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College Bases 5/18
Sorry if there's a better place to post these, thanks for looking!
5/18:
3PM LSU -260 (Ceasars)
4PM Southern Miss -162 (Barstool)
4:30PM Texas -117 (Barstool)
Some stuff I couldn't find offered/couldn't push over the top:
Campbell/SC Upstate under 14.5 or better if offered
strong lean Florida -135
lean KState +130
Mizzou/Auburn over 12.5 or better if offered
slight lean Arkansas -110
lean Texas Tech-250
WKU/DBU under 12.5 or better if offered
strong lean UCLA -115
also tried 4PM Louisiana/Southern Miss Under 13 -110 (Circa) & 3PM LSU/Georgia Under 13.5 -115 (Ceasars)
Logan, thx for posting. Just a few comments:Originally Posted by Loganoir
1) How is the Vig on this stuff? And the Limits? Seems like 30-cent lines and $100 limits are standard.
2) If you are a Coll Base aficionado, go for it. I can say that I've seen the Coll Base sharps do well in this tournament.
It's just too hard for the oddsmaker to put up a sharp line. There are literally too many variables:
1) Is it a Pitcher/Hitter's park?
2) Is Team A holding back their Ace?
3) Is it a TRUE mismatch? Some of these games are very tilted.
Anyway, good Luck. Hope you find some nice plays.
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Thanks for looking!
1 - I live in a state where sports betting is legal, so I've been trying to keep it to retail books. Limits vary per book with circa/ceasars being the best generally and taking $1k+ and assumedly more once CWS gets started. Not sure about DK/FD/etc but it's reasonable. As far as online/offscreens etc, they probably don't have great limits, but do generally offer more games and the lines are much more inefficient. 30-cent lines definitely seem standard for legals.
2 - I wouldn't call myself an expert by any means, but I follow the sport and am confident this market has it's edges to be had with less eyes on it and just generally all the variables you mentioned making pretty difficult for the oddsmaker to do his job, which is why the market & who is offering which games is hit or miss on any given day!
Thanks again!
Logan, you go for it. Sounds like you're well-prepared.
First off, you don't have to LIST pitchers like the MLB. So, local knowledge can put you on the better side of the pitching matchup. I mean, it's sometimes a guy who will be a 1st-round MLB pick next month vs Blutarski, who can pound a keg over the weekend.
I won't list any Home parks here. It's known that those run the gammit in NCAA baseball.
I've seen some matchups in the opening round where it feels like an Alabama football game. You wonder if the small school would win even 10% of the time.
adding 3PM VA Tech/Wake Under 14.5 -115 (Ceasars) - Starts in 5 mins.
6-0, +6u, not bad!
Will post again at some point, congrats to anyone who tailed! Woohoo!
Wow. Told you, thought you had something good. Congratulations.
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Wow. What a start
I see you posted the same thread at covers.
Looking for exposure?
I posted in a good few forums and discords for the first time yesterday; For now, just trying to find some others interested in this market like me before CWS starts. Seems like very few people are doing college bases. Would like to improve my process while also sharing stuff when possible!
Okay. Welcome. You seem like a smart guy. I just wanted to know if you were a tout. I don’t mind touts but they should be transparent.
Are you using AI to help with your plays ?
Nah, just a few different sets of numbers for baselines and general handicapping ability, am not overly tech-savvy haha
College Bases 5/19:
3:30PM Florida/Kentucky under 12.5 -115 (Ceasars)
3PM Virginia/Georgia Tech under 14.5 -115 (Ceasars)
4:30PM West Virginia/Texas under 12.5 -115 (Ceasars)
some stuff I couldn't get over the top:
slight lean ECU, wish there was a spread
lean Virginia -155
Strong lean Stanford -175
lean Stanford/Wash St under if offered 14 or better
slight lean Florida -1.5 +100
slight lean Texas -150
might have a couple late adds as the day treads on, thanks for looking!
5/19: 1-2, -1.3u
Total: 7-2, +4.7u
2 9th inning losers, that's baseball
just 1 today, tried 10AM Louisville -140 (Draftkings)
adding 10AM Clemson -145 (Ceasars)
1-1, -0.4u
Total: 8-3, +4.3u
Passed a few leans that won today, a bit annoyed at myself for that. Onto the tournaments!
5/23:
5PM Auburn -170 (Ceasars)
5PM Auburn/Missouri under 13 -110 (Ceasars)
lean SC (just think they win, can't play at -145)
lean VT
lean Arizona
slight lean Tennessee
lean UCLA
might have some more as more games pop up
unfortunately not seeing much that stands out as really strong. more leans
slight lean Iowa
lean Iowa/Michigan under but circa opened so it's too low
lean Illini
lean Maryland
lean ODU
strong lean Tenn/A&M under 12.5
1-1, -0.1u
Total: 9-4, +4.2u
trying 7AM Kansas State/TCU Under 13.5 -120 (Circa) - starts in 30 mins
will likely have more throughout day, a few games just start really early
10:30AM Kansas/Texas under 12.5 -105 (Ceasars)
5:30PM Texas Tech/West Virginia under 13.5 -115 (Ceasars)
6PM Vanderbilt -145 (Ceasars)
likely have more
4PM Clemson -140 (Circa)
lean Floridalean Stanfordlean Georgia St/Coastal Carolina over 14.5 -120
adding 11AM James Madison/Southern Miss Under 12 -110 (Circa)
5-1, +3.8u
Total: 14-5, +8u
2:30PM LSU -140 (Ceasars)
lean Texas, would play at sub-200
will have more, just getting started today
adding 2:30PM LSU/Arkansas under 13.5 -115 (Ceasars)
adding 12PM Virginia -135 (Circa)
Nice line value on that LSU game.
5/25: 1-2, -1.75u
Total: 15-7, +6.25u
4PM Wake Forest -160 (Ceasars)
adding 7PM Arizona/Stanford under 16 -110 (Circa)
1PM Texas A&M/LSU under 14.5 -115 (Ceasars)
added 1PM Troy -150 (Circa)
2-2, -0.6u
Total: 17-9, +5.65u
10AM Wake Forest -155 (DK)
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Loganoir gave ChuckyTheGoat 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.