fenek created a system, let´s see how it works

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  • ttratter
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-25-10
    • 109

    #211
    Also Fenek, If you notice alot of teams win by a 2 or more margin just curious if we just played these on the rl instead how it would have faired? Just a thought not trying to change the system because the system is way to powerful at this point.

    Thanks for sharing as always..........
    Comment
    • Clear2Land
      SBR Sharp
      • 07-09-10
      • 271

      #212
      Ready for today fenek!
      Comment
      • ttratter
        SBR High Roller
        • 01-25-10
        • 109

        #213
        Any thoughts on some parlays?
        Comment
        • Clear2Land
          SBR Sharp
          • 07-09-10
          • 271

          #214
          any thoughts on any of todays action?
          Comment
          • fenek
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 06-16-10
            • 959

            #215
            Originally posted by fataliz
            hi fenek. good job. but 1 observation..

            you have basically picked all the favourites in the games (less texas)
            not to say you're right or wrong, just sth i noticed. cheers!
            hello fataliz, sf giants is a dog too, but i know what you want to say. this is the system and for today there are almost favos, why not? we have to see.

            Originally posted by jorge1
            thanks fenek..solid day yesterday for us!
            thank you jorge1, hope you will get +units today too. and thanks for the points!

            Originally posted by JR007
            Good luck dude...be careful of parleys...tough enough to win one game
            maybe you are right.. just want to check it. thanks for your input.

            Originally posted by Snowball
            impressive work, fenek. i have two question, please:
            1. are the plays posted in descending order per category, according to output differential ?
            2. are the program's clearer choices hitting with greater frequency than the more marginal differentials ?
            hello Snowball, thanks for the first question. i want to add this right now, will post an updated version from todays plays soon, using your tip. thanks ! can you please ask question number two with other words? i dont get it 100% to answer it. thanks.

            Originally posted by GoggsViggs
            Fenek: bro, my computer was on fire and so HOT last night that it basically melted. had to call Verizon to troubleshoot and send me a new router. anyways, left you some more points and thanks for continuing to share your picks with us. BOL to you and all the tailers today!

            left you a PM.
            thanks, answer is sent.
            Comment
            • fenek
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 06-16-10
              • 959

              #216
              Originally posted by Clear2Land
              Ready for today fenek!
              ready !

              Originally posted by ttratter
              Any thoughts on some parlays?
              later i will post one or two, yes.

              Originally posted by Clear2Land
              any thoughts on any of todays action?
              plays are posted on page 6 Clear2Land. good luck !
              Comment
              • timmyboy34243
                SBR MVP
                • 04-06-10
                • 1379

                #217
                let's see the favorites roll today!!!
                Comment
                • tayco
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 05-02-10
                  • 182

                  #218
                  Thnx Fen, BOL everyone.
                  Comment
                  • ttratter
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 01-25-10
                    • 109

                    #219
                    Anty parlay suggestions games getting ready to start. Thanks Fenek.
                    Comment
                    • fenek
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 06-16-10
                      • 959

                      #220
                      here is the complete overview with the detroit line updated and category 4 added, as well as the plays are listed in descending order, means the one first the "strongest" one, the last play numbers are almost even. understandable? ok, let´s go!


                      sunday 07/18/2010

                      category 1 (with 1 unit)

                      sea mariners @ la angels [to win .66]
                      phi phillies @ chi cubs [to win .57]
                      det tigers @ cle indians [to win .72]
                      tb rays @ ny yankees [to win .72]
                      tex rangers @ bos red sox [to win 1.38]

                      category 2 (subdivided: favo to win / dogs with 1, 2 or 3units)
                      ny mets @ sf giants [1.00 to win 1.00]
                      was nationals @ fla marlins [1.39 to win 1.00]
                      mil brewers @ atl braves [1.79 to win 1.00]
                      col rockies @ cin reds [1.39 to win 1.00]
                      la dodgers
                      @ stl cardinals [1.41 to win 1.00]
                      -------------------------------------------
                      ari diamondbacks @ sd padres [2.67 to win 2.00]
                      hou astros
                      @ pit pirates [3.03 to win 2.00]
                      -------------------------------------------
                      tor blue jays @ bal orioles [4.00 to win 3.00]
                      oak athletics @ kc royals [3.26 to win 3.00]

                      category 3 (favo RL with 2 units / dogs to win 2units)

                      chi white sox -1.5 @ min twins [2.00 to win 2.90]

                      category 4 (totals played to win 1 unit / parlays with 1unit)

                      tor blue jays + oak athletics [1.00 to win 2.38]
                      hou astros + la angels [1.00 to win 1.88]



                      Comment
                      • ttratter
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 01-25-10
                        • 109

                        #221
                        Thanks Fenek much appreciated.
                        Comment
                        • HayMan
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 05-25-09
                          • 85

                          #222
                          Wow, another great day Saturday! Great system would love to know more about it. Good luck today!
                          Comment
                          • teenheat
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 11-08-09
                            • 362

                            #223
                            damnit, missed the toronto game by a few minutes!
                            Comment
                            • fenek
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 06-16-10
                              • 959

                              #224
                              Originally posted by ttratter
                              Thanks Fenek much appreciated.
                              thank you, hope you were able to pick some winners.

                              Originally posted by HayMan
                              Wow, another great day Saturday! Great system would love to know more about it. Good luck today!
                              thank you HayMan.

