John Morrison 2011 MLB

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  • NZT-48
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 05-29-11
    • 522

    #7491
    Originally posted by Andy3568
    I haven't seen one yet. Even if he counts SD as a win, there's still the KC "B" bet today, so he should send one.
    thanks Andy just post please as soon as you can b/c Im thinking of parlaying the plays today before a 3:45 game is all
    Comment
    • on3
      SBR MVP
      • 08-23-10
      • 2197

      #7492
      Originally posted by G's pks
      Probably not the best time to start a system at this point...tired arms...teams out of the race..teams willing to "give" teams a win or two for entertainment value...

      Do you know what the 66% involves...obviously if based on the top pitchers expect high juice....with 23 losses a reverse might also work...
      its not a chase system. straight up record.
      Comment
      • G's pks
        Restricted User
        • 01-01-09
        • 22251

        #7493
        Originally posted by on3
        its not a chase system. straight up record.
        Do you know the average odds? Still might be a good reverse...everytime I bet on Lincecum I lose...
        Comment
        • alexknyc
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 03-22-11
          • 861

          #7494
          Email from JM:

          Congrats on cashing in with the [B] bets last night! You may also
          have won on the San Diego bet if you had wagered on the Alternate
          Run Line as stated on page 5 of the MLB Betting System:

          "To be safe rather than sorry, you should always bet on the +1.5
          run line if the Money Line odds for your team to win is -115 or
          less (-110 for example would be considered less). If the +1.5 run
          line is not offered if your team has a money line odd to win of
          -113 for example, then you should look for it in the "Alternate Run
          Line" or "Reverse Run Line" section of your bookmaker."

          San Diego should have been wagered on the +1.5 Run Line last night
          because the Money Line odds for them to win was less than -115. If
          you wagered on them on the money line, then you can still bet on them
          for tonight's game if you wish. However, note that the series is
          considered closed as they were a winning [B] bet if you had wagered
          on them accordingly to the alternate run line rule of the system.

          Now, let's go finish up the KC series!

          Go to the link below to see our upcoming system bet(s):



          This page shows the bet(s) that you will need to place today. The
          team on top is the team you need to bet for. The team on bottom is
          the team they're playing against. The letter in bracket is the bet
          type you'll need to place.

          For example, if the page shows:

          4/11 - Colorado [A]
          Arizona

          Then this means that on 4/11 you will need to place a bet on the
          Colorado Rockies to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks. The amount you
          should bet is the amount you've set on your Bet A. Remember to bet
          on the +1.5 run line if the team you're betting for is the
          underdog, and on the money line if the team you're betting for is
          the favorite. Basically, if the +1.5 option is available for the
          team you're betting on, then bet on the 1.5 run line. If the +1.5
          run line is not available (it will show as -1.5 instead), then bet
          on the money line. Note that if you bet on the +1.5 run line, then
          you will win the bet even if your team loses the game by 1 run.

          One more thing to keep in mind is that sometimes you may not
          immediately see the game available for betting on the betting site.
          Sometimes the game might be available but the run line isn't shown.
          If this is the case, just wait and check back later during the day.

          Good luck!
          John Morrison, PhD

          P.S. Check out my revolutionary new service, the "Sports Picks
          Buffet" where I subscribe to over 500 world-famous sports
          handicappers, reveal to you in my private members area ALL of their
          picks every day, and summarize for you the "best bets" of the day
          where most of all handicappers tend to agree on! Go to:
          www.SportsPicksBuffet.com

          PO Box 30175
          Worcester, MA 01603
          Usa
          Comment
          • Andy3568
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-17-10
            • 615

            #7495
            I knew the SOB would reference the rule that is no longer there.
            Comment
            • alexknyc
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 03-22-11
              • 861

              #7496
              Originally posted by Andy3568
              I knew the SOB would reference the rule that is no longer there.
              It was there in November when I got it.
              Comment
              • GGPLAYER
                SBR MVP
                • 03-26-09
                • 2981

