2008 MLB Preview: Boston Red Sox

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  • Willie Bee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-14-06
    • 15726

    #1
    2008 MLB Preview: Boston Red Sox
    Red Sox ready to defend ’07 crown

    After breaking an 86-year drought in 2004, the Boston Red Sox return this season with yet another World Series title under their belts and looking for more as the favorites to win it all again.

    Following so many frustrating, oh-so-close seasons, it’s good to be a Red Sox fan these days. The team enters the 2008 season as the defending World Series Champions and quite possibly a better team than they were a year ago when they swept the Rockies in the Fall Classic to win their second title in four seasons.

    If there ever was a curse, as some insist, it’s definitely gone by now.

    Only three starters among the position players from the 2004 titlists survived to collect another ring in 2007 – Jason Varitek, David Ortiz and Manny Ramirez. And it’s a wonder that Ramirez was around in 2007 following the trade rumors that dogged him since 2004. Curt Schilling, Tim Wakefield and Mike Timlin were the only pitchers to collect a championship ring on both clubs. So the turnover was heavy following the ’04 win.

    If Boston does win their second consecutive World Series this season, it will be pretty much the same team that won a year ago. Though the Red Sox dabbled in some of the early trade talks for southpaw sensation Johan Santana, the biggest move they ended up making to date has been signing 1B Sean Casey.

    And that suits most of Red Sox Nation just fine. Hey, no doubt they wouldn’t have minded one bit to see Santana in a Boston uni this season. Who wouldn’t? But with a solid mix of veterans and youngsters on their way up, the folks in Beantown are happy with what they’ve got.

    Yes, it’s good to be a Red Sox fan these days.

    PITCHING
    If there’s one area of concern enter the 2008 season for manager Terry Francona and the Boston faithful, not to mention those holding Red Sox futures, it’s on the mound. Granted, it’s not a huge concern, especially with a horse like Josh Beckett anchoring the starting staff and Jonathan Papelbon closing out the ninth inning.

    But there are questions behind Beckett. Can 41-year-old Curt Schilling overcome his shoulder woes and contribute? The prognosis right now is Old 38’s shoulder will keep him out of action the first few months, so he obviously won’t contribute starting in April.

    Will Tim Wakefield – who, like Schilling, enters this year 41 – be able to rebound from the back trouble that kept him off the World Series roster? All signs are he’s ready to go. Can Daisuke Matsuzaka find some consistency and show what made him one of the most heralded players to find their way to the majors from Japan?

    Will Jon Lester’s inspiring return continue after his battle from Lymphoma and a win in Boston’s clinching Game 4 of the World Series? Is Clay Buchholz, who authored a no-hitter in just his second big league start last September, ready to shoulder the load over 28-30 MLB starts? And will Julian Tavarez find any success bouncing once again between the rotation and the bullpen?

    Speaking of the bullpen, it should be fine behind Papelbon. Southpaw Hideki Okajima turned into the most valuable Japanese pitcher on the roster last season with a 2.22 ERA over 66 appearances. Javier Lopez, another lefty, might drop down in the pecking order despite signing a nice $840K contract in the winter. Lopez, expected to be the ‘lefty specialist,’ was no mystery to left-handed hitters in 2007.

    Veteran right-hander Mike Timlin is back for some 7th-8th inning work, and Manny Delcarmen is expected to get some setup work along with the occasional save opportunity. Kyle Snyder, Devern Hasack and David Aardsma are also around for relief jobs, with Boston inking a pair of veteran Dan’s, Miceli and Kolb, to minor league deals for some depth.

    OFFENSE/DEFENSE
    While we might see some hiccups in the rotation if both graybeards, Schilling and Wakefield, don’t have it, the offense is very likely going to be stronger than a year ago. The infield-catching quintet that ended the season – Varitek, Kevin Youkilis, Dustin Pedroia, Julio Lugo and Mike Lowell – is back intact, and I expect to see a bounce-back year from Lugo offensively and continued improvement from Pedroia, the AL Rookie of the Year in 2007.

    Manny’s back being Manny, and hoping to avoid the terribly slow start he got off to last season. Ramirez was hitting just .188 with 2 HR on April 28 before closing the year at .296, 20 HR. He’ll be in left with Jacoby Ellsbury the likely candidate for center over Coco Crisp.

    J.D. Drew is a bit of a concern in right, both with regards to his always-fragile health and the rather lackluster production he provided before breaking out with a .350 average and eight RBI in 11 ALCS/WS games. There isn’t a lot behind the current top four outfielders right now, unless a kid like Brandon Moss emerges out of spring.

    Bobby Kielty was re-signed to a minor league deal and should make the club as an outfield reserve, with Jon Van Every another OF possibility. The Sox may also toy with the idea of getting Youkilis into action out in right with Casey manning first base. Alex Cora will play the utility infielder’s role once again.

    And, oh yeah, Boston has a guy named Big Papi at DH. Assuming Ellsbury is ready to play full-time and Drew can stay healthy, this offense and defense should be just fine.

    Key Player(s): On the mound, there will be pressure on both Dice-K and Buchholz to provide support for Beckett, especially while Schilling is out. Lugo and Drew are critical on offense.

    Futures: Boston is drawing heavy chalk, unsurprisingly, with The Greek listing the Sox at -125 to win their division, +285 to win the AL flag and +465 to win their second straight World Series. BetCris’ O/U break on wins is at 94, and the Beantowners topped that mark in two of my five simulation runs. If that number comes down, even by half a win, the over would seem a very safe bet.
  • bigboydan
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-10-05
    • 55420

    #2
    How effective is Schilling going to be if the rehab is successful (which I'm doubting it will be) is the question.