                              Originally posted by teenheat
                              damnit, missed the toronto game by a few minutes!
                              sorry to hear that. hoffe es hat dennoch in der kasse geklingelt.
                              Comment
                              • sidewinder66
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 01-31-10
                                • 148

                                #225
                                great day yesterday and looking quite good again today, i think.
                                Comment
                                • JR007
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-21-10
                                  • 5279

                                  #226
                                  I believe 1 run differentials occur roughly 34% of the time
                                  Comment
                                  • fenek
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 06-16-10
                                    • 959

                                    #227
                                    damn white sox ...
                                    Comment
                                    • chizzy
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 07-18-10
                                      • 310

                                      #228
                                      Originally posted by fenek
                                      damn white sox ...
                                      i know. not happy. Dodgers better not do the same.
                                      Comment
                                      • chizzy
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 07-18-10
                                        • 310

                                        #229
                                        Originally posted by chizzy
                                        i know. not happy. Dodgers better not do the same.
                                        but they do. fantastic!!!
                                        Comment
                                        • Duby
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 3608

                                          #230
                                          Two bad beats with CWS and Dodgers..
                                          Comment
                                          • Tommy_de1st
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-23-10
                                            • 8397

                                            #231
                                            He can't win em all
                                            Comment
                                            • ttratter
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 01-25-10
                                              • 109

                                              #232
                                              Thats for sure, just win more than you lose.
                                              Comment
                                              • teenheat
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 11-08-09
                                                • 362

                                                #233
                                                Originally posted by fenek
                                                sorry to hear that. hoffe es hat dennoch in der kasse geklingelt.
                                                verdammte white sox
                                                Comment
                                                • Snowball
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 11-15-09
                                                  • 30057

                                                  #234
                                                  Originally posted by fenek
                                                  hello Snowball, thanks for the first question. i want to add this right now, will post an updated version from todays plays soon, using your tip. thanks ! can you please ask question number two with other words? i dont get it 100% to answer it. thanks.
                                                  fenek, just wondering if the program rates plays, meaning that the output on some plays suggests a higher probability of winning than on other plays, or are they all the same probability ?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • fenek
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 06-16-10
                                                    • 959

                                                    #235
                                                    Originally posted by Snowball
                                                    fenek, just wondering if the program rates plays, meaning that the output on some plays suggests a higher probability of winning than on other plays, or are they all the same probability ?
                                                    ok, got it. yes the system "rates" them in that it works with a factor. and when the end-result number is xx% over or under the factor we have team 1 or team 2 as the winner. so the bigger the numbers are they will be played in the category 1,2 or 3, depending on the closeness to the factor.

                                                    if the cat2 hit with a higher % than cat1 i cant say cause i put them together into the ML-record. i think its a good balance i found there with the categories. is your question answered completely?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Snowball
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 11-15-09
                                                      • 30057

                                                      #236
                                                      yes, i believe so.. i'll just be watching the units played, the more units played (on a single pick) then the stronger that play is, I suppose.. right ?
                                                      if so, then why not only play the strongest plays ?
                                                      perhaps the program would yield a higher win % on the bigger plays, and it would be easier for you, less plays per day, only very best quality wagered on..
                                                      Comment
                                                      • chizzy
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 07-18-10
                                                        • 310

                                                        #237
                                                        Fenek, will you be picking the NFL and NBA as well?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • thebayareabeast
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-22-10
                                                          • 1475

                                                          #238
                                                          fenek, The Giants won the game today but the call was blown in the 9th inning

                                                          As far as I'm concerned that should still be counted as a win, that call was a total joke
                                                          Comment
                                                          • GoggsViggs
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 06-05-10
                                                            • 1884

                                                            #239
                                                            Fenek: bro, that Whitesox and Dodgers meltdown was unreal. you called it, they should have won, but Jenks and Broxton blew it. even giants should have won if the ump didn't blow that call..ishikawa was clearly safe.

                                                            lookin' forward to tomorrow's action. thanks for all the hard work, mate. you da man.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • netinfo
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 02-12-09
                                                              • 955

                                                              #240
                                                              I think the system is still quite terrific, but today was just an unlucky day.

                                                              White Sox and Dodgers should have closed out their games, and the Ump in the Giants game simply messed up.

                                                              Just an unlucky day, the system is still fine.

                                                              Sometimes, we'll get these "unlucky" breaks in our favor too, so these things should balance themselves out during a season.

                                                              netinfo
                                                              Comment
                                                              • iloseagain
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 06-29-10
                                                                • 10681

                                                                #241
                                                                yea at most the loss for today is like -3.5 units if/when phillies lose so not too bad anyways
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ttratter
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 01-25-10
                                                                  • 109

                                                                  #242
                                                                  I have us up like 1.5 units. Great work on a "Bad Beat Sunday".
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • iloseagain
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 06-29-10
                                                                    • 10681

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Originally posted by ttratter
                                                                    I have us up like 1.5 units. Great work on a "Bad Beat Sunday".
                                                                    ooo yea thats right i messed up
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • khaden
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-19-09
                                                                      • 1864

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Tough day- 3 losses that should have cashed. New week tomorrow
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • iloseagain
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 06-29-10
                                                                        • 10681

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Originally posted by khaden
                                                                        Tough day- 3 losses that should have cashed. New week tomorrow
                                                                        pumped to see my account back at even money haha
                                                                        Comment
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