                #7497
                What a dick
                Comment
                • Andy3568
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-17-10
                  • 615

                  #7498
                  It was there when I got it too. But when he added that filter about passing on the worst road team if they're a system play on the road, he eliminated it from the system he has online. See the link I posted above. That's the link to the current system, and it's not in there. I wouldn't be surprised if he quietly adds it back in there. To quote GGPLAYER: "What a dick."
                  Comment
                  • alexknyc
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 03-22-11
                    • 861

                    #7499
                    Originally posted by Andy3568
                    It was there when I got it too. But when he added that filter about passing on the worst road team if they're a system play on the road, he eliminated it from the system he has online. See the link I posted above. That's the link to the current system, and it's not in there. I wouldn't be surprised if he quietly adds it back in there. To quote GGPLAYER: "What a dick."
                    I downloaded the system as a .pdf in November. It was there then but anything he's added or subtracted since wouldn't be.
                    Comment
                    • Wallco99
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-01-11
                      • 7261

                      #7500
                      Wallco MLB PLU$$$ - Plays for 8/3/11
                      2011 System to date: 164-13 (v2: 19-2)
                      System profit/loss: +9.43 units (finished series)
                      Since my first post: -10.84 units (149-13) (fin. series)
                      Current open series: 4 (-17.61 units)


                      #174 Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh (M/L) v2 (D) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
                      #179 Philadelphia @ Colorado (M/L) (C) *Official* (3:10 pm EDT)
                      #180 Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh (M/L) (C) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
                      #181 Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh (M/L) (C) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
                      #182 N.Y. Yankees (-1½) @ Chicago White Sox v2 (A) *Official* (8:10 pm EDT)
                      #183 Philadelphia (-1½) @ Colorado v2 (A) *Official* (3:10 pm EDT)
                      #184 Arizona (M/L) @ San Francisco v2 (A) *Official* (3:45 pm EDT)

                      ** Do not place any wagers on teams unless the word “Official” appears next to the game. All lines and standings are based on final lines from ScoresandOdds.com. Some of the unofficial plays may change to the other team by game time. Official plays will not change. Keep checking for updated posts until all games are marked “official”. If your book is offering (+1½) on the (-1½) plays above, buy the alternate line for (-1½) on the team I have listed at (-1½), not the other team. NEVER PLAY (+1½) LINE ON ANY GAME IN THIS SYSTEM.
                      System backtest can be found in post #3446.

                      The v1 plays may change to the other team by game time. The v2 plays will not change teams, but may change (M/L) or (R/L), the team will usually remain the same. Once Official, nothing will change. We have to be careful when playing a game that qualifies for both v1 and v2, because if a team should switch, we may be playing both sides later in the series, or we could even start out on both sides. The system will count all games as wins/losses, how you play them is your discretion. If not otherwise marked, the play will be v1.
                      Comment
                      • COYLO
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-18-10
                        • 2844

                        #7501
                        Originally posted by GGPLAYER
                        What a dick
                        be nice gg it's not dick, it's dickhead
                        Comment
                        • DustyDiamond
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 12-19-09
                          • 772

                          #7502
                          Can someone post the .pdf that has the alternative run rule on it?? How close are the odds suppose to be to consider the alt run line?
                          Comment
                          • on3
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-23-10
                            • 2197

                            #7503
                            Originally posted by DustyDiamond
                            Can someone post the .pdf that has the alternative run rule on it?? How close are the odds suppose to be to consider the alt run line?
                            favorites of less than -115 should be played alt RL per his email.
                            Comment
                            • NZT-48
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 05-29-11
                              • 522

                              #7504
                              so how are we supposed to bet the Royals game tonight? on the alt runline or ML? anyone know?
                              Last edited by NZT-48; 08-03-11, 07:10 PM.
                              Comment
                              • Dave88
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 06-09-11
                                • 130

                                #7505
                                Originally posted by NZT-48
                                so how are we supposed to bet the Royals game tonight? on thr alt runline or ML? anyone know?
                                Royals are solid at -120 to -125 so you would bet the ML
                                Comment
                                • Kev the Brit
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-25-09
                                  • 2027

                                  #7506
                                  so how are we supposed to bet the Royals game tonight? on thr alt runline or ML? anyone know?
                                  I understand the problem. The e-mail from JM is clear, although some here say he did not publish the Page 5 rule in his latest pdf (my latest has it).

