Wtf happening, every single bet are going to C or D bet
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And now i see That Houston killed Cubs in the laaaaast inning.. AaaahhhhComment -
we'll win the C bets tomorrow
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Wow a few of you guys are ruining this thread...a few losses and some of you have jumped out your basement window and landed sideways in the dirt...
I used to enjoy stopping in and seeing the plays(I do not play them but always like to see what others are doing)...sad how a few losses have caused 10 pages of nonsense a day...maybe time to focus on baseball...
Odd how no one ever talks about baseball...just give me... give me... give me....you guys need to be discussing injuries...streaks...what happens during the games...
And who are the goofs trying to solicit in the thread...
Maybe everyone should read what they write and make sure it pertains to baseball...well later boys...sorry to see this happening....Comment -
I like this thread and I appreciate everyone who contributes both good and bad. It reminds me of our lives. Everyone has something to say, sometimes its positive sometimes its negative. In life there are ups and downs. When things go well in life everyone is positive. When things do not go well people give there opinion about what is wrong and how to fix it. In this thread, just like in life, it is up to each individual to determine who he or she chooses to entertain.Comment -
Then don't stop by anymore. If I recall your thread was a trainwreck a few weeks ago. I've been to your thread and to see your post in bold makes it easy and convenient to find them but for you to come into another thread and make your post in bold is extremely arrogant and self serving. You offer nothing but cynical criticism and contribute nothing.
P.S. Sorry everyone. You've all known me for awhile now and I don't usually engage in verbal sparring but I couldn't stop myself.Comment -
Ohh how I love the condescending tone with which the great G speaks. You want to talk about odd... odd I only see you in here when things are down, trying, so desprately to suck your own d*ck. I'm about tired of you and your sad attempts to stroke your ego.
Oh yea... baseball.. FLA played great tonight, glad they could hold strong in the 8th, Thanks for the pick Wallco.Comment -
thats funny...some morrison mush trying to tell me what I can and cannot do...keep up the good work champ...as far as the train wreck my system has not even been down 5 units at anytime this year...
And do not be sorry to anyone for trying to act like a man...be sorry for not being one all the time...Comment -
Your tired?
who cares??? Use spell check or learn how to spell if you want someone to believe you are intelligent....
maybe you can convince your boyfriend...
later I will stop back whenever I feel like it....and GL Wallco you are doing a good job...just a few that even though you said there would be losses somehow thought you would part the red sea...enjoy the thread...keep it up...Comment -
Your tired?who cares??? Use spell check or learn how to spell if you want someone to believe you are intelligent....
maybe you can convince your boyfriend...
later I will stop back whenever I feel like it....and GL Wallco you are doing a good job...just a few that even though you said there would be losses somehow thought you would part the red sea...enjoy the thread...keep it up...
thats what your going with... spell check and a gay joke... You would think that after 24k posts you and your bold font could come up with something better than that. With all that time in front of your computer you and your still dwindling self-confidence managed to fire back... good for you and your 300 lb. bed sore having, redtube watching, introvert.
I'm out and done with you thickness... I don't want to contribute any more to your low self esteemComment -
Come on stay positive guys. Sure, the bankroll sure has taken a beating last few days but it'll only get better. We'll get through this rough patch. Stay positive: it's the Law of attraction, if anyone believes in it.Comment -
Cubs is just amazing.. cant beleive they actually have won some games this season
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Wait according to these posts you made you should be in Australia or some shit:
honeyeater
#proMemberDisplay A ** COLOR: blue !important; FONT-WEIGHT: bold; TEXT-DECORATION: underline**#proMemberDisplay ** PADDING-BOTTOM: 2px; MARGIN-TOP: 2px; PADDING-LEFT: 2px; PADDING-RIGHT: 2px; PADDING-TOP: 2px**Become A Pro!
Joined: 01-19-11
Posts: 133
SBR Points: 381
Message Me
[COLOR=#000000 !important]So I have CHI as the Fev with -175. It is very close. In fact i can not figure out if Philly is -176 or not. In any case I'm i AUS so the time difference sucks. I wish you guys would post the night before. GL[/COLOR]
honeyeater
#proMemberDisplay A ** COLOR: blue !important; FONT-WEIGHT: bold; TEXT-DECORATION: underline**#proMemberDisplay ** PADDING-BOTTOM: 2px; MARGIN-TOP: 2px; PADDING-LEFT: 2px; PADDING-RIGHT: 2px; PADDING-TOP: 2px**Become A Pro!
