFL. It's not based on spreads, it's based on percentage of games overall. Next year I'm going to try hockey because I think the capping hockey is similar to MLB.

                        ok fitguy, you see what I mean about most people not understanding how vig works?

                        Can you please take your comments to the thinktank. This is a thread about GG and his capping. It is not a thread to discuss MLB models.
                        nothing from my post was discussing mlb models
                        Comment
                        • boondoggle
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-29-10
                          • 3014

                          #10127
                          Originally posted by Lanncer
                          I'm actually enjoying the discussion.

                          You should browse the thinktank forum. It is where these type of discussions go.
                          Comment
                          • boondoggle
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-29-10
                            • 3014

                            #10128
                            Originally posted by Lord and Master


                            ok fitguy, you see what I mean about most people not understanding how vig works?



                            nothing from my post was discussing mlb models
                            highly complex computer models; not just some clown at his computer looking at some macro economic data and sovereign cds spreads and making bets(which I would equate to what greek is doing)
                            and you finish by insulting GG. I am going to report this to the mods because this is not needed. You bring nothing productive to the discussion.
                            Comment
                            • Lanncer
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 02-21-10
                              • 134

                              #10129
                              Originally posted by boondoggle
                              You should browse the thinktank forum. It is where these type of discussions go.
                              Noted. Thank you.
                              Comment
                              • Lord and Master
                                Restricted User
                                • 05-31-11
                                • 531

                                #10130
                                Originally posted by boondoggle
                                and you finish by insulting GG. I am going to report this to the mods because this is not needed. You bring nothing productive to the discussion.
                                what you quoted was 3 words(far from a discussion) about what beats FOREX not sports betting. oh god please don't report me, please don't tell daddy on me noooooo

                                -Lord and Master
                                Comment
                                • Avenger
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-15-11
                                  • 2119

                                  #10131
                                  Mushy, you don't understand how books work. In some alternate fantasy universe, you think the books set the lines to balance out the money. That's why gg will always be a better capper than you although you may know more useless trivia, such as how vig works. And you were dumb enough to go into gambling god's thread yesterday and insult him. Good job. Keep trying puppy. Maybe you'll go 0-3 today. make sure you tell us where the "value" picks are... wouldn't want to miss the value picks for the day.
                                  Comment
                                  • boondoggle
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-29-10
                                    • 3014

                                    #10132
                                    Originally posted by Lord and Master

                                    what you quoted was 3 words(far from a discussion) about what beats FOREX not sports betting. oh god please don't report me, please don't tell daddy on me noooooo

                                    -Lord and Master
                                    This is GG's thread. We come here for his capping---not your ad homs, bad snark and general rudeness.

                                    You serve no purpose but to denigrate GG and any one who follows him and it is very childish. I am hopeful the mods will give you advice on how to behave in this thread.
                                    Comment
                                    • goldengreek
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-25-07
                                      • 8340

                                      #10133
                                      Originally posted by Avenger
                                      Mushy, you don't understand how books work. In some alternate fantasy universe, you think the books set the lines to balance out the money. That's why gg will always be a better capper than you although you may know more useless trivia, such as how vig works. And you were dumb enough to go into gambling god's thread yesterday and insult him. Good job. Keep trying puppy. Maybe you'll go 0-3 today. make sure you tell us where the "value" picks are... wouldn't want to miss the value picks for the day.

                                      He will never make a post with his leans / picks / bets

                                      He dosent have the balls... he cant take criticism.. he only wants to dish it out

                                      He is an angry losing gambler

                                      He cant win even tho he is knowledgeable about certain aspects of gambling and it pisses him off when others win

                                      Basically he is a smartass know - it - all who cant win and is afraid to post his opinions on games because he loses
                                      Comment
                                      • Lord and Master
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 05-31-11
                                        • 531

                                        #10134
                                        Originally posted by boondoggle
                                        I am hopeful the mods will give you advice on how to behave in this thread.
                                        Comment
                                        • boondoggle
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-29-10
                                          • 3014

                                          #10135
                                          again, I am asking nicely...can you please refrain from making personal insults at people in this thread. Discussion is encouraged but hijacking the thread with pettiness serves no one.
                                          Comment
                                          • slappa
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 04-14-11
                                            • 70

                                            #10136
                                            Looking forward to the night games GG.

                                            Best of luck
                                            Comment
                                            • boondoggle
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-29-10
                                              • 3014

                                              #10137
                                              Originally posted by slappa
                                              looking forward to the night games gg.

