Are we allowed to upload videos with guns at youtube? I might make some too
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DC
SBR MVP
06-16-10
1142
#26325
What the he'll is up with all the paco hatred on that video blog. I don't get it, he ain't forcing anyone to do anything. He posts his play, and you can choose to follow or fate. Your choice, but will someone please explain all the hating that's going on. Free world, don't ask the chef what's in the soup, you don't want to know. If you like it, great order it again, if you don't, then don't go back.
Mine is not to question why, mine is to do or die!
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ParlayininHTown
SBR Hall of Famer
06-27-10
7561
#26326
Originally posted by DC
What the he'll is up with all the paco hatred on that video blog. I don't get it, he ain't forcing anyone to do anything. He posts his play, and you can choose to follow or fate. Your choice, but will someone please explain all the hating that's going on. Free world, don't ask the chef what's in the soup, you don't want to know. If you like it, great order it again, if you don't, then don't go back.
Mine is not to question why, mine is to do or die!
Animosity ...
I'm not gonna hate. I'm happy with who I am as a person, though I'll probably never see the kind of cash Paco probably pulls in.
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Unchained
SBR Sharp
11-19-09
428
#26327
paco is legit. gl tonight
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Tommy_de1st
SBR Hall of Famer
02-23-10
8397
#26328
DC, most ppl don't have such money and they are just jealous and thats where those hating is coming from
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DC
SBR MVP
06-16-10
1142
#26329
Yea,I get all that. What I don't get or appreciate is hating on my brother for no legitimate reason. I am glad he posts his plays, and I follow him 90%of the time And win more of them than I lose. But for these whack jobs to stir up this shit pisses me off! Go get a fukkin life losers!!!!
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Donkwin47
SBR MVP
03-12-10
2851
#26330
This is my first time straight tailing a SCS play.. AKA 13-2 will probably be 13-3 after tonight as I am the kiss of death on a straight tail.. BOL.
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paco
SBR Aristocracy
05-07-09
62873
#26331
Originally posted by Tommy_de1st
DC, most ppl don't have such money and they are just jealous and thats where those hating is coming from
Yea I didn't wanna make that vid but he kept making threads if I even have that type of money to lay on a game.
I am very confident in the Yanks tonight guys but play what u can afford to lose and not over it.
IF they lose, I'll hav a few drinks and say I was wrong and will be able to move on to the next day.
Goodluck, let go Yanks baby!!
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Darremannen
SBR High Roller
07-18-09
174
#26332
What u guys say about Blue Jays toady!?
Record 12-6 +16.54units http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/510691-long-mlb-tread-darremannen.html
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Dr. Membrain
SBR Hustler
05-07-10
71
#26333
Paco, can you give me a job?!?! HAHAHA
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keel44
SBR MVP
08-01-09
3363
#26334
Is there anywhere on this thread that gives paco's record and/or profit?
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Dabeergod
SBR Hall of Famer
04-30-10
5503
#26335
Let's get it !!!! Even though I'm a Mariners fan, tonight I say fuk em and go with the always sweet SCS and the soon to be money making Yankz
Attached Files
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salvador_7764
SBR Wise Guy
01-17-10
743
#26336
Please just trust mr.paco when giving his picks this guy is on fire.
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JFCvsRXB
SBR Hustler
06-23-10
67
#26337
M's fan here too. But I like making money more!!
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DC
SBR MVP
06-16-10
1142
#26338
Where did you get that picture dabeergod, Seattle special olympics LMAO! Love it!
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JR007
SBR Hall of Famer
02-21-10
5279
#26339
Based on some of the extremes we're seeing between have's and have-not's right now in Major League baseball, handicappers and legal sports bettors should get used to seeing some very high moneylines.
There are several good teams who will soon be in a position where they"have" to win because they're in pennant races. There are a few really bad teams who already look like they're playing out the string, and it's not even July yet.
As a general rule, I advise bettors not to lay big odds when it comes to baseball. You have to win a huge percentage of your games to make any money. If a team is a -200 favorite, that means"break even" for you is 67%. You have to win MORE than 67% of those big favorite bets to earn a profit. Tough task.
Most seasons those high lines are often"inflated" a bit anyway to shade against public money. Squares (the general public) love to bet on the best teams. They don't have a sense of what the right prices are in baseball, so sportsbooks shade against the squares to make sure they're getting the worst of it. So, when studying past records, you'll often see that taking big dogs was a money-maker.