Joined: 01-19-11
Posts: 133
SBR Points: 381
Message Me
[COLOR=#000000 !important]So I have CHI as the Fev with -175. It is very close. In fact i can not figure out if Philly is -176 or not. In any case I'm i AUS so the time difference sucks. I wish you guys would post the night before. GL[/COLOR]
[COLOR=#000000 !important]So I have CHI as the Fev with -175. It is very close. In fact i can not figure out if Philly is -176 or not. In any case I'm i AUS so the time difference sucks. I wish you guys would post the night before. GL[/COLOR]
[COLOR=#000000 !important][/COLOR]
[COLOR=#000000 !important]Your correct- In Australia I use TAB- it's the gov book- the publish payout as "price". So for the Yanks -1.5 I'm getting $1.90 meaning every dollor I bet and win I get back $1.90 . For -1.5 I like it to be at least $2.00- That way it's even and also easier to recover a loss...[/COLOR]
[COLOR=#000000 !important][/COLOR]
[COLOR=#000000 !important]I happend to be born and raised in SF. 1 Post St is a big office building. You don't live where you sleep do you? Should Skivchef come during office hours and ask for your secretary or maybe he can ask her how much is a drink is in Pounds or whatever Australia uses[/COLOR]Comment -
That turned into a big mess. Basically the quotes are from Honeyeater saying he's from Austrailia and talking about Austrailia. Then he invites Skivchef to come to 1 Post St in SF, which is a big ass office building because I grew up in SF. So should Shivchef come during his office hours?Comment -
I prefer public market to supermarket.......Comment -
" i prefer public market to supermarket ".......
Bcos they are many raw things there.....Comment -
JM Thread is the sample of " Public Market " i'm talking about.....Comment -
Thread made my night.... the back and forth bagging on each other is hilarious! No need to really talk about baseball or injuries because its a system that is not based on injuries. If we were deciding what games to bet on daily, then we would be talking more about injuries and stuff, but the fact is, its a system that is not based on those terms.
oh Btw maybe its just me, but i think if you bet every underdog so far this season, just flat betting of course, you would actually be up money. They are hitting around 50%, so you would actually be up quite a bit with + odds for ML.
Just a little hint if anyone wants to back test that. I think it went like 201-196 in april or something like that. Long term though, might not be that effective.
Looking forward to some good sss, wallco, and any other good systems for June. Its a new month, so lets make this one break the bookies!
Best of Luck to everyone this month
--JMDComment -
Oh yes, Cubs are à early game tonight , theb i can follow it here in europé, the wordt thing ever is to wake up and just see à final score, Dont like it at all...Comment -
Arrrrgggghhhh.....Cubs closer blows the lead!! Oh well.....bring on the "C" bets!!
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I think underdogs just from a couple weeks of back testing end of april. Are winning around 48% of the time. Might be profitable just to start flat betting every underdog. Yesterday being a prime example where underdogs won 10 out of 15.
More back testing is obv. needed. Just thought I would share that for those who like to back test stuff.
Dont really need to back test the exact amount you would wager, but if someone could get a win / loss record for this entire season or even all of last season, that would be something worth looking at.
I think if this was truely the case though, everyone would just be betting all the underdogs all the time. Just something to look at though.
Cause even at 40% using labby *Risking to win* could be pretty low variance with a pretty high return. so instead of just clearing 2 #s at a time, if you risk that amount could be clearing like 2.5 #s if that makes sense. basically 2 wins would clear 5#s instead of 4.Comment -
Wallco MLB PLU$$$
2011 System to date: 76-4
System profit/loss: +49.96 units (finished series)
Since my first post: +29.69 units (61-4) (fin. series)
Current open series: 2 (-8.70 units)
(5/31/11) Chicago Cubs (M/L) (B) - Loss
(5/31/11) Chicago Cubs (-1½) (B) – Loss
(5/31/11) Florida (M/L) (B) - Win
(A) 41-41
(B) 18-23
(C) 10-11
(D) 7-4
Games for (6/1/11):
Houston @ Chicago Cubs (M/L) (C) *Official* (2:20 pm EDT)
Houston @ Chicago Cubs (-1½) (C) *Official* (2:20 pm EDT)
** Do not place any wagers on teams unless the word “Official” appears next to the game. All lines and standings are based on final lines from ScoresandOdds.com. Some of the unofficial plays may change to the other team by game time. Official plays will not change. Keep checking for updated posts until all games are marked “official”. If your book is offering (+1½) on the (-1½) plays above, buy the alternate line for (-1½) on the team I have listed at (-1½), not the other team. NEVER PLAY (+1½) LINE ON ANY GAME IN THIS SYSTEM.
System backtest can be found in post #3446.Comment -
Do what you did to get it and don't stop just go and get it!!Comment -
Let's hope the Cubs dominate today... This negative ML bet is getting big.Comment -
Great work Wallco99. Looking forward to the Cubs bet!Comment -
A lot of Drama up in heree
Remember guys, we're here to work together and get that cash monayyyyy
Just a friendly reminder,
Soldier1047 and I are posting Wallco's system on twitter so you can have the plays sent straight to your cellphones.
The following accounts....
Lets go guys!
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So i did some testing for this year just adding up the overs and unders and ATS for home teams
O/u = 806 wins - 744
ATS @ home = 431 - 386
*note there hasn't actually been 1550 games this season. Record appears as 806 wins and 744 losses because its each teams overall over / under record added up. Should be able to just divide it by 2 to get aprox record.