                                  So, at the moment (7.30 pm ET) we should play the ML, but if the odds tighten up we should play the alt RL. Best to check the odds again at 8.00pm just before the game. Its arse. I'm on the ML and going to bed.
                                  Last edited by Kev the Brit; 08-04-11, 04:41 AM.
                                  Comment
                                  • NZT-48
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 05-29-11
                                    • 522

                                    #7507
                                    Originally posted by Dave88
                                    Royals are solid at -120 to -125 so you would bet the ML
                                    thanks for the reply dave and kev my fault for not looking closer but at my book Im here to tell u that the play tonight on the Royals will be the alt runline at +1.5 b/c my closing line at heritage had them favored at -115 which then falls under that category

                                    had to lay the extra juice didnt want to but hopefully they win outright so we dont have confusion or for anyone to lose their bets b/c of that issue like last night on the Padres
                                    Comment
                                    • Birdman22
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 05-10-11
                                      • 30

                                      #7508
                                      I sure did think we would have the Cubs today as our C bet since they were favored......Hope the rules aren't changing
                                      Comment
                                      • alexknyc
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 03-22-11
                                        • 861

                                        #7509
                                        Originally posted by Birdman22
                                        I sure did think we would have the Cubs today as our C bet since they were favored......Hope the rules aren't changing
                                        Doesn't ******* matter. We haven't been on the right side of a Cubs series all year.
                                        Comment
                                        • Wallco99
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-01-11
                                          • 7261

                                          #7510
                                          Nothing is changing. It is not 100% based on that in the closer games.
                                          Comment
                                          • Birdman22
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 05-10-11
                                            • 30

                                            #7511
                                            I wasn't questioning Wallco......For some reason I was thinking that when we have the ML and RL it's always the favorite that we bet. Maybe I'm just confused. I figured that's why it wasn't official this morning
                                            Comment
                                            • Wallco99
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 01-01-11
                                              • 7261

                                              #7512
                                              It usually is in the bigger line games and a lot of the time in the closer line games. But other criteria made it a straight money line play today. The reason it wasn't official was so I could make sure it remained that way. I was hoping it would change so at least some of the bets definitely would have cleared, but unfortunately it didn't. Anyway, how can you not score 1 run against the cubs at home when they haven't won more than 3 straight all year.
                                              Comment
                                              • Birdman22
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 05-10-11
                                                • 30

                                                #7513
                                                Agreed.....The only time I'll ever take Cubs is with Garza but Pirates usually play well against the Cubs and you think they would score a run since they are actually playing for something this late in the year.
                                                Comment
                                                • hagball52
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-22-10
                                                  • 3053

                                                  #7514
                                                  Originally posted by G's pks
                                                  several series are 4 games and do not end today....
                                                  No sh*t Sherlock. That's just for today, I know there is more tomorrow. Anytime you want to take over just let me know.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • shermanator
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 02-27-10
                                                    • 510

                                                    #7515
                                                    kansas city pulls through
                                                    Comment
                                                    • oklahoma
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-22-10
                                                      • 602

                                                      #7516
                                                      nice royals and padres wins, glad to get those out of the way.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Fede_Gu
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 05-03-11
                                                        • 138

                                                        #7517
                                                        Another (D) loss and three (D) bets are coming.

