The Big Card

[therber2]

4/26

angels (185-100)
cards (116-100)
seattle (175-100)

have at it!

There it is With you on the Angels, not sure about the other two though.

[therber2]

Scratching the Rockies. Don't want to bring along the remnants of any emotional baggage there. Did think about that situation until now.

[mebaran]

So uh...Brew Crew annihilation...They just destroy bad/overworked bullpens..

[therber2]

So uh...Brew Crew annihilation...They just destroy bad/overworked bullpens..

Yes this play factored in completely with the runs earned analysis , but the RA lines didn't say much...hmm. Did you observe anything there?

Let me look things over from today.

[therber2]

Results 4/27

Texas Rangers -138 (1 unit)
Padres +150 (1 unit)
Padres/Marlins u8 EV (1 unit)
Mariners -160 (2 units)
SEA/KC o7.5 -105 (1 unit)
CLE/LAA u8.5 EV (2 units)
LAA -1.5 +120 (3 units)
MIL -1.5 +110 (3 units)
MIL -205 (2 units)
Cubs -150 (1 units)
MIL/PIT o8.5 -115 (1 unit)
Rockies (3 units)
Rockies/D-Backs u9 +112 (2 units)
Phillies -155 (1 unit)
PHI/Giants o6.5 -115 (1 unit)
TOR +132 (1 unit)

GL for tomorrow. I may readjust this before gametime.

Wow. All the plays scratched lost.
Each had their own reasons. Rockies for example I already said why I didn't want to touch it. (The emotional baggage).

I'll take Rockies tomorrow though. Looks like a good bet.

Another note, In the Toronto game we were dealing with bad pitchings, and two real bad bullpens FYI.

[therber2]

7-5 +7.64 units

[therber2]

For 4/27

Okay guys, here it is for 4/27. What looks good? I'll tell you one I like. Starts with R and ends in ockies.

Dare we take the Pirates to not take a double sweep? Hmm.

[therber2]

Top 1/3

Top tier teams 15 days RS Inn Pct.:

Yankees
Brewers
Royals
Twin Phillies
Marlins
Cubs
Dodgers
White Sox
Athletics

[therber2]

Bottom 1/3

Lower tier teams 15 days RS Inn Pct.:

Tigers
Astros
Mets
Mariners
Padres
Pirates
Braves
Cardinals
Orioles
Indians

[therber2]

Betting Notes 4/27

Team to win
Yankees (away) v. Orioles
Dodgers (away) v. Mets
Twins (away) v. Tigers
Padres v. Marlins (home)

Special Situation:
Pirates v. Brewers 50/50 with lean towards Brewers obviously
Pirates 4th straight loss this season to the Brewers...will they take another?

Close call:
Reds (away) v. Astros
Indians v. Angels (home) Angels movin on up!

Mid Third lean:
TOR (home) vs BOS
GM 2 Series 0-1 to Boston lean on Toronto

Under:
SEA/KC
ATL/STL

[therber2]

The Big Card 4/27

Braves +167 (2 units)
Yankees -155 (4 units)
Yankees -1.5 EV (2 units)
Yankees/Baltimore o8.5 -120 (1 unit)
Dodgers GM2 (1 unit) -101
Minn +1.5 (2 units)
Florida Marlins -128 (1 unit)
Pirates +1.5 EV (1 unit)
Washington +1.5 depending on line when it is out
lean on Reds
CWS +124 (1 unit)
LAA -1 RL (3 units)
Toronto +105 (1 unit)
Rockies -191 (2 units)
Rockies -1.5 +110 (4 units)
SEA/KC u8 -120 (3 units)
ATL/STL u7.5 EV (2 units)

GL Guys!

[JerseyShop101]

Great going yesterday!

I especially like when these matchup well with the past batter vs. hitter stats:

Yankees
Twins
Seattle/KC Under 8 is my favorite:

[Just Enough]

4/26

angels (185-100)
cards (116-100)
seattle (175-100)

have at it!

2-1 (+25)

[Just Enough]

4/27

yanks (168-100)
seattle (167-275)

[therber2]

Great going yesterday!

I especially like when these matchup well with the past batter vs. hitter stats:

Yankees
Twins
Seattle/KC Under 8 is my favorite:

[ATTACH]11607[/ATTACH]

Thank you for posting this JS. Can't remember why (away from home comp. now), but I remember having a little doubt about the Twins (still like them) just going lighter. Yankees lost me some big cash before so sour taste, but they are the type of team that would get it back. Go yanks!

SEA/KC is a solid bet

[therber2]

2-1 (+25)

Congrats on a positive day. You beat me with those Cardies. Good call close game though if you didn't notice.

[therber2]

4/27

yanks (168-100)
seattle (167-275)

Go Yanks.

[therber2]

Line move

KC/SEA is under 7.5 at -125 now. Holy smoke. Hope you got it early.

[therber2]

Note: Card adjusted; maybe one more before game time on the Dodgers

[darkenergy]

4/27
yanks (168-100)
seattle (167-275)

I like this card a lot. Already booked Yanks early in morning at -154 (-166 in my book now).
Best of luck JE

[mebaran]

Note: Card adjusted; maybe one more before game time on the Dodgers

Was thinking the same. Good luck on your bets today!

[therber2]

I like this card a lot. Already booked Yanks early in morning at -154 (-166 in my book now).
Best of luck JE

Best of luck DE. I'm on the Yanks too, but not too big (as I wrote in the card)

Was thinking the same. Good luck on your bets today!

Same to you brutha.

[therber2]

Great going yesterday!

I especially like when these matchup well with the past batter vs. hitter stats:

Yankees
Twins
Seattle/KC Under 8 is my favorite:

[ATTACH]11607[/ATTACH]

Sent Steve at cleanup a message making things clear. LOL that is funny. I miss Curious. He was a nutball.

