I'm not saying the Reds are a lock, but I'm saying that at +170 you would be an absolute idiot not to pound this play. They control 6 of the 8 crucial variables in my model, and I rarely see that even on a -200 favorite. Here I am seeing it on an enormous underdog. This line is unexplainable, as Feldman owns a .171 batting average against the current Cubs line-up and Hendricks is .273 vs the Reds. The Reds have the better bullpen, run production, and motivation. I've seen enough.
REDS 4
Cubs 3
$165 to win $281