                                                        Sorry Wallco, this year your system doesn't perform... Even with a units recovery ROI% will be nullified.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Kev the Brit
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-25-09
                                                          • 2027

                                                          #7518
                                                          Originally posted by NZT-48
                                                          thanks for the reply dave and kev my fault for not looking closer but at my book Im here to tell u that the play tonight on the Royals will be the alt runline at +1.5 b/c my closing line at heritage had them favored at -115 which then falls under that category had to lay the extra juice didnt want to but hopefully they win outright so we dont have confusion or for anyone to lose their bets b/c of that issue like last night on the Padres
                                                          Yep, you were right about the closing odds. Scoresandodds listed them at -115 in Vegas when the game started. Luckily for us all, the team won on the ML.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • G's pks
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 01-01-09
                                                            • 22251

                                                            #7519
                                                            Originally posted by Fede_Gu
                                                            Another (D) loss and three (D) bets are coming.

                                                            Sorry Wallco, this year your system doesn't perform... Even with a units recovery ROI% will be nullified.
                                                            its been even worse than that for wallco...here is the record the last 3 days...

                                                            1-8
                                                            3-5
                                                            2-5for a total of 6 wins and 18 losses and some very large unit losses especially when you count all the "open series" which any way you call them are losses...

                                                            But seriously you have a thread for JM and Wallco who jumped into this thread and has lost some major dollars...hopefully he gets some of it back...what a horrid run!

                                                            Lets pull for the guy seriously he is under some very large amount... Guys if anyone is still following this system... please be careful several have been wiped out...

                                                            Hopefully next year the JM thread is just that and not someone trying to ride his coat tails and sell an unmarketable system....
                                                            Last edited by G's pks; 08-04-11, 06:15 AM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Fede_Gu
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 05-03-11
                                                              • 138

                                                              #7520
                                                              G, right now I don't think Wallco is trying to sell his system. Just to be correct.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • G's pks
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 01-01-09
                                                                • 22251

                                                                #7521
                                                                Originally posted by Fede_Gu
                                                                G, right now I don't think Wallco is trying to sell his system. Just to be correct.

                                                                Agree...not to many would be interested...but he did in the past say he had someone that was going to buy the rights to it and market it... Hopefully he was able to dump it before the long term results came out...

                                                                Take care... he may want to flip this system and fade himself...could answer all the problems he is having...well either way as you said it may have looked pretty on paper but it has not worked...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • COYLO
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-18-10
                                                                  • 2844

                                                                  #7522
                                                                  woulda been interesting to see what the results from a reverse wallco system woulda been
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • alexknyc
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 03-22-11
                                                                    • 861

                                                                    #7523
                                                                    Originally posted by COYLO
                                                                    woulda been interesting to see what the results from a reverse wallco system woulda been
                                                                    Or a Wallco system that avoided any series with the Cubs in it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • lawalahmed
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 11-13-10
                                                                      • 1237

                                                                      #7524
                                                                      Originally posted by COYLO
                                                                      woulda been interesting to see what the results from a reverse wallco system woulda been
                                                                      Let me guest MONEY!!!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • bauerranch
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 08-01-10
                                                                        • 611

                                                                        #7525
                                                                        Originally posted by G's pks
                                                                        Agree...not to many would be interested...but he did in the past say he had someone that was going to buy the rights to it and market it... Hopefully he was able to dump it before the long term results came out...

                                                                        Take care... he may want to flip this system and fade himself...could answer all the problems he is having...well either way as you said it may have looked pretty on paper but it has not worked...
                                                                        G you are a Troll and a Monday Morning Quarterback
                                                                        When the Cubs lose you tell us we were wrong
                                                                        When the Cubs win you tell us we were wrong
                                                                        Are you a women or just pretending to act like on??- I am sorry for the remark to all of the smart, nice women who come to this forum
                                                                        By the way --I am up for the year and it is not from following your thread
                                                                        Mrs Troll- stay in your own thread
                                                                        Comment
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