[Just Enough]

I like this card a lot. Already booked Yanks early in morning at -154 (-166 in my book now).
Best of luck JE

thanks bro, and right back at ya. let's kick the books tonight gents!!!!

[therber2]

Braves +167 (2 units)
Yankees -155 (4 units)
Yankees -1.5 EV (2 units)
Yankees/Baltimore o8.5 -120 (1 unit)
Dodgers GM2 (1 unit) -101
Minn +1.5 (2 units)
Florida Marlins -128 (1 unit)
Pirates +1.5 EV (1 unit)
Washington +1.5 (1 unit)depending on line when it is out
lean on Reds
CWS +124 (1 unit)
LAA -1 RL (3 units) pending
Toronto +105 (1 unit)
Rockies -191 (2 units)
Rockies -1.5 +110 (4 units)
SEA/KC u8 -120 (3 units)
ATL/STL u7.5 EV (2 units)

GL Guys!

7-6 -4.48 units

[reverend]

keep it up bro!

[JerseyShop101]

I feel like we got a bad beat with the Yankees bullpen screwing up. Hughes leaves the game with a 2-1 lead with 2 outs in the btm of the 6th, nobody on base, and the bullpen comes in and fks up and gives up 3 runs on a walk, a HBP, and 3 hits! They should of left Hughes in there to finish the inning, he couldn't of did much worse. His pitch count was at 109 though, unless he left the game for another reason.

Bottom 6th: Baltimore - M. Wieters lined out to first - M. Tejada flied out to deep center - B. Logan relieved P. Hughes - L. Scott walked - D. Robertson relieved B. Logan - T. Wigginton hit by pitch, L. Scott to second - R. Hughes singled to shallow right, L. Scott scored, T. Wigginton to third - N. Reimold singled to shallow left, T. Wigginton scored, R. Hughes to second - L. Montanez ran for N. Reimold - C. Izturis singled to shallow left center, R. Hughes scored, L. Montanez to second - A. Jones struck out swinging
Still a good day, keep up the good work guys!

[Just Enough]

4/27

yanks (168-100)
seattle (167-275)

1-1 (+107)

[Just Enough]

4/28

yanks (643-268)

[therber2]

keep it up bro!

Appreciate the support Reverend. I am liking what you are doing. Let's see if we have any plays that match. I'm going to generate the card in the next hour or so.

[therber2]

I feel like we got a bad beat with the Yankees bullpen screwing up. Hughes leaves the game with a 2-1 lead with 2 outs in the btm of the 6th, nobody on base, and the bullpen comes in and fks up and gives up 3 runs on a walk, a HBP, and 3 hits! They should of left Hughes in there to finish the inning, he couldn't of did much worse. His pitch count was at 109 though, unless he left the game for another reason.

Bottom 6th: Baltimore - M. Wieters lined out to first - M. Tejada flied out to deep center - B. Logan relieved P. Hughes - L. Scott walked - D. Robertson relieved B. Logan - T. Wigginton hit by pitch, L. Scott to second - R. Hughes singled to shallow right, L. Scott scored, T. Wigginton to third - N. Reimold singled to shallow left, T. Wigginton scored, R. Hughes to second - L. Montanez ran for N. Reimold - C. Izturis singled to shallow left center, R. Hughes scored, L. Montanez to second - A. Jones struck out swinging
Still a good day, keep up the good work guys!

Lol. It was capped well Jersey; a bad loss, but came back with some other nice plays. A great call on the under for KC game.

I like how you are using this analysis and then filtering things with the lineup rotation. Let's try to find a good one for today shall we?

[therber2]

4/28

yanks (643-268)

Hmmm. They left a bad taste. Will most likely take them. Just not as big this time around.

[therber2]

Top Bracket Inns Run scored teams (15 days)

Top 1/3 (15 days):

Brewers 37.3
Yankees 35.9
Royals 34.3
Twins 33.3
Marlins 31.9
Cubs 31.3
White Sox 31.3
Rays 30.9
Reds 30.6
Athletics 30.0%

Top 1/3 (STD):

Brewers 36.7
Yankees 34.5
Athletics 33.2
Phillies 33.1
Marlins 32.3
Twins 31.8
Royals 31.7
Rockies 31.2
Reds 29.8
Rays 29.6

Matches in both catagories:
Brewers
Yankees
Athletics
Marlins
Twins
Rays
Reds

[therber2]

Bottom Bracket 4/28

Bottom 1/3 (15 days):
Braves 19.7
Cardinals 20.7
Indians 21.2
Pirates 21.6
Tigers21.6
Mariners 21.9
Orioles 22.8
Padres 25.7
Red Sox 25.7
Astros 26

Bottom 1/3 (STD):
Braves 21.8
Indians 21.8
Astros 22.2
Mariners 22.4
Orioles 22.7
Padres 23.2
Pirates 23.5
Cardinals 23.8
Tigers 24.5
Nationals 26.2

Matches in both catagories:
Braves
Cardinals
Indians
Pirates
Tigers
Mariners
Orioles
Padres
Astros

[therber2]

5 games

Hot and Not:

Top:
Cubs 39.1
Rangers 37.2
Royals 37.0
Rockies 35.7
Twins 35.4
Red Sox 34.1
White Sox 34.1
Athletics 33.3
Rays 33.3
Mets 32.4

Bottom:
Dodgers 14.3
Braves 16.7
Cardinals 18.6
Mariners 20.0
Tigers 20.0
Indians 22.2
D-Backs 23.3
Blue Jays 24.4
Padres 24.4
Pirates 24.4