    I feel that the Blue Jays might actually have a real shot at winning the AL East this year, however I will have to do a little bit more research on this schedule breakdown before I post that as my prediction.
    Comment
    • B1GER1C828
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-31-07
      • 10244

      #3
      bbd i respect ur inputs, but i highly disagree with u. sox are going to dominate the east
      Comment
      • rjt721
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-06-07
        • 7929

        #4
        Originally posted by bigboydan
        How effective is Schilling going to be if the rehab is successful (which I'm doubting it will be) is the question.
        I'm not sure it really matters. With or without Schilling, Buchholz belongs in the rotation, and he likely wouldn't have gotten that opportunity (at least not to start the season) with a healthy Schill. Sure, his absence hurts their depth, and they'll likely encounter an injury to one of the starters, but they can always throw in Tavarez for spot duty, sign a guy like Freddy Garcia, or call up one of their many capable arms in the minors if need be.
        Comment
        • Stumpage
          SBR MVP
          • 09-21-05
          • 2906

          #5
          Yeah, I'd have to second RJT and say that I wasn't counting on much from Schilling this year anyway, regardless of his health. He pitched decently last year, going 9-8 with a respectable ERA and chewing up 150 innings. However, these are the hardly the numbers one expects from a "Big Man" in your rotation.

          Quite honestly, when I heard he was injured, I didn't bat an eye, not even with the initial report that it could be season, and career, crippling. Hey, I just figure you throw Wakefield out there for consecutive starts, seeing as how he's probably going to still be throwing that flutterball up there when he's well into his 60's.....
          Comment
          • Willie Bee
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-14-06
            • 15726

            #6
            In a best case scenario, Dice K and Buchholz will both blossom and Beckett repeats his strong '07 showing. Wakefield could have a decent rebound, and Schilling could contribute once he returns. But I do not think you really count on either for too much, and that means the Sox will be leaning on Tavarez (which I don't think is necessarily a good thing) and can ill-afford having any of their front three entering the season -- Beckett, Matsuzaka, Buchholz -- come up lame or poop things up.

            That said, Boston's pen appears pretty solid and their offense, at least in my opinion, will be better in 2008.
            Comment
            • Stumpage
              SBR MVP
              • 09-21-05
              • 2906

              #7
              Good points Bee.....I just hope they don't pull a "BlueJays" and have everybody of significance take turns coming up lame from Game 1 right thru 162.....
              Comment
              • B1GER1C828
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 07-31-07
                • 10244

                #8
                Originally posted by Willie Bee
                In a best case scenario, Dice K and Buchholz will both blossom and Beckett repeats his strong '07 showing. Wakefield could have a decent rebound, and Schilling could contribute once he returns. But I do not think you really count on either for too much, and that means the Sox will be leaning on Tavarez (which I don't think is necessarily a good thing) and can ill-afford having any of their front three entering the season -- Beckett, Matsuzaka, Buchholz -- come up lame or poop things up.

                That said, Boston's pen appears pretty solid and their offense, at least in my opinion, will be better in 2008.
                being a boston fan, i can honestly say i like having tavarez in the rotation every now and again. he makes the game interesting 2 watch with his energy (which include rolling the ball 2 1st base when it was hit bak at him). If hes good 2 b a constant starter-well thats prob not true, but i like him out of the bullpen because his era the 1st 2-3 innings is like 1/3 of his era 4+ innings. I think the sox will b alrite this year pitching

                becket,dicek, schilling, wakefield, buch and whoever else they end up throwing in seems good. wakefield is always good for .500 or better season and i love watching him pitch
                Comment
                • Willie Bee
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-14-06
                  • 15726

                  #9
                  I love knucklers as well, B1GER. I've tried teaching it to Little Leaguers for an offspeed pitch, and they simply won't trust the slow stuff.

                  Also, just to let you know I'm not ignoring your question about home favorites and away favorites...just haven't found the information for you. I'm really not much of a long-term trend follower myself (ask LT about our debates on the subject). But I'll keep an eye open for the info.
                  Comment
                  • B1GER1C828
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-31-07
                    • 10244

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Willie Bee
                    I love knucklers as well, B1GER. I've tried teaching it to Little Leaguers for an offspeed pitch, and they simply won't trust the slow stuff.

                    Also, just to let you know I'm not ignoring your question about home favorites and away favorites...just haven't found the information for you. I'm really not much of a long-term trend follower myself (ask LT about our debates on the subject). But I'll keep an eye open for the info.
                    ya apparently its not as easy as i thot it would b 2 find it. spent about an hour or so myself tryign to find it. anyhow thx alot for trying dubya bee and ya keep ur eye out for me if u dnt mind! thx again wb
                    Comment
                    • B1GER1C828
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-31-07
                      • 10244

                      #11


                      this site has the stats, but its for the 2008 season. i emailed them requesting them for last year and w/e years i can get. They probably wont give me it but ill try anyway
                      Comment
                      • willyback
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-15-07
                        • 674

                        #12
                        The Sox still have a good team, but without Schilling there's a serious void in the pitching rotation. They could still dominate the east: Yankees are rebuilding the pitching staff and Baltimore (what a joke) - instead of building a competitive team around bedard and guthrie they trade away their franchise player. Tampa Bay is Boston biggest threat in the east: Kazmir, Shields, and Garza (extremely talented young pitching staff). If they could just get Edwin Jackson's confidence up, they could hurt a lot of opposing fans feelings in the AL East.
                        Comment
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