Books are giving you a gift with the Reds tonight

[Machine Choice]

I'm not saying the Reds are a lock, but I'm saying that at +170 you would be an absolute idiot not to pound this play. They control 6 of the 8 crucial variables in my model, and I rarely see that even on a -200 favorite. Here I am seeing it on an enormous underdog. This line is unexplainable, as Feldman owns a .171 batting average against the current Cubs line-up and Hendricks is .273 vs the Reds. The Reds have the better bullpen, run production, and motivation. I've seen enough.

REDS 4
Cubs 3

$165 to win $281

[DwightShrute]

[Machine Choice]

Feldman meltdown. I wonder how so many people knew this would happen to drive the line to -190. Some serious inside info.

[mcfugly]

[Machine Choice]

Laugh, but the line was off before gametime. I cap a lot of games and this line made no sense unless you knew Feldman was sick or gonna throw the game.

[mcfugly]

[Machine Choice]

The correct line for this game would have been Cubs -130. It was -190. I'm not normally one of those guys that cares too much about fishy lines but this was an aberration. I've lost a lot of games, and normally never comment about a loss. But this was unusual.

[2daBank]

Feldman meltdown. I wonder how so many people knew this would happen to drive the line to -190. Some serious inside info.

Doubt anyone "knew" as much as your average bettor isn't backing Feldman vs the cubbies.

Not trying to play hindsight here on you (hell im on Phillies so wtf do I know!) but Feldman had only faced like 3 current Cubs for that .170 average. That guy vs that lineup with strong wind blowing out didn't seem like a recipe for success..

[Machine Choice]

Doubt anyone "knew" as much as your average bettor isn't backing Feldman vs the cubbies.

Not trying to play hindsight here on you (hell im on Phillies so wtf do I know!) but Feldman had only faced like 3 current Cubs for that .170 average. That guy vs that lineup with strong wind blowing out didn't seem like a recipe for success..

Hendricks faced the same conditions. Mark my words, we are gonna find out when this game is over that Feldman had the flu or some other issue. Otherwise this game does not make sense. He threw a complete game shut-out 11 days ago.

[Dynasty3669]

The public is obsessed with the Cubs. Their lines are inflated every game...no secret conspiracy needed.

[2daBank]

Hendricks faced the same conditions. Mark my words, we are gonna find out when this game is over that Feldman had the flu or some other issue. Otherwise this game does not make sense. He threw a complete game shut-out 11 days ago.

Dude what does 11 days ago matter? He a career average type pitcher, he gonna have good and bad. The start before that the shitbag pirates offense tagged him for 7 runs in 4 innings. Earlier in year he couldn't escape the 5th vs Phillies mediocre offense.

Hendricks ain't exactly super man but unlike Feldman is far more consistent. You know you gonna generally get 6 inning 2-4 runs depending on competition level.,

Think you making far too much out of this. I mean was line high? Sure, scrubbies lines have been and gonna continue to be inflated all season.

[2daBank]

The public is obsessed with the Cubs. Their lines are inflated every game...no secret conspiracy needed.

Exactly

[Machine Choice]

The public is obsessed with the Cubs. Their lines are inflated every game...no secret conspiracy needed.

The Cubs were averaging 2.53 runs per game in their last 10 games vs right handers. Feldman had given up 2 earned runs in his last 16 innings of work. You think about that, then think about this line, then think about how Feldman performed, and come back and tell me that somebody close to Scott Feldman didn't spill the goods on his true condition tonight, to the tune of a -190 line. I can have no other conclusion.

[Machine Choice]

And before you call me a conspiracy nut, I remind you of this thread, read to the end:

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/college-football-betting/1325617-ill-tell-you-why-im-staying-away-hawaii-game.html

[2daBank]

The Cubs were averaging 2.53 runs per game in their last 10 games vs right handers. Feldman had given up 2 earned runs in his last 16 innings of work. You think about that, then think about this line, then think about how Feldman performed, and come back and tell me that somebody close to Scott Feldman didn't spill the goods on his true condition tonight, to the tune of a -190 line. I can have no other conclusion.

It was 2 games in a row against a terribly underachieving San Fran offense. Before that PIRATES GOT HIM FOR 7 in 4 innings!! Cubs past 10 being bad makes them more likely to break out. Dude I got nothing but respect for you but you sound rediculous with this for real.

[2daBank]

Fukkin cashner is currently on 71 pitches to walk thru 6 innings against the Phillies. A team earlier in season Feldman couldn't survive 5 freaking innings. Why are we making a career journeyman albeit a decent one out to be Cy young who must have the flu to get shelled by one of better offenses in baseball (whether they have lived up to it as of yet this season or not)???

[Machine Choice]

It was 2 games in a row against a terribly underachieving San Fran offense. Before that PIRATES GOT HIM FOR 7 in 4 innings!! Cubs past 10 being bad makes them more likely to break out. Dude I got nothing but respect for you but you sound rediculous with this for real.

Everything you just typed I would agree with, if the line wasn't -190

[2daBank]

Everything you just typed I would agree with, if the line wasn't -190

And yet even at that price no doubt books got more scrubbies bets than they get bets on reds in a week probably..

[Machine Choice]

Fukkin cashner is currently on 71 pitches to walk thru 6 innings against the Phillies. A team earlier in season Feldman couldn't survive 5 freaking innings. Why are we making a career journeyman albeit a decent one out to be Cy young who must have the flu to get shelled by one of better offenses in baseball (whether they have lived up to it as of yet this season or not)???

This burns my ass because the Rangers were gonna be my play tonight like they were last night, but I talked myself out of it because the Phils line-up has a .283 batting average against Cashner. I chose the Reds instead.

[2daBank]

This burns my ass because the Rangers were gonna be my play tonight like they were last night, but I talked myself out of it because the Phils line-up has a .283 batting average against Cashner. I chose the Reds instead.

Burns my ass cause I took phils instead of over. Hate playing both in same game and for some dumb reason I decided to go against rangers who on fire, mostly cause looking to fade cashner, which in effect over would have accomplished while getting benefit of rangers hot bats..

I don't buy what cashner has been getting away with at all, I guess it possible like lots of guys he has reinvented himself but he wasn't a smart pitcher when he had great stuff so hard for me to believe he gonna keep this up. I been wrong on guys before tho, so far he proving me wrong.

[2daBank]

Reds ain't exactly out of it. I'll trade you my phils bet for cincy. Lol