                                              Best of luck

                                              +1000
                                              Comment
                                              • RDUBS
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-01-10
                                                • 224

                                                #10138
                                                17 so called men LOB. I wish they still had Wohlers!
                                                Comment
                                                • ManBearPig
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-04-08
                                                  • 2473

                                                  #10139
                                                  FYI - GG's z-score for the season is ~2.44 which puts it in 99th percentile which one would consider a significant event. This is obviously just for this season and there are other factors to consider like units W/L that one would consider when evaluating W/L records, but regardless of how he picks games it wouldn't be considered "dumb" luck.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • hogfan
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 03-29-11
                                                    • 642

                                                    #10140
                                                    Originally posted by westcoastOO
                                                    Love it! Late plays please!
                                                    Originally posted by phillybirds28
                                                    Can't wait!

                                                    Comment
                                                    • Lord and Master
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 05-31-11
                                                      • 531

                                                      #10141
                                                      Originally posted by ManBearPig
                                                      FYI - GG's z-score for the season is ~2.44 which puts it in 99th percentile which one would consider a significant event. This is obviously just for this season and there are other factors to consider like units W/L that one would consider when evaluating W/L records, but regardless of how he picks games it wouldn't be considered "dumb" luck.
                                                      did you really go back through every pick to calculate that? and i don't see how you can come up with that without considering units(or maybe i'm misunderstanding you). do you mind just writing out your z-score calculation
                                                      Comment
                                                      • hardball
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 12-02-10
                                                        • 435

                                                        #10142
                                                        Originally posted by ManBearPig
                                                        FYI - GG's z-score for the season is ~2.44 which puts it in 99th percentile which one would consider a significant event. This is obviously just for this season and there are other factors to consider like units W/L that one would consider when evaluating W/L records, but regardless of how he picks games it wouldn't be considered "dumb" luck.
                                                        For those who are interested in learning more about using z-score and don't attend L & M's community college stats class.... below is a good link to get you started.

                                                        Ganchrow's posts/tools in the think tank are also valuable.

                                                        Good work ManBearPig



                                                        Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
                                                        Last edited by hardball; 07-07-11, 04:00 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • goldengreek
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-25-07
                                                          • 8340

                                                          #10143
                                                          Originally posted by ManBearPig
                                                          FYI - GG's z-score for the season is ~2.44 which puts it in 99th percentile which one would consider a significant event. This is obviously just for this season and there are other factors to consider like units W/L that one would consider when evaluating W/L records, but regardless of how he picks games it wouldn't be considered "dumb" luck.

                                                          WHATEVER THE FUK THAT MEANS

                                                          ....THANK U
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Westcoast0
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 07-05-11
                                                            • 479

                                                            #10144
                                                            Originally posted by goldengreek
                                                            SLUMPING....AND SEEMS LIKE MY TOP 3-4 PLAYS ARE DOING WELL ( 6-2 LAST 2 DAYS )
                                                            ..BUT IM LOSING THE ENTIRE REST OF THE CARD ( GETTING CLOSE TO SWEPT )



                                                            8* COLORADO + 160

                                                            3* UNDER 7.5 COLORADO

                                                            gl

                                                            do we get a night card?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • goldengreek
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-25-07
                                                              • 8340

                                                              #10145
                                                              Originally posted by westcoast0
                                                              do we get a night card?
                                                              i wrote it on your sisters ass with my " invisible ink " / population paste

                                                              ask her for the rough draft
                                                              Last edited by goldengreek; 07-07-11, 04:13 PM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Westcoast0
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 07-05-11
                                                                • 479

                                                                #10146
                                                                please keep the negativity out of it, last time you talked about someones sister big pimpin swung by the hospital and face fu**ed yours


                                                                lets just stick to the plays and baseball
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bigjah15
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-20-10
                                                                  • 1437

                                                                  #10147
                                                                  Westcoast just fuckin leave. Your like the kid at the park with no friends. You want attention. Everytime gg post picks you always come back with sarcasm and after awhile it gets old, the only one laughing is you. GROW UP. I thought u had to be 18+ to gamble..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Westcoast0
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 07-05-11
                                                                    • 479

                                                                    #10148
                                                                    Originally posted by bigjah15
                                                                    Westcoast just fuckin leave. Your like the kid at the park with no friends. You want attention. Everytime gg post picks you always come back with sarcasm and after awhile it gets old, the only one laughing is you. GROW UP. I thought u had to be 18+ to gamble..

                                                                    will not respond to negative comments towards me as im feeling very POSITIVE since I came here 3 days ago
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • hogfan
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 03-29-11
                                                                      • 642

                                                                      #10149
                                                                      This Westcoast guy is hilarious

                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • goldengreek
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 09-25-07
                                                                        • 8340

                                                                        #10150
                                                                        Originally posted by hogfan
                                                                        This Westcoast guy is hilarious

                                                                        way to keep your word..looks like I will be visiting your losing thread very soon
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...