This year though, and really since the economy went south, public action isn't that big a deal. Squares aren't betting much baseball, so sportsbooks are now defending against sharp action (from professional wagerers) rather than square action. Sharps are in the habit of fading the public and betting those big dogs. If you see -200 right now, it's probably a"fair" line rather than an inflated line.
Let me show you some subsets of teams who are crashing the -200 threshold in terms of wins and losses. GOOD HOME RECORDS
Atlanta 26-8
NY Mets 28-12
Texas 28-12
NY Yankees 25-10
Detroit 25-11
Those teams would still be showing a profit at home if they were -200 every time out. I talked about the Rangers becoming very expensive the last time we were together. The Yanks are always expensive at home. Some of those other teams will be too if they keep this up. BAD HOME RECORDS
Pittsburgh 9-31
Baltimore 8-29
Arizona 12-28
Seattle 11-26
Washington 13-27
Those are some extreme marks. The"old school" approach of just taking all big dogs because there's probably value has run into a brick wall with teams like this. You back Pittsburgh or Baltimore on the road at +200, and it kills you (those records would turn into 18-31 and 16-29 if the wins earned that price). What happens when a horrible road team plays a great home team? Looks like -200 is way too low.
No, I'm not about to endorse an investment strategy based on laying high prices. That's a thin margin of error you're dealing with, and there's no guarantee everyone will hold their current form. I do want you to be careful with any"fade the big favorites" type of strategy. Asking horrible teams to win for you is rarely a great approach. Asking great teams to play flat is more reasonable, but be sure you're really focusing on a flat spot rather than just crossing your fingers because you want to win a lottery.
If you're going to take flyers on big dogs:
Look for quality dogs
Take them with their best pitchers
Look for spots where the favorite has a logical reason to be flat
Look to go against the most vulnerable pitchers on a successful team rather than their aces.
I'll talk more about strategies for these kinds of games deeper into the season if the board is truly flooded with big numbers. Baseball used to be a sport of parity. Right now rich is running away from poor. If you want to be rich, you can't bet on the poor!
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JoMoney2785
SBR Wise Guy
01-13-10
523
#26340
great post JR
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Dabeergod
SBR Hall of Famer
04-30-10
5503
#26341
Originally posted by DC
Where did you get that picture dabeergod, Seattle special olympics LMAO! Love it!
that's just an every day at bat for the Mariners offense
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robert_wrath
SBR MVP
07-16-09
2122
#26342
Did anyone take Paraguay in the WC today?
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paco
SBR Aristocracy
05-07-09
62873
#26343
Originally posted by robert_wrath
Did anyone take Paraguay in the WC today?
No, i just had Spain like i posted last night.
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memo99
SBR MVP
01-08-10
2368
#26344
good luck tonight Paco
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chankng
SBR MVP
03-16-10
1975
#26345
Paco fk those ppl u've proven tooo much over and over those mfkers are immature retard that are broke from losing and now are jealous and can't face reality. Paco cheers to u for $c$ let's get them bro
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tony_come
SBR Posting Legend
03-31-10
21695
#26346
The video is priceless...just like my signature stated!!!!!!!!!
"it's your money"
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robert_wrath
SBR MVP
07-16-09
2122
#26347
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robert_wrath
SBR MVP
07-16-09
2122
#26348
Originally posted by paco
No, i just had Spain like i posted last night.
I posted my play on Spain this Morning @ around 2 EST. Cashed hard on that one.
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nevarc
SBR High Roller
03-21-10
106
#26349
Gl Pac am with you on this yankees play.
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robert_wrath
SBR MVP
07-16-09
2122
#26350
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paco
SBR Aristocracy
05-07-09
62873
#26351
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Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#26352
damn good luck with that big play tonite boy
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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robert_wrath
SBR MVP
07-16-09
2122
#26353
I feel bad for players that took Paraguay Pointspread -1/2. They got Screwed hard.
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paco
SBR Aristocracy
05-07-09
62873
#26354
Originally posted by Goat Milk
damn good luck with that big play tonite boy
thanx Goat, there sure will be alot of haters in PT rooting for the Mariners just so they can see me lose.