Basically im sharing this information because I have started back testing a system and currently betting the system every day. All though this is only my 3rd day betting with this system. i have tested it for the first month of MLB regular season and the results were just amazing.
Basically what you do is run 15 labby lines for the over / under and bet each game to go over. I chose 15 lines because there is usually around 15 games a day.
I usually just start with 1# on my line. My unit size right now is .5% of my bankroll or $5s for example as a starting point.
I place games in order of covers.com score board starting with all the AL teams followed by NL teams, so AL teams would be first 7 or 8 lines then NL would be the bottom 7 or 8 lines.
Another KEY POINT IS WHEN you are managing these lines its important to balance and average all the lines equally, so each bet is of equal importance. Also add a unit when each line is cleared before averaging the lines out.
Ill use 5 lines in this example
Day 1
5-6
5-6
5-6
5-6
5-6
so your betting $6 to win 5 for each line just to make the math easy... round to whole # for this example.
so after day 1 say you won 40% of your bets (2/5)
5-6 Clear replace with $5
5-6 Clear replace with $5
5-6
5-6
5-6
so your new total is $5 +$5 + 5 + 5 + 5 + 6 + 6 + 6 = $43 total
so you average your 8 #s and lines equally.
avg = $5.38 which your new lines now appear as
5.38
5.38
5.38 5.38
5.38 5.38
5.38 5.38
*note you can start with more then 1# on your labby line. I just prefer one. Starting with more then 1 # on your line will make each bet equal. I suggest dividing your unit size in half if you do this though, so your betting to win 1 unit still instead of 2. Having a lot of lines will risk a big portion of your bankroll each day, so use small unit size even with the labby.
so day 2
5.38 - 6
5.38 - 6
5.38 5.38 - 11
5.38 5.38 - 11
5.38 5.38 - 11
Risking $6 or $11 to win $5.38 or $10.76. again just rounding to make it simpler math.
say you win 40% this time. (2/5)
5.38 - 6 cleared and replace with $5
5.38 - 6 cleared and replace with $5
5.38 5.38 - 11
5.38 5.38 - 11
5.38 5.38 - 11
so now you have (5.38 + 5.38 + 11) x 3 + 5 + 5 = $75.28
$75.28 (amount of $ left on the lines after cleared lines are replaced with a unit / 11 (there are 11#s left on the line)
avg = $$6.84
so now your new lines after they are balanced and averaged out 5 lines 11 #s with each # equal to $6.84
6.84 / 6.84
6.84 / 6.84
6.84 / 6.84 / 6.84
6.84 / 6.84 / 6.84
6.84 / 6.84 / 6.84
Basically AVERAGING AND BALANCING THE LINES with make you a tremendous profit long run when something hits 34% or higher. And since Overs are hitting well over 50% its basically like printing $$$$.
I know the lines are bigger then what they started out at, but you have to remember we already cleared 4 lines and replaced those lines with a new unit size.
If you do not believe this example, go through this MLB season starting at the beginning and list the 15 games a day in order with all the AL games first followed by the NL games and I can almost guarantee you will be up about 100 units or so by end of the month.
You could also do this method betting ML favorites, home ATS, or any other sports pretty much since overs / unders as well as spreads are designed to hit around 50% the labby should be crushing almost any sport.
*note its important not to make a labby line for each team unless your balancing and averaging all 30 lines equally. If you use 1 line for each team with out averaging or balancing the lines I guarantee you that some of your lines will get huge.
I hope you all enjoy my "system" and hope everyone here reads this so they can make a lot of money.
*i do not think sports books can really counter this method of betting, but if you know a way they can i suggest you do not tell them!
Enjoy the system and I would like to give a special thanks again to
Bugs on this forum for sharing his "averaging" the lines out to make each bet equal.
That led me to discover this system.
LETS MAKE SOME MONEY TODAY!
any advice on this betting system on how to improve or or critizisms are welcomed. I'm always looking to improve financially.
THANKS
JMDComment -
Thanks JMD, some nice info there, something to mull over awhile.Comment -
JM MLB System
2011 Official season series record 7-0 (v1)
(A) 4-3
(B) 2-1
(C) 1-0
V2 plays 1-0
V3 system 1-0
Unofficial series 5-0
Official
(5/30/2011) Seattle (.494)vs Baltimore (.490) M/L (A) Win
*Unofficial*
(5/30/2011) Washington (.495)vs Philadelphia (.538) R/L (A) Win
Next Plays
(6/02/2011) Minnesota @ Kansas City
(6/03/2011) Chicago White Sox v Detroit
Notes: Let's keep moving forward. There are 7 possible sweeps today. Will update tomorrow morning with the rpi for the upcoming play. It will definitely be unofficial but may offer some good value. GL all
P.S. I let some thread troll get the best of my temper last night. Time to